Petrinja Seismogenic Source and its 2020-2021 Earthquake Sequence (central Croatia)

Author(s):  
Vanja Kastelic ◽  
Simone Atzori ◽  
Michele M. C. Carafa ◽  
Marin Marin Govorčin ◽  
Davorka Herak ◽  
...  

<p>The ongoing Petrinja earthquake sequence interests a structurally complex area characterized by the transition between the Dinarides and the Pannonian Basin structural units. The sequence mainshock (December 29, 2020; Mw = 6.4) struck in the vicinity of the Petrinja town and caused significant damage in the human and in the natural environments. The preliminary seismological and geodetic analyses indicated a dextral strike-slip NW-SE oriented fault as the event source. Numerous geologic surface deformation patterns have been identified in the aftermath of the main event, including collapsed sinkholes, liquefaction, different forms of landslides, and surface fractures which nature and causative process require further detailed studies.<br>The aim of our contribution is to apply a multitude of different geophysical, geodetic and geologic methodologies to decipher the Petrinja seismogenic fault geometry in the light of its ongoing earthquake sequence. We will show how the different datasets converge in delineating the fault geometry and discuss their diverging aspects and implications. Our preliminary analyses on the geometric and kinematic characteristics of the mainshock (as well as those of the foreshocks and aftershocks) point to an important structural complexity. This aspect helps us to better understand the seismotectonic framework of the Petrinja seismogenic fault and other regional seismogenic faults of similar geologic and geodynamic setting.</p>

2013 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 2043-2079
Author(s):  
L. Bonini ◽  
D. Di Bucci ◽  
G. Toscani ◽  
S. Seno ◽  
G. Valensise

Abstract. Over the past few years the assessment of the earthquake potential of large continental faults has increasingly relied on field investigations. State-of-the-art seismic hazard models are progressively complementing the information derived from earthquake catalogues with geological observations of active faulting. Using these observations, however, requires full understanding of the relationships between seismogenic slip at depth and surface deformation, such that the evidence indicating the presence of a large, potentially seismogenic fault can be singled out effectively and unambiguously. We used observations and models of the 6 April 2009, Mw 6.3, L'Aquila, normal faulting earthquake to explore the relationships between the activity of a large fault at seismogenic depth and its surface evidence. This very well-documented earthquake is representative of mid-size yet damaging earthquakes that are frequent around the Mediterranean Basin, and is somehow paradigmatic of the nature of the associated geologic evidence along with observational difficulties and ambiguities. Thanks to available high-resolution geologic, geodetic and seismological data aided by analogue modeling, we reconstructed the full geometry of the seismogenic source in relation with surface and sub-surface faults. We find that the earthquake was caused by seismogenic slip in the range 3–10 km depth, and that the slip distribution was strongly controlled by inherited discontinuities. We also contend that faulting was expressed at the surface by pseudo-primary breaks resulting from coseismic crustal bending and by sympathetic slip on secondary faults. Based on our results we propose a scheme for hierarchizing normal faults through which all surface occurrences related to faulting at depth can be interpreted in the frame of a single, mechanically coherent model. Appreciating such complexity is crucial to avoid severe over- or under-estimation of the local seismogenic potential.


