Analysing the Relationship Between Personal Time Discounting Factors and Risk Related Behaviour

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 37-53
Author(s):  
Horia Daniel Tigau

Time discounting factors represent a widely-discussed subject in economics. Several methods are employed in order to collect data on discounting behavior; one of the most popular, also used in this article, is Kirby's Monetary Choice Questionnaire (MCQ). The binary responses in the questionnaire are then processed in order to estimate the k parameters of delay discounting. Two methods of estimation are compared and evaluated – Kaplan's Autoscorer and Wileyto's Logistic Regression Model. Rohrmann's Risk Orientation Questionnaire uses participants' responses to quantify the manifestation of risk related behaviors. In the final analysis of this article, the logistic regression estimates of k and the risk orientation factors are taken into consideration, together with demographic variables, to check for correlations and trends. There were no significant links found between risk orientation and time-discounting. However, there were several significant results at demographic level – for example, a positive correlation of 0.166 between risk aversion and income level during childhood (p = 0.02).

2018 ◽  
Vol 41 (4) ◽  
pp. 707-713 ◽  
Author(s):  
Allison Milner ◽  
Anne-Marie Bollier ◽  
Eric Emerson ◽  
Anne Kavanagh

Abstract Background People with disabilities often face a range of social and economic adversities. Evidence suggests that these disadvantages result in poorer mental health. Some research also indicates that people with disabilities are more likely experience thoughts about suicide than people without disability, although most of this research is based on small cross-sectional samples. Methods We explored the relationship between self-reported disability (measured at baseline) and likelihood of reporting thoughts of suicide (measured at follow up) using a large longitudinal cohort of Australian males. A logistic regression model was conducted with thoughts of suicide within the past 12 months (yes or no) as the outcome and disability as the exposure. The models adjusted for relevant confounders, including mental health using the SF-12 MCS, and excluded males who reported thoughts of suicide at baseline. Results After adjustment, there was a 1.48 (95% CI: 0.98–2.23, P = 0.063) increase in the odds of thoughts of suicide among men who also reported a disability. The size of association was similar to that of being unemployed. Conclusions Males reporting disability may also suffer from thoughts of suicide. We speculate that discrimination may be one explanation for the observed association. More research on this topic is needed.


Blood ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 128 (22) ◽  
pp. 4763-4763
Author(s):  
Josiah Ballantine ◽  
Robert I. Liem

Background: Acute vaso-occlusive crises (VOC) represent the most common reason for hospitalization among children with sickle cell disease (SCD). Acute chest syndrome (ACS) and severe hemolysis, both of which may require transfusion, are common complications during hospitalizations for VOC. Despite the high morbidity associated with these complications, there are currently no reliable clinical predictors of ACS and transfusion requirement in this setting. Nucleated red blood cells (NRBC), reported as the number of NRBC/100 white blood cells (WBC) on a complete blood count (CBC), may reflect marrow necrosis or increased erythropoetic drive, yet their relationship to VOC and its complications have not been studied. We aimed to evaluate the relationship between admission NRBC and development of ACS or transfusion requirement in children with SCD hospitalized for VOC. We hypothesized that higher admission NRBC is associated with greater risk of ACS/transfusion in this population. Methods: We performed a single-institution, retrospective review of all hospitalizations from 2011 through 2015 for uncomplicated VOC in children with SCD. Hospitalization encounters were identified by ICD-9 codes for SCD and use of parenteral opioids for at least 24 hours in the electronic medical record. Data extracted from encounters meeting inclusion/exclusion criteria included all CBCs and clinical outcomes. Between-group comparisons were performed by Mann-Whitney U test and Pearson's chi-square test for continuous and categorical variables, respectively, as well as by Spearman's rank order correlation (SPSS V24). The relationship of admission and change in NRBC (∆NRBC) to complications was evaluated by binary logistic regression and adjusted for significant co-variates on bivariate analysis. For ∆NRBC, we used the final CBC obtained prior to a complication or prior to discharge for encounters not resulting in a complication. Results: We reviewed 271 encounters for uncomplicated VOC in 96 patients (mean age 13.1 years, 47% male, and 76% Hb SS or S/β0 thalassemia). Overall, 48/271 (18%) encounters for VOC resulted in ACS/transfusion, or both. Median NRBC on admission was 2 /100 WBC (range 0 to 137 /100 WBC) for all encounters. Admission NRBC was significantly correlated with age (r = 0.15, p = 0.02), % reticulocytes (r = 0.18, p < 0.01) and hemoglobin (r = 0.39, p < 0.001). Median admission NRBC was higher among patients on hydroxyurea (3 vs. 1.8 /100 WBC, p < 0.01) but did not differ by sex or genotype. In general, median admission NRBC did not differ between hospitalizations that did or did not result in ACS/transfusion (2 vs 2.5 /100 WBC, p = 0.91). In our logistic regression model that included NRBC, % reticulocytes, WBC, hemoglobin, platelets and genotype as co-variates, only lower hemoglobin (p = 0.02) and higher WBC (p < 0.001) on admission were independently associated with ACS/transfusion. A second CBC was obtained in 110/271 (41%) encounters reviewed. Median ∆NRBC was 0 /100 WBC (range -37 to 116 /100 WBC) in these encounters. ∆NRBC was significantly correlated with age (r = 0.2, p = 0.04) but not with change in other lab values. Median ∆NRBC was higher among patients with a history of hypertension (0 vs. 13 /100 WBC, p < 0.01) but did not differ by hydroxyurea status, sex or genotype. Importantly, we found that median ∆NRBC was significantly higher in hospitalizations that resulted in ACS/transfusion compared to those that did not (0 vs 2 /100 WBC, p < 0.01). By logistic regression, greater ∆NRBC (p < 0.01) and lesser ∆platelets (p = 0.04) were independently associated with higher risk of ACS/transfusion after adjustment for ∆hemoglobin and genotype. A receiver operating characteristic curve constructed from a logistic regression model that included only ∆NRBC, admission WBC, admission hemoglobin and ∆platelets resulted in an area under the curve of 0.82. Conclusions: We found no relationship between admission NRBC and complications during hospitalization for VOC in children with SCD. Greater ∆NRBC, however, was independently associated with development of ACS/transfusion requirement during hospitalization for VOC, suggesting ∆NRBC may represent a useful biomarker for predicting complications in children with SCD hospitalized for VOC. Clinical decision rules that incorporate the careful monitoring of ∆NRBC in this setting should be prospectively studied. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


