Snow-Hydrological modeling using remote sensing data in Vilcanota basin, Peru

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eber Risco ◽  
Waldo Lavado ◽  
Pedro Rau
Keyword(s):  
Hydrological Modeling ◽  
Remote Sensing Data ◽  
Time Consistency ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Direct Evaluation ◽  
Daily Discharge ◽  
Rainfall Runoff Model ◽  
Runoff Model ◽  
Trmm 3B42

<p>Water resources availability in the southern Andes of Peru is being affected by glacier and snow retreat. This problem is already perceived in the Vilcanota river basin, where hydro-climatological information is scarce. In this particular mountain context, any water plan represents a great challenge. To cope with these limitations, we propose to assess the space-time consistency of 10 satellite-based precipitation products (CMORPH–CRT v.1, CMORPH–BLD v.1, CHIRP v.2, CHIRPS v.2, GSMaP v.6, GSMaP correction, MSWEP v.2.1, PERSIANN, PERSIANN–CDR, TRMM 3B42) with 25 rain gauge stations in order to select the best product that represents the variability in the Vilcanota basin. For this purpose, through a direct evaluation of sensitivity analysis via the GR4J parsimonious hydrological model over the basin. GSMap v.6, TRMM 3B42 and CHIRPS were selected to represent rainfall spatial variability according with different statistical criteria, such as correlation coefficient (CC), standard deviation (SD), percentage of bias (%B) and centered mean square error (CRMSE). To facilitate the interpretation of statistical results, Taylor's diagram was used to represent the CC statistics, normalized values of SD and CRMSE.</p><p>A distributed degree-day model was chosen to analyse the sensitivity of snow cover simulations and hydrological contribution. The GR4J rainfall-runoff model was calibrated (using global optimization) and applied to simulate the daily discharge and compared with the Distributed Hydrology and Vegetation Model with Glacier Dynamics (DHSVM-GDM) over the 2001-2018 period. Furthermore, the simulated streamflow was evaluated through comparisons with observations at the hydrological stations using Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency and Kling Gupta Efficiency (KGE). The results show that the snow-runoff have increased in recent years, so new water management and planning strategies should be developed in the basin. This research is part of the multidisciplinary collaboration between British and Peruvian scientists (Newton Fund, Newton-Paulet) through RAHU project.</p>

scholarly journals Modeling River Runoff Temporal Behavior through a Hybrid Causal–Hydrological (HCH) Method

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 3137
Author(s):  
Santiago Zazo ◽  
José-Luis Molina ◽  
Verónica Ruiz-Ortiz ◽  
Mercedes Vélez-Nicolás ◽  
Santiago García-López
Keyword(s):  
Hydrological Modeling ◽  
Arma Model ◽  
Causal Modeling ◽  
Change Processes ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Insufficient Amount ◽  
Runoff Series ◽  
Rainfall Runoff Model ◽  
The One ◽  
Runoff Model

The uncertainty in traditional hydrological modeling is a challenge that has not yet been overcome. This research aimed to provide a new method called the hybrid causal–hydrological (HCH) method, which consists of the combination of traditional rainfall–runoff models with novel hydrological approaches based on artificial intelligence, called Bayesian causal modeling (BCM). This was implemented by building nine causal models for three sub-basins of the Barbate River Basin (SW Spain). The models were populated by gauging (observing) short runoff series and from long and short hydrological runoff series obtained from the Témez rainfall–runoff model (T-RRM). To enrich the data, all series were synthetically replicated using an ARMA model. Regarding the results, on the one hand differences in the dependence intensities between the long and short series were displayed in the dependence mitigation graphs (DMGs), which were attributable to the insufficient amount of data available from the hydrological records and to climate change processes. The similarities in the temporal dependence propagation (basin memory) and in the symmetry of DMGs validate the reliability of the hybrid methodology, as well as the results generated in this study. Consequently, water planning and management can be substantially improved with this approach.

