Terrestrial hydroclimatic variability in basins of Southern Siberia driven by different states of permafrost degradation

Author(s):  
Li Han ◽  
Lucas Menzel

<p>Changes in the cryosphere caused by global warming are expected to alter the hydrologic system, with inevitable consequences for freshwater availability to humans and ecosystems. Quantitative understandings of the historical hydrologic changes in response to permafrost degradation is essential for projecting future changes with respect to the continuing and possibly intensifying warming. Here we investigate past hydro-climatic changes over three southern Siberian basins with diverse permafrost properties: in the Selenga catchment, all three permafrost types occur, i.e., discontinuous, sporadic and isolated permafrost; the Lena Basin (at gauge Tabaga) is mostly underlain by discontinuous permafrost, while the Aldan is dominated by continuous permafrost.</p><p>Based on the reconstruction of terrestrial water storage changes (TWS) from the GRACE satellite mission and hydro-climatic time series over the period 1984-2013, our results show very different change patterns in the TWS among these three basins. There is an unprecedented reduction of TWS (-9.8 km<sup>3</sup>) in the Selenga basin, but remarkable increases (14.4 km<sup>3</sup> and 13.1 km<sup>3</sup>) in the Lena-Tabaga and Aldan basins, respectively. The diverse changes in TWS, runoff and precipitation over each basin suggest different hydrologic response mechanisms to permafrost degradation under a warming climate. The Selenga, dominated by lateral degradation (i.e., decreasing permafrost extent), suffers severe water loss via deep infiltration of water that was previously stored close to the surface, which induces a drier surface and subsurface drainage system. In contrast, in the Aldan basin, determined by vertical degradation, thicker active layers develop which sustain a water-rich surface and subsurface environment. In the Lena-Tabaga basin finally, which is characterized by both lateral and vertical degradations, the further development of lateral degradation has led to a stronger increase in groundwater storage in comparison to surface runoff during the increased precipitation states, suggesting a potentially groundwater-dominated hydrologic system in this basin. Our findings are of great importance for the regional water management in permafrost-affected regions under ongoing warming.</p>

Permafrost is permanently frozen ground that remains continuously below 0 °C for two or more years. The upper level of permafrost, the permafrost table, can occur within a centimeter of the ground surface or at a depth of several meters. The active layer, which thaws each summer, overlies permafrost. Permafrost underlies about a quarter of the northern hemisphere and can form in sediment or bedrock and on land or under the ocean. Permafrost forms incrementally and, in the regions where it is up to 1 km thick, permafrost can represent thousands of years of formation. Permafrost is present at high latitudes and high altitudes. In these regions, permafrost can be described as continuous, discontinuous, sporadic, or isolated. Continuous permafrost forms at mean annual air temperatures below -5 °C and is laterally continuous, regardless of surface aspect or material. Discontinuous permafrost forms where the mean annual air temperature is between -2 and -4 °C, allowing permafrost to persist in 50 to 90 percent of the landscape. Permafrost is sporadic where 10 to <50 percent of the landscape is underlain by permafrost and mean annual air temperature is between 0 and -2 °C. Permafrost is considered isolated where less than 10 percent of the landscape is underlain by permafrost. When it is present, permafrost creates unique conditions. Permafrost forms an impermeable layer beneath the active layer, for example, which limits the rooting depth of plants and prevents infiltration by water during the summer. The lack of deep infiltration can facilitate formation of extensive wetlands in high-latitude areas that receive relatively little precipitation. Permafrost degradation (thaw) creates diverse environmental hazards, including instability of the ground surface that affects infrastructure and fluxes of water, sediment, and organic matter entering rivers, lakes and oceans. Permafrost degradation releases frozen microbes, some of which are pathogens, and organic carbon. Permafrost degradation also influences the geographic range of plants and animals and thus ecosystem processes and biotic communities. The greatest concern with permafrost degradation at present, however, is the potential for releasing significant carbon into the atmosphere. Globally, soils are the largest terrestrial reservoir of carbon and permafrost soils are the single largest component of the carbon reservoir. Carbon released by degrading permafrost can enter the atmosphere as the greenhouse gases carbon dioxide and methane, or the carbon can be taken up by plants or transported by rivers to the ocean and buried in marine sediments. The balance among these different pathways is largely unknown, but carbon release to the atmosphere presents a serious threat as a mechanism to enhance global warming.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miguel Bartolomé ◽  
Ana Moreno ◽  
Marc Luetscher ◽  
Christoph Spötl ◽  
Maria Leunda ◽  
...  

