scholarly journals The latitudinal structure of recent changes in the boreal Brewer–Dobson circulation

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (17) ◽  
pp. 24403-24417 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Shi ◽  
D. Guo ◽  
J. Xu ◽  
A. M. Powell ◽  
T. Xu
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Planetary Wave ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Trace Gas ◽  
Composite Analysis ◽  
Stratospheric Water Vapor ◽  
Tropical Tropopause ◽  
Dynamic Cooling ◽  
Middle Stratosphere

Abstract. Upwelling branch of the Brewer–Dobson circulation (BDC) controls the tropical lower stratospheric water vapor (WV) through dynamic cooling near the tropopause. Downwelling branch of BDC dominates the extratropical middle-lower stratospheric Hydrogen Chloride (HCl) by dynamic transport. Climatologically, a symmetric weakening BDC indicates increasing tropical lower stratospheric WV and decreasing extratropical middle-lower stratospheric HCl. However, the global ozone chemistry and related trace gas data records for the stratosphere data (GOZCARDS) show that the tropical lowermost stratospheric WV increased by 18 % decade−1 during 2001–2011 and the boreal mid-latitude lower stratospheric HCl rose 25 % decade−1 after 2006. We interpret this as resulting from a slowdown of the tropical upwelling and a speedup of the mid-latitude downwelling. This interpretation is supported by composite analysis of Eliasen–Palm Flux (EPF), zonal wind and regression of temperature on the EPF from the ERA-Interim data. Results present that the enhancing polar vortex and weakening planetary wave activity leads to a downwelling branch narrowing equatorward and a local speedup of 24 % at 20 hPa in the mid-latitudes. Moreover, there are regressive temperature increase of 1.5 K near the tropical tropopause and that of 0.5 K in the mid-latitude middle stratosphere, which also indicates the tropical upwelling slowdown and the mid-latitude downwelling speedup during 2001–2011.

scholarly journals The relationship between tropospheric wave forcing and tropical lower stratospheric water vapor

2006 ◽  
Vol 6 (5) ◽  
pp. 9563-9581 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Dhomse ◽  
M. Weber ◽  
J. Burrows
Keyword(s):  
Heat Flux ◽  
Water Vapor ◽  
Planetary Wave ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Tropical Tropopause Layer ◽  
Stratospheric Water Vapor ◽  
Tropical Tropopause ◽  
Eddy Heat Flux ◽  
Sudden Decrease

Abstract. The compact relationship between stratospheric temperatures (as well as ozone) and tropospheric generated planetary wave activity have been widely discussed. Higher wave activity leads to a strengthening of the Brewer-Dobson (BD) circulation, which results in warmer/colder temperatures in the polar/tropical stratosphere. The influence of this wave activity on stratospheric water vapor (WV) is not yet well explored primarily due to lack of high quality long term data sets. Using WV data from HALOE and SAGE II, an anti-correlation between planetary wave driving (here expressed by the mid-latitude eddy heat flux at 50 hPa added from both hemispheres) and tropical lower stratospheric (TLS) WV has been found. This appears to be the most direct manifestation of the inter-annual variability of the known relationship between ascending motion in the tropical stratosphere (due to rising branch of the BD circulation) and the amount of the WV entering into the stratosphere from the tropical tropopause layer. A decrease in planetary wave activity in the mid-nineties is probably responsible for the increasing trends in stratospheric WV until late 1990s. After 2000 a sudden decrease in lower stratospheric WV has been reported and was observed by different satellite instruments such as HALOE, SAGE II and POAM III indicating that the lower stratosphere has become drier since then. This is consistent with a sudden rise in the combined mid-latitude eddy heat flux with nearly equal contribution from both hemispheres. The low water vapor and enhanced strength of the Brewer-Dobson circulation has persisted until now. It is estimated that the strengthening of the BD circulation after 2000 contributed to a 0.7 K cooling in the TLS.

scholarly journals The relationship between tropospheric wave forcing and tropical lower stratospheric water vapor

