scholarly journals Internal evaluation of a physically-based distributed model using data from a Mediterranean mountain catchment

2002 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 67-84 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. P. Anderton ◽  
J. Latron ◽  
S. M. White ◽  
P. Llorens ◽  
F. Gallart ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Model Performance ◽  
Flow Simulation ◽  
Water Model ◽  
Distributed Model ◽  
Canopy Interception ◽  
Catchment Scale ◽  
Phreatic Surface ◽  
Internal Evaluation ◽  
Mountain Catchment ◽  
Physically Based

Abstract. An evaluation of the performance of a physically-based distributed model of a small Mediterranean mountain catchment is presented. This was carried out using hydrological response data, including measurements of runoff, soil moisture, phreatic surface level and actual evapotranspiration. A-priori model parameterisation was based as far as possible on property data measured in the catchment. Limited model calibration was required to identify an appropriate value for terms controlling water loss to a deeper regional aquifer. The model provided good results for an initial calibration period, when judged in terms of catchment discharge. However, model performance for runoff declined substantially when evaluated against a consecutive, rather drier, period of data. Evaluation against other catchment responses allowed identification of the problems responsible for the observed lack of model robustness in flow simulation. In particular, it was shown that an incorrect parameterisation of the soil water model was preventing adequate representation of drainage from soils during hydrograph recessions. This excess moisture was then being removed via an overestimation of evapotranspiration. It also appeared that the model underestimated canopy interception. The results presented here suggest that model evaluation against catchment scale variables summarising its water balance can be of great use in identifying problems with model parameterisation, even for distributed models. Evaluation using spatially distributed data yielded less useful information on model performance, owing to the relative sparseness of data points, and problems of mismatch of scale between the measurement and the model grid. Keywords: physically-based distributed model, SHETRAN, parameterisation, Mediterranean mountain catchment, internal evaluation, multi-response

scholarly journals Distributed modelling of shallow landslides triggered by intense rainfall

2003 ◽  
Vol 3 (1/2) ◽  
pp. 81-93 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. B. Crosta ◽  
P. Frattini
Keyword(s):  
Model Performance ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Shallow Landslides ◽  
Rainfall Event ◽  
Distributed Model ◽  
Hydrological Models ◽  
Wetting Front ◽  
Diffusive Model ◽  
Physically Based ◽  
Landslide Triggering

Abstract. Hazard assessment of shallow landslides represents an important aspect of land management in mountainous areas. Among all the methods proposed in the literature, physically based methods are the only ones that explicitly includes the dynamic factors that control landslide triggering (rainfall pattern, land-use). For this reason, they allow forecasting both the temporal and the spatial distribution of shallow landslides. Physically based methods for shallow landslides are based on the coupling of the infinite slope stability analysis with hydrological models. Three different grid-based distributed hydrological models are presented in this paper: a steady state model, a transient "piston-flow" wetting front model, and a transient diffusive model. A comparative test of these models was performed to simulate landslide occurred during a rainfall event (27–28 June 1997) that triggered hundreds of shallow landslides within Lecco province (central Southern Alps, Italy). In order to test the potential for a completely distributed model for rainfall-triggered landslides, radar detected rainfall intensity has been used. A new procedure for quantitative evaluation of distributed model performance is presented and used in this paper. The diffusive model results in the best model for the simulation of shallow landslide triggering after a rainfall event like the one that we have analysed. Finally, radar data available for the June 1997 event permitted greatly improving the simulation. In particular, radar data allowed to explain the non-uniform distribution of landslides within the study area.

scholarly journals Hydrological appraisal of operational weather radar rainfall estimates in the context of different modelling structures

2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 10495-10534
Author(s):  
D. Zhu ◽  
Y. Xuan ◽  
I. Cluckie
Keyword(s):  
Hydrological Model ◽  
Scale Effects ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Distributed Model ◽  
Catchment Scale ◽  
Radar Rainfall ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Rainfall Estimates

