Reduced the Risk in Agriculture Management for Government Using Support Vector Regression with Dynamic Optimization Parameters

2017 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 243-261 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chien-Pang Lee
Keyword(s):  
Agricultural Policy ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Agricultural Management ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
The Past ◽  
Real Life Data ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Optimization Parameters ◽  
Agriculture Management ◽  
Better Than

A good agricultural policy can reduce the risk of agricultural management. In the past, the traditional statistical methods were always used for assisting agricultural management. However, the assumptions of traditional methods might not fit for real life data, that would affect the decision of agricultural management. For this reason, this paper uses big data analysis to propose a novel prediction model without any assumption to forecast agricultural output for reducing the risk. According to the result, the proposed model is better than the existing models in terms of prediction accuracy. Accordingly, the proposed model can be suggested for reducing the risk of agricultural management of government.

PROFIT ESTIMATION FOR A PRODUCT UNDER WARRANTY: AN EVALUATION BASED ON CUSTOMER'S EXPECTATION AND SATISFACTION

2014 ◽  
Vol 21 (06) ◽  
pp. 1450029 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. K. KAPUR ◽  
ADARSH ANAND ◽  
NITIN SACHDEVA
Keyword(s):  
Real Life ◽  
Fixed Cost ◽  
Inventory Cost ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Customer Complaints ◽  
Customer Expectation ◽  
Real Life Data ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Warranty Claims

Performance of a product not as expected by the customer brings warranty expenditure into the picture. In other words, the deviation of the product performance (PP) from the customer expectation (CE) is the reason for customer complaints and warranty expenses. When this conflicting scenario occurs in market, warranty comes into existence and fulfilling warranty claims of customers adds to product's overall cost. In this paper, based on the difference between PP and CE about the product we estimate profit for the firm. Furthermore, factors like fixed cost, production cost and inventory cost have also been considered in framing the optimization problem. In the proposed model, a two-dimensional innovation diffusion model (TD-IDM) which combines the adoption time of technological diffusion and price of the product has been used. Classical Cobb–Douglas function that takes into account the technological adoptions and other dimensions explicitly has been used to structure the production function. The proposed model has been validated on real life data set.

scholarly journals Modified One-Parameter Liu Estimator for the Linear Regression Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Adewale F. Lukman ◽  
B. M. Golam Kibria ◽  
Kayode Ayinde ◽  
Segun L. Jegede
Keyword(s):  
Linear Regression ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Linear Regression Model ◽  
Ridge Regression ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Liu Estimator ◽  
Real Life Data ◽  
Squared Prediction Error ◽  
Simulation Results ◽  
Better Than

Motivated by the ridge regression (Hoerl and Kennard, 1970) and Liu (1993) estimators, this paper proposes a modified Liu estimator to solve the multicollinearity problem for the linear regression model. This modification places this estimator in the class of the ridge and Liu estimators with a single biasing parameter. Theoretical comparisons, real-life application, and simulation results show that it consistently dominates the usual Liu estimator. Under some conditions, it performs better than the ridge regression estimators in the smaller MSE sense. Two real-life data are analyzed to illustrate the findings of the paper and the performances of the estimators assessed by MSE and the mean squared prediction error. The application result agrees with the theoretical and simulation results.

A new generalized version of Log-logistic distribution with applications in medical sciences and other applied fields

2018 ◽  
Vol 09 (05) ◽  
pp. 1850043
Author(s):  
Bilal Ahmad Para ◽  
Tariq Rashid Jan
Keyword(s):  
Real Life ◽  
Logistic Distribution ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Medical Sciences ◽  
Real Life Data ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Asymptotic Confidence Intervals ◽  
Mc Simulation ◽  
Robust Measures ◽  
Applied Fields

In this paper, we studied a two-parameter transmuted model of Log-logistic distribution (LLD) using the quadratic rank transmutation map technique studied by Shaw and Buckley1 as a new survival model in medical sciences and other applied fields. Statistical properties of Transmuted LLD (TLLD) are discussed comprehensively. Robust measures of skewness and kurtosis of the proposed model have also been discussed along with graphical overview. The estimation of the model parameters is performed by Maximum Likelihood (ML) method followed by a Monte Carlo (MC) simulation procedure to investigate the performance of the ML estimators and the asymptotic confidence intervals of the parameters. Applications of the proposed model to real-life data are also presented.

scholarly journals A New Three-parameter Xgamma Fréchet Distribution with Different Methods of Estimation and Applications

2021 ◽  
pp. 291-308
Author(s):  
Mohamed Ibrahim Mohamed ◽  
Laba Handique ◽  
Subrata Chakraborty ◽  
Nadeem Shafique Butt ◽  
Haitham M. Yousof
Keyword(s):  
Real Life ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Clear Preference ◽  
Life Data ◽  
Fréchet Distribution ◽  
Real Life Data ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Frechet Distribution

In this article an attempt is made to introduce a new extension of the Fréchet model called the Xgamma Fréchet model. Some of its properties are derived. The estimation of the parameters via different estimation methods are discussed. The performances of the proposed estimation methods are investigated through simulations as well as real life data sets. The potentiality of the proposed model is established through modelling of two real life data sets. The results have shown clear preference for the proposed model compared to several know competing ones.

scholarly journals ENHANCING EFFICIENCY OF RATIO ESTIMATOR OF POPULATION MEDIAN BY CALIBRATION TECHNIQUES

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (8) ◽  
pp. 14-23
Keyword(s):  
Real Life ◽  
Auxiliary Variable ◽  
Survey Sampling ◽  
Ratio Estimator ◽  
Chi Square ◽  
Life Data ◽  
Real Life Data ◽  
Efficiency Comparison ◽  
Calibration Techniques ◽  
Better Than

