scholarly journals The effect of interactive ozone chemistry on weak and strong stratospheric polar vortex events

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (17) ◽  
pp. 10531-10544
Author(s):  
Jessica Oehrlein ◽  
Gabriel Chiodo ◽  
Lorenzo M. Polvani
Keyword(s):  
Climate Variability ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Late Winter ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Winter Climate ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Modeling and observational studies have reported effects of stratospheric ozone extremes on Northern Hemisphere spring climate. Recent work has further suggested that the coupling of ozone chemistry and dynamics amplifies the surface response to midwinter sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs). Here we study the importance of interactive ozone chemistry in representing the stratospheric polar vortex and Northern Hemisphere winter surface climate variability. We contrast two simulations from the interactive and specified chemistry (and thus ozone) versions of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model, which is designed to isolate the impact of interactive ozone on polar vortex variability. In particular, we analyze the response with and without interactive chemistry to midwinter SSWs, March SSWs, and strong polar vortex events (SPVs). With interactive chemistry, the stratospheric polar vortex is stronger and more SPVs occur, but we find little effect on the frequency of midwinter SSWs. At the surface, interactive chemistry results in a pattern resembling a more negative North Atlantic Oscillation following midwinter SSWs but with little impact on the surface signatures of late winter SSWs and SPVs. These results suggest that including interactive ozone chemistry is important for representing North Atlantic and European winter climate variability.

scholarly journals The effect of interactive ozone chemistry on weak and strong stratospheric polar vortex events

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jessica Oehrlein ◽  
Gabriel Chiodo ◽  
Lorenzo M. Polvani
Keyword(s):  
Climate Variability ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Late Winter ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Winter Climate ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Modeling and observational studies have reported effects of stratospheric ozone extremes on Northern Hemisphere spring climate. Recent work has further suggested that the coupling of ozone chemistry and dynamics amplifies the surface response to midwinter sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs). Here, we study the importance of interactive ozone chemistry in representing the stratospheric polar vortex and Northern Hemisphere winter surface climate variability. We contrast two simulations from the interactive and specified chemistry (and thus ozone) versions of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model, designed to isolate the impact of interactive ozone on polar vortex variability. In particular, we analyze the response with and without interactive chemistry to midwinter SSWs, March SSWs, and strong polar vortex events (SPVs). With interactive chemistry, the stratospheric polar vortex is stronger, and more SPVs occur, but we find little effect on the frequency of midwinter SSWs. At the surface, interactive chemistry results in a pattern resembling a more negative North Atlantic Oscillation following midwinter SSWs, but with little impact on the surface signatures of late winter SSWs and SPVs. These results suggest that including interactive ozone chemistry is important for representing North Atlantic and European winter climate variability.

scholarly journals The impact of volcanic aerosols on stratospheric ozone and the Northern Hemisphere polar vortex: separating radiative from chemical effects under different climate conditions

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (10) ◽  
pp. 14275-14314 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Muthers ◽  
F. Arfeuille ◽  
C. C. Raible ◽  
E. Rozanov
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Volcanic Eruptions ◽  
Radiative Heating ◽  
Dynamical Response ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
Column Ozone ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. After strong volcanic eruptions stratospheric ozone changes are modulated by heterogeneous chemical reactions (HET) and dynamical perturbations related to the radiative heating in the lower stratosphere (RAD). Here, we assess the relative importance of both processes as well as the effect of the resulting ozone changes on the dynamics using ensemble simulations with the atmosphere–ocean–chemistry–climate model (AOCCM) SOCOL-MPIOM forced by eruptions with different strength. The simulations are performed under present day and preindustrial conditions to investigate changes in the response behaviour. The results show that the HET effect is only relevant under present day conditions and causes a pronounced global reduction of column ozone. These ozone changes further lead to a slight weakening of the Northern Hemisphere (NH) polar vortex during mid-winter. Independent from the climate state the RAD mechanism changes the column ozone pattern with negative anomalies in the tropics and positive anomalies in the mid-latitudes. The influence of the climate state on the RAD mechanism significantly differs in the polar latitudes, where an amplified ozone depletion during the winter months is simulated under present day conditions. This is in contrast to the preindustrial state showing a positive column ozone response also in the polar area. The dynamical response of the stratosphere is clearly dominated by the RAD mechanism showing an intensification of the NH polar vortex in winter. Still under present day conditions ozone changes due to the RAD mechanism slightly reduce the response of the polar vortex after the eruption.

