scholarly journals Atmospheric influences on the anomalous 2016 Antarctic sea ice decay

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elisabeth Schlosser ◽  
F. Alexander Haumann ◽  
Marilyn N. Raphael
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Early Onset ◽  
Meridional Flow ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Rapid Decrease ◽  
Weddell Sea ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Atmospheric Flow ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice

Abstract. In contrast to the Arctic, where total sea ice extent (SIE) has been decreasing for the last three decades, Antarctic SIE has shown a small, but significant increase during the same time period. However, in 2016, an unusually early onset of the melt season was observed; the maximum Antarctic SIE was already reached as early as August rather than end of September, and was followed by a rapid decrease. The decline of the sea ice area (SIA) started even earlier, namely in July. The decay was particularly strong in November where Antarctic SIE exhibited a negative anomaly (compared to the 1979–2015 average) of approximately 2 Mio. km2, which, combined with reduced Arctic SIE, led to a distinct minimum in global SIE. ECMWF- Interim reanalysis data were used to investigate possible atmospheric influences on the observed phenomena. The early onset of the melt and the rapid decrease in SIA and SIE were associated with atmospheric flow patterns related to a positive ZW3 index, i.e. synoptic situations leading to strong meridional flow. Particularly, in the first third of November northerly flow conditions in the Weddell Sea and the Western Pacific triggered accelerated sea ice decay, which was continued in the following weeks due to positive feed-back effects, leading to the extraordinary low November SIE. In 2016, the monthly mean SAM index reached its second lowest November value since the beginning of the satellite observations. SIE decrease was preconditioned by SIA decrease. A better spatial and temporal coverage of reliable ice thickness data is needed to assess the change in ice mass rather than ice area.

scholarly journals Atmospheric influences on the anomalous 2016 Antarctic sea ice decay

2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 1103-1119 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elisabeth Schlosser ◽  
F. Alexander Haumann ◽  
Marilyn N. Raphael
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Early Onset ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Meridional Flow ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Rapid Decrease ◽  
Weddell Sea ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Wave Number ◽  
Sea Ice Extent

Abstract. In contrast to the Arctic, where total sea ice extent (SIE) has been decreasing for the last three decades, Antarctic SIE has shown a small, but significant, increase during the same time period. However, in 2016, an unusually early onset of the melt season was observed; the maximum Antarctic SIE was already reached as early as August rather than the end of September, and was followed by a rapid decrease. The decay was particularly strong in November, when Antarctic SIE exhibited a negative anomaly (compared to the 1979–2015 average) of approximately 2 million km2. ECMWF Interim reanalysis data showed that the early onset of the melt and the rapid decrease in sea ice area (SIA) and SIE were associated with atmospheric flow patterns related to a positive zonal wave number three (ZW3) index, i.e., synoptic situations leading to strong meridional flow and anomalously strong southward heat advection in the regions of strongest sea ice decline. A persistently positive ZW3 index from May to August suggests that SIE decrease was preconditioned by SIA decrease. In particular, in the first third of November northerly flow conditions in the Weddell Sea and the Western Pacific triggered accelerated sea ice decay, which was continued in the following weeks due to positive feedback effects, leading to the unusually low November SIE. In 2016, the monthly mean Southern Annular Mode (SAM) index reached its second lowest November value since the beginning of the satellite observations. A better spatial and temporal coverage of reliable ice thickness data is needed to assess the change in ice mass rather than ice area.

scholarly journals Spatio-temporal variability and decadal trends of snowmelt processes on Antarctic sea ice observed by satellite scatterometers

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefanie Arndt ◽  
Christian Haas
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Weddell Sea ◽  
Passive Microwave ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Signal Frequency ◽  
Onset Date ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
Perennial Ice