Author(s):  
Özgür Kozacı ◽  
Christopher M. Madugo ◽  
Jeffrey L. Bachhuber ◽  
Christopher S. Hitchcock ◽  
Albert R. Kottke ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT Understanding fault rupture deformation patterns, especially in complex fault zones, has fundamental implications on seismotectonic studies and hazard mitigation for the built environment. The 2019 Mw 6.4 and Mw 7.1 Ridgecrest earthquake ruptures offer an opportunity to quantify deformation patterns and surface displacements from a complex fault rupture. Our field reconnaissance, within 18 hr of the Mw 6.4 event, documented a complex and relatively broad fault deformation zone up to a few kilometers wide in the vicinity of a gas transmission pipeline intersected by the surface rupture south of Highway 178. The subsequent Mw 7.1 event resulted in similarly distributed surface fault deformation within a broad zone that crossed a second gas transmission pipeline located south of Highway 178. On 10 July, fault-normal pipeline assessment trenches were excavated at both locations and provided evidence for late Pleistocene fault rupture on both faults expressed as upward fault truncations and paleoliquefaction features. Subsequent imagery-based rupture-mapping facilitated identification and measurement of offset features that were not identified during field mapping. Fault displacement measurements document a gradual decrease in fault slip on rupture southwestward from the Mw 6.4 epicenter within the study area. However, displacement along the primary Mw 7.1 rupture decreased more drastically southeastward toward a structural complexity at a fault stepover expressed as a horsetail splay. Fault-normal slip distributions showed that majority of the surface deformation was accommodated along discrete fault strands within the primary fault zone across both ruptures. This work expands the catalog of high-fidelity coseismic rupture information used to better understand seismotectonic processes, while contributing to refinement of fault displacement models used in support of critical infrastructure design.


2021 ◽  
Vol 225 (3) ◽  
pp. 1799-1811
Author(s):  
Yingfeng Zhang ◽  
Xinjian Shan ◽  
Wenyu Gong ◽  
Guohong Zhang

SUMMARY The challenge of ruling out potential rupture nodal planes with opposite dip orientations during interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR)-based kinematic inversions has been widely reported. Typically, slip on two or more different fault planes can match the surface deformation measurements equally well. The ambiguous choice of the nodal plane for the InSAR-based models was thought to be caused by InSAR's 1-D measurement and polar orbiting direction, leading to its poor sensitivity to north–south crustal motion. Through synthetic experiments and simulations, this paper quantitatively demonstrates the main reason of the ambiguous InSAR-based models, which confuse researchers in the small-to-moderate thrust earthquake cases investigation. We propose the inherent 1-D measurement is not the principle cause of the fault plane ambiguity, since models derived from the same InSAR data predict similar, but not identical, 3-D deformation patterns. They key to differentiating between these different models is to be able to resolve the small asymmetry in the surface deformation pattern, which may be smaller in amplitude than the typical noise levels in InSAR measurements. We investigate the fault geometry resolvability when using InSAR data with different noise levels through ‘R’ value. We find that the resolvability does not only rely on the InSAR noise, but also on the fault geometry itself (i.e. depth, dips angle and strike). Our result shows that it is impossible to uniquely determine the dip orientation of thrust earthquakes with Mw < 6.0 and depth > 5.0 km with InSAR data at a noise level that is typical for mountain belts. This inference is independent from the specific data set (i.e. interferogram or time-series) and allows one to assess if one can expect to be able to resolve the correct fault plane at all.


Solid Earth ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 389-408 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Bonini ◽  
D. Di Bucci ◽  
G. Toscani ◽  
S. Seno ◽  
G. Valensise

Abstract. Over the past few years the assessment of the earthquake potential of large continental faults has increasingly relied on field investigations. State-of-the-art seismic hazard models are progressively complementing the information derived from earthquake catalogs with geological observations of active faulting. Using these observations, however, requires full understanding of the relationships between seismogenic slip at depth and surface deformation, such that the evidence indicating the presence of a large, potentially seismogenic fault can be singled out effectively and unambiguously. We used observations and models of the 6 April 2009, Mw 6.3, L'Aquila, normal faulting earthquake to explore the relationships between the activity of a large fault at seismogenic depth and its surface evidence. This very well-documented earthquake is representative of mid-size yet damaging earthquakes that are frequent around the Mediterranean basin, and was chosen as a paradigm of the nature of the associated geological evidence, along with observational difficulties and ambiguities. Thanks to the available high-resolution geologic, geodetic and seismological data aided by analog modeling, we reconstructed the full geometry of the seismogenic source in relation to surface and sub-surface faults. We maintain that the earthquake was caused by seismogenic slip in the range 3–10 km depth, and that the slip distribution was strongly controlled by inherited discontinuities. We also contend that faulting was expressed at the surface by pseudo-primary breaks resulting from coseismic crustal bending and by sympathetic slip on secondary faults. Based on our results we propose a scheme of normal fault hierarchization through which all surface occurrences related to faulting at various depths can be interpreted in the framework of a single, mechanically coherent model. We stress that appreciating such complexity is crucial to avoiding severe over- or under-estimation of the local seismogenic potential.


