Design Code for Agricultural Canals Based on Partial Safety Factors

Author(s):  
S. Nishimura
Author(s):  
Rune Dahlberg ◽  
Jan Mathisen

As the water depth of hydrocarbon discoveries becomes deeper, the technological challenges related to the design of mooring systems increases. Changing from steel catenary mooring systems (CMS) to fibre rope taut mooring systems (TMS) has been accompanied by an immense focus on how to qualify and approve fibre rope material for use in a TMS. This involves items related to specifications for manufacturing, handling and testing fibre ropes, as well as calibration of safety factors to use in the design of TMSs. One consequence of moving to a TMS is that the anchors will have to take more uplift load than in a conventional CMS, which makes the anchors a more critical component of the mooring system than before. The types of anchor normally available to the designer of a TMS are pile anchors, suction anchors and various types of plate anchors. Anchors of all types are designed and installed in ever-deeper water, but the safety of the designed mooring systems varies with the design code adopted. There is thus an obvious need for an industry standard, a design code for each anchor type that is calibrated based on structural reliability analysis using the current experience and knowledge in the industry. This paper compares anchor design codes that use total safety factors (TSF) with the DNV design code that uses partial safety factors and failure consequence classes. Examples of design codes for station-keeping systems that adopt the TSF format are API RP2SK and (assumed herein) the ISO code, which is under development. The comparison demonstrates that use of the safety format adopted in the DNV code provides more flexibility and ensures a uniform safety level of all components in a mooring system than the TSF format. If all types of anchor were designed to the same safety level it would be possible to compare anchors without worrying about differences in safety. A typical approach for calibration of a design code is described.


2006 ◽  
Vol 43 (8) ◽  
pp. 869-883
Author(s):  
Gil Robinson ◽  
James Graham ◽  
Ken Skaftfeld ◽  
Ron Sorokowski

Limit states design methods and engineering judgement have been used to assess buoyancy issues for remediation of the 85 year old Shoal Lake Aqueduct in Manitoba. The study demonstrates how these methods can be applied to non-codified engineering problems. Four separate buoyancy analyses were completed using (i) partial safety factors from the Ontario Highway Bridge Design Code, (ii) project-specific partial safety factors, (iii) Monte Carlo simulation techniques, and (iv) working stress design (WSD) methods. Engineering judgement was required to develop a buoyancy model, interpret data for modeling parameters, and provide meaningful values for parameters that could not be measured. Results from the analyses show that more uniform reliability is provided when measured variability of the model parameters is accounted for. The reliability is not quantifiable when working stress design methods are used. Key words: limit states, probability, non-codified problem, aqueduct, buoyancy.


Author(s):  
Daigo Watanabe ◽  
Kiminobu Hojo

This paper introduces an example of structural integrity evaluation for Light Water Reactor (LWR) against excessive loads on the Design Extension Condition (DEC). In order to assess the design acceptance level of DEC, three acceptance criteria which are the stress basis limit of the current design code, the strain basis limit of the current design code and the strain basis limit by using Load and Resistance Factor Design (LRFD) method were applied. As a result the allowable stress was increased by changing the acceptance criteria from the stress basis limit to the strain basis limit. It is shown that the practical margin of the LWR’s components still keeps even on DEC by introducing an appropriate criterion for integrity assessment and safety factors.


Author(s):  
Yordan Garbatov ◽  
C. Guedes Soares

The work presented here analyses the structural corrosion degradation of two sets of corrosion depth measurements collected with a one-decade difference. The corrosion degradation process is associated to a first order system, subjected to a sudden disturbance, where a step function is used as an input to define the solution of the differential equation of this system leads to the exponential corrosion degradation model as developed earlier. Corrosion margins of redundant ship structures with serious consequences of failure are derived and several conclusions related to the new trend in the ageing structures are presented and discussed. Partial safety factors with respect to the corrosion environment and corrosion margins are developed that can be used in the design, avoiding a complex probabilistic analysis.


2019 ◽  
Vol 103 (4) ◽  
pp. 2741-2756 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antonio Bonati ◽  
Gabriele Pisano ◽  
Gianni Royer Carfagni

2011 ◽  
Vol 255-260 ◽  
pp. 338-344 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ying Wang ◽  
Feng Lin ◽  
Xiang Lin Gu

Due to the absence of provision for the load and resistance factors in design codes in China, designers often quote the provisions which are given in criterion or guidance of other countries such as USA. However, the partial safety factors of the load are various in different criterions. Based on the reliability theory, the load and resistance factors for progressive collapse resistance design of building structures were determined in this study. Firstly the simplified format of design expression in the ultimate state was obtained according to the expression in routine structural design. Then the failure probability of a structure during design reference period was taken as the sum of the probability of all incompatible failure events in this period, and the objective reliability index of the structure could be obtained. Finally using trial-and-error procedure and JC method, reliability analysis was performed for structural members to obtain the partial safety factors of load effects and resistance and the coefficient for combination value of load effects in design expression in the ultimate state. In this paper the load and resistance factors for progressive collapse resistance design of reinforced concrete structures subjected to blast was calculated as an example, and the recommendation values were given for the application at last.