scholarly journals The Influence of Zonally Asymmetric Stratospheric Ozone Changes on the Arctic Polar Vortex Shift

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (11) ◽  
pp. 4641-4658
Author(s):  
Jiankai Zhang ◽  
Wenshou Tian ◽  
Fei Xie ◽  
John A. Pyle ◽  
James Keeble ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Late Winter ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Total Column Ozone ◽  
Cooling Effects ◽  
Lower Temperature ◽  
Combined Cooling

AbstractRecent studies have found a shift of the Arctic stratospheric polar vortex toward Siberia during late winter since 1980, intensifying the zonally asymmetric ozone (ZAO) depletion in the northern middle and high latitudes with a stronger total column ozone decline over Siberia compared with that above other regions at the same latitudes. Using observations and a climate model, this study shows that zonally asymmetric stratospheric ozone depletion gives a significant feedback on the position of the polar vortex and further favors the stratospheric polar vortex shift toward Siberia in February for the period 1980–99. The polar vortex shift is not significant in the experiment forced by zonal mean ozone fields. The February ZAO trend with a stronger ozone decline over Siberia causes a lower temperature over this region than over the other regions at the same latitudes, due to shortwave radiative cooling and dynamical cooling. The combined cooling effects induce an anomalous cyclonic flow over Siberia, corresponding to the polar vortex shift toward Siberia. In addition, the ZAO depletion also increases the meridional gradient of potential vorticity over Siberia, which is favorable for the upward propagation of planetary wave fluxes from the troposphere over this region. Increased horizontal divergence of planetary waves fluxes over the region 60°–75°N, 60°–90°E associated with ZAO changes accelerates the high-latitude zonal westerlies in the middle stratosphere, further enhancing the shift of the stratospheric polar vortex toward Siberia. After 2000, the ZAO trend in February is weaker and induces a smaller polar vortex shift than that in the period 1980–99.

scholarly journals The impact of volcanic aerosol on the Northern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex: mechanisms and sensitivity to forcing structure

2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (23) ◽  
pp. 13063-13079 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Toohey ◽  
K. Krüger ◽  
M. Bittner ◽  
C. Timmreck ◽  
H. Schmidt
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
High Latitude ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Volcanic Aerosol ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Model Simulations ◽  
Aerosol Forcing ◽  
Climate Model Simulations ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Observations and simple theoretical arguments suggest that the Northern Hemisphere (NH) stratospheric polar vortex is stronger in winters following major volcanic eruptions. However, recent studies show that climate models forced by prescribed volcanic aerosol fields fail to reproduce this effect. We investigate the impact of volcanic aerosol forcing on stratospheric dynamics, including the strength of the NH polar vortex, in ensemble simulations with the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model. The model is forced by four different prescribed forcing sets representing the radiative properties of stratospheric aerosol following the 1991 eruption of Mt. Pinatubo: two forcing sets are based on observations, and are commonly used in climate model simulations, and two forcing sets are constructed based on coupled aerosol–climate model simulations. For all forcings, we find that simulated temperature and zonal wind anomalies in the NH high latitudes are not directly impacted by anomalous volcanic aerosol heating. Instead, high-latitude effects result from enhancements in stratospheric residual circulation, which in turn result, at least in part, from enhanced stratospheric wave activity. High-latitude effects are therefore much less robust than would be expected if they were the direct result of aerosol heating. Both observation-based forcing sets result in insignificant changes in vortex strength. For the model-based forcing sets, the vortex response is found to be sensitive to the structure of the forcing, with one forcing set leading to significant strengthening of the polar vortex in rough agreement with observation-based expectations. Differences in the dynamical response to the forcing sets imply that reproducing the polar vortex responses to past eruptions, or predicting the response to future eruptions, depends on accurate representation of the space–time structure of the volcanic aerosol forcing.

The Impact of Stratospheric Ozone Changes on Downward Wave Coupling in the Southern Hemisphere*

2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (16) ◽  
pp. 4210-4229 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tiffany A. Shaw ◽  
Judith Perlwitz ◽  
Nili Harnik ◽  
Paul A. Newman ◽  
Steven Pawson
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Coupling Model ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Early Summer ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Wave Coupling ◽  
The Impact