1994 ◽  
Vol 103 (6) ◽  
pp. 469-473 ◽  
Author(s):  
Preben Homøe ◽  
Niels Rasmussen ◽  
Niels Lynnerup ◽  
Lene Theil Skovgaard

In order to investigate the relationship between the pneumatization of temporal bones and the occurrence of otitis media in Greenlandic Inuit, 36 Greenlandic Inuit were examined by radiography of the temporal bones. The pneumatized cell area was measured planimetrically. All subjects answered a questionnaire on infectious middle ear disease (IMED), and an objective otologic examination was performed. Nine persons of 34 (26%) reported IMED in childhood, and there was IMED reported in all pneumatized areas below 400 mm2. Based on bilateral area measures, a polychotomous logistic regression model was applied. The occurrence of IMED was shown to be associated with smaller areas, and unilateral IMED was associated with pronounced asymmetry. The model has enabled risk assessment, and 8 persons were designated by the model as having had IMED with a sensitivity of 67% (confidence interval 30% to 93%) and a specificity of 92% (confidence interval 74% to 99%). When the model was applied to a historical anthropological Inuit material from 1700 to 1800 AD, 6 of 56 crania were designated as having had IMED. This method has improved the accuracy of estimating the occurrence of IMED in ancient populations.


2015 ◽  
Vol 58 (3) ◽  
pp. 622-637 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeffrey J. Holliday ◽  
Patrick F. Reidy ◽  
Mary E. Beckman ◽  
Jan Edwards

Purpose Four measures of children's developing robustness of phonological contrast were compared to see how they correlated with age, vocabulary size, and adult listeners' correctness ratings. Method Word-initial sibilant fricative productions from eighty-one 2- to 5-year-old children and 20 adults were phonetically transcribed and acoustically analyzed. Four measures of robustness of contrast were calculated for each speaker on the basis of the centroid frequency measured from each fricative token. Productions that were transcribed as correct from different children were then used as stimuli in a perception experiment in which adult listeners rated the goodness of each production. Results Results showed that the degree of category overlap, quantified as the percentage of a child's productions whose category could be correctly predicted from the output of a mixed-effects logistic regression model, was the measure that correlated best with listeners' goodness judgments. Conclusions Even when children's productions have been transcribed as correct, adult listeners are sensitive to within-category variation quantified by the child's degree of category overlap. Further research is needed to explore the relationship between the age of a child and adults' sensitivity to different types of within-category variation in children's speech.


