Enhancement of Interplate Coupling after Recent Megathrust Earthquakes

Author(s):  
Mohammad Yuzariyadi ◽  
Kosuke Heki

<p>Enhanced interplate coupling has been found for segments adjacent along-strike to megathrust faults after the 2003 Tokachi-Oki and the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquakes, NE Japan, and was interpreted as acceleration of the subducting Pacific Plate slab. A similar enhanced coupling was also reported for the segments to the north of the rupture area of the 2010 Maule earthquake, central Chile. We utilize available GNSS data to find such enhanced coupling in worldwide subduction zones including NE Japan, central and northern Chile, Sumatra, and Mexico to investigate their common features. Our study revealed that the accelerations of landward movement of 2.1-9.0 mm per year appeared in adjacent segments following the 2014 Iquique (Chile), the 2007 Bengkulu (Sumatra), and the 2012 Oaxaca (Mexico) earthquakes. We also confirmed that the enhanced coupling is associated with the increase of seismicity for all these six cases. We found that the degree of enhancement depends on the length of the slab and the magnitude of the earthquake, which is consistent with the simple 2-dimensional model proposed earlier.</p>

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Melnick ◽  
Valentina Maldonado ◽  
Martin Contreras ◽  
Julius Jara-Muñoz ◽  
Joaquín Cortés-Aranda ◽  
...  

<p>Most of the seismic hazard along subduction zones is posed by great tsunamigenic earthquakes associated with the interplate megathrust fault. However, crustal faults are ubiquitous along overriding continental plates, some of which have been triggered during recent megathrust earthquakes. In Chile, the 2010 Maule earthquake (M8.8) triggered a shallow M7 earthquake on the Pichilemu fault, which had not been mapped and was unknown. In fact, M~7 earthquakes have recently occurred along unknown faults in California and New Zealand, emphasizing the need for better and more detailed mapping initiatives. A first step towards a synoptic assessment of seismic hazards posed by continental faults at the national level is mapping at a homogeneous scale to allow for a systematic comparison of faults and fault systems. Here, we present the first map of active and potentially-active faults in Chile at 1:25,000 scale, which includes published studies and newly-identified faults. All the published faults have been re-mapped using LiDAR and TanDEM-X topography, where available. Using different scaling relations, we estimate the seismic potential of all crustal faults in Chile. For specific faults where we have conducted paleoseismic and tectonic geomorphic field studies (e.g., Liquiñe-Ofqui, El Yolki, Mesamavida, and Pichilemu faults) we provide new estimates of slip rate, recurrence interval, and deformation style. We propose a segmentation model of continental faults systems in Chile, which are associated with distinct morphotectonic units and have predominant kinematics and relatively uniform slip rates. Using stress transfer models, we explore the potential feedbacks between upper-plate deformation and the megathrust seismic cycle.</p>


Author(s):  
Leonardo Aguirre ◽  
Klaus Bataille ◽  
Camila Novoa ◽  
Carlos Peña ◽  
Felipe Vera

ABSTRACT Subduction processes at convergent margins produce complex temporal and spatial crustal displacements during different periods of the earthquake cycle. Satellite geodesy observations provide important clues to constrain kinematic models at subduction zones. Here, we analyze geodetic observations in central Chile, where two large earthquakes occurred: 2010 Mw 8.8 Maule and 2015 Mw 8.3 Illapel. We propose a model that considers the motion along both interfaces of the brittle subducting slab as the sources responsible for the movement of the crust in the different periods of the earthquake cycle. Using standard inversion techniques, we provide a consistent framework of the kinematic displacement during each period of the earthquake cycle. We show that during the interseismic period prior to the Maule and Illapel earthquakes, two patches of slip rate on the lower interface are determined. These patches are located just below the future hypocenters. Because the interseismic period corresponds to the loading process and the coseismic to the unloading process, it is interesting to note that the area where loading is stronger corresponds to the area where unloading is also strong. Furthermore, we show that the Maule earthquake causes a significant displacement on the lower interface, just below the epicenter of the future Illapel earthquake to the north, a few years later. We speculate that the interaction between motions along both interfaces is the key to understanding the evolution of stress and the occurrence of earthquakes at subduction zones. This framework improves the understanding of the observed loading and unloading processes and potential triggering between subduction earthquakes.


