Methodology to Develop the Early Warning System for Residual Value Risk of Public Private Partnership Projects

2014 ◽  
Vol 1065-1069 ◽  
pp. 2397-2400
Author(s):  
Tie Lan Teng ◽  
Qi Ming Li ◽  
Jing Feng Yuan

The Early Warning System (EWS) was developed in this research aiming to forecast and monitor the Residual Value Risk (RVR) in PPP projects. RVR is a structured risk system which would happen at any time in the whole life before transfer of PPP projects, but consequently causes the Residual Value (RV) that the Government takes over cannot fulfill the specifications. To establish the EWS of RVR, the factor system was identified through questionnaire survey and evaluated based on statistical analysis. Besides the RVR could be learned by CBR, so a great amount of history PPP projects which have been already transferred should be structured into a case base. Furthermore, the conception of System vulnerability was applied to open up the link between the RVR and the RV, and the proper method was selected to determine the early-warning threshold. The main function of the EWS is monitoring the RVR of current PPP projects and warning the potential RV threat or opportunity.

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 9-18
Author(s):  
Nana Sudiana

Indonesian territory is a disaster-prone region. There are at least 12 disaster threats that are grouped in geological disasters (earthquakes, tsunamis, volcanoes, landslides), hydrometeorological disasters (floods, flash floods, droughts, extreme weather, extreme waves, forest and land fires), and anthropogenic disasters (epidemics of disease outbreaks and failed technology-industrial accidents). Landslides or land movements in Indonesia in recent years have increased in intensity and frequency. One of the efforts to reduce the risk of landslides that has been carried out by the Disaster Risk Reduction Technology Center-BPPT is to build an Landslide Early Warning System in Jatiradio Village, Cililin District, West Bandung Regency. In order to uniform the implementation of an early warning system for landslides or land movements in disaster prone areas, the government has established a national standard namely SNI 8235: 2017 on the Early Warning System for Land Movements. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the compliance between the Landslide Early Warning System that has been developed by PTRRB-BPPT with the Indonesian National Standard for the Land Movement Early Warning System (SNI 8235: 2017). Based on the results of data analysis and evaluation, it can be concluded that the implementation of the landslide early warning system in Jatiradio Village, Cililin Village, Cililin District, West Bandung Regency is in accordance with the Indonesian National Standard (SNI 8235: 2017) concerning the Soil Movement Early Warning System.


2019 ◽  
Vol 17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohd Ramzi Mohd Hussain ◽  
Noor Suzilawati Rabe ◽  
Ismawi Zen ◽  
Izawati Tukiman ◽  
Rahsidi Sabri Muda ◽  
...  

In Cameron Highland, Lembah Bertam area and further downstream villages in Susu Dam area are prone and vulnerable to the highest occurrence of floods especially during monsoon season. Thus, Early Warning System (EWS) were set up to avoid or to reduce the impact of natural hazard turns disasters such as floods, landslides and storms with the aim to reduce the vulnerability and disaster risks that signifies the effectiveness of EWS in the realisation of affected community. To test the awareness and preparedness of community in the selected area, a questionnaire survey was employed as the data collection method. The questionnaire survey was conducted before the direct engagement on the EWS information with the community. Using the mixed sampling method of cluster random sampling, a total of 800 respondents from 11 villages, and 5 main ethnicity groups were involved in the survey. From the result, there was a positive relationship showing that respondents who claimed they knew about the EWS from information signage were those from the older age category and earninghigher monthly income. On the other hand, there is a negative relationship between respondents’ age and monthly income against other sources that indicates respondents who claimed they knew about the EWS from other sources were those in the younger age category and have low monthly income.


2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohd Ramzi Mohd Hussain ◽  
Noor Suzilawati Rabe ◽  
Ismawi Zen ◽  
Izawati Tukiman ◽  
Rahsidi Sabri Muda ◽  
...  

In Cameron Highland, Lembah Bertam area and further downstream villages in Susu Dam area are prone and vulnerable to the highest occurrence of floods especially during monsoon season. Thus, Early Warning System (EWS) were set up to avoid or to reduce the impact of natural hazard turns disasters such as floods, landslides and storms with the aim to reduce the vulnerability and disaster risks that signifies the effectiveness of EWS in the realisation of affected community. To test the awareness and preparedness of community in the selected area, a questionnaire survey was employed as the data collection method. The questionnaire survey was conducted before the direct engagement on the EWS information with the community. Using the mixed sampling method of cluster random sampling, a total of 800 respondents from 11 villages, and 5 main ethnicity groups were involved in the survey. From the result, there was a positive relationship showing that respondents who claimed they knew about the EWS from information signage were those from the older age category and earninghigher monthly income. On the other hand, there is a negative relationship between respondents’ age and monthly income against other sources that indicates respondents who claimed they knew about the EWS from other sources were those in the younger age category and have low monthly income.