The use of calibration estimation techniques in survey sampling have been found to improve the precision of estimators. This paper adopts the calibration approach with the assumption that the population median of the auxiliary variable is known to obtain a more efficient ratio-type estimator in estimating population median in stratified sampling. Conditions necessary for efficiency comparison have been obtained which show that the proposed estimator will always perform better than the existing asymptotically unbiased separate estimators in stratified random sampling. Numerical evaluations have been carried out through simulation and real-life data to compliment the theoretical claims. Results from the simulation study carried out under three distributional assumptions, namely the chi square, lognormal and Cauchy distributions with different sample settings showed that the new estimator provided better estimate of the median with greater gain in efficiency. In addition, result from the real-life data further supports the superiority of the proposed estimator over the existing ones considered in this study.

scholarly journals A New Generalized Transmuted Inverse Exponential Distribution: Properties and Application

2018 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Uchenna U. Uwadi ◽  
Elebe E. Nwaezza
Keyword(s):  
Exponential Distribution ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Quantile Function ◽  
Moment Generating Function ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimates ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Real Life Data ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Inverse Exponential Distribution ◽  
The Moment

In this study, we proposed a new generalised transmuted inverse exponential distribution with three parameters and have transmuted inverse exponential and inverse exponential distributions as sub models. The hazard function of the distribution is nonmonotonic, unimodal and inverted bathtub shaped making it suitable for modelling lifetime data. We derived the moment, moment generating function, quantile function, maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters, Renyi entropy and order statistics of the distribution. A real life data set is used to illustrate the usefulness of the proposed model.     

scholarly journals An extensive extension of exponentiated exponential distribution using alpha power transformation – statistical properties and applications in engineering science

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 59-74
Author(s):  
S. Qurat Ul Ain ◽  
K. Ul Islam Rather
Keyword(s):  
Exponential Distribution ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Statistical Properties ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Alpha Power ◽  
Real Life Data ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Mean Variance ◽  
New Distribution ◽  
Extra Parameter

Abstract In this article, an extension of exponentiated exponential distribution is familiarized by adding an extra parameter to the parent distribution using alpha power technique. The new distribution obtained is referred to as Alpha Power Exponentiated Exponential Distribution. Various statistical properties of the proposed distribution like mean, variance, central and non-central moments, reliability functions and entropies have been derived. Two real life data sets have been applied to check the flexibility of the proposed model. The new density model introduced provides the better fit when compared with other related statistical models.

scholarly journals An Extension of Log-Logistic Distribution for Analyzing Survival Data

2020 ◽  
pp. 789-801
Author(s):  
Aliya Syed Malik ◽  
S.P. Ahmad
Keyword(s):  
Survival Data ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Estimation Procedure ◽  
Logistic Distribution ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Alpha Power ◽  
Real Life Data ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
New Distribution

In this paper, a new generalization of Log Logistic Distribution using Alpha Power Transformation is proposed. The new distribution is named Alpha Power Log-Logistic Distribution. A comprehensive account of some of its statistical properties are derived. The maximum likelihood estimation procedure is used to estimate the parameters. The importance and utility of the proposed model are proved empirically using two real life data sets.

scholarly journals A Genetic Algorithm based Hybrid Deep Learning Approach for Heart Disease Prediction

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Khushbu Verma ◽  
Ankit Singh Bartwal ◽  
Mathura Prasad Thapliyal
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Heart Disease ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Disease Prediction ◽  
The Past ◽  
Lifestyle Choices ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Tree Algorithms

People nowadays suffer from a variety of heart ailments as a result of the environment and their lifestyle choices. As a result, analyzing sickness at an early stage becomes a critical responsibility. Data mining uses disease data to uncover important knowledge. In this research paper, we employ the hybrid combination of a Genetic Algorithm based Feature selection and Ensemble Deep Neural Network Model for Heart Disease prediction. In this algorithm, we used a 0.04 learning rate and Adam optimizer was used for enhancement of the proposed model. The proposed algorithm has come to 98% accuracy of heart disease prediction, which is higher than the past approaches. Other exist models such as random forest, logistic regression, support vector machine, Decision tree algorithms have taken a higher time and give less accuracy compare to the proposed hybrid deep learning-based approach.

scholarly journals An Ensemble Prediction Model for Potential Student Recommendation Using Machine Learning

Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 728 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lijuan Yan ◽  
Yanshen Liu
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Student Performance ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Ensemble Prediction ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Importance Analysis ◽  
Better Than

Student performance prediction has become a hot research topic. Most of the existing prediction models are built by a machine learning method. They are interested in prediction accuracy but pay less attention to interpretability. We propose a stacking ensemble model to predict and analyze student performance in academic competition. In this model, student performance is classified into two symmetrical categorical classes. To improve accuracy, three machine learning algorithms, including support vector machine (SVM), random forest, and AdaBoost are established in the first level and then integrated by logistic regression via stacking. A feature importance analysis was applied to identify important variables. The experimental data were collected from four academic years in Hankou University. According to comparative studies on five evaluation metrics (precision, recall, F1, error, and area   under   the   receiver   operating   characteristic   curve ( AUC ) in this analysis, the proposed model generally performs better than compared models. The important variables identified from the analysis are interpretable, they can be used as guidance to select potential students.

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