2008 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 471-480 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Dhomse ◽  
M. Weber ◽  
J. Burrows
Keyword(s):  
Heat Flux ◽  
Water Vapor ◽  
Satellite Data ◽  
Planetary Wave ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Stratospheric Water Vapor ◽  
Average Decrease ◽  
Eddy Heat Flux ◽  
Sudden Decrease ◽  
Cold Point

Abstract. Using water vapor data from HALOE and SAGE II, an anti-correlation between planetary wave driving (here expressed by the mid-latitude eddy heat flux at 50 hPa added from both hemispheres) and tropical lower stratospheric (TLS) water vapor has been obtained. This appears to be a manifestation of the inter-annual variability of the Brewer-Dobson (BD) circulation strength (the driving of which is generally measured in terms of the mid-latitude eddy heat flux), and hence amount of water vapor entering the stratosphere. Some years such as 1991 and 1997 show, however, a clear departure from the anti-correlation which suggests that the water vapor changes in TLS can not be attributed solely to changes in extratropical planetary wave activity (and its effect on the BD circulation). After 2000 a sudden decrease in lower stratospheric water vapor has been reported in earlier studies based upon satellite data from HALOE, SAGE II and POAM III indicating that the lower stratosphere has become drier since then. This is consistent with a sudden rise in the combined mid-latitude eddy heat flux with nearly equal contribution from both hemispheres as shown here and with the increase in tropical upwelling and decrease in cold point temperatures found by Randel et al. (2006). The low water vapor and enhanced planetary wave activity (in turn strength of the BD circulation) has persisted until the end of the satellite data records. From a multi-variate regression analysis applied to 27 years of NCEP and HadAT2 (radiosonde) temperatures (up to 2005) with contributions from solar cycle, stratospheric aerosols and QBO removed, the enhancement wave driving after 2000 is estimated to contribute up to 0.7 K cooling to the overall TLS temperature change during the period 2001–2005 when compared to the period 1996–2000. NCEP cold point temperature show an average decrease of nearly 0.4 K from changes in the wave driving, which is consistent with observed mean TLS water vapor changes of about −0.2 ppm after 2000.

scholarly journals An unusual stratospheric ozone decrease linked to isentropic air-mass transport as observed over Irene (25.5° S, 28.1° E) in mid-May 2002

2005 ◽  
Vol 5 (6) ◽  
pp. 12617-12639
Author(s):  
N. Semane ◽  
H. Bencherif ◽  
B. Morel ◽  
A. Hauchecorne ◽  
R. D. Diab
Keyword(s):  
Total Ozone ◽  
Planetary Wave ◽  
Lower Stratosphere ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Ozone Layer ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Transport Processes ◽  
Diagnostic Tools ◽  
Air Masses ◽  
Middle Stratosphere

Abstract. A prominent ozone minimum of less than 240 Dobson Units (DU) was observed over Irene (25.5° S, 28.1° E) by the Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) during May 2002 with extremely low ozone value of less than 219 DU recorded on 12 May, as compared to a climatological mean of 249 DU for May between 1999 and 2005. In this study, the vertical structure of this ozone minimum is examined using ozonesonde measurements performed over Irene on 15 May 2002, when the total ozone (as given by TOMS) was about 226 DU. Indeed, it is found that the ozone minimum is of Antarctic polar origin with a low-ozone layer in the middle stratosphere above 625 K and of tropical origin with low-ozone layer between 400-K and 450-K isentropic levels in the lower stratosphere. The upper and lower depleted parts of the ozonesonde profile for 15 May, are respectively attributed to equatorward and poleward transport of low-ozone air toward the subtropics. The tropical air moving over Irene and the polar one passing over the same area associated with enhanced planetary-wave activity are simulated successfully using a high-resolution advection contour model (MIMOSA) of Potential Vorticity. Indeed, in mid-May 2002, MIMOSA maps show a polar vortex filament in the middle stratosphere above the 625-K isentropic level and they show also tropical air-masses moving southward (over Irene) in the lower stratosphere between 400-K and 450-K isentropic levels. The winter stratospheric wave driving and its associated localized isentropic mixing leading to the ozone minimum are investigated by means of two diagnostic tools: the Eliassen-Palm flux and the effective diffusivity computed from the European Center for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) fields. The unusual distribution of ozone over Irene during May 2002 in the middle stratosphere is closely connected to the anomalously pre-conditioned structure of the polar vortex at that time of the year. Indeed, the perturbed vortex was typically predisposed for easy erosion by dynamical transport processes, which have been driven by strong planetary wave activity and have eventually resulted in a very large latitudinal advection of polar air masses towards the subtropics. The exceptional presence of polar vortex air over the subtropics during May 2002 can be considered as the first sign of the particular polar vortex disturbances, which after being well reinforced, contributed to the unprecedented behavior of the Antarctic spring ozone hole observed during September 2002.

