scholarly journals Global impact of smoke aerosols from landscape fires on climate and the Hadley circulation

2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 5227-5241 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. G. Tosca ◽  
J. T. Randerson ◽  
C. S. Zender

Abstract. Each year landscape fires across the globe emit black and organic carbon smoke particles that can last in the atmosphere for days to weeks. We characterized the climate response to these aerosols using an Earth system model. We used remote sensing observations of aerosol optical depth (AOD) and simulations from the Community Atmosphere Model, version 5 (CAM5) to optimize satellite-derived smoke emissions for high biomass burning regions. Subsequent global simulations using the adjusted fire emissions produced AODs that were in closer agreement with surface and space-based measurements. We then used CAM5, which included radiative aerosol effects, to evaluate the climate response to the fire-aerosol forcing. We conducted two 52 yr simulations, one with four sets of monthly cycling 1997–2009 fire emissions and one without. Fire emissions increased global mean annual AOD by 10% (+0.02) and decreased net all-sky surface radiation by 1% (1.3 W m−2). Elevated AODs reduced global surface temperatures by 0.13 ± 0.01 °C. Though global precipitation declined only slightly, patterns of precipitation changed, with large reductions near the Equator offset by smaller increases north and south of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ). A combination of increased tropospheric heating and reduced surface temperatures increased equatorial subsidence and weakened the Hadley circulation. As a consequence, precipitation decreased over tropical forests in South America, Africa and equatorial Asia. These results are consistent with the observed correlation between global temperatures and the strength of the Hadley circulation and studies linking tropospheric heating from black carbon aerosols with tropical expansion.

2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (10) ◽  
pp. 28069-28108 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. G. Tosca ◽  
J. T. Randerson ◽  
C. S. Zender

Abstract. Each year landscape fires across the globe emit black and organic carbon smoke particles that can last in the atmosphere for days to weeks. We characterized the climate response to these aerosols using a global Earth system model. We used remote sensing observations of aerosol optical depth (AOD) and global simulations from the Community Atmosphere Model, version 5 (CAM5) to optimize satellite-derived smoke emissions for high biomass burning regions. Subsequent global simulations using the adjusted fire emissions produced AODs that were in closer agreement with surface and space-based measurements. We then used CAM5, which included radiative aerosol effects, to evaluate the climate response to the fire-aerosol forcing. We conducted two 52 yr simulations, one with four sets of monthly cycling 1997–2009 fire emissions and one without. Fire emissions increased global annual mean AOD by 10% (+0.02) and decreased net all-sky surface radiation by 1% (1.3 W m−2). Elevated AODs reduced global surface temperatures by 0.13 ± 0.01 °C. Though global precipitation declined only slightly, patterns of precipitation changed, with large reductions near the Equator offset by smaller increases north and south of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ). A combination of increased tropospheric heating and reduced surface temperatures increased equatorial subsidence and weakened the Hadley circulation. As a consequence, precipitation decreased over tropical forests in South America, Africa and equatorial Asia. These results are consistent with the observed correlation between global temperatures and the strength of the Hadley circulation and studies linking tropospheric heating from black carbon aerosols with tropical expansion.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pierre Nabat ◽  
Samuel Somot ◽  
Lola Corre ◽  
Eleni Katragkou ◽  
Shuping Li ◽  
...  

<p>The Euro-Mediterranean region is subject to numerous and various aerosol loads, which interact with radiation, clouds and atmospheric dynamics, with ensuing impact on regional climate. However up to now, aerosol variations are hardly taken into account in most regional climate simulations, although anthropogenic emissions have been dramatically reduced in Europe since the 1980s. Moreover, inconsistencies between regional climate models (RCMs) and their driving global model (GCM) have recently been identified in terms of future radiation and temperature evolution, which could be related to the differences in aerosol forcing. <br>The present study aims at assessing the role of aerosols in the future evolution of the Euro-Mediterranean climate, using a specific multi-model protocol carried out in the Flagship Pilot Study "Aerosol" of the CORDEX program. This protocol relies on three simulations for each RCM: a historical run (1971-2000) and two future RCP8.5 simulations (2021-2050), a first one with evolving aerosols, and a second one with the same aerosols as in the historical period. Six modeling groups have taken part in this protocol, providing nine triplets of simulations. The analysis of these simulations will be presented here. First results show that the future evolution of aerosols has a significant impact on the evolution of surface radiation and surface temperature. In addition RCM runs taking into account the evolution of aerosols are simulating climate change signal closer to the one of their driving GCM than those with constant aerosols.</p>


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Klaus Wyser ◽  
Twan van Noije ◽  
Shuting Yang ◽  
Jost von Hardenberg ◽  
Declan O'Donnell ◽  
...  

