The impact of monetary policy actions for the macroeconomic stability

The study of monetary policy concentrates on the systematic analysis of the interaction between the major monetary policy targets and macroeconomic indicators as signals to policymakers about possible changes which may influence the macroeconomic stability. In this respect, the purpose of this article is to justify the arguments supporting the role and importance of monetary policy and its proximate targets for ensuring macroeconomic stability. The object of the study is the impact of monetary policy on macroeconomic changes.The method is analysis of monetary theory, scientific literature and documents. Such a methodological position enables justification of the influence of the key targets of the monetary policy on the global economic processes related to inflation, finance stability and economic growth.

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Dampak Kebijakan Moneter Pada Output Di Negara-Negara ASEAN Tahun 1980-2014

Jurnal Riset Manajemen Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Widya Wiwaha Program Magister Manajemen ◽

10.32477/jrm.v4i1.191 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 4 (1) ◽

pp. 58-70

Author(s):

Nur Widiastuti

Keyword(s):

Monetary Policy ◽

Interest Rate ◽

Fixed Effects ◽

Empirical Studies ◽

Negative Relationship ◽

Least Square ◽

Fixed Effects Model ◽

State Data ◽

Ordinary Least Square ◽

The Impact

The Impact of monetary Policy on Ouput is an ambiguous. The results of previous empirical studies indicate that the impact can be a positive or negative relationship. The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of monetary policy on Output more detail. The variables to estimatate monetery poicy are used state and board interest rate andrate. This research is conducted by Ordinary Least Square or Instrumental Variabel, method for 5 countries ASEAN. The state data are estimated for the period of 1980 – 2014. Based on the results, it can be concluded that the impact of monetary policy on Output shown are varied.Keyword: Monetary Policy, Output, Panel Data, Fixed Effects Model

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Monetary policy and the effect of the transfer of oil prices to inflation

Voprosy Ekonomiki ◽

10.32609/0042-8736-2020-8-41-50 ◽

2020 ◽

pp. 41-50

Author(s):

Ph. S. Kartaev ◽

I. D. Medvedev

Keyword(s):

Monetary Policy ◽

Inflation Targeting ◽

Dynamic Models ◽

Oil Prices ◽

Oil Price ◽

Oil Price Shocks ◽

Negative Effects ◽

Price Shocks ◽

Policy Regime ◽

The Impact

The paper examines the impact of oil price shocks on inflation, as well as the impact of the choice of the monetary policy regime on the strength of this influence. We used dynamic models on panel data for the countries of the world for the period from 2000 to 2017. It is shown that mainly the impact of changes in oil prices on inflation is carried out through the channel of exchange rate. The paper demonstrates the influence of the transition to inflation targeting on the nature of the relationship between oil price shocks and inflation. This effect is asymmetrical: during periods of rising oil prices, inflation targeting reduces the effect of the transfer of oil prices, limiting negative effects of shock. During periods of decline in oil prices, this monetary policy regime, in contrast, contributes to a stronger transfer, helping to reduce inflation.

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Impact of external currency exposures on macroeconomic policies

Voprosy Ekonomiki ◽

10.32609/0042-8736-2020-8-23-40 ◽

2020 ◽

pp. 23-40

Author(s):

I. V. Prilepskiy

Keyword(s):

Monetary Policy ◽

Exchange Rate ◽

Positive Impact ◽

Exchange Rate Regime ◽

Macroeconomic Policies ◽

Panel Regressions ◽

Financial Account ◽

Currency Exposure ◽

Cross Country ◽

The Impact

Based on cross-country panel regressions, the paper analyzes the impact of external currency exposures on monetary policy, exchange rate regime and capital controls. It is determined that positive net external position (which, e.g., is the case for Russia) is associated with a higher degree of monetary policy autonomy, i.e. the national key interest rate is less responsive to Fed/ECB policy and exchange rate fluctuations. Therefore, the risks of cross-country synchronization of financial cycles are reduced, while central banks are able to place a larger emphasis on their price stability mandates. Significant positive impact of net external currency exposure on exchange rate flexibility and financial account liberalization is only found in the context of static models. This is probably due to the two-way links between incentives for external assets/liabilities accumulation and these macroeconomic policy tools.