Abstract The impact of stratospheric ozone changes on downward wave coupling between the stratosphere and troposphere in the Southern Hemisphere is investigated using a suite of Goddard Earth Observing System chemistry–climate model (GEOS CCM) simulations. Downward wave coupling occurs when planetary waves reflected in the stratosphere impact the troposphere. In reanalysis data, the climatological coupling occurs from September to December when the stratospheric basic state has a well-defined high-latitude meridional waveguide in the lower stratosphere that is bounded above by a reflecting surface, called a bounded wave geometry. Reanalysis data suggests that downward wave coupling during November–December has increased during the last three decades. The GEOS CCM simulation of the recent past captures the main features of downward wave coupling in the Southern Hemisphere. Consistent with the Modern Era Retrospective-Analysis for Research and Application (MERRA) dataset, wave coupling in the model maximizes during October–November when there is a bounded wave geometry configuration. However, the wave coupling in the model is stronger than in the MERRA dataset, and starts earlier and ends later in the seasonal cycle. The late season bias is caused by a bias in the timing of the stratospheric polar vortex breakup. Temporal changes in stratospheric ozone associated with past depletion and future recovery significantly impact downward wave coupling in the model. During the period of ozone depletion, the spring bounded wave geometry, which is favorable for downward wave coupling, extends into early summer, due to a delay in the vortex breakup date, and leads to increased downward wave coupling during November–December. During the period of ozone recovery, the stratospheric basic state during November–December shifts from a spring configuration back to a summer configuration, where waves are trapped in the troposphere, and leads to a decrease in downward wave coupling. Model simulations with chlorine fixed at 1960 values and increasing greenhouse gases show no significant changes in downward wave coupling and confirm that the changes in downward wave coupling in the model are caused by ozone changes. The results reveal a new mechanism wherein stratospheric ozone changes can affect the tropospheric circulation.

scholarly journals Ozone Loss and Recovery and the Preconditioning of Upward-Propagating Planetary Wave Activity

2013 ◽  
Vol 70 (12) ◽  
pp. 3977-3994 ◽  
Author(s):  
John R. Albers ◽  
Terrence R. Nathan
Keyword(s):  
Ozone Depletion ◽  
Planetary Wave ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Wave Drag ◽  
Late Winter ◽  
Residual Circulation ◽  
Wave Amplification ◽  
Ozone Loss

Abstract A mechanistic chemistry–dynamical model is used to evaluate the relative importance of radiative, photochemical, and dynamical feedbacks in communicating changes in lower-stratospheric ozone to the circulation of the stratosphere and lower mesosphere. Consistent with observations and past modeling studies of Northern Hemisphere late winter and early spring, high-latitude radiative cooling due to lower-stratospheric ozone depletion causes an increase in the modeled meridional temperature gradient, an increase in the strength of the polar vortex, and a decrease in vertical wave propagation in the lower stratosphere. Moreover, it is shown that, as planetary waves pass through the ozone loss region, dynamical feedbacks precondition the wave, causing a large increase in wave amplitude. The wave amplification causes an increase in planetary wave drag, an increase in residual circulation downwelling, and a weaker polar vortex in the upper stratosphere and lower mesosphere. The dynamical feedbacks responsible for the wave amplification are diagnosed using an ozone-modified refractive index; the results explain recent chemistry–coupled climate model simulations that suggest a link between ozone depletion and increased polar downwelling. The effects of future ozone recovery are also examined and the results provide guidance for researchers attempting to diagnose and predict how stratospheric climate will respond specifically to ozone loss and recovery versus other climate forcings including increasing greenhouse gas abundances and changing sea surface temperatures.

scholarly journals Robust effects of springtime Arctic ozone depletion on surface climate

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marina Friedel ◽  
Gabriel Chiodo ◽  
Andrea Stenke ◽  
Daniela Domeisen ◽  
Stephan Fueglistaler ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ozone Depletion ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Negative Temperature ◽  
Significant Degree ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Surface Climate ◽  
Northern Hemispheric ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Massive spring ozone loss due to anthropogenic emissions of ozone depleting substances is not limited to the austral hemisphere, but can also occur in the Arctic. Previous studies have suggested a link between springtime Arctic ozone depletion and Northern Hemispheric surface climate, which might add surface predictability. However, so far it has not been possible to isolate the role of stratospheric ozone from dynamical downward impacts. For the first time, we quantify the impact of springtime Arctic ozone depletion on surface climate using observations and targeted chemistry-climate model experiments to isolate the effects of ozone feedbacks. We find that springtime stratospheric ozone depletion is followed by surface anomalies in precipitation and temperature resembling a positive Arctic Oscillation. Most notably, we show that these anomalies, affecting large portions of the Northern Hemisphere, cannot be explained by dynamical variability alone, but are to a significant degree driven by stratospheric ozone. The surface signal is linked to reduced shortwave absorption by stratospheric ozone, forcing persistent negative temperature anomalies in the lower stratosphere and a delayed breakup of the polar vortex - analogous to ozone-surface coupling in the Southern Hemisphere.These results suggest that Arctic stratospheric ozone actively forces springtime Northern Hemispheric surface climate and thus provides a source of predictability on seasonal scales.

