scholarly journals Estimation of cost overrun in construction projects using Fuzzy Logic

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (05) ◽  
pp. 797-805
Author(s):  
Neelakash Haloi ◽  
◽  
Tapas Goyal ◽  
Faizan Zahoor ◽  
Harsh Jain ◽  
...  

In recent years, the impact of the construction industry on the economy of India is increasing. However, there are a number of problems that are being faced by the construction companies or contractors or other relevant stakeholders, in the completion of a construction project. One of the major problems being faced is time and cost overrun. Thus, it is important to find ways of mitigating this critical problem. One of the solutions that is being used is the prediction of the amount and time that a project might overrun beforehand i.e. estimating the overrun during the design phase itself. This prediction can be done using a number of different techniques, the important one of which used in this paper is through the use of Fuzzy Logic. It also provides a brief description about the factors that are responsible for causing this cost overrun. The factors are identified by conducting a questionnaire survey and gathering responses from the relevant stakeholders which include contractors, project engineers, architects and consultants. The responses collected are further processed and analysed using SPSS software. The top 5 factors have been selected after the analysis and further used in preparation of the fuzzy logic model in the fuzzy toolbox of MATLAB. Further, the validation of this model has been done with real-time data of projects from various published research papers. Thus, the model developed provided prediction of the percentage of the cost overrun based on the percentage input of the top five factors.

Most construction projects are suffering from claims due to many reasons. Claim emergencies have risen for ten years due to the critical political situation. These claims have a bad impact on all groups who were work in the construction field. The impact of claim could be followed to cost overrun, loss of efforts and suspension of work, contract termination. This investigation means to recognize the real reason for causes of claim in construction and demonstrate their difference between respondent concerning individual, company and organization traits. It also aims found the important factors in developing for the management of construction project claim to predict claim occurrence and to mitigate the negative impact of a claim. The objective of the study achieved through a valid questionnaire obtained from several construction companies. The questionnaire survey was conducted involving the contractor, consultant, client point of view. The result of the questionnaire encountered in the SPSS software for finding the major factor that affects the construction. The finding demonstrates the absence of site attention to detect claims, detachment or inaccessible of related documents proactively, and conflicts which develop during owner/contractor negotiation are all critical issue related with the system of claim management. My work aims to distinguish the various claims through review paper and to recognize the most impacted causes of claim in our region.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (23) ◽  
pp. 13085
Author(s):  
Jan Kowalski ◽  
Mieczysław Połoński ◽  
Marzena Lendo-Siwicka ◽  
Roman Trach ◽  
Grzegorz Wrzesiński

Exceeding the approved budget is often an integral part of the implementation of construction projects, especially those where unforeseen threats may occur. Therefore, each construction investment should contain elements of risk forecasting, mainly in terms of the cost of its implementation. Only a small number of institutions apply effective cost control methods, taking into account the specifics of a given industry. Especially small construction companies that participate in the structure of the implementation of large construction projects as subcontractors. The article presents a method by which it is possible to determine, with certain probability, the final cost of railway construction investments carried out in Poland. The method was based on a reliable database of risk factors published in sources. In this article, the main presumptions of the original method are presented, which take into account the impact of potential, previously recognized, risks specific to railway investments, and enable project managers to relate them to the conditions where the implementation of a specific object is planned. The authors assumed that such a relatively simple method, supported by a suitable computational program, would encourage teams that plan to implement railway projects to use it and increase the credibility of their schedules.