Abstract. Radar rainfall estimates have become increasingly available for hydrological modellers over recent years, especially for flood forecasting and warning over poorly gauged catchments. However, the impact of using radar rainfall as compared with conventional raingauge inputs, with respect to various hydrological model structures, remains unclear and yet to be addressed. In the study presented by this paper, we analysed the flow simulations of the Upper Medway catchment of Southeast England using the UK NIMROD radar rainfall estimates using three hydrological models based upon three very different structures, e.g. a physically based distributed MIKE SHE model, a lumped conceptual model PDM and an event-based unit hydrograph model PRTF. We focused on the sensitivity of simulations in relation to the storm types and various rainfall intensities. The uncertainty in radar-rainfall estimates, scale effects and extreme rainfall were examined in order to quantify the performance of the radar. We found that radar rainfall estimates were lower than raingauge measurements in high rainfall rates; the resolutions of radar rainfall data had insignificant impact at this catchment scale in the case of evenly distributed rainfall events but was obvious otherwise for high-intensity, localised rainfall events with great spatial heterogeneity. As to hydrological model performance, the distributed model had consistent reliable and good performance on peak simulation with all the rainfall types tested in this study.

Distributed conceptual modelling in a Swedish lowland catchment: a multi-criteria model assessment

2012 ◽  
Vol 44 (2) ◽  
pp. 318-333 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastian Wrede ◽  
Jan Seibert ◽  
Stefan Uhlenbrook
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Representation ◽  
Environmental Flows ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Hydrologic Model ◽  
Distributed Model ◽  
Model Assessment ◽  
Runoff Generation ◽  
Catchment Scale ◽  
Model Concept ◽  
Flow Measurements

Operational management and prediction of water quantity and quality often requires a spatially meaningful simulation of environmental flows and storages at the catchment scale. In this study, the performance of a fully distributed conceptual hydrologic model was evaluated based on the HBV (Hydrologiska Byråns Vattenbalansavdelning) and TACD (Tracer Aided Catchment model – Distributed) model concept in the meso-scale Fyrisån catchment in the Central Swedish lowlands. For a more spatially explicit representation of runoff generation processes of small landscape elements such as wetlands, a new sub-grid parameterization scheme was implemented in the model. In addition, a simple flow distribution and lake retention routine was introduced to better conceptualize the flow routing. During intensive model evaluation and comparison the model underwent conventional split-sample and proxy-basin tests. In this process, shortcomings of the model in the transferability of parameter sets and in the spatial representation of runoff generating processes were found. It was also demonstrated how a detailed comparison with a lumped benchmark model and the additional use of synoptic stream flow measurements allowed further insights into the model performance. It could be concluded that such a thorough model assessment can help to detect shortcomings in the spatial representation of the model and help facilitate model development.

scholarly journals Flood forecasting using a fully distributed model: application of the TOPKAPI model to the Upper Xixian Catchment

2005 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 347-364 ◽  
Author(s):  
Z. Liu ◽  
M. L. V. Martina ◽  
E. Todini
Keyword(s):  
Model Performance ◽  
Distributed Model ◽  
Distributed Hydrological Model ◽  
Deep Soil ◽  
Flood Simulation ◽  
Application Study ◽  
Land Use Types ◽  
Physically Based ◽  
Parameter Values

Abstract. TOPKAPI is a physically-based, fully distributed hydrological model with a simple and parsimonious parameterisation. The original TOPKAPI is structured around five modules that represent evapotranspiration, snowmelt, soil water, surface water and channel water, respectively. Percolation to deep soil layers was ignored in the old version of the TOPKAPI model since it was not important in the basins to which the model was originally applied. Based on published literature, this study developed a new version of the TOPKAPI model, in which the new modules of interception, infiltration, percolation, groundwater flow and lake/reservoir routing are included. This paper presents an application study that makes a first attempt to derive information from public domains through the internet on the topography, soil and land use types for a case study Chinese catchment - the Upper Xixian catchment in Huaihe River with an area of about 10000 km2, and apply a new version of TOPKAPI to the catchment for flood simulation. A model parameter value adjustment was performed using six months of the 1998 dataset. Calibration did not use a curve fitting process, but was chiefly based upon moderate variations of parameter values from those estimated on physical grounds, as is common in traditional calibration. The hydrometeorological dataset of 2002 was then used to validate the model, both against the outlet discharge as well as at an internal gauging station. Finally, to complete the model performance analysis, parameter uncertainty and its effects on predictive uncertainty were also assessed by estimating a posterior parameter probability density via Bayesian inference.