2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 172226 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julie Vercelloni ◽  
Sam Clifford ◽  
M. Julian Caley ◽  
Alan R. Pearse ◽  
Ross Brown ◽  
...  

Aesthetic value, or beauty, is important to the relationship between humans and natural environments and is, therefore, a fundamental socio-economic attribute of conservation alongside other ecosystem services. However, beauty is difficult to quantify and is not estimated well using traditional approaches to monitoring coral-reef aesthetics. To improve the estimation of ecosystem aesthetic values, we developed and implemented a novel framework used to quantify features of coral-reef aesthetics based on people's perceptions of beauty. Three observer groups with different experience to reef environments (Marine Scientist, Experienced Diver and Citizen) were virtually immersed in Australian's Great Barrier Reef (GBR) using 360° images. Perceptions of beauty and observations were used to assess the importance of eight potential attributes of reef-aesthetic value. Among these, heterogeneity, defined by structural complexity and colour diversity, was positively associated with coral-reef-aesthetic values. There were no group-level differences in the way the observer groups perceived reef aesthetics suggesting that past experiences with coral reefs do not necessarily influence the perception of beauty by the observer. The framework developed here provides a generic tool to help identify indicators of aesthetic value applicable to a wide variety of natural systems. The ability to estimate aesthetic values robustly adds an important dimension to the holistic conservation of the GBR, coral reefs worldwide and other natural ecosystems.


2020 ◽  
Vol 221 (1) ◽  
pp. 451-466 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qian Xu ◽  
Qiang Chen ◽  
Jingjing Zhao ◽  
Xianwen Liu ◽  
Yinghui Yang ◽  
...  

SUMMARY A sequence of earthquake events consisting of three large shocks occurred in Central Italy from August to October in 2016 with the duration of almost 2 months. The preliminary study on the seismic mechanism suggests that the sequence of events is the result from the activity of the SW dipping Mt Bove–Mt Vettore–Mt Gorzano normal fault system. For investigation and understanding of the coseismic faulting of the seismogenic fault alignment, we collect a set of comprehensive satellite observations including the Sentinel-1A, ALOS-2/PALSAR-2 and GPS data to map the coseismic surface deformation and estimate the source models in this study. The derived faulting model for the first Amatrice event is characterized by two distinct slip asperities suggesting that it is a predominantly normal dip-slip motion with slight strike-slip component. The second event, Visso earthquake is almost a purely normal rupture. The third Norcia event is dominated by the normal dip-slip rupture of the seismogenic fault, and has propagated up to the ground with significant slip. The three faulting models are then utilized to quantify the Coulomb failure stress (CFS) change over the seismic zone. First, the CFS change on the subsequent two seismogenic faults of the earthquake sequence is estimated, and the derived positive CFS change induced by the preceding earthquakes suggests that the early events have positive effects on triggering the subsequent seismicity. We then explore the response relation of the aftershocks including 961 events with magnitudes larger than M 3.0 to the CFS change over the seismic zone. It suggests that the rupture pattern of the aftershocks is similar to the major shocks with predominantly normal dip-slip. To assess the risk of the future seismic hazard, we analyse quantitatively the spatial distribution of aftershock occurrence and CFS transfer at the seismogenic depth, indicating that the ruptures of the three major shocks do partly release the accumulated strain on the associated fault alignment as well as the dense aftershock, but the CFS increase zone with few aftershocks in the southwest of the eastern Quaternary fault alignment of Central Italy poses the potential of further rupture. In particular, the distribution of aftershock migration also suggests that the north extension of the Mt Bove fault is the potential zone with rupture risk.