2020 ◽  
Vol 71 (1) ◽  
pp. 299-305
Author(s):  
Fernando González-Mohíno ◽  
Jesús Santos del Cerro ◽  
Andrew Renfree ◽  
Inmaculada Yustres ◽  
José Mª González-Ravé

AbstractThe purpose of this analysis was to quantify the probability of achieving a top-3 finishing position during 800-m races at a global championship, based on dispersion of the runners during the first and second laps and the difference in split times between laps. Overall race times, intermediate and finishing positions and 400 m split times were obtained for 43 races over 800 m (21 men’s and 22 women’s) comprising 334 individual performances, 128 of which resulted in higher positions (top-3) and 206 the remaining positions. Intermediate and final positions along with times, the dispersion of the runners during the intermediate and final splits (SS1 and SS2), as well as differences between the two split times (Dsplits) were calculated. A logistic regression model was created to determine the influence of these factors in achieving a top-3 position. The final position was most strongly associated with SS2, but also with SS1 and Dsplits. The Global Significance Test showed that the model was significant (p < 0.001) with a predictive ability of 91.08% and an area under the curve coefficient of 0.9598. The values of sensitivity and specificity were 96.8% and 82.5%, respectively. The model demonstrated that SS1, SS2 and Dplits explained the finishing position in the 800-m event in global championships.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Zhang ◽  
Deng Chen ◽  
Li-na Zhu ◽  
ling liu

Abstract Purpose: To study the risk factors and prognosis of malnutrition in patients with refractory convulsive status epilepticus. Methods: A total of 73 patients with refractory convulsive epileptic status in West China Hospital from January 2017 to May 2019 were collected. All patients met the 2016 International Anti-epileptic Alliance diagnostic criteria for refractory convulsive status epilepticus. A logistic regression model was used to evaluate the risk factors of malnutrition in refractory convulsive status epilepticus. Results: Of the 73 patients with refractory convulsive status epilepticus, 33 (45.21%) suffered from malnutrition during hospitalization, and hospitalization days (OR =1.251; 95% CI: 1.067-1.384; P =0.007), nasal feeding (OR =22.623; 95% CI: 1.091-286.899; P =0.013), and malnutrition on admission (OR =30.760; 95% CI: 1.064-89.797; P =0.046) were risk factors for malnutrition in patients with refractory convulsive status epilepticus. Conclusion: Malnutrition is a common complication during hospitalization in patients with refractory convulsive status epilepticus. Hospitalization days, nasal feeding, and malnutrition at admission are risk factors for malnutrition in patients with refractory convulsive status epilepticus. Further longitudinal studies are needed to identify the relationship between refractory convulsive status epilepticus and adverse outcomes.


2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 82 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antonio Ariza-Montes ◽  
Pilar Tirado-Valencia ◽  
Vicente Fernández-Rodríguez ◽  
Mark Hager

The reality of volunteering is highly complex. This concept is difficult to define and typify because of the great variety of interpretations, motivations, socio-demographic variables and cultural aspects that shape the volunteer profile. This work aims to analyze the differential and inter-related impact of socio-demographic and contextual variables, and cultural values on elder volunteer profile in Europe. We thus conduct an empirical study involving the use of a logistic regression model that shows, in probabilistic terms, traits that characterize senior and retired volunteers. Further, we study which variables motivate senior volunteers to a determined type of volunteering. Results from the European Value Study help to explain variable influence on volunteering and confirm that cultural values impact among elder people, both, election to volunteering activities and decisions regarding which kind of activity volunteers are drawn to. By analyzing two types of volunteering (religious and secular) that are supposed to be motivated by different forces, we conclude that certain values encourage religious volunteering while others stimulate secular volunteering.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (8) ◽  
pp. 188-201
Author(s):  
Rashmy Moray ◽  
Vanishree Pabalkar ◽  
Nema Buch

The objective of this study is to identify the demographic factors and behavioural biases affecting the financial planning of the Millennials. For this purpose the investing behaviour of the Millennials in the IT Industry as a representative sample with respect to retirement planning has been studied using the Retirement Wellness Score. Logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the likelihood of whether the Millennials are ready for retirement with the main aim of showing the relationship between the study variables. An attempt has been made to develop a predictive model that would help in determining the Millennials’ readiness for retirement given their demographic variables and dominant bias presence. This research contributes to developing an understanding of Millennials’ financial planning for retirement.


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