scholarly journals A stratospheric prognostic ozone for seamless Earth System Models: performance, impacts and future

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Beatriz M. Monge-Sanz ◽  
Alessio Bozzo ◽  
Nicholas Byrne ◽  
Martyn P. Chipperfield ◽  
Michail Diamantakis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Long Range ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Signal To Noise Ratio ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Atlantic Sector ◽  
The North ◽  
Medium Range ◽  
Antarctic Polar Vortex ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. We have implemented a new stratospheric ozone model in the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) system, and tested its performance for different timescales, to assess the impact of stratospheric ozone on meteorological fields. We have used the new ozone model to provide prognostic ozone in medium-range and long-range experiments, showing the feasibility of this ozone scheme for a seamless NWP modelling approach. We find that the stratospheric ozone distribution provided by the new scheme in ECMWF forecast experiments is in very good agreement with observations, even for unusual meteorological conditions such as Arctic stratospheric sudden warmings (SSWs) and Antarctic polar vortex events like the vortex split of year 2002. To assess the impact it has on meteorological variables, we have performed experiments in which the prognostic ozone is interactive with radiation. The new scheme provides a realistic ozone field able to improve the description of the stratosphere in the ECMWF system, we find clear reductions of biases in the stratospheric forecast temperature. The seasonality of the Southern Hemisphere polar vortex is also significantly improved when using the new ozone model. In medium-range simulations we also find improvements in high latitude tropospheric winds during the SSW event considered in this study. In long-range simulations the use of the new ozone model leads to an increase in the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index correlation, and an increase in the signal to noise ratio over the North Atlantic sector. In our study we show that by improving the description of the stratospheric ozone in the ECMWF system, the stratosphere-tropospheric coupling improves. This highlights the potential benefits of this new ozone model to exploit stratospheric sources of predictability and improve weather predictions over Europe on a range of time scales.

scholarly journals The impact of volcanic aerosol on the Northern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex: mechanisms and sensitivity to forcing structure

2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 16777-16819
Author(s):  
M. Toohey ◽  
K. Krüger ◽  
M. Bittner ◽  
C. Timmreck ◽  
H. Schmidt
Keyword(s):  
High Latitude ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Volcanic Aerosol ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Model Simulations ◽  
Aerosol Forcing ◽  
Climate Model Simulations ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Forcing Set

Abstract. Observations and simple theoretical arguments suggest that the Northern Hemisphere (NH) stratospheric polar vortex is stronger in winters following major volcanic eruptions. However, recent studies show that climate models forced by prescribed volcanic aerosol fields fail to reproduce this effect. We investigate the impact of volcanic aerosol forcing on stratospheric dynamics, including the strength of the NH polar vortex, in ensemble simulations with the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model. The model is forced by four different prescribed forcing sets representing the radiative properties of stratospheric aerosol following the 1991 eruption of Mt. Pinatubo: two forcing sets are based on observations, and are commonly used in climate model simulations, and two forcing sets are constructed based on coupled aerosol–climate model simulations. For all forcings, we find that temperature and zonal wind anomalies in the NH high latitudes are not directly impacted by anomalous volcanic aerosol heating. Instead, high latitude effects result from robust enhancements in stratospheric residual circulation, which in turn result, at least in part, from enhanced stratospheric wave activity. High latitude effects are therefore much less robust than would be expected if they were the direct result of aerosol heating. While there is significant ensemble variability in the high latitude response to each aerosol forcing set, the mean response is sensitive to the forcing set used. Significant differences, for example, are found in the NH polar stratosphere temperature and zonal wind response to two different forcing data sets constructed from different versions of SAGE II aerosol observations. Significant strengthening of the polar vortex, in rough agreement with the expected response, is achieved only using aerosol forcing extracted from prior coupled aerosol–climate model simulations. Differences in the dynamical response to the different forcing sets used imply that reproducing the polar vortex responses to past eruptions, or predicting the response to future eruptions, depends on accurate representation of the space-time structure of the volcanic aerosol forcing.

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