2020 ◽  
Vol 47 (21) ◽  
Author(s):  
Scott Staniewicz ◽  
Jingyi Chen ◽  
Hunjoo Lee ◽  
Jon Olson ◽  
Alexandros Savvaidis ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 220 (1) ◽  
pp. 585-597 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria C Araya ◽  
Juliet Biggs

SUMMARY Tectonic slivers form in the overriding plate in regions of oblique subduction. The inner boundaries of the sliver are often poorly defined and can consist of well-defined faults, rotating blocks or diffuse fault systems, which pass through or near the volcanic arc. The Guanacaste Volcanic Arc Sliver (GVAS) as defined by Montero et al., is a segment of the Central American Forearc Sliver, whose inner boundary is the ∼87-km-long Haciendas-Chiripa fault system (HCFS), which is located ∼10 km behind the volcanic arc and consists of strike slip faults and pull apart steps. We characterize the current ground motion on this boundary by combining earthquake locations and focal mechanisms of the 2016 Bijagua earthquake sequence, with the surface ground deformation obtained from Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) images from the ALOS-2 satellite. The coseismic stack of interferograms show ∼6 cm of displacement towards the line of sight of the satellite between the Caño Negro fault and the Upala fault, indicating uplift or SE horizontal surface displacement. The largest recorded earthquake of the sequence was Mw 5.4, and the observed deformation is one of the smallest earthquakes yet detected by InSAR in the Central American region. Forward and inverse models show the surface deformation can be partially explained by slip on a single fault, but it can be better explained by slip along two faults linked at depth. The best-fitting model consists of 0.33 m of right lateral slip on the Caño Negro fault and 0.35 m of reverse slip on the Upala fault, forming a positive flower structure. As no reverse seismicity was recorded, we infer the slip on the Upala fault occurred aseismically. Observations of the Bijagua earthquake sequence suggests the forearc sliver boundary is a complex and diffuse fault system. There are localized zones of transpression and transtension and areas where there is no surface expression suggesting the fault system is not yet mature. Although aseismic slip is common on subduction interfaces and mature strike-slip faults, this is the first study to document aseismic slip on a continental tectonic sliver boundary fault.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (21) ◽  
pp. 2521 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zicheng Huang ◽  
Guohong Zhang ◽  
Xinjian Shan ◽  
Wenyu Gong ◽  
Yingfeng Zhang ◽  
...  

The 12 November 2017 Darbandikhan earthquake (Mw 7.3) occurred along the converence zone. Despite the extensive research on this earthquake, none of this work explained whether this earthquake rupture was limited to the thick sedimentary cover or it extends to the underlying crystalline basement rock (or both). Besides, whether this region will generate devastating earthquakes again and whether there is a one-to-one correlation between these anticlines and blind-reverse faults need further investigation. In this study, we derived the co-seismic interferograms from the Sentinel-1A/B data and successfully described the surface deformation of the main seismic zone. The fringe patterns of both the ascending and descending interferograms show that the co-seismic deformation is dominated by horizontal movements. Then, using the along- and across-track deformation fields of different orbits, we retrieved the three-dimensional deformation field, which suggests that the Darbandikhan earthquake may be a blind thrust fault close to the north–south direction. Finally, we inverted the geometrical parameters of the seismogenic fault and the slip distribution of the fault plane. The results show that the source fault has an average strike of 355.5° and a northeast dip angle of −17.5°. In addition, the Darbandikhan earthquake has an average rake of 135.5°, with the maximum slip of 4.5 m at 14.5 km depth. On the basis of the derived depth and the aftershock information provided by the Iranian Seismological Center, we inferred that this event primarily ruptured within the crystalline basement and the seismogenic fault is the Zagros Mountain Front Fault (MFF). The seismogenic region has both relatively low historical seismicity and convergent strain rate, which suggests that the vicinity of the epicenter may have absorbed the majority of the energy released by the convergence between the Arabian and the Eurasian plates and may generate Mw > 7 earthquakes again. Moreover, the Zagros front fold between the Lurestan Arc and the Kirkuk Embayment may be generated by the long-distance slippage of the uppermost sedimentary cover in response to the sudden shortening of the MFF basement. We thus conclude that the master blind thrust may control the generation of the Zagros front folding.


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