scholarly journals Modeling upper tropospheric and lower stratospheric water vapor anomalies

2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 9653-9679 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. R. Schoeberl ◽  
A. E. Dessler ◽  
T. Wang
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Lower Stratosphere ◽  
Calculation Model ◽  
Vapor Concentration ◽  
Cold Temperatures ◽  
Tropical Tropopause Layer ◽  
Stratospheric Water Vapor ◽  
Tropical Tropopause ◽  
Minimum Displacement ◽  
Asian Monsoons

Abstract. The domain-filling, forward trajectory calculation model developed by Schoeberl and Dessler (2011) is used to further investigate processes that produce upper tropospheric and lower stratospheric water vapor anomalies. We examine the pathways parcels take from the base of the tropical tropopause layer (TTL) to the lower stratosphere. Most parcels found in the lower stratosphere arise from East Asia, the Tropical West Pacific (TWP) and the Central/South America. The belt of TTL parcel origins is very wide compared to the final dehydration zones near the top of the TTL. This is due to the convergence of rising air as a result of the stronger diabatic heating near the tropopause relative to levels above and below. The observed water vapor anomalies – both wet and dry – correspond to regions where parcels have minimal displacement from their initialization. These minimum displacement regions include the winter TWP and the Asian and American monsoons. To better understand the stratospheric water vapor concentration we introduce the water vapor spectrum and investigate the source of the wettest and driest components of the spectrum. We find that the driest air parcels that originate below the TWP, moving upward to dehydrate in the TWP cold upper troposphere. The wettest air parcels originate at the edges of the TWP as well as the summer American and Asian monsoons. The wet air parcels are important since they skew the mean stratospheric water vapor distribution toward higher values. Both TWP cold temperatures that produce dry parcels as well as extra-TWP processes that control the wet parcels determine stratospheric water vapor.

Final Sudden Stratospheric Warmings and the memory of the stratosphere

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alain Hauchecorne ◽  
Chantal Claud ◽  
Philippe Keckhut
Keyword(s):  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Planetary Wave ◽  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Temperature Anomaly ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Late Winter ◽  
Easterly Wind ◽  
Weather Forecasts ◽  
Stratospheric Circulation

<p>Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) is the most spectacular dynamic event occurring in the middle atmosphere. It can lead to a warming of the winter polar stratosphere by a few tens of K in one to two weeks and a reversal of the stratospheric circulation from wintertime prevailing westerly winds to easterly winds similar to summer conditions. This strong modification of the stratospheric circulation has consequences for several applications, including the modification of the stratospheric infrasound guide. Depending on the date of the SSW, the westerly circulation can be re-established if the SSW occurs in mid-winter or the summer easterly circulation can be definitively established if the SSW occurs in late winter. In the latter case it is called Final Warming (FW). Each year, it is possible to define the date of the FW as the date of the final inversion of the zonal wind at 60°N - 10 hPa . If the FW is associated with a strong peak of planetary wave activity and a rapid increase in polar temperature, it is classified as dynamic FW. If the transition to the easterly wind is smooth without planetary wave activity, the FW is classified as radiative.</p><p>The analysis of the ERA5 database, which has recently been extended to 1950 (71 years of data), allowed a statistical analysis of the evolution of the stratosphere in winter. The main conclusions of this study will be presented :</p><p>- the state of the polar vortex in a given month is anticorrelated with its state 2 to 3 months earlier. The beginning of winter is anticorrelated with mid-winter and mid-winter is anticorrelated with the end of winter;</p><p>- dynamic FWs occur early in the season (March - early April) and are associated with a strong positive polar temperature anomaly, while radiative FWs occur later (late April - early May) without a polar temperature anomaly;</p><p>- the summer stratosphere (polar temperature and zonal wind) keeps the memory of its state in April-May at the time of FW at least until July .</p><p>These results could help to improve medium-range weather forecasts in the Northern Hemisphere due to the strong dynamic coupling between the troposphere and stratosphere during SSW events.</p>

scholarly journals Processes Controlling Tropical Tropopause Temperature and Stratospheric Water Vapor in Climate Models