Author(s):  
Hideo Machida ◽  
Hiromasa Chitose ◽  
Manabu Arakawa

This paper describes the evaluation of partial safety factors (PSF’s) for parameters related to flaw evaluation of pipes which have a circumferential surface flaw, and proposes the important matter which should be pay attention in the setup of the safety factors used in flaw evaluation. PSF’s were evaluated considering randomness of flaw size, a fracture resistance curve (J-R curve) and applied loads using load and resistance factor design method (LRFD). The limit state function is expressed by fracture resistance (resistance-related parameter) and applied J integral (load-related parameter). The measure parameters in the reliability assessment are the flaw size and the J-R curve, and PSF’s of them are larger than those of applied loads. Since the material properties used in the flaw evaluation are generally set to the engineering lower limit of their variation (e.g., 95% lower confidence limit), variation of the flaw size is considered to have important role on flaw evaluation. Therefore, when setting up the safely factors used in Rules on Fitness-for-Service (FFS), it is necessary to take into consideration not only the influence of variation of loads or material strength but the influence of variation of flaw size.


2011 ◽  
Vol 368-373 ◽  
pp. 2364-2368
Author(s):  
Jia Nian He ◽  
Zhan Wang

In structure design, for expressions with partial safety factors, partial safety factors and nominal value of loads are calculated based on the presupposition that the design reference period is 50 years. When the design reference period is not 50 years, it would cause unclear reliability of building structure by using expressions with partial safety factors following correlative codes yet. It may lead to hidden dangers in that way. In order to derive expressions with partial safety factors suitable for any design reference period, two useful methods are shown in this paper, modification of partial safety factors and modification of importance factor of structures. From results of analysis, we get the conclusions that it can assure the reliability index of the expression using the method of modification of partial safety factors, and the method of modification of importance factor of structures is very simple, but cannot assure the reliability index of the expression.


Author(s):  
B. A. Lindley ◽  
P. M. James

Partial Safety Factors (PSFs) are scaling factors which are used to modify the input parameters to a deterministic fracture mechanics assessment in order to consider the effects of variability or uncertainty in the values of the input parameters. BS7910 and SINTAP have adopted the technique, both of which use the First Order Reliability Method (FORM) to derive values for PSFs. The PSFs are tabulated, varying with the target probability of failure, p(F), and the Coefficient of Variance (COV) of the variable. An accurate assessment of p(F) requires a probabilistic method with enough simulations. This has previously been found to be time consuming, due to the large number of simulations required. The PSF method has been seen as a quick way of calculating an approximate, conservative value of p(F). This paper contains a review of the PSF method, conducted using an efficient probabilistic method called the Hybrid probabilistic method. The Hybrid probabilistic method is used to find p(F) at a large number of assessment points, for a range of different PSFs. These p(F) values are compared to those obtained using the PSF method. It is found that the PSF method was usually, and often extremely, conservative. However there are also cases where the PSF method was non-conservative. This result is verified by a hand calculation. Modifications to the PSF method are suggested, including the establishment of a minimum PSF on each variable to reduce non-conservatisms. In light of the existence of efficient probabilistic techniques, the non-conservatisms that have been found in the PSF method, coupled with the impracticality of completely removing these non-conservatisms, it is recommended that a full probabilistic assessment should generally be performed.


Author(s):  
Masahiro Takanashi ◽  
Makoto Higuchi ◽  
Junki Maeda ◽  
Shinsuke Sakai

This paper discusses the margins of the design fatigue curve in the ASME Boiler and Pressure Vessel Codes Section III from a reliability analysis point of view. It is reported that these margins were developed so as to cover uncertainties of fatigue data scatter, size effect, and surface condition[1], but the reasons for them remain unclear. In order to investigate the physical implications of the design margin, a probabilistic approach is taken for the collected fatigue data of carbon and low-alloy steels. In this approach, these three parameters are treated as random variables, and an applied stress is also taken into consideration as a random variable. For the analysis, to begin with, a limit state function for fatigue is proposed. Next, reliability index contours of the design fatigue curves for carbon and low-alloy steels are obtained based on the proposed limit state function. The contours indicate that the margins 2 on stress and 20 on life do not provide equal reliability. The margin 20 on life is more conservative and the margin became a minimum near intersections of the design curves with margins 2 on stress and 20 on life. For practical applications, the partial safety factors (PSF) for the target reliability are computed for all materials and several levels of coefficients of variation (COV) of the applied stress. A sensitivity analysis of the PSFs clarifies that only two parameters, the strength (or the life) and the applied stress, are predominant. Thus, the partial safety factors for these two parameters are proposed in a tabular form.


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