Physically Based Mountain Hydrological Modeling Using Reanalysis Data in Patagonia

2015 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 172-193 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastian A. Krogh ◽  
John W. Pomeroy ◽  
James McPhee
Keyword(s):  
Hydrological Model ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Hydrologic Model ◽  
Total Precipitation ◽  
Blowing Snow ◽  
Cold Region ◽  
Canopy Interception ◽  
Physically Based ◽  
Weather Stations ◽  
The Impact

Abstract A physically based hydrological model for the upper Baker River basin (UBRB) in Patagonia was developed using the modular Cold Regions Hydrological Model (CRHM) in order to better understand the processes that drive the hydrological response of one of the largest rivers in this region. The model includes a full suite of blowing snow, intercepted snow, and energy balance snowmelt modules that can be used to describe the hydrology of this cold region. Within this watershed, snowfall, wind speed, and radiation are not measured; there are no high-elevation weather stations; and existing weather stations are sparsely distributed. The impact of atmospheric data from ECMWF interim reanalysis (ERA-Interim) and Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) on improving model performance by enhancing the representation of forcing variables was evaluated. CRHM parameters were assigned for local physiographic and vegetation characteristics based on satellite land cover classification, a digital elevation model, and parameter transfer from cold region environments in western Canada. It was found that observed precipitation has almost no predictive power [Nash–Sutcliffe coefficient (NS) < 0.3] when used to force the hydrologic model, whereas model performance using any of the reanalysis products—after bias correction—was acceptable with very little calibration (NS > 0.7). The modeled water balance shows that snowfall amounts to about 28% of the total precipitation and that 26% of total river flow stems from snowmelt. Evapotranspiration losses account for 7.2% of total precipitation, whereas sublimation and canopy interception losses represent about 1%. The soil component is the dominant modulator of runoff, with infiltration contributing as much as 73.7% to total basin outflow.

scholarly journals Hydrological appraisal of operational weather radar rainfall estimates in the context of different modelling structures

2014 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 257-272 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Zhu ◽  
Y. Xuan ◽  
I. Cluckie
Keyword(s):  
Hydrological Model ◽  
Scale Effects ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Distributed Model ◽  
Catchment Scale ◽  
Radar Rainfall ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Rainfall Estimates

Abstract. Radar rainfall estimates have become increasingly available for hydrological modellers over recent years, especially for flood forecasting and warning over poorly gauged catchments. However, the impact of using radar rainfall as compared with conventional raingauge inputs, with respect to various hydrological model structures, remains unclear and yet to be addressed. In the study presented by this paper, we analysed the flow simulations of the upper Medway catchment of southeast England using the UK NIMROD radar rainfall estimates, using three hydrological models based upon three very different structures (e.g. a physically based distributed MIKE SHE model, a lumped conceptual model PDM and an event-based unit hydrograph model PRTF). We focused on the sensitivity of simulations in relation to the storm types and various rainfall intensities. The uncertainty in radar rainfall estimates, scale effects and extreme rainfall were examined in order to quantify the performance of the radar. We found that radar rainfall estimates were lower than raingauge measurements in high rainfall rates; the resolutions of radar rainfall data had insignificant impact at this catchment scale in the case of evenly distributed rainfall events but was obvious otherwise for high-intensity, localised rainfall events with great spatial heterogeneity. As to hydrological model performance, the distributed model had consistent reliable and good performance on peak simulation with all the rainfall types tested in this study.

scholarly journals Sensitivity and Performance Analyses of the Distributed Hydrology–Soil–Vegetation Model Using Geomorphons for Landform Mapping