Abstract. Many modelling groups that contribute to CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6) have found a larger equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) with their latest model versions compared to the values obtained with earlier versions for CMIP5. This is also the case for the EC-Earth model, and in this study we investigate what developments since the CMIP5 era could have caused the increase in the ECS in this model. Apart from increases in horizontal and vertical resolution, the EC-Earth model also has substantially changed the representation of aerosols, and in particular it has introduced a more sophisticated description of aerosol indirect effects. After testing the model with some of the recent updates switched off, we find that the ECS increase can be attributed to the more advanced treatment of aerosols, with the largest contribution coming from the effect of aerosols on cloud microphysics (cloud lifetime or second indirect effect). The increase in climate sensitivity is unrelated to model tuning as all experiments have been performed with the same tuning parameters and only the representation of the aerosol effects has been changing. These results cannot be easily generalised to other models as their CMIP5 and CMIP6 versions may differ in other aspects than the aerosol-cloud interaction, but the results highlights the strong sensitivity of ECS to the details of the aerosol forcing.


2008 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 6379-6407 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Koren ◽  
L. Oreopoulos ◽  
G. Feingold ◽  
L. A. Remer ◽  
O. Altaratz

Abstract. The interplay between clouds and aerosols and their contribution to the radiation budget is one of the largest uncertainties of climate change. Most work to date has separated cloudy and cloud-free areas in order to evaluate the individual radiative forcing of aerosols, clouds, and aerosol effects on clouds. Here we examine the size distribution and the optical properties of small, sparse cumulus clouds and the associated optical properties of what is considered a cloud-free atmosphere within the cloud field. We show that any separation between clouds and cloud free atmosphere will incur errors in the calculated radiative forcing. The nature of small cumulus cloud size distributions suggests that at any resolution, a significant fraction of the clouds are missed, and their optical properties are relegated to the apparent cloud-free optical properties. At the same time, the cloudy portion incorporates significant contribution from non-cloudy pixels. We show that the largest contribution to the total cloud reflectance comes from the smallest clouds and that the spatial resolution changes the apparent energy flux of a broken cloudy scene. When changing the resolution from 30 m to 1 km (Landsat to MODIS) the average "cloud-free" reflectance at 1.65 μm increases more than 25%, the cloud reflectance decreases by half, and the cloud coverage doubles, resulting in an important impact on climate forcing estimations. The apparent aerosol forcing is on the order of 0.5 to 1 Wm−2 per cloud field.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew Schurer ◽  
Gabriele Hegerl ◽  
Andrew Ballinger ◽  
Andrew Friedman

<p>Climate models predict a strengthening contrast between wet and dry regions in the tropics and subtropics (30°S-30°N), and data from the latest model intercomparison project (CMIP6) support this expectation. Rainfall in ascending regions increases, and in descending regions decreases in both climate model and reanalysis data. This strengthening contrast can be captured by tracking rainfall change each month in the wettest and driest third of the tropics and subtropics combined. Since wet and dry regions are selected individually for each model ensemble member, and the observations, and for each month, this analysis is largely unaffected by biases in location of precipitation features. Blended satellite and in situ data support the model-simulated tendency to sharpening contrasts between wet and dry regions, with rainfall in wet regions increasing substantially contrasted by a slight decrease in dry regions. These new datasets allow us to detect with more confidence the effect of external forcings on these changes, attribute them for the first time to the response to anthropogenic and natural forcings separately, and determine that the observed trends are statistically larger than the model responses. Our results show that the observed change is best explained by increasing greenhouse gases with natural forcing contributing some increase following the drop in wet region precipitation after Mount Pinatubo, while anthropogenic aerosol effects are expected to show a weak tropic-wide trend at the present time of flat global aerosol forcing. As expected from climate models, the observed signal strengthens further when focusing on the wet tail of spatial distributions in both models and data.</p>


2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 27053-27113 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. E. L. West ◽  
P. Stier ◽  
A. Jones ◽  
C. E. Johnson ◽  
G. W. Mann ◽  
...  