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The influence of inflation targeting on the pass-through effect of the exchange rate

Voprosy Ekonomiki ◽

10.32609/0042-8736-2018-11-70-84 ◽

2018 ◽

pp. 70-84

Author(s):

Ph. S. Kartaev ◽

Yu. I. Yakimova

Keyword(s):

Developing Countries ◽

Monetary Policy ◽

Exchange Rate ◽

Inflation Targeting ◽

Policy Regime ◽

Short And Long Term ◽

The Exchange Rate ◽

Pass Through ◽

The Impact

The paper studies the impact of the transition to the inflation targeting regime on the magnitude of the pass-through effect of the exchange rate to prices. We analyze cross-country panel data on developed and developing countries. It is shown that the transition to this regime of monetary policy contributes to a significant reduction in both the short- and long-term pass-through effects. This decline is stronger in developing countries. We identify the main channels that ensure the influence of the monetary policy regime on the pass-through effect, and examine their performance. In addition, we analyze the data of time series for Russia. It was concluded that even there the transition to inflation targeting led to a decrease in the dependence of the level of inflation on fluctuations in the ruble exchange rate.

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Financial and monetary policy of the State and its impact on the income level and poverty reduction in Russia

Finance and Credit ◽

10.24891/fc.26.5.964 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 26 (5) ◽

pp. 964-990

Author(s):

N.I. Kulikov ◽

V.L. Parkhomenko ◽

Akun Anna Stefani Rozi Mobio

Keyword(s):

Monetary Policy ◽

Household Income ◽

Poverty Reduction ◽

The State ◽

Financial Policy ◽

Gdp Growth ◽

Tax Rate ◽

Gdp Growth Rate ◽

The Government ◽

The Impact

Subject. We assess the impact of tight financial and monetary policy of the government of the Russian Federation and the Bank of Russia on the level of household income and poverty reduction in Russia. Objectives. The purpose of the study is to analyze the results of financial and monetary policy in Russia and determine why the situation with household income and poverty has not changed for the recent six years, and the GDP growth rate in Russia is significantly lagging behind the global average. Methods. The study employs methods of analysis of scientific and information base, and synthesis of obtained data. The methodology and theoretical framework draw upon works of domestic and foreign scientists on economic and financial support to economy and population’s income. Results. We offer measures for liberalization of the financial and monetary policy of the government and the Central Bank to ensure changes in the structure of the Russian economy. The proposed alternative economic and financial policy of the State will enable the growth of real incomes of the population, poverty reduction by half by 2024, and annual GDP growth up to 6 per cent. Conclusions. It is crucial to change budget priorities, increase the salaries of public employees, introduce a progressive tax rate for individuals; to reduce the key rate to the value of annual inflation and limit the bank margin. The country needs a phased program to increase the population's income, which will ensure consumer demand.

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Reducing the Risks of the Financial Sector to Ensure Sustainable Growth of the Russian Еconomy

Economics taxes & law ◽

10.26794/1999-849x-2019-12-3-86-92 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 12 (3) ◽

pp. 86-92

Author(s):

T. I. Minina ◽

V. V. Skalkin

Keyword(s):

Economic Growth ◽

Monetary Policy ◽

Financial Sector ◽

Developed Countries ◽

Sustainable Growth ◽

Necessary Condition ◽

Real Sector ◽

Financial Instruments ◽

The Real ◽

The Impact

Russia’s entry into the top five economies of the world depends, among other things, on the development of the financial sector, being a necessary condition for the economic growth of a developed macroeconomic and macro-financial system. The financial sector represents a system of relationships for the effective collection and distribution of economic resources, their deployment according to public demand, reducing the risk of overproduction and overheating of the economy.Therefore, the subject of the research is the financial sector of the Russian economy.The purpose of the research was to formulate an approach to alleviating the risks of increasing financial costs in the real sector of the economy by reducing the impact of endogenous risks expressed as financial asset “bubbles” using the experience of developed countries in the monetary policy.The paper analyzes a macroeconomic model applied to the financial sector. It is established that the economic growth is determined by the growth and, more important, the qualitative development of the financial sector, which leads to two phenomena: overproduction in the real sector and an increase in asset prices in the financial sector, with a debt load in both the real and financial sectors. This results in decreasing the interest rate of the mega-regulator to near-zero values. In this case, since the mechanisms of the conventional monetary policy do not work, the unconventional monetary policy is used when the mega-regulator buys out derivative financial instruments from systemically important institutions. As a conclusion, given deflationally low rates, it is proposed that the megaregulator should issue its own derivative financial instruments and place them in the financial market.

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