2021 ◽  
Vol 331 ◽  
pp. 07008
Author(s):  
Nurhadi Santosa ◽  
Nadjadji Anwar ◽  
Bangun Muljo Sukojo ◽  
Wesam Al Madhoun

Oneof the important aspects in reducing Tsunami Risk is understanding Natural Hazards. The loss of INA TEWS equipment worth hundreds of billions of rupiah and the occurrence of the Tsunami in Aceh and other parts of Indonesia are warnings that our society needs the help of effective early warning tools at affordable prices. Using this device will make it easier for the community to monitor natural events from the field and reduce disaster risk. Currently the government has purchased hundreds of units of JRC-UNESCO products, namely IDSL (Inexpensive Device for Sea Level), but this device takes 21 minutes of information to reach the community. Therefore, a new device that has been prepared is needed. (FIDELA EARLY WARNING SYSTEM/FEWS) is a tool that involves the Equipment sector, Operations sector and Community sector. The results shows that this device is that the time for sending information to the public is only 5 minutes.


Author(s):  
Mhd Gading Sadewo ◽  
Agus Perdana Windarto ◽  
Anjar Wanto

Natural disasters are natural events that have a large impact on the human population. Located on the Pacific Ring of Fire (an area with many tectonic activities), Indonesia must continue to face the risk of volcanic eruptions, earthquakes, floods, tsunamis. Application of Clustering Algorithm in Grouping the Number of Villages / Villages According to Anticipatory / Natural Disaster Mitigation Efforts by Province With K-Means. The source of this research data is collected based on documents that contain the number of villages / kelurahan according to natural disaster mitigation / mitigation efforts produced by the National Statistics Agency. The data used in this study is provincial data consisting of 34 provinces. There are 4 variables used, namely the Natural Disaster Early Warning System, Tsunami Early Warning System, Safety Equipment, Evacuation Line. The data will be processed by clustering in 3 clushter, namely clusther high level of anticipation / mitigation, clusters of moderate anticipation / mitigation levels and low anticipation / mitigation levels. The results obtained from the assessment process are based on the Village / Kelurahan index according to the Natural Disaster Anticipation / Mitigation Efforts with 3 provinces of high anticipation / mitigation levels, namely West Java, Central Java, East Java, 9 provinces of moderate anticipation / mitigation, and 22 other provinces including low anticipation / mitigation. This can be an input to the government, the provinces that are of greater concern to the Village / Village According to the Natural Health Disaster Mitigation / Mitigation Efforts based on the cluster that has been carried out.Keywords: Data Mining, Natural Disaster, Clustering, K-Means


2011 ◽  
Vol 217-218 ◽  
pp. 656-661
Author(s):  
Li Juan Zhou ◽  
Kang Li ◽  
Xiao Xu He

As Chinese socialist market economy gradually has been improved, there is a lag in the agricultural production.It is a very possible research for the agricultural sector to make agricultural production policies to develop appropriate based on the government control means, consumer behavior, agricultural supply and demand balance, the outside weather conditions and other factors. In this paper, we proposed agricultural early warning system structure and function modules. It is based on the external conditions for agricultural production, agricultural consumer groups, consumer habits, especially focusing on the production and analysis module, analysis module prices and consumer modules.


