A New Virus Source Inference Model Based on Network Performance Estimation

2013 ◽  
Vol 433-435 ◽  
pp. 1693-1698
Author(s):  
Hai Ting Zhu ◽  
Wei Ding ◽  
Jun Hui Ni
Keyword(s):  
Network Performance ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Performance Estimation ◽  
Estimation Accuracy ◽  
Inference Model ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Virus Source ◽  
Topology Information ◽  
Network Status

Combining network tomography, a new virus source inference model based on network performance is proposed. Both the topology information and real time network status are considered in our model. Performance metrics are introduced into rumor-centrality-based source detecting algorithm in an active inference way. By improving the process of setting up the spanning tree of infected topology we raise the virus source inference precision and reduce the time complexity of rumor-centrality-based algorithm from O(N2(|V|+|E|)) to O(N2). The simulation results show that our model achieves better estimation accuracy than the algorithm using rumor center as the estimator.

scholarly journals Optimal Tuner Selection for Kalman Filter-Based Aircraft Engine Performance Estimation

2009 ◽  
Vol 132 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Donald L. Simon ◽  
Sanjay Garg
Keyword(s):  
Kalman Filter ◽  
Estimation Error ◽  
Engine Performance ◽  
Aircraft Engine ◽  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Performance Estimation ◽  
Experimental Simulation ◽  
Tuning Parameter ◽  
Estimation Accuracy ◽  
On Line

A linear point design methodology for minimizing the error in on-line Kalman filter-based aircraft engine performance estimation applications is presented. This technique specifically addresses the underdetermined estimation problem, where there are more unknown parameters than available sensor measurements. A systematic approach is applied to produce a model tuning parameter vector of appropriate dimension to enable estimation by a Kalman filter, while minimizing the estimation error in the parameters of interest. Tuning parameter selection is performed using a multivariable iterative search routine that seeks to minimize the theoretical mean-squared estimation error. This paper derives theoretical Kalman filter estimation error bias and variance values at steady-state operating conditions, and presents the tuner selection routine applied to minimize these values. Results from the application of the technique to an aircraft engine simulation are presented and compared with the conventional approach of tuner selection. Experimental simulation results are found to be in agreement with theoretical predictions. The new methodology is shown to yield a significant improvement in on-line engine performance estimation accuracy.

Leveraging Collaborative-Filtering for Personalized Behavior Modeling

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-27
Author(s):  
Xuhai Xu ◽  
Prerna Chikersal ◽  
Janine M. Dutcher ◽  
Yasaman S. Sefidgar ◽  
Woosuk Seo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
College Students ◽  
Collaborative Filtering ◽  
Human Behavior ◽  
Work Performance ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Majority Voting ◽  
Behavior Modeling ◽  
Depression Detection

The prevalence of mobile phones and wearable devices enables the passive capturing and modeling of human behavior at an unprecedented resolution and scale. Past research has demonstrated the capability of mobile sensing to model aspects of physical health, mental health, education, and work performance, etc. However, most of the algorithms and models proposed in previous work follow a one-size-fits-all (i.e., population modeling) approach that looks for common behaviors amongst all users, disregarding the fact that individuals can behave very differently, resulting in reduced model performance. Further, black-box models are often used that do not allow for interpretability and human behavior understanding. We present a new method to address the problems of personalized behavior classification and interpretability, and apply it to depression detection among college students. Inspired by the idea of collaborative-filtering, our method is a type of memory-based learning algorithm. It leverages the relevance of mobile-sensed behavior features among individuals to calculate personalized relevance weights, which are used to impute missing data and select features according to a specific modeling goal (e.g., whether the student has depressive symptoms) in different time epochs, i.e., times of the day and days of the week. It then compiles features from epochs using majority voting to obtain the final prediction. We apply our algorithm on a depression detection dataset collected from first-year college students with low data-missing rates and show that our method outperforms the state-of-the-art machine learning model by 5.1% in accuracy and 5.5% in F1 score. We further verify the pipeline-level generalizability of our approach by achieving similar results on a second dataset, with an average improvement of 3.4% across performance metrics. Beyond achieving better classification performance, our novel approach is further able to generate personalized interpretations of the models for each individual. These interpretations are supported by existing depression-related literature and can potentially inspire automated and personalized depression intervention design in the future.

