An explosive component in a December 2020 Milan earthquake suggests outgassing of deeply recycled carbon

Carbon dragged at sub-arc depths and sequestered in the asthenospheric upper mantle during cold subduction is potentially released after millions of years during the breakup of continental plates. However, it is unclear whether these deep-carbon reservoirs can be locally remobilized on shorter-term timescales. Here we reveal the fate of carbon released during cold subduction by analyzing an anomalously deep earthquake in December 2020 in the lithospheric mantle beneath Milan (Italy), above a deep-carbon reservoir previously imaged in the mantle wedge by geophysical methods. We show that the earthquake source moment tensor includes a major explosive component that we ascribe to carbon-rich melt/fluid migration along upper-mantle shear zones and rapid release of about 17,000 tons of carbon dioxide when ascending melts exit the carbonate stability field. Our results underline the importance of carbon-rich melts at active continental margins for emission budgets and suggest their potential episodic contributions to atmospheric carbon dioxide.

SEISMICITY of TAJIKISTAN and ADJACENT TERRITORIES in 2015

The seismic monitoring system consisting of seven digital stations continued to operate in Tajikistan in 2015. This network has registered 9071 earthquakes with KR=8.6–17.0, 6427 of which were Pamir-Hindu Kush earthquakes with intermediate depths (h=70–300 km), and 2644 were shallow events. The total seismic energy released was E=1.8151017 J. The strongest for 2015 was the Hindu Kush earthquake on Octo-ber 26 with Mw=7.5, h=230 km (hpP=217 km) that occurred near the southern borders of the Republic. This earthquake caused significant damage and the death of at least 115 people. It was felt on the territory of 14 states, with a total shaking area of more than 14106 km2. A detailed isoseismal map of this earthquake is given for the Tajikistan territory only. The earthquake was accompanied by a series of over 1400 aftershocks with KR=8.6–12.8, unexpectedly numerous for a deep earthquake. Within the borders of the Republic, the Sarez-II earthquake occurred near the Lake of Sarez on December 7 with Mw=7.2, h=20 km, I0=8, was the strongest one. Undoubtedly, it was triggered by the Hindu Kush earthquake on October 26. In total, more than 500 houses were damaged, dozens of people were injured, and there were human casualties. A detailed isoseismal map of this earthquake was made for four levels of intensity – I=7, 6, 5 and 4. The number of its aftershocks for 24 days only was 1342, with KR=8.6–13.9. As a result the level of seismicity in Tajikistan in 2015, both in terms of the number of earthquakes and the level of released seismic energy, was the highest during the period of instrumental observations.

Preliminary Results: Probabilistic Non-Linear Method to Determine the Hypocenter Location in the Molucca Sea Collision Zone from BMKG Networks

Molucca Sea collision zone is a region which has very complex geology and tectonic setting, producing high seismicity and volcanoes activities. In this study, we have determined hypocenter location around the region using local & regional network of Agency of Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics, Indonesia (BMKG). We used 1,647 events that recorded by 32 seismic stations. We repicked the P-and S-phase manually and have been succesfully determined ~17,628 P and ~17,628 S arrival times. The P- and S-arrival times are used to determine the hypocenter location by applying NonLinLoc method which estimating the probability density function (PDF) using the oct-tree importance sampling algorithm. Our preliminary results show that the seismicity beneath the Molucca Sea collision zone forming a double subduction pattern which is dipping westward under the Sangihe Arc, reaching a depth of ~ 600 km and eastward under the Halmahera Arc, reaching a depth of ~ 250 km. The seismicity pattern under the Sangihe Arc deepens to the north and the deep earthquake events increase in number. The seismicity is related to the Molucca Sea Plate which is dipping into west and east direction beneath Sangihe-Halmahera Arc. To have a further understanding of the complex tectonic activity in this area, our future work will focus on conducting a seismic tomographic inversion to determine the 3D seismic velocities structure around the Molucca Sea collision zone.

Deposits’ Morphology of the 2018 Hokkaido Iburi-Tobu Earthquake Mass Movements from LiDAR & Aerial Photographs

On 6 September at 03:08AM local time, a 33 km deep earthquake underneath the Iburi mountains triggered more than 7000 co-seismic mass movements within 25 km of the epicenter. Most of the mass movements occurred in complex terrain and became coalescent. However, a total of 59 mass movements occurred as discrete events and stopped on the semi-horizontal valley floor. Using this case study, the authors aimed to define planar and vertical parameters to (1) compare the geometrical parameters with rain-triggered mass movements and (2) to extend existing datasets used for hazards and disaster risk purposes. To reach these objectives, the methodology relies on LiDAR data flown in the aftermath of the earthquake as well as aerial photographs. Using a Geographical Information System (GIS), planform and vertical parameters were extracted from the DEM in order to calculate the relationship between areas and volume, between the Fahrböschung and the volume of the deposits, and to discuss the relationship between the deposit slope surface and the effective stress of the deposit. Results have shown that the relation S=k[Vd]2/3 (where S is the surface area of a deposit and Vd the volume, and k a scalar that is function of S) is k = 2.1842ln(S) − 10.167 with a R2 of 0.52, with less variability in deposits left by valley-confined processes compared to open-slope processes. The Fahrböschung for events that started as valley-confined mass-movements was Fc = −0.043ln(D) + 0.7082, with a R2 of 0.5, while for open-slope mass-movements, the Fo = −0.046ln(D) + 0.7088 with a R2 of 0.52. The “T-values”, as defined by Takahashi (2014), are displaying values as high as nine times that of the values for experimental rainfall debris-flow, signifying that the effective stress is higher than in rain-triggered counterparts, which have an increased pore pressure due to the need for further water in the material to be moving. For co-seismic debris-flows and other co-seismic mass movements it is the ground acceleration that “fluidizes” the material. The maxima found in this study are as high as 3.75.

Deep Dehydration as a Plausible Mechanism of the 2013 Mw 8.3 Sea of Okhotsk Deep-Focus Earthquake

The rupture mechanisms of deep-focus (>300 km) earthquakes in subducting slabs of oceanic lithosphere are not well understood and different from brittle failure associated with shallow (<70 km) earthquakes. Here, we argue that dehydration embrittlement, often invoked as a mechanism for intermediate-depth earthquakes, is a plausible alternative model for this deep earthquake. Our argument is based upon the orientation and size of the plane that ruptured during the deep, 2013 Mw 8.3 Sea of Okhotsk earthquake, its rupture velocity and radiation efficiency, as well as diverse evidence of water subducting as deep as the transition zone and below. The rupture process of this earthquake has been inferred from back-projecting dual-band seismograms recorded at hundreds of seismic stations in North America and Europe, as well as by fitting P-wave trains recorded at dozens of globally distributed stations. If our inferences are correct, the entirety of the subducting Pacific lithosphere cannot be completely dry at deep, transition-zone depths, and other deep-focus earthquakes may also be associated with deep dehydration reactions.