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (7) ◽  
pp. 1647-1655 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mughees Aslam ◽  
Edmund Baffoe-Twum ◽  
Farhan Saleem

Isolation of design phase from construction has made the design changes inevitable in construction projects. Extensive literature appraisal has acknowledged the detrimental effect of design changes on project performances. However, the impact and causes of design changes have been divided up, either separately or project specific. As a result, the relationship between impact and causes of design changes could not be established for general construction. The primary objective of this paper is to examine the impact of design changes on project cost and identifying actions responsible for these changes. The objectives of the study were achieved through a systematic review of past literature published in well-established journals, and contents analyzed. From the extensive literature review, it was established that the design change is one of the predominant factors to cost overrun, and in some cases, may upshot into cost overrun between 5 and 40% of the project cost. Also, many causes of design changes resulting in cost overrun within the perspective of the owner, consultant, and contractors are explored. Some projects experienced closure as a result of owner induced design changes, although these changes may not be significant in number.  Design changes as a result of consultants and contractors in some cases might have reduced impact but are frequent. For each consideration, most events leading to design changes can be eliminated by improving on communication and coordination between stakeholders. The main contribution of this research is to bring together the impact and causes of design changes on cost under one platform for effectively managing the design process.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Haitham Nasser Al Siyabi ◽  
Omar Khaleel

There are many challenges in construction industry sector, and one of the most important and critical is completion of the project within the original contract value. As the issue of cost overrun in construction projects is spread worldwide generally and commonly encountered in the Sultanate of Oman.The main objectives of this study are to identify and determine vital factors leading to cost overrun in Building Projects in Oman, evaluate the impact of cost overrun in building construction projects and develop the best protocol strategy for project management teams that can be adopted in order to control the cost overrun in future projects. These objectives have been obtained through several methods, questionnaire survey,interviews with experts in construction industry. Twenty nine major factors lead to cost overrun were identified through literature review and studied in Sultanate of Oman.The study concluded that there are three major impacts of cost overrun in construction projects and industry which are time of completion, delivery of poor quality projects and delay of payment approval. Additional to that, Hire good Supervision Team, a good Cost Controller, Project Manager, a good project design team, well planning for pre-contract stage and proper procurement strategy. Consider the Risk assessment and Risk Control are crucial to minimize the cost overrun in building construction project in Oman. The study have recommended procedure to cost control in future project such as the Employer should have a proper tender analysis of the Contractor’s bid, Detailed design should be finalized before award of work and others.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (7A) ◽  
pp. 1069-1076
Author(s):  
Layth T. Ali ◽  
Raid S. Abid Ali ◽  
Zeyad S. M. Khaled

Cost overrun in construction projects is a common phenomenon in Iraq. This might occur due to diversity of factors. This study aims to identify the factors influencing construction projects cost that are potentially controllable by main contractors. A field study through a questionnaire survey was directed to a sample of related Iraqi professional engineers from general contracting companies at both public and private sectors. Their opinions on the impact and frequency of each factor were investigated. The questionnaire offered (59) factors classified in (8) categories namely; legislations, financial and economic, design, contractual, site management, material, labor and equipment. The factors were ranked according to the highest Relative Importance Index (RII). The study revealed (10) major factors that are potentially controllable by main contractors namely; labor productivity, sub-contractors and suppliers performance, equipment productivity, site organization and distribution of equipment, experience and training of project managers, scheduling and control techniques, planning for materials supply, planning for equipment supply, materials delivery and planning for skilled labor recruitment. Recommendations to aid contractors and owners in early identification of these factors are also included in this study.


2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 288 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nabil Al-Hazim ◽  
Zaydoun Abusalem

This study aims to identify the most important factors that cause delay in road construction projects in Jordan, which results in cost and time overrun allocated for this type of engineering projects and cause critical problems for both the developer and the contractor. The gap between the cost at completion and that originally estimated, known as cost overrun, can be regarded as one of the most important parameters reflecting the success of projects. In the public sector, money spent on project change orders results in increased construction time which in return reduces the number and size of the projects that can be completed during any given fiscal year. To achieve this goal, the documents and the final reports for several sample projects implemented over the years 2000 to 2008 were analyzed. All the projects were administered by the same organization taken from Jordan Ministry of Rural and Public Works. The results of this study can assist highway officials in their design, planning, scheduling and projects completions so that necessary actions can be taken to control these overruns in future projects. The study showed that 19 factors might cause delays of road construction projects as defined through a detailed literature review. The analysis of the study indicated that the top causes affecting time and cost overrun in road construction projects in Jordan are Terrain and Weather conditions.