scholarly journals An Integrated Approach for Aircraft Engine Performance Estimation and Fault Diagnostics

2013 ◽  
Vol 135 (7) ◽  
Author(s):  
Donald L. Simon ◽  
Jeffrey B. Armstrong
Keyword(s):  
Kalman Filter ◽  
Engine Performance ◽  
Aircraft Engine ◽  
Fault Isolation ◽  
Performance Estimation ◽  
Estimation Accuracy ◽  
Fault Diagnostics ◽  
Tuning Parameters ◽  
Performance Deterioration ◽  
Health Parameters

A Kalman filter-based approach for integrated on-line aircraft engine performance estimation and gas path fault diagnostics is presented. This technique is specifically designed for underdetermined estimation problems where there are more unknown system parameters representing deterioration and faults than available sensor measurements. A previously developed methodology is applied to optimally design a Kalman filter to estimate a vector of tuning parameters, appropriately sized to enable estimation. The estimated tuning parameters can then be transformed into a larger vector of health parameters representing system performance deterioration and fault effects. The results of this study show that basing fault isolation decisions solely on the estimated health parameter vector does not provide ideal results. Furthermore, expanding the number of the health parameters to address additional gas path faults causes a decrease in the estimation accuracy of those health parameters representative of turbomachinery performance deterioration. However, improved fault isolation performance is demonstrated through direct analysis of the estimated tuning parameters produced by the Kalman filter. This was found to provide equivalent or superior accuracy compared to the conventional fault isolation approach based on the analysis of sensed engine outputs, while simplifying online implementation requirements. Results from the application of these techniques to an aircraft engine simulation are presented and discussed.

scholarly journals Grain Yield Estimation in Rice Breeding Using Phenological Data and Vegetation Indices Derived from UAV Images

Agronomy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 2439
Author(s):  
Haixiao Ge ◽  
Fei Ma ◽  
Zhenwang Li ◽  
Changwen Du
Keyword(s):  
Grain Yield ◽  
Low Cost ◽  
Vegetation Indices ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Estimation Accuracy ◽  
Accurate Estimation ◽  
Rice Breeding ◽  
Yield Estimation ◽  
Phenological Data ◽  
Significant Difference

The accurate estimation of grain yield in rice breeding is crucial for breeders to screen and select qualified cultivars. In this study, a low-cost unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) platform mounted with an RGB camera was carried out to capture high-spatial resolution images of rice canopy in rice breeding. The random forest (RF) regression techniques were used to establish yield models by using (1) only color vegetation indices (VIs), (2) only phenological data, and (3) fusion of VIs and phenological data as inputs, respectively. Then, the performances of RF models were compared with the manual observation and CERES-Rice model. The results indicated that the RF model using VIs only performed poorly for estimating yield; the optimized RF model that combined the use of phenological data and color VIs performed much better, which demonstrated that the phenological data significantly improved the model performance. Furthermore, the yield estimation accuracy of 21 rice cultivars that were continuously planted over three years in the optimal RF model had no significant difference (p > 0.05) with that of the CERES-Rice model. These findings demonstrate that the RF model, by combining phenological data and color Vis, is a potential and cost-effective way to estimate yield in rice breeding.

scholarly journals Mind the gap: preventing circularity in missense variant prediction

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephan Heijl ◽  
Bas Vroling ◽  
Tom van den Bergh ◽  
Henk-Jan Joosten
Keyword(s):  
Real World ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Predictive Performance ◽  
Missense Variant ◽  
Training Methods ◽  
The Real ◽  
Evaluation Scores ◽  
Evaluation Strategies ◽  
Generic Strategy