2012 ◽  
Vol 28 (1_suppl1) ◽  
pp. 145-164 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maximiliano Astroza ◽  
Sergio Ruiz ◽  
Rodrigo Astroza

The MSK-64 seismic intensities inside the damage area of the 2010 Maule earthquake are estimated. With this purpose, field surveys of damage to typical single-family buildings located in 111 cities of the affected area were used. Cities located close to the north part of the earthquake rupture suffered higher damage, but most of this damage concerned adobe and unreinforced masonry houses. Minor and moderate damage was noted in modern low-rise engineered and nonengineered constructions, especially in confined masonry buildings. Despite the large length of the rupture, which reached more than 450 km, only one intensity value equal to IX was determined, and 21% of the values were greater than VII. The attenuation of seismic intensity was controlled by the distance to the main asperity more than to the hypocenter, which would be an important characteristic of the megathrust earthquakes, and it should therefore be considered in the seismic risk of large subduction environments.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2 (6) ◽  
pp. e1600581 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lingling Ye ◽  
Thorne Lay ◽  
Hiroo Kanamori ◽  
Zhongwen Zhan ◽  
Zacharie Duputel

Earthquakes in deeply subducted oceanic lithosphere can involve either brittle or dissipative ruptures. On 24 November 2015, two deep (606 and 622 km) magnitude 7.5 and 7.6 earthquakes occurred 316 s and 55 km apart. The first event (E1) was a brittle rupture with a sequence of comparable-size subevents extending unilaterally ~50 km southward with a rupture speed of ~4.5 km/s. This earthquake triggered several aftershocks to the north along with the other major event (E2), which had 40% larger seismic moment and the same duration (~20 s), but much smaller rupture area and lower rupture speed than E1, indicating a more dissipative rupture. A minor energy release ~12 s after E1 near the E2 hypocenter, possibly initiated by the S wave from E1, and a clear aftershock ~165 s after E1 also near the E2 hypocenter, suggest that E2 was likely dynamically triggered. Differences in deep earthquake rupture behavior are commonly attributed to variations in thermal state between subduction zones. However, the marked difference in rupture behavior of the nearby Peru doublet events suggests that local variations of stress state and material properties significantly contribute to diverse behavior of deep earthquakes.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (19) ◽  
pp. 9350
Author(s):  
Leopold I. Lobkovsky ◽  
Irina S. Vladimirova ◽  
Yurii V. Gabsatarov ◽  
Dmitry A. Alekseev

Catastrophic megaearthquakes (M > 8) occurring in the subduction zones are among the most devastating hazards on the planet. In this paper we discuss the seismic cycles of the megathrust earthquakes and propose a blockwise geomechanical model explaining certain features of the stress-deformation cycle revealed in recent decades from seismological and satellite geodesy (GNSS) observations. Starting with an overview of the so-called keyboard model of the seismic cycle by L. Lobkovsky, we outline mathematical formalism describing the motion of seismogenic block system assuming viscous rheology beneath and between the neighboring elastic blocks sitting on top of the subducting slab. By summarizing the GNSS-based evidence from our previous studies concerning the transient motions associated with the 2006–2007 Simushir earthquakes, 2010 Maule earthquake, and 2011 Tohoku earthquake, we demonstrate that those data support the keyboard model and reveal specific effect of the postseismic oceanward motion. However, since the seismogenic blocks in subduction systems are mostly located offshore, the direct analysis of GNSS-measured displacements and velocities is hardly possible in terms of the original keyboard model. Hence, the generalized two-segment keyboard model is introduced, containing both frontal offshore blocks and rear onshore blocks, which allows for direct interpretation of the onshore-collected GNSS data. We present a numerical computation scheme and a series of simulated data, which exhibits the consistency with measured motions and enables estimating the seismic cycle characteristics, important for the long-term earthquake forecasting.