2018 ◽  
Vol 192 ◽  
pp. 02021
Author(s):  
Pittayaporn Gomarn ◽  
Jakrapong Pongpeng

This research aims to compare the rank and importance level of failure indicators of the construction projects from the perception of Thai and Malaysian engineers. The questionnaire was used to survey the opinions of the engineers who supervised construction projects in Bangkok, Thailand and Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. Analysis of the data was undertaken with the use of SPSS software which included a comparison of the importance level of construction project failure indicators from the perception of Thai and Malaysian engineers. Additionally, the Mann Whitney U test was used to compare the similarities and differences of construction project failure indicators from the perceptions of both Thai and Malaysian engineers. The results showed that construction project failure indicators from both Thai and Malaysian engineers were similar. Failure indicators ranked in importance were: 1) negative effects on safety, health and environment (18.83%), 2) cost overrun (18.44%), 3) time overruns (17.41%), 4) quality defects (16.43%), 5) stakeholders' dissatisfaction (15.36%), and 6) dispute and litigation (13.54%). The outcome of the research is therefore useful in assisting supervisory staff better understand project failure indicators. In addition, the research can be used as a guideline for analyzing the risk of failures in construction projects.


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-19
Author(s):  
Fitri Nur Kharina ◽  
Kusno Adi Sambowo

Construction projects in all regions continues to be developed for the creation of facilities that can be utilized by the community. One of them is the construction of apartments which are now being intensively carried out to meet residential needs for the community. Making a construction project plan always refers to estimates that exist at the time development plan is made, therefore problems can arise if there is a discrepancy between the plans that have been made and the actual reality. So the impact that often occurs is the delay in the time of project implementation which can also be accompanied by an increase in the cost of implementing the project. In the construction project of Cinere Terrace Suites Apartemen & Citywalk, Jakarta there was a delay resulting in a late payment of monthly bill progress by the owner. Based on the above reasons, this research was conducted to find out how the project performance was seen from the cost and time period of the review period. how is the estimated cost and time to complete the overall project work. The method used in the analysis of this study is the Earned Value Method. Based on the results of the analysis carried out for 29 weeks the project performance on schedule has been delayed and cost shows a positive value. For the estimated completion time of the project there is an increase in time whose duration increases from the planned 98 weeks or 685 days to 109,624 weeks or 768 days. While the estimated cost of completing the project from the results of the analysis obtained a value of Rp. 270,147,448,569.16 smaller than the planned cost of Rp. 315,272,727,272.73. With the difference VAC of Rp. 45,125,278,703.57 this shows that there are benefits obtained by the contractor.


2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (4) ◽  
pp. 1029-1036 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hai Pham ◽  
Truong-Van Luu ◽  
Soo-Yong Kim ◽  
Duc-Thinh Vien

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-65
Author(s):  
Tariku Nigussie ◽  
M.K. Chandrasekar

Rebar is one of the materials which is so scarce and highly expensive. The existing practices produce a large quantity of wastage; which contributes to the increment of the project cost. This study aimed to analyze the causes, extent, and remedies of steel wastages on the total costs of construction projects in Hawassa city. The study followed descriptive and analytical research designs. The cost estimated in the bill of quantity and the final cost after the provision of the steel with alterations was compared and the reasons for cost overrun were analyzed. The data were analyzed using Central value analysis, correlation and regression analysis using SPSS stat20, RebarWin7.97, ETABS2016. The percentage of the cost of steel wastage in total cost was found 1.43%. The result of the study verdict that frequent design change and bare-benders skill gap contribute much to the material wastage, thus for the cost overrun of projects. Keywords: Bending gain, cost overrun, detailing, rebar, redesign, steel, wastage


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