Author(s):  
Anwar Mujadin ◽  
Octarina Nur Samijayani ◽  
Suci Rahmatia

<p><strong>Abstrak</strong></p><p><em>Menurut Pusat Vulkanologi dan Mitigasi Bencana Geologi (PVMBG) menyebutkan kelurahan Sempur kecamatan Bogor Tengah ditetapkan sebagai kawasan rawan longsor dan Banjir. Kelurahan ini adalah pemukiman penduduk yang berlokasi di daerah tanah lembah bertebing serta di pinggir aliran sungai Ciliwung. Saat ini daerah potensi sering terjadi longsoran adalah daerah RW 05, 06 dan 07 atau berada tepat di area belakang Rumah Sakit Salak sampai Tugu Air Mancur (sempur kaler). Melalui program Prime Public Service 2019 UAI, telah dilakukan pelaksanaan program pemperdayaan masyarakat berbentuk pelatihan alat peringatan dini mandiri bencana longsor dan banjir kepada mitra karang taruna kelurahan Sempur kecamatan Bogor Tengah. Pelatihan dilaksanakan diruang serbaguna kelurahan Sempur, tiap hari minggu jam 13.00 WIB dengan 10 kali pertemuan (3-4) jam. Di setiap akhir sesi pelatihan mitra, kit praktek harus diuji coba dan diimplementasikan langsung pada titik lokasi rawan bencana.</em> <em>Hasil kegiatan telah berhasil merubah mindset mitra (remaja) agar bisa berfikir rasional akan keselamatan diri sendiri maupun orang lain terhadap bencana alam.</em> <em>Perilaku masyarakat pada daerah rawan bahaya mampu dikendalikan secara elektronik melalui alat peringatan dini elektronik buatan mitra setempat. Penyediaan alat peringatan dini dari pemerintah umumnya akan dirusak maupun dicuri. Namun bila alat peringatan dini elektronik buatan masyarakat sendiri, minimal akan dijaga dan dirawat terus.</em></p><p><strong>Kata Kunci: <em>Alat Pemindai Longsor, Pemindai Gempa, Pemindai Banjir</em></strong></p><p> </p><p><strong>Abstract</strong></p><p>According to Volcanology and Geological Disaster Mitigation (PVMBG) department, kelurahan Sempur kecamatan Bogor Tengah is designated as an area prone to landslides and floods. Kelurahan Sempur is a residential area located in a cleared valley and along the Ciliwung River. Potential areas for landslides often occur are RW 05, 06 and 07 located behind the Salak Hospital to Tugu Air Mancur. Through UAI Prime Public Service program 2019, has been carried out training program for early warning system landslides and floods devices to youth partners in Sempur. Training has been conducted in multipurpose room kelurahan Sempur office, every Sunday at 13.00 West Indonesia Time, with 10 meetings among 3-4 hours. Each training session, the practice kit must be tested and implemented directly at disaster-prone locations. Training has succeeded in changing the mindset of youth partners so that they can think rationally about the safety of themselves and others against disasters. Community behavior in hazard-prone areas can be controlled electronically through electronic early warning system devices made by youth partners. The Provision of early warning equipment from the government will generally be damaged or stolen. However, if the electronic early warning devices is made by the community itself, They will always be cared for and looked after.</p><p><strong>Keywords: <em>Lanslides Scanners, Earthquake Scanners, Flood Scanners</em></strong></p>


Author(s):  
Khairina Idzni ◽  
Yusya Abubakar

After the earthquake and tsunami in Aceh on December 26, 2004, the government has developed an early warning system calledInaTEWS (Indonesia Tsunami Early Warning System) using a tsunami siren that aims to build community capacity to prepare and take action on tsunami hazards. The purpose of this study was to determine public knowledge, the benefits of siren activation, sound range and public perception of tsunami siren activation. Data collection uses descriptive qualitative and quantitative methods with instruments in the form of a validated questionnaire. Respondents involved were people who lived within a radius of 1 km, 2 km, and 3 km from the tsunami siren point. H asyl research shows that people's perceptions of tsunami siren activation vary , with the level of community knowledge being classified as good (with an average value of 77 , 25 %), as well as the benefits of tsunami siren activation being considered good by the community (with an average rating of 76 , 05%). The range of siren sounds is still quite sufficient (with an average value of 74 , 44 %) and the average public perception of siren activation as a whole is 76% with a good category. Even though the category is good, the average score is not maximal yet. Therefore, to increase knowledge and benefit from tsunami siren activation, awareness and care from the community must be raised. The government must also continue to deliver disaster information on an ongoing basis so that the community can fully understand the function of the tsunami siren.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 57
Author(s):  
Anna Maria Lourdes S. Latonio

The lead implementers of the Livestock Poultry Information – Early Warning System (LPI-EWS) project recognized the need to identify the strengths and weaknesses of the project, to further enhance the appropriate methodologies developed for a more responsive early warning system for broiler meat and pork to be properly guided in their planning and policy decision–making. The evaluation focused on the project’s strengths or weaknesses in terms of how it was able to achieve its set objectives, that are: to enhance network and access of unified data holdings within and among Department of Agriculture (DA) livestock agencies and statistical agencies, as well as its effectiveness in strengthening linkages with the private agribusiness sector (PABS), and with regards to the goal of capacity building and target publications. The relevance of the project is recognized, both by the personnel from the collaborating agencies as well as the PABS. The concept and manner by which the project is being implemented is commendable in that its many components and objectives were all touched simultaneously by the different activities conducted. The project was able to enhance network and access of unified data holdings within and among DA livestock agencies and had strengthened linkages between the government and the PABS. Goals with regards to capacity building and target publications were also achieved. At the national level Situation and Outlook for Broiler and Situation and Outlook for Swine are quarterly published and at the subnational level the Situationer Report for Broiler and Situationer Report for Swine are now being produced in the Batch I Regions III, IVA and X.


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