The effect of rainfall measurement uncertainties on rainfall–runoff processes modelling

2007 ◽  
Vol 55 (4) ◽  
pp. 103-111 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Stransky ◽  
V. Bares ◽  
P. Fatka
Keyword(s):  
Measurement Errors ◽  
Dynamic Test ◽  
Systematic Errors ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Rainfall Data ◽  
Test Duration ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Rainfall Volume ◽  
Rainfall Runoff Model ◽  
Runoff Model

Rainfall data are a crucial input for various tasks concerning the wet weather period. Nevertheless, their measurement is affected by random and systematic errors that cause an underestimation of the rainfall volume. Therefore, the general objective of the presented work was to assess the credibility of measured rainfall data and to evaluate the effect of measurement errors on urban drainage modelling tasks. Within the project, the methodology of the tipping bucket rain gauge (TBR) was defined and assessed in terms of uncertainty analysis. A set of 18 TBRs was calibrated and the results were compared to the previous calibration. This enables us to evaluate the ageing of TBRs. A propagation of calibration and other systematic errors through the rainfall–runoff model was performed on experimental catchment. It was found that the TBR calibration is important mainly for tasks connected with the assessment of peak values and high flow durations. The omission of calibration leads to up to 30% underestimation and the effect of other systematic errors can add a further 15%. The TBR calibration should be done every two years in order to catch up the ageing of TBR mechanics. Further, the authors recommend to adjust the dynamic test duration proportionally to generated rainfall intensity.

scholarly journals Regionalization of a Rainfall-Runoff Model: Limitations and Potentials

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 2257 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jung-Hun Song ◽  
Younggu Her ◽  
Kyo Suh ◽  
Moon-Seong Kang ◽  
Hakkwan Kim
Keyword(s):  
Hydrological Modeling ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Tank Model ◽  
Statistical Relationships ◽  
Function Selection ◽  
Rainfall Runoff Model ◽  
Parameter Values ◽  
Runoff Model ◽  
Selection Of

Regionalized lumped rainfall-runoff (RR) models have been widely employed as a means of predicting the streamflow of an ungauged watershed because of their simple yet effective simulation strategies. Parameter regionalization techniques relate the parameter values of a model calibrated to the observations of gauged watersheds to the geohydrological characteristics of the watersheds. Thus, the accuracy of regionalized models is dependent on the calibration processes, as well as the structure of the model used and the quality of the measurements. In this study, we have discussed the potentials and limitations of hydrological model parameter regionalization to provide practical guidance for hydrological modeling of ungauged watersheds. This study used a Tank model as an example model and calibrated its parameters to streamflow observed at the outlets of 39 gauged watersheds. Multiple regression analysis identified the statistical relationships between calibrated parameter values and nine watershed characteristics. The newly developed regional models provided acceptable accuracy in predicting streamflow, demonstrating the potential of the parameter regionalization method. However, uncertainty associated with parameter calibration processes was found to be large enough to affect the accuracy of regionalization. This study demonstrated the importance of objective function selection of the RR model regionalization.

scholarly journals Hydrological modeling using Effective Rainfall routed by the Muskingum method (ERM)

2013 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 1437-1455 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Baymani-Nezhad ◽  
D. Han
Keyword(s):  
Hydrological Modeling ◽  
Effective Rainfall ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Optimization Scheme ◽  
Calibration And Validation ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Muskingum Method ◽  
Rainfall Runoff Model ◽  
Main Components ◽  
Runoff Model

This paper introduces a new rainfall runoff model called ERM (Effective Rainfall routed by Muskingum method), which has been developed based on the popular IHACRES model. The IHACRES model consists of two main components to transfer rainfall to effective rainfall and then to streamflow. The second component of the IHACRES model is a linear unit hydrograph which has been replaced by the classic and well-known Muskingum method in the ERM model. With the effective rainfall by the first component of the IHACRES model, the Muskingum method is used to estimate the quick flow and slow flow separately. Two different sets of input data (temperature or evapotranspiration, rainfall and observed streamflow) and genetic algorithm (GA) as an optimization scheme have been selected to compare the performance of IHACRES and ERM models in calibration and validation. By testing the models in three different catchments, it is found that the ERM model has better performance over the IHACRES model across all three catchments in both calibration and validation. Further studies are needed to apply the ERM on a wide range of catchments to find its strengths and weaknesses.