&lt;p&gt;Cryogenic cave carbonates (CCC) are rare speleothems that form when water freezes inside cave ice bodies. CCC have been used as an proxy for permafrost degradation, permafrost thickness, or subsurface ice formation. The presence of these minerals is usually attributed to warm periods of permafrost degradation. We found coarse crystalline CCC types within transparent, massive congelation ice in two Pyrenean ice caves in the Monte Perido Massif: Devaux, located on the north face at 2828 m a.s.l., and Sarrios 6, located in the south face at 2780 m a.s.l. The external mean annual air temperature (MAAT) at Devaux is ~ 0&amp;#176;C, while at Sarrios 6 is ~ 2.5&amp;#176;C. In the Monte Perdido massif discontinuous permafrost is currently present between 2750 and 2900 m a.s.l. and is more frequent above 2900 m a.s.l. in northern faces. In Devaux, air and rock temperatures, as well as the presence of hoarfrost and the absence of drip sites indicate a frozen host rock. Moreover, a river flows along the main gallery, and during winters the water freezes at the spring causing backflooding in the cave. In contrast, Sarrios 6 has several drip sites, although the gallery where CCC were collected is hydrologically inactive. This gallery opened in recent years due to ice retreat. During spring, water is present in the gallery due to the overflow of ponds forming beneath drips. CCC commonly formed as sub-millimeter-size spherulites, rhombohedrons and rafts. &lt;sup&gt;230&lt;/sup&gt;Th ages of the same CCC morphotype indicate that their formation took place at 1953&amp;#177;7, 1959&amp;#177;14, 1957&amp;#177;14, 1958&amp;#177;15, 1974&amp;#177;16 CE in Devaux, while in Sarrios 6 they formed at 1964&amp;#177;5, 1992&amp;#177;2, 1996&amp;#177;1 CE. The cumulative probability density function indicates that the most probable formation occurred 1957-1965 and 1992-1997. The instrumental temperature record at 2860 m a.s.l. indicates positive MAAT in 1964 (0.2&amp;#176;C) and 1997 (0.8&amp;#176;C). CCC formation could thus correspond with those two anomalously warm years. The massive and transparent ice would indicate a sudden ingress of water and subsequent slow freezing inside both caves during those years. Probably, CCC formation took place at a seasonal scale during the annual cycle.&lt;/p&gt;


2019 ◽  
Vol 55 (11) ◽  
pp. 9838-9857 ◽  
Author(s):  
Élise G. Devoie ◽  
James R. Craig ◽  
Ryan F. Connon ◽  
William L. Quinton

2011 ◽  
Vol 48 (5) ◽  
pp. 720-740 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Fortier ◽  
Anne-Marie LeBlanc ◽  
Wenbing Yu

Differential subsidence of as much as 0.85 m is affecting the access road to Umiujaq Airport in Nunavik (Quebec), Canada, located in the discontinuous permafrost zone. A geotechnical and geophysical investigation including piezocone test, ground-penetrating radar profiling, electrical resistivity tomography, and numerical modeling of the thermal regime of the road embankment and subgrade is presented to characterize the ground stratigraphy and permafrost conditions and to assess the exact causes and effects of permafrost degradation on the road embankment. The subsidence is due to thaw consolidation taking place in a layer of ice-rich silt underneath a superficial sand layer. While the seasonal freeze–thaw cycles were initially restricted to the sand layer, the thawing front has now reached the thaw-unstable ice-rich silt layer. According to our numerical modeling, the increase in air temperature recently observed in Nunavik cannot be the sole cause of the observed subsidence affecting this engineering structure. The thick embankment also acts as a snow fence favoring the accumulation of snow on the embankment shoulders. The permafrost degradation is also due to the thermal insulation of the snow cover reducing heat loss in the embankment shoulders and toes.


1987 ◽  
Vol 24 (11) ◽  
pp. 2206-2222 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michel Allard ◽  
Maurice K. Seguin

Permafrost evolution in postglacial marine silts near the tree line was reconstructed using landform analysis, 14C dating, and palynostratigraphic analysis of peat sections. In the forest–tundra, below the tree line, four sites in peat plateaus have a stratigraphic sequence indicating an alluvial plain environment from 6000 to 4800 BP followed by a wetland supporting trees and shrubs with deep snow accumulation and without permafrost. Ground heave occurred between 1900 and 1200 BP as peat plateaus and palsas were formed. In the shrub–tundra, above the tree line, three permafrost sites with buried peat beds suggest that climatic conditions were cold enough for discontinuous permafrost in the surrounding landscape starting from land emergence, about 5800 BP; however, fen expansion and sedge peat accumulation continued over unfrozen ground until 2300, 1560, and 1400 BP. At these dates, the sites were buried with silt, probably as a result of mass wasting on nearby permafrost mounds and then permafrost aggraded under the sites. Generally, the palynostratigraphic data reflect a marked cooling of climate starting by 3200–2700 BP and culminating in a major period of permafrost aggradation between 1900 and 1200 BP. Permafrost degradation has been dominant since then despite other possible cold intervals. Nowadays, the permafrost in marine silts is twice as thick and three times more widespread in the shrub–tundra than in the forest–tundra.


2016 ◽  
Vol 25 (6) ◽  
pp. 685-694 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liangjing Zhang ◽  
Henryk Dobslaw ◽  
Christoph Dahle ◽  
Ingo Sasgen ◽  
Maik Thomas

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
Author(s):  
Omar Gutierrez-Cori ◽  
Jhan Carlo Espinoza ◽  
Laurent Z. X. Li ◽  
Sly Wongchuig ◽  
Paola A. Arias ◽  
...  