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (16) ◽  
pp. 6516-6535 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven C. Hardiman ◽  
Ian A. Boutle ◽  
Andrew C. Bushell ◽  
Neal Butchart ◽  
Mike J. P. Cullen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Stratospheric Water Vapor ◽  
Vertical Advection ◽  
Radiative Processes ◽  
Microphysical Properties ◽  
Tropical Tropopause ◽  
The Tropics ◽  
Tropopause Temperature

Abstract A warm bias in tropical tropopause temperature is found in the Met Office Unified Model (MetUM), in common with most models from phase 5 of CMIP (CMIP5). Key dynamical, microphysical, and radiative processes influencing the tropical tropopause temperature and lower-stratospheric water vapor concentrations in climate models are investigated using the MetUM. A series of sensitivity experiments are run to separate the effects of vertical advection, ice optical and microphysical properties, convection, cirrus clouds, and atmospheric composition on simulated tropopause temperature and lower-stratospheric water vapor concentrations in the tropics. The numerical accuracy of the vertical advection, determined in the MetUM by the choice of interpolation and conservation schemes used, is found to be particularly important. Microphysical and radiative processes are found to influence stratospheric water vapor both through modifying the tropical tropopause temperature and through modifying upper-tropospheric water vapor concentrations, allowing more water vapor to be advected into the stratosphere. The representation of any of the processes discussed can act to significantly reduce biases in tropical tropopause temperature and stratospheric water vapor in a physical way, thereby improving climate simulations.

scholarly journals Response of trace gases to the disrupted 2015–2016 quasi-biennial oscillation

2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (11) ◽  
pp. 6813-6823 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olga V. Tweedy ◽  
Natalya A. Kramarova ◽  
Susan E. Strahan ◽  
Paul A. Newman ◽  
Lawrence Coy ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Chemical Constituents ◽  
Trace Gases ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Uv Index ◽  
Stratospheric Water Vapor ◽  
Northern Summer ◽  
Tropical Tropopause ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

Abstract. The quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) is a quasiperiodic alternation between easterly and westerly zonal winds in the tropical stratosphere, propagating downward from the middle stratosphere to the tropopause with a period that varies from 24 to 32 months ( ∼  28 months on average). The QBO wind oscillations affect the distribution of chemical constituents, such as ozone (O3), water vapor (H2O), nitrous oxide (N2O), and hydrochloric acid (HCl), through the QBO-induced meridional circulation. In the 2015–2016 winter, radiosonde observations revealed an anomaly in the downward propagation of the westerly phase, which was disrupted by the upward displacement of the westerly phase from  ∼  30 hPa up to 15 hPa and the sudden appearance of easterlies at 40 hPa. Such a disruption is unprecedented in the observational record from 1953 to the present. In this study we show the response of trace gases to this QBO disruption using O3, HCl, H2O, and temperature from the Aura Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) and total ozone measurements from the Solar Backscatter Ultraviolet (SBUV) Merged Ozone Data Set (MOD). Results reveal the development of positive anomalies in stratospheric equatorial O3 and HCl over  ∼  50–30 hPa in May–September of 2016 and a substantial decrease in O3 in the subtropics of both hemispheres. The SBUV observations show near-record low levels of column ozone in the subtropics in 2016, resulting in an increase in the surface UV index during northern summer. Furthermore, cold temperature anomalies near the tropical tropopause result in a global decrease in stratospheric water vapor.

scholarly journals An atmospheric tape recorder: The imprint of tropical tropopause temperatures on stratospheric water vapor