2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (3) ◽  
pp. 1271-1297
Author(s):  
Kenneth W. Campbell

In this article, I propose a method for estimating the magnitude [Formula: see text] at which subduction megathrust earthquakes are expected to exhibit a break in magnitude scaling of both seismic source dimensions and earthquake ground motions. The methodology is demonstrated by applying it to 79 global subduction zones defined in the literature, including Cascadia. Breakpoint magnitude is estimated from seismogenic interface widths, empirical source scaling relations, and aspect ratios of physically unbounded earthquake ruptures and their uncertainties. The concept stems from the well-established observation that source-dimension and ground motion scaling decreases for shallow continental (primarily strike-slip) earthquakes when rupture exceeds the seismogenic width of the fault. Although a scaling break for megathrust earthquakes is difficult to observe empirically, all of the instrumentally recorded historical [Formula: see text] mega-earthquakes have occurred on subduction zones with [Formula: see text] (8.1–8.9), consistent with an observed break in source scaling relations derived from these same events. The breakpoint magnitudes derived in this study can be used to constrain the magnitude at which the scaling of ground motion is expected to decrease in subduction ground motion prediction equations.


2019 ◽  
Vol 219 (3) ◽  
pp. 2074-2096 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kazuro Hirahara ◽  
Kento Nishikiori

Summary A variety of slow slip events at subduction zones have been observed. They can be stress meters for monitoring the stress state of megathrust faults during their earthquake cycles. In this study, we focus on long-term slow slip events (LSSEs) recurring at downdip portions of megathrust faults among such slow earthquakes. Data analyses and simulation studies of LSSEs have so far been executed independently. In atmosphere and ocean sciences, data assimilations that optimally combine data analyses and simulation studies have been developed. We develop a method for estimating frictional properties and monitoring slip evolution on an LSSE fault, with a sequential data assimilation method, the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF). We executed numerical twin experiments for the Bungo Channel LSSE fault in southwest Japan to validate the method. First, based on a rate- and state-dependent friction law, we set a rate-weakening circular LSSE patch on the rate-strengthening flat plate interface, whose critical nucleation size is larger than that of the patch, and reproduced the observed Bungo Channel LSSEs with recurrence times of approximately 7 yr and slip durations of 1 yr. Then, we synthesized the observed data of surface displacement rates at uniformly distributed stations with noises from the simulated slip model. Using our EnKF method, we successfully estimated the frictional parameters and the slip rate evolution after a few cycles. Secondly, we considered the effect of the megathrust fault existing in the updip portion of the LSSE fault, as revealed by kinematic inversion studies of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) data and added this locked region with a slip deficit rate in the model. We estimated the slip rate on the locked region only kinematically, but the quasi-dynamic equation of motion in each LSSE fault cell includes the stress term arising from the locked region. Based on this model, we synthesized the observed surface displacement rate data for the actual distribution of GNSS stations and executed EnKF estimations including the slip rate on the locked region. The slip rate on the locked region could be quickly retrieved. Even for the actual distribution of GNSS stations, we could successfully estimate frictional parameters and slip evolution on the LSSE fault. Thus, our twin numerical experiments showed the validity of our EnKF method, although we need further studies for actual GNSS data analyses.


1997 ◽  
Vol 134 (5) ◽  
pp. 607-616 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. VAN GROOTEL ◽  
J. VERNIERS ◽  
B. GEERKENS ◽  
D. LADURON ◽  
M. VERHAEREN ◽  
...  

New data implying crustal activation of Eastern Avalonia along the Anglo-Brabant fold belt are presented. Late Ordovician subduction-related magmatism in East Anglia and the Brabant Massif, coupled with accelerated subsidence in the Anglia Basin and in the Brabant Massif during Silurian time, indicate a foreland basin development. Final collision resulted in folding, cleavage development and thrusting during the mid-Lochkovian to mid-Eifelian. In the southeast of the Anglo-Brabant fold belt, Acadian deformation produced basin inversion and the regional antiformal structure of the Brabant Massif. The uplift, inferred from the sedimentology, petrography and reworked palynomorphs in the Lower Devonian of the Dinant Synclinorium is confirmed by illite crystallinity studies. The tectonic model discussed implies the presence of two subduction zones in the eastern part of Eastern Avalonia, one along the Anglo-Brabant fold belt and another under the North Sea in the prolongation of the North German–Polish Caledonides.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Satoru Baba ◽  
Shunsuke Takemura ◽  
Kazushige Obara ◽  
Akemi Noda

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