Comparison of rain gauge and radar data as input to an urban rainfall-runoff model

2002 ◽  
Vol 45 (2) ◽  
pp. 27-33 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Quirmbach ◽  
G.A. Schultz
Keyword(s):  
Wastewater Treatment Plants ◽  
Model Simulation ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Urban Hydrology ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Rain Gauges ◽  
Rainfall Runoff Model ◽  
Runoff Model ◽  
Urban Rainfall Runoff

This paper presents an application of radar data (DX-product of the German Weather Service) with a high resolution in space (1° × 1 km) and time (Δt = 5 minutes) in urban hydrology. The radar data and data of rain gauges with different locations in the test catchment were compared concerning their suitability as input into an urban rainfall-runoff model. In order to evaluate the accuracy of model simulation results, five evaluation criteria have been specified which are relevant for an efficient management of sewer systems and wastewater treatment plants. The results demonstrate that radar data should be used in urban hydrology if distances > 4 km between rain gauge and catchment exist and for catchments with a density of rain gauges smaller than 1 rain gauge per 16 km2.

scholarly journals Origin and variability of statistical dependencies between peak, volume, and duration of rainfall-driven flood events

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Rahimi ◽  
C. Deidda ◽  
C. De Michele
Keyword(s):  
Catchment Area ◽  
Hydrological Model ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Flood Events ◽  
Daily Discharge ◽  
Pairwise Dependence ◽  
Rainfall Runoff Model ◽  
Runoff Model ◽  
Flood Characteristics ◽  
Conceptual Hydrological Model

AbstractFloods are among the most common and impactful natural events. The hazard of a flood event depends on its peak (Q), volume (V) and duration (D), which are interconnected to each other. Here, we used a worldwide dataset of daily discharge, two statistics (Kendall’s tau and Spearman’s rho) and a conceptual hydrological rainfall-runoff model as model-dependent realism, to investigate the factors controlling and the origin of the dependence between each couple of flood characteristics, with the focus to rainfall-driven events. From the statistical analysis of worldwide dataset, we found that the catchment area is ineffective in controlling the dependence between Q and V, while the dependencies between Q and D, and V and D show an increasing behavior with the catchment area. From the modeling activity, on the U.S. subdataset, we obtained that the conceptual hydrological model is able to represent the observed dependencies between each couple of variables for rainfall-driven flood events, and for such events, the pairwise dependence of each couple is not causal, is of spurious kind, coming from the “Principle of Common Cause”.

scholarly journals Operational Hydrological Modelling of Small Watershed using QPE from Dual-Pol Radar in Brazil

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cesar Beneti ◽  
Roberto V. Calheiros ◽  
Mino Sorribas ◽  
Leonardo Calvetti ◽  
Camila Oliveira ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Water Levels ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Radar Rainfall ◽  
Flood Alert ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Radar Satellite ◽  
Rainfall Runoff Model ◽  
Runoff Model

Among other applications, radar-rainfall (RR) and QPE (Quantitative Precipitation Estimation) based on radar reflectivity, dual polarization variables, and multi-sensor information, provide important information for land surface hydrology, such as flood forecasting. Therefore, we developed a flood alert system using rainfall-runoff model forced with RR and QPE, and tipping-bucket observations to forecast river water levels (using rating-curves). In this study, we used an hourly dataset from an S-Band dual-polarimetric radar with two tropical R(Z) relations based distrometer data, a polarimetric R(Z,ZDR) algorithm from the literature and a multi-sensor approach using radar, satellite and rain gauge. Two hydrological models were used and calibrated using observed discharge time-series. Although our previous studies indicated accurate RR-based simulations, in some cases floods were not detected when using catchment-lumped rainfall derived from multi-sensor QPE. In this study, we advance further in this subject using improved R(Z,ZDR) relations and QPE for the period of 2016-2017 and flood event-based rainfall-runoff calibration. Thus, we focused on the development (and timing) of floods in the Marrecas River can be complex and strongly related to storms spatiotemporal distribution. To explore this aspect, we also perform a first analysis in using RR in rainfall-runoff model with a nested catchment discretization.

scholarly journals Effects of streamflow isotope sampling strategies on the calibration of a tracer‐aided rainfall‐runoff model

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jamie Lee Stevenson ◽  
Christian Birkel ◽  
Aaron J. Neill ◽  
Doerthe Tetzlaff ◽  
Chris Soulsby
Keyword(s):  
Sampling Strategies ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Rainfall Runoff Model ◽  
Runoff Model
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