1996 ◽  
Vol 101 (D2) ◽  
pp. 3989-4006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philip W. Mote ◽  
Karen H. Rosenlof ◽  
Michael E. McIntyre ◽  
Ewan S. Carr ◽  
John C. Gille ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Tape Recorder ◽  
Stratospheric Water Vapor ◽  
Tropical Tropopause

scholarly journals Radiative Impacts of the 2011 Abrupt Drops in Water Vapor and Ozone in the Tropical Tropopause Layer

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 595-612 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel M. Gilford ◽  
Susan Solomon ◽  
Robert W. Portmann
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
Tropical Tropopause Layer ◽  
Stratospheric Water Vapor ◽  
Tropical Tropopause ◽  
Radiative Impacts ◽  
Radiative Impact ◽  
Rf Values ◽  
Mean Structure ◽  
Large Water

Abstract An abrupt drop in tropical tropopause layer (TTL) water vapor, similar to that observed in 2000, recently occurred in 2011, and was concurrent with reductions in TTL temperature and ozone. Previous studies have indicated that such large water vapor variability can have significant radiative impacts. This study uses Aura Microwave Limb Sounder observations, the Stratospheric Water Vapor and Ozone Satellite Homogenized dataset, and two radiative transfer models to examine the radiative effects of the observed changes in TTL water vapor and ozone on TTL temperatures and global radiative forcing (RF). The analyses herein suggest that quasi-isentropic poleward propagation of TTL water vapor reductions results in a zonal-mean structure with “wings” of extratropical water vapor reductions, which account for about half of the 2011 abrupt drop global radiative impact. RF values associated with the mean water vapor concentrations differences between 2012/13 and 2010/11 are between −0.01 and −0.09 W m−2, depending upon the altitude above which perturbations are considered. TTL water vapor and ozone variability during this period jointly lead to a transient radiative cooling of ~0.25–0.5 K in layers below the tropopause. The 2011 abrupt drop also prolonged the reduction in stratospheric water vapor that followed the 2000 abrupt drop, providing a longer-term radiative forcing of climate. Water vapor concentrations from 2005 to 2013 are lower than those from 1990 to 1999, resulting in a RF between these periods of about −0.045 W m−2, approximately 12% as large as, but of opposite sign to, the concurrent estimated CO2 forcing.

Understanding the Changes of Stratospheric Water Vapor in Coupled Chemistry–Climate Model Simulations

2008 ◽  
Vol 65 (10) ◽  
pp. 3278-3291 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luke Oman ◽  
Darryn W. Waugh ◽  
Steven Pawson ◽  
Richard S. Stolarski ◽  
J. Eric Nielsen
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
First Century ◽  
Mixing Ratio ◽  
Stratospheric Water Vapor ◽  
Tropical Tropopause ◽  
Twenty First Century ◽  
Climate Model Simulations ◽  
Cold Point ◽  
Methane Concentrations

Past and future climate simulations from the Goddard Earth Observing System Chemistry–Climate Model (GEOS CCM), with specified boundary conditions for sea surface temperature, sea ice, and trace gas emissions, have been analyzed to assess trends and possible causes of changes in stratospheric water vapor. The simulated distribution of stratospheric water vapor in the 1990s compares well with observations. Changes in the cold point temperatures near the tropical tropopause can explain differences in entry stratospheric water vapor. The average saturation mixing ratio of a 20° latitude by 15° longitude region surrounding the minimum tropical saturation mixing ratio is shown to be a useful diagnostic for entry stratospheric water vapor and does an excellent job reconstructing the annual average entry stratospheric water vapor over the period 1950–2100. The simulated stratospheric water vapor increases over the 50 yr between 1950 and 2000, primarily because of changes in methane concentrations, offset by a slight decrease in tropical cold point temperatures. Stratospheric water vapor is predicted to continue to increase over the twenty-first century, with increasing methane concentrations causing the majority of the trend to midcentury. Small increases in cold point temperature cause increases in the entry water vapor throughout the twenty-first century. The increasing trend in future water vapor is tempered by a decreasing contribution of methane oxidation owing to cooling stratospheric temperatures and by increased tropical upwelling, leading to a near-zero trend for the last 30 yr of the twenty-first century.

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