Abstract. The timing and intensity of snowmelt processes on sea ice are key drivers determining the seasonal sea-ice energy and mass budgets. In the Arctic, satellite passive microwave and radar observations have revealed a trend towards an earlier snowmelt onset during the last decades, which is an important aspect of Arctic amplification and sea ice decline. Around Antarctica, snowmelt on perennial ice is weak and very different than in the Arctic, with most snow surviving the summer. Here we compile time series of snowmelt-onset dates on seasonal and perennial Antarctic sea ice from 1992 to 2014/15 using active microwave observations from European Remote Sensing Satellite (ERS-1/2), Quick Scatterometer (QSCAT) and Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT) radar scatterometers. We define two snowmelt transition stages: A weak backscatter rise indicating the initial warming and metamorphism of the snowpack (pre-melt), followed by a rapid backscatter rise indicating the onset of thaw-freeze cycles (snowmelt). Results show large interannual variability with an average pre-melt onset date of 29 November and melt onset of 10 December, respectively, on perennial ice, without any significant trends over the study period, consistent with the small trends of Antarctic sea ice extent. There was a latitudinal gradient from early snowmelt onsets in mid-November in the northern Weddell Sea to late (end-December) or even absent snowmelt conditions in the southern Weddell Sea. We show that QSCAT Ku-band (13.4 GHz signal frequency) derived pre-melt and snowmelt onset dates are earlier by 25 and 11 days, respectively, than ERS and ASCAT C-band (5.6 GHz) derived dates. This offset has been considered when constructing the time series. Snowmelt onset dates from passive microwave observations (37 GHz) are later by 13 and 5 days than those from the scatterometers, respectively. Based on these characteristic differences between melt onset dates observed by different microwave wavelengths, we developed a conceptual model which illustrates how the evolution of seasonal snow temperature profiles affects different microwave bands with different penetration depths. These suggest that future multi-frequency active/passive microwave satellite missions could be used to resolve melt processes throughout the vertical snow column.

scholarly journals Inter-annual variations observed in spring and summer Antarctic sea ice extent in recent decade

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 62 (4) ◽  
pp. 633-640
Author(s):  
SANDIP R.OZA ◽  
R.K.K. SINGH ◽  
ABHINAV SRIVASTAVA ◽  
MIHIR K.DASH ◽  
I.M.L. DAS ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Ross Sea ◽  
Ice Cover ◽  
Weddell Sea ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Antarctic

The growth and decay of sea ice are complex processes and have important feedback onto the oceanic and atmospheric circulation. In the Antarctic, sea ice variability significantly affects the primary productivity in the Southern Ocean and thereby negatively influences the performance and survival of species in polar ecosystem. In present days, the awareness on the sea ice variability in the Antarctic is not as matured as it is for the Arctic region. The present paper focuses on the inter-annual trends (1999-2009) observed in the monthly fractional sea ice cover in the Antarctic at 1 × 1 degree level, for the November and February months, derived from QuikSCAT scatterometer data. OSCAT scatterometer data from India’s Oceansat-2 satellite were used to asses the sea ice extent (SIE) observed in the month of November 2009 and February 2010 and its deviation from climatic maximum (1979-2002) sea ice extent (CMSIE). Large differences were observed between SIE and CMSIE, however, trend results show that it is due to the high inter-annual variability in sea ice cover. Spatial distribution of trends show the existence of positive and negative trends in the parts of Western Pacific Ocean, Ross Sea, Amundsen and Bellingshausen Seas (ABS), Weddell Sea and Indian ocean sector of southern ocean. Sea ice trends are compared with long-term SST trends (1982-2009) observed in the austral summer month of February. Large-scale cooling trend observed around Ross Sea and warming trend in ABS sector are the distinct outcome of the study.

Features of changes in the sea ice and snow cover extents associated with temperature changes in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres in recent decades.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Parfenova ◽  
Igor I. Mokhov
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Snow Cover ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
Northern And Southern Hemispheres

<p>Quantitative estimates of the relationship between the interannual variability of Antarctic and Arctic sea ice and changes in the surface temperature in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres using satellitedata, observational data and reanalysis data for the last four decades (1980-2019) are obtained. The previously noted general increase in the Antarctic sea ice extent (up to 2016) (according to satellite data available only since the late 1970s), happening simultaneously with global warming and rapid decrease in the Arctic sea ice extent, is associated with the regional manifestation of natural climate fluctuations with periods of up to several decades. The results of correlation and crosswavelet analysis indicate significant coherence and negative correlation of hemispheric surface temperature with not only Arctic,but also Antarctic sea ice extent in recent decades.</p><p>Seasonal and regional peculiarities of snow cover sensitivity to temperature regime changes in the Northern Hemisphere are noted with an assessment of changes in recent decades. Peculiarities of snow cover variability in Eurasia and North America are presented. In particular, the peculiarities of changes in snow cover during the autumn seasons are noted.</p>

Connecting Antarctic Sea Ice and Mid-latitude Precipitation

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tristan Rendfrey ◽  
Ashley Payne
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Lower Latitude ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Weather Patterns ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
Ice Coverage ◽  
Precipitation Timing ◽  
Analogous Relation