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 2032
Author(s):  
Pâmela A. Melo ◽  
Lívia A. Alvarenga ◽  
Javier Tomasella ◽  
Carlos R. Mello ◽  
Minella A. Martins ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Complex Terrain ◽  
Overland Flow ◽  
Hydrological Model ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Soil Parameters ◽  
Vegetation Model ◽  
Landform Classification ◽  
Physically Based ◽  
And Performance ◽  
Streamflow Simulation

Landform classification is important for representing soil physical properties varying continuously across the landscape and for understanding many hydrological processes in watersheds. Considering it, this study aims to use a geomorphology map (Geomorphons) as an input to a physically based hydrological model (Distributed Hydrology Soil Vegetation Model (DHSVM)) in a mountainous headwater watershed. A sensitivity analysis of five soil parameters was evaluated for streamflow simulation in each Geomorphons feature. As infiltration and saturation excess overland flow are important mechanisms for streamflow generation in complex terrain watersheds, the model’s input soil parameters were most sensitive in the “slope”, “hollow”, and “valley” features. Thus, the simulated streamflow was compared with observed data for calibration and validation. The model performance was satisfactory and equivalent to previous simulations in the same watershed using pedological survey and moisture zone maps. Therefore, the results from this study indicate that a geomorphologically based map is applicable and representative for spatially distributing hydrological parameters in the DHSVM.

scholarly journals Development of a Practical Model for Predicting Soil Salinity in a Salt Marsh in the Arakawa River Estuary

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 2054
Author(s):  
Naoki Kuroda ◽  
Katsuhide Yokoyama ◽  
Tadaharu Ishikawa
Keyword(s):  
Salt Marsh ◽  
Hydraulic Conductivity ◽  
Shallow Water ◽  
Soil Salinity ◽  
River Estuary ◽  
Flow Simulation ◽  
Design Tool ◽  
Water Model ◽  
Shallow Water Model ◽  
Practical Model

Our group has studied the spatiotemporal variation of soil and water salinity in an artificial salt marsh along the Arakawa River estuary and developed a practical model for predicting soil salinity. The salinity of the salt marsh and the water level of a nearby channel were measured once a month for 13 consecutive months. The vertical profile of the soil salinity in the salt marsh was measured once monthly over the same period. A numerical flow simulation adopting the shallow water model faithfully reproduced the salinity variation in the salt marsh. Further, we developed a soil salinity model to estimate the soil salinity in a salt marsh in Arakawa River. The vertical distribution of the soil salinity in the salt marsh was uniform and changed at almost the same time. The hydraulic conductivity of the soil, moreover, was high. The uniform distribution of salinity and high hydraulic conductivity could be explained by the vertical and horizontal transport of salinity through channels burrowed in the soil by organisms. By combining the shallow water model and the soil salinity model, the soil salinity of the salt marsh was well reproduced. The above results suggest that a stable brackish ecotone can be created in an artificial salt marsh using our numerical model as a design tool.

scholarly journals A Novel Physically Based Distributed Model for Irrigation Districts’ Water Movement

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 692
Author(s):  
Boyu Mi ◽  
Haorui Chen ◽  
Shaoli Wang ◽  
Yinlong Jin ◽  
Jiangdong Jia ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Soil Water ◽  
Water Movement ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Irrigation District ◽  
Distributed Model ◽  
Efficiency Coefficient ◽  
Good Correspondence ◽  
Groundwater Movement ◽  
Irrigation Districts ◽  
Physically Based

The water movement research in irrigation districts is important for food production. Many hydrological models have been proposed to simulate the water movement on the regional scale, yet few of them have comprehensively considered processes in the irrigation districts. A novel physically based distributed model, the Irrigation Districts Model (IDM), was constructed in this study to address this problem. The model combined the 1D canal and ditch flow, the 1D soil water movement, the 2D groundwater movement, and the water interactions among these processes. It was calibrated and verified with two-year experimental data from Shahaoqu Sub-Irrigation Area in Hetao Irrigation District. The overall water balance error is 2.9% and 1.6% for the two years, respectively. The Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE) of water table depth and soil water content is 0.72 and 0.64 in the calibration year and 0.68 and 0.64 in the verification year. The results show good correspondence between the simulation and observation. It is practicable to apply the model in water movement research of irrigation districts.

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