The southern Amazonia is undergoing a major biophysical transition, involving changes in land use and regional climate. This study provides new insights on the relationship between hydroclimatic variables and vegetation conditions in the upper Madeira Basin (~1 × 106 km2). Vegetative dynamics are characterised using the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) while hydroclimatic variability is analysed using satellite-based precipitation, observed river discharge, satellite measurements of terrestrial water storage (TWS) and downward shortwave radiation (DSR). We show that the vegetation in this region varies from energy-limited to water-limited throughout the year. During the peak of the wet season (January-February), rainfall, discharge and TWS are negatively correlated with NDVI in February-April (r = −0.48 to −0.65; p &lt; 0.05). In addition, DSR is positively correlated with NDVI (r = 0.47–0.54; p &lt; 0.05), suggesting that the vegetation is mainly energy-limited during this period. Outside this period, these correlations are positive for rainfall, discharge and TWS (r = 0.55–0.88; p &lt; 0.05), and negative for DSR (r = −0.47 to −0.54; p &lt; 0.05), suggesting that vegetation depends mainly on water availability, particularly during the vegetation dry season (VDS; late June to late October). Accordantly, the total rainfall during the dry season explains around 80% of the VDS NDVI interannual variance. Considering the predominant land cover types, differences in the hydroclimate-NDVI relationship are observed. Evergreen forests (531,350 km2) remain energy-limited during the beginning of the dry season, but they become water-limited at the end of the VDS. In savannas and flooded savannas (162,850 km2), water dependence occurs months before the onset of the VDS. These differences are more evident during extreme drought years (2007, 2010, and 2011), where regional impacts on NDVI were stronger in savannas and flooded savannas (55% of the entire surface of savannas) than in evergreen forests (40%). A spatial analysis reveals that two specific areas do not show significant hydroclimatic-NDVI correlations during the dry season: (i) the eastern flank of the Andes, characterised by very wet conditions, therefore the vegetation is not water-limited, and (ii) recent deforested areas (~42,500 km2) that break the natural response in the hydroclimate-vegetation system. These findings are particularly relevant given the increasing rates of deforestation in this region.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (16) ◽  
pp. 3304
Author(s):  
Qin Li ◽  
Xiuguo Liu ◽  
Yulong Zhong ◽  
Mengmeng Wang ◽  
Shuang Zhu

Terrestrial water storage changes (TWSCs) retrieved from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite mission have been extensively evaluated in previous studies over large basin scales. However, monitoring the TWSC at small basin scales is still poorly understood. This study presented a new method for calculating TWSCs at the small basin scales based on the water balance equation, using hydrometeorological and multi-source data. First, the basin was divided into several sub-basins through the slope runoff simulation algorithm. Secondly, we simulated the evapotranspiration (ET) and outbound runoff of each sub-basin using the PML_V2 and SWAT. Lastly, through the water balance equation, the TWSC of each sub-basin was obtained. Based on the estimated results, we analyzed the temporal and spatial variations in precipitation, ET, outbound runoff, and TWSC in the Ganjiang River Basin (GRB) from 2002 to 2018. The results showed that by comparing with GRACE products, in situ groundwater levels data, and soil moisture storage, the TWSC calculated by this study is in good agreement with these three data. During the study period, the spatial and temporal variations in precipitation and runoff in the GRB were similar, with a minimum in 2011 and maximum in 2016. The annual ET changed gently, while the TWSC fluctuated greatly. The findings of this study could provide some new information for improving the estimate of the TWSC at small basin scales.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas A. Douglas ◽  
Christopher A. Hiemstra ◽  
Stephanie P. Saari ◽  
Kevin L. Bjella ◽  
Seth W. Campbell ◽  
...  

Accurate identification of the relationships between permafrost extent and landscape patterns helps develop airborne geophysical or remote sensing tools to map permafrost in remote locations or across large areas. These tools are particularly applicable in discontinuous permafrost where climate warming or disturbances such as human development or fire can lead to rapid permafrost degradation. We linked field-based geophysical, point-scale, and imagery surveying measurements to map permafrost at five fire scars on the Tanana Flats in central Alaska. Ground-based elevation surveys, seasonal thaw-depth profiles, and electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) measurements were combined with airborne imagery and light detection and ranging (LiDAR) to identify relationships between permafrost geomorphology and elapsed time since fire disturbance. ERT was a robust technique for mapping the presence or absence of permafrost because of the marked difference in resistivity values for frozen versus unfrozen material. There was no clear relationship between elapsed time since fire and permafrost extent at our sites. The transition zone boundaries between permafrost soils and unfrozen soils in the collapse-scar bogs at our sites had complex and unpredictable morphologies, suggesting attempts to quantify the presence or absence of permafrost using aerial measurements alone could lead to incomplete results. The results from our study indicated limitations in being able to apply airborne surveying measurements at the landscape scale toward accurately estimating permafrost extent.


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