<div><span>Climatic changes induce many significant changes to long standing weather patterns. These mechanisms interact to drive consequences that may not be immediately obvious. One such connection involves the apparent relationship between polar sea ice extent and mid-latitude precipitation timing and location. This correlation, its mechanisms, and possible influences on weather are decently understood with respect to the Northern Hemisphere. However, the analogous relation for the Southern Hemisphere has been less studied. This provides an opportunity to examine connections between polar conditions and mid-latitude weather.</span></div><div> </div><div><span>We explore the teleconnection between sea ice extent and lower latitude precipitation over the Southern Hemisphere. We investigate this relationship through observations of sea ice coverage using ICESat and ICESat-2 compared with reanalysis data via MERRA-2 in order to understand the variability of sea ice extent and its impact on midlatitude precipitation over the Southern Hemisphere. This study particularly examines the importance of seasonality and regional variations of the relationship.</span></div>

scholarly journals Antarctic sea ice variability and trends, 1979–2010

2012 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 931-956 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. L. Parkinson ◽  
D. J. Cavalieri
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Ross Sea ◽  
Ice Cover ◽  
Weddell Sea ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Positive Trend ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
Ice Coverage

Abstract. In sharp contrast to the decreasing sea ice coverage of the Arctic, in the Antarctic the sea ice cover has, on average, expanded since the late 1970s. More specifically, satellite passive-microwave data for the period November 1978–December 2010 reveal an overall positive trend in ice extents of 17 100 ± 2300 km2 yr−1. Much of the increase, at 13 700 ± 1500 km2 yr−1, has occurred in the region of the Ross Sea, with lesser contributions from the Weddell Sea and Indian Ocean. One region, that of the Bellingshausen/Amundsen Seas, has, like the Arctic, instead experienced significant sea ice decreases, with an overall ice extent trend of −8200 ± 1200 km2 yr−1. When examined through the annual cycle over the 32-yr period 1979–2010, the Southern Hemisphere sea ice cover as a whole experienced positive ice extent trends in every month, ranging in magnitude from a low of 9100 ± 6300 km2 yr−1 in February to a high of 24 700 ± 10 000 km2 yr−1 in May. The Ross Sea and Indian Ocean also had positive trends in each month, while the Bellingshausen/Amundsen Seas had negative trends in each month, and the Weddell Sea and Western Pacific Ocean had a mixture of positive and negative trends. Comparing ice-area results to ice-extent results, in each case the ice-area trend has the same sign as the ice-extent trend, but differences in the magnitudes of the two trends identify regions with overall increasing ice concentrations and others with overall decreasing ice concentrations. The strong pattern of decreasing ice coverage in the Bellingshausen/Amundsen Seas region and increasing ice coverage in the Ross Sea region is suggestive of changes in atmospheric circulation. This is a key topic for future research.

scholarly journals Annually-Averaged Polar Sea-Ice Extents During 1978–1987: Northern Extent Decrease and Southern Extent Oscillation

1990 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
pp. 336
Author(s):  
Per Gloersen ◽  
William J. Campbell
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Microwave Radiometer ◽  
Small Oscillation ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
El Niño Events ◽  
El Nino Events

Recently reported observations of a nine-year decrease in global sea-ice extent, obtained from the Scanning Multichannel Microwave Radiometer onboard the Nimbus-7 satellite during 1978–87 and averaged with an annual running mean, have been separated into Arctic and Antarctic components. The annually-averaged global extent decrease was 2.5%. Here it is shown that the greater part of this decrease occurred in the Arctic where there was a decline of 3.5% with a goodness of fit of 0.54. Superimposed on this decline was a small oscillation with a period of about four years and an amplitude of about 1%. A significantly smaller and statistically insignificant decrease of 1.2% with a goodness of fit of 0.03 is observed in the annually averaged Antarctic sea-ice extent. However, three large oscillations with amplitudes of about 4% and periods of about three years occurred in phase with three El Niño events.

scholarly journals Antarctic sea ice variability and trends, 1979–2010

2012 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 871-880 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. L. Parkinson ◽  
D. J. Cavalieri
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Ross Sea ◽  
Ice Cover ◽  
Weddell Sea ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Positive Trend ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
Ice Coverage