Abstract. The activation of aerosols to form cloud droplets is dependent upon vertical velocities whose local variability is not typically resolved at the GCM grid scale. Consequently, it is necessary to represent the sub-grid-scale variability of vertical velocity in the calculation of cloud droplet number concentration. This study uses the UK Chemistry and Aerosols community model (UKCA) within the Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model (HadGEM3), coupled for the first time to an explicit aerosol activation parameterisation, and hence known as UKCA-Activate. We explore the range of uncertainty in estimates of the indirect aerosol effects attributable to the choice of parameterisation of the sub-grid-scale variability of vertical velocity in HadGEM-UKCA. Results of simulations demonstrate that the use of a characteristic vertical velocity cannot replicate results derived with a distribution of vertical velocities, and is to be discouraged in GCMs. This study focuses on the effect of the variance (σw2) of a Gaussian pdf of vertical velocity. Fixed values of σw2 (spanning the range measured in situ by nine flight campaigns found in the literature) and a configuration in which σw2 depends on turbulent kinetic energy are tested. Results from the mid-range fixed σw2 and TKE-based configurations both compare well with observed vertical velocity distributions and cloud droplet number concentrations. The radiative flux perturbation due to the total effects of anthropogenic aerosol is estimated at −1.4 W m−2 with σw2 = 0.1 m s−1, −1.7 W m−2 with σw2 derived from TKE, −1.9 W m−2 with σw = 0.4 m s−1 and −2.0 W m−2 with σw = 0.7 m s−1. The breadth of this range (0.6 W m−2) corresponds to almost a third of the total estimate of −1.9 W m−2, obtained with the mid-range value of σw = 0.4 m s−1, and is comparable to the total diversity of current aerosol forcing estimates. Reducing the uncertainty in the parameterisation of σw would therefore be an important step towards reducing the uncertainty in estimates of the indirect aerosol effects. Detailed examination of regional radiative flux perturbations reveals that aerosol microphysics can be responsible for some climate-relevant radiative effects, highlighting the importance of including microphysical aerosol processes in GCMs.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pierre Nabat ◽  
Samuel Somot ◽  
Christophe Cassou ◽  
Marc Mallet ◽  
Martine Michou ◽  
...  

Abstract. The present work aims at better understanding regional climate-aerosol interactions by studying the relationships between aerosols and synoptic atmospheric circulation over the Euro-Mediterranean region. Two 40-year simulations (1979–2018) have been carried out with the CNRM-ALADIN64 regional climate model, one using interactive aerosols and the other one without any aerosol. The simulation with aerosols has been evaluated in terms of different climate and aerosol parameters. This evaluation shows a good agreement between the model and observations, significant improvements compared to the previous model version, and consequently the relevance of using this model for the study of climate-aerosol interactions over this region. A first attempt to explain the climate variability of aerosols is based on the use of the North-Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index, which explains a significant part of the interannual variability, notably in winter for the export of dust aerosols over the Atlantic Ocean and the Eastern Mediterranean, and in summer for the positive anomalies of anthropogenic aerosols over Western Europe. This index is however not sufficient to fully understand the variations of aerosols in this region, notably at daily scale. The use of weather regimes, namely persisting meteorological patterns, stable at synoptic scale for a few days, provide a relevant description of atmospheric circulation, which drives the emission, transport and deposition of aerosols. The four weather regimes usually defined in this area in winter and in summer bring significant information to answer this question. The blocking and NAO+ regimes are largely favourable to strong aerosol effects on shortwave surface radiation and surface temperature, either because of higher aerosol loads, or because of weaker cloud fraction, which reinforces the direct aerosol effect. Inversely the NAO- and Atlantic Ridge regimes are unfavourable to aerosol radiative effects, because of weaker aerosol concentrations and increased cloud cover. This study thus puts forward the strong dependence of aerosol loads on the synoptic circulation from interannual to daily scales, and as a consequence, the important modulation of the aerosol effects on shortwave surface radiation and surface temperature by atmospheric circulation. The role of cloud cover is essential in this modulation as shown by the use of weather regimes.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (29) ◽  
pp. eabb0425 ◽  
Author(s):  
Minhua Qin ◽  
Aiguo Dai ◽  
Wenjian Hua

Earth’s climate fluctuates considerably on decadal-multidecadal time scales, often causing large damages to our society and environment. These fluctuations usually result from internal dynamics, and many studies have linked them to internal climate modes in the North Atlantic and Pacific oceans. Here, we show that variations in volcanic and anthropogenic aerosols have caused in-phase, multidecadal SST variations since 1920 across all ocean basins. These forced variations resemble the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) in time. Unlike the North Atlantic, where indirect and direct aerosol effects on surface solar radiation drive the multidecadal SST variations, over the tropical central and western Pacific atmospheric circulation response to aerosol forcing plays an important role, whereas aerosol-induced radiation change is small. Our new finding implies that AMO-like climate variations in Eurasia, North America, and other regions may be partly caused by the aerosol forcing, rather than being originated from the North Atlantic SST variations as previously thought.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Allan ◽  
Chunlei Liu

<p>The climate system is heating up, causing warming at the surface and changes in the global water cycle. Updated reconstructions of Earth’s energy budget since the 1980s are presented and show how heat uptake is unevenly distributed across the northern and southern hemisphere. Heating is closely associated with ocean heat content changes and sea level rise while surface warming depends on partitioning between the upper mixed layer and deeper levels, leading to decadal variability. CMIP6 simulations are used to illustrate how global precipitation and evaporation are constrained by the Earth's energy balance to increase at ∼2–3%/°C and how this rate of increase is suppressed by rapid atmospheric adjustments in response to greenhouse gases and absorbing aerosols that directly alter the atmospheric energy budget. Rapid adjustments to forcings, cooling effects from scattering aerosol, and observational uncertainty can explain why observed global precipitation responses are currently difficult to detect but are expected to emerge and accelerate as warming increases and aerosol forcing diminishes.</p>


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