AbstractDespite advances in the field of missense variant effect prediction, the real clinical utility of current computational approaches remains rather limited. There is a large difference in performance metrics reported by developers and those observed in the real world. Most currently available predictors suffer from one or more types of circularity in their training and evaluation strategies that lead to overestimation of predictive performance. We present a generic strategy that is independent of dataset properties and algorithms used, to deal with circularity in the training phase. This results in more robust predictors and evaluation scores that accurately reflect the real-world performance of predictive models. Additionally, we show that commonly used training methods can have an adverse impact on model performance and lead to gross overestimation of true predictive performance.

scholarly journals Quantifying location error to define uncertainty in volcanic mass flow hazard simulations

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (8) ◽  
pp. 2447-2460
Author(s):  
Stuart R. Mead ◽  
Jonathan Procter ◽  
Gabor Kereszturi
Keyword(s):  
Mass Flow ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Flow Simulation ◽  
Model Complexity ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Spatial Covariance ◽  
Trade Offs ◽  
Pixel Pair

Abstract. The use of mass flow simulations in volcanic hazard zonation and mapping is often limited by model complexity (i.e. uncertainty in correct values of model parameters), a lack of model uncertainty quantification, and limited approaches to incorporate this uncertainty into hazard maps. When quantified, mass flow simulation errors are typically evaluated on a pixel-pair basis, using the difference between simulated and observed (“actual”) map-cell values to evaluate the performance of a model. However, these comparisons conflate location and quantification errors, neglecting possible spatial autocorrelation of evaluated errors. As a result, model performance assessments typically yield moderate accuracy values. In this paper, similarly moderate accuracy values were found in a performance assessment of three depth-averaged numerical models using the 2012 debris avalanche from the Upper Te Maari crater, Tongariro Volcano, as a benchmark. To provide a fairer assessment of performance and evaluate spatial covariance of errors, we use a fuzzy set approach to indicate the proximity of similarly valued map cells. This “fuzzification” of simulated results yields improvements in targeted performance metrics relative to a length scale parameter at the expense of decreases in opposing metrics (e.g. fewer false negatives result in more false positives) and a reduction in resolution. The use of this approach to generate hazard zones incorporating the identified uncertainty and associated trade-offs is demonstrated and indicates a potential use for informed stakeholders by reducing the complexity of uncertainty estimation and supporting decision-making from simulated data.

scholarly journals Enhancement of WiMAX networks using OPNET modeler platform

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 1510
Author(s):  
Noor Nateq Alfaisaly ◽  
Suhad Qasim Naeem ◽  
Azhar Hussein Neama
Keyword(s):  
High Speed ◽  
Network Performance ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
Channel Model ◽  
Low Cost ◽  
Base Station ◽  
Multipath Channel ◽  
Coverage Area ◽  
Wimax Networks ◽  
Better Than

Worldwide interoperability microwave access (WiMAX) is an 802.16 wireless standard that delivers high speed, provides a data rate of 100 Mbps and a coverage area of 50 km. Voice over internet protocol (VoIP) is flexible and offers low-cost telephony for clients over IP. However, there are still many challenges that must be addressed to provide a stable and good quality voice connection over the internet. The performance of various parameters such as multipath channel model and bandwidth over the Star trajectoryWiMAX network were evaluated under a scenario consisting of four cells. Each cell contains one mobile and one base station. Network performance metrics such as throughput and MOS were used to evaluate the best performance of VoIP codecs. Performance was analyzed via OPNET program14.5. The result use of multipath channel model (disable) was better than using the model (ITU pedestrian A). The value of the throughput at 15 dB was approximately 1600 packet/sec, and at -1 dB was its value 1300 packet/se. According to data, the Multipath channel model of the disable type the value of the MOS was better than the ITU Pedestrian A type.

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