Abstract. In sharp contrast to the decreasing sea ice coverage of the Arctic, in the Antarctic the sea ice cover has, on average, expanded since the late 1970s. More specifically, satellite passive-microwave data for the period November 1978–December 2010 reveal an overall positive trend in ice extents of 17 100 ± 2300 km2 yr−1. Much of the increase, at 13 700 ± 1500 km2 yr−1, has occurred in the region of the Ross Sea, with lesser contributions from the Weddell Sea and Indian Ocean. One region, that of the Bellingshausen/Amundsen Seas, has (like the Arctic) instead experienced significant sea ice decreases, with an overall ice extent trend of −8200 ± 1200 km2 yr−1. When examined through the annual cycle over the 32-yr period 1979–2010, the Southern Hemisphere sea ice cover as a whole experienced positive ice extent trends in every month, ranging in magnitude from a low of 9100 ± 6300 km2 yr−1 in February to a high of 24 700 ± 10 000 km2 yr−1 in May. The Ross Sea and Indian Ocean also had positive trends in each month, while the Bellingshausen/Amundsen Seas had negative trends in each month, and the Weddell Sea and western Pacific Ocean had a mixture of positive and negative trends. Comparing ice-area results to ice-extent results, in each case the ice-area trend has the same sign as the ice-extent trend, but the magnitudes of the two trends differ, and in some cases these differences allow inferences about the corresponding changes in sea ice concentrations. The strong pattern of decreasing ice coverage in the Bellingshausen/Amundsen Seas region and increasing ice coverage in the Ross Sea region is suggestive of changes in atmospheric circulation. This is a key topic for future research.

scholarly journals Antarctic sea ice decline delayed well into the 21st century in a high-resolution climate projection

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Rackow ◽  
Sergey Danilov ◽  
Helge F. Goessling ◽  
Hartmut H. Hellmer ◽  
Dmitry V. Sein ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Alternative Mechanism ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
Sea Ice Decline

<p>Despite ongoing global warming and strong sea ice decline in the Arctic, the sea ice extent around the Antarctic continent has not declined during the satellite era since 1979. This is in stark contrast to existing climate models that tend to show a strong negative sea ice trend for the same period; hence the confidence in projected Antarctic sea-ice changes is considered to be low. In the years since 2016, there has been significantly lower Antarctic sea ice extent, which some consider a sign of imminent change; however, others have argued that sea ice extent is expected to regress to the weak decadal trend in the near future.</p><p>In this presentation, we show results from climate change projections with a new climate model that allows the simulation of mesoscale eddies in dynamically active ocean regions in a computationally efficient way. We find that the high-resolution configuration (HR) favours periods of stable Antarctic sea ice extent in September as observed over the satellite era. Sea ice is not projected to decline well into the 21<sup>st</sup> century in the HR simulations, which is similar to the delaying effect of, e.g., added glacial melt water in recent studies. The HR ocean configurations simulate an ocean heat transport that responds differently to global warming and is more efficient at moderating the anthropogenic warming of the Southern Ocean. As a consequence, decrease of Antarctic sea ice extent is significantly delayed, in contrast to what existing coarser-resolution climate models predict.</p><p>Other explanations why current models simulate a non-observed decline of Antarctic sea-ice have been put forward, including the choice of included sea ice physics and underestimated simulated trends in westerly winds. Our results provide an alternative mechanism that might be strong enough to explain the gap between modeled and observed trends alone.</p>

scholarly journals A Regime Shift in Seasonal Total Antarctic Sea Ice Extent in the 20th Century

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ryan Fogt ◽  
Amanda Sleinkofer ◽  
Marilyn Raphael ◽  
Mark Handcock
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
20Th Century ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Historical Context ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice ◽  
Coupled Climate Models ◽  
High Degree ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract In stark contrast to the Arctic, there have been statistically significant positive trends in total Antarctic sea ice extent since 1979, despite a sudden decline in sea ice in 2016(1–5) and increasing greenhouse gas concentrations. Attributing Antarctic sea ice trends is complicated by the fact that most coupled climate models show negative trends in sea ice extent since 1979, opposite of that observed(6–8). Additionally, the short record of sea ice extent (beginning in 1979), coupled with the high degree of interannual variability, make the record too short to fully understand the historical context of these recent changes(9). Here we show, using new robust observation-based reconstructions, that 1) these observed recent increases in Antarctic sea ice extent are unique in the context of the 20th century and 2) the observed trends are juxtaposed against statistically significant decreases in sea ice extent throughout much of the early and middle 20th century. These reconstructions are the first to provide reliable estimates of total sea ice extent surrounding the continent; previous proxy-based reconstructions are limited(10). Importantly, the reconstructions continue to show the high degree of interannual Antarctic sea ice extent variability that is marked with frequent sudden changes, such as observed in 2016, which stress the importance of a longer historical context when assessing and attributing observed trends in Antarctic climate(9). Our reconstructions are skillful enough to be used in climate models to allow better understanding of the interconnected nature of the Antarctic climate system and to improve predictions of the future state of Antarctic climate.

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