ՀՀ տնտեսության պարտքային անվտանգության խնդիրները Արցախյան պատերազմի համատեքստում

2021 ◽  
pp. 181-188
Author(s):  
Ani Grigoryan

The 2020 began with the Coronavirus crisis and ended with the Artsakh war, causing both financial and human losses. An extremely difficult economic and political situation was created for the Republic of Armenia. The volume of military expenditures, which is expenditure priority due to military operations, has increased by about 40 billion drams in the current year. The epidemic restrictions reduced tax revenues by about 113 billion drams. The purpose of this article is to reveal the challenges that Armenia has been facing, due to the epidemic and the Artsakh war, substantiating the approach, that the above-mentioned instabilities will inevitably lead to a violation of the logic of the planned economic growth. During the research, the indicators of the government debt-to-GDP ratio of different years were calculated by the method of quantitative analysis, which show the amount of the debt burden. As a result of the research we came to the conclusion that the economic problems will lead to an increase in the budget deficit. And the lack of the resources to finance the latter will make it inevitable for the Republic of Armenia to attract new external public debt, which will increase the already heavy external public debt burden of the RA. Considering the above-mentioned issues as a priority, this article aims to study the dynamics of the external debt obligations of the RA economy during the difficult economic and political period for the Republic of Armenia.

Subject Zambian debt crises. Significance Both the IMF and World Bank have cut their growth projections for Zambia, compounding concerns about currency depreciation, inflation and escalating external debt. Amid public anger at worsening corruption, the government and President Edgar Lungu are struggling to contain mounting dissent. Impacts Lusaka’s ties to China, and criticism from the United States, could undermine future access to concessional IMF and World Bank loans. An opposition alliance will struggle to stay united and withstand authoritarian pressures from the government in advance of the 2021 polls. Growth will be slower than expected this year and next, and currency depreciation will continue to exacerbate the public debt burden.


2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 321-324
Author(s):  
Gabi El-Khoury

This statistical file is concerned with the issue of public debts in Arab countries. It assumes that public debt is a key source to fund the budget deficit in most Arab countries, and the rising public debt, particularly external debt, is increasingly becoming a concern for several countries in the region due to the pressure debt servicing might impose on these countries, which basically suffer an uncomfortable primary balance, in addition to the impact of crises in the region. Table 1 provides indicators on domestic public debts with ratios of debts to GDP, while Table 2 gives figures of external public debts with debt ratios to GDP. Table 3 provides estimates of total public debts with their ratios to GDP, while Tables 4 and 5 show figures of external public debt service, ratios of debt servicing to exports of goods and services and external public debt service ratios to Arab governments’ revenues respectively.


2005 ◽  
Vol 50 (164) ◽  
pp. 119-134
Author(s):  
Marinko Bosnjak

The paper deals with the internal and external debt situation of the Republic of Serbia based on the data relating to 2000 and 2004, issued by the Ministry of Finance, as well as the basic macroeconomic assumptions for the regular servicing of debts. The general results of this research indicate that the key institutional assumptions for the strengthening of annuity payment ability are consistent reforms and economic policies, and the key economic assumptions for debt repayment are economics growth, stability and reduction in the volume and changing the structure of government consumption. Investment and export growth which provides for growth in gross domestic product and income in foreign currency, which should be sufficient for debts repayment in the next five years, expressed in time periods as well as annuity payments per year, are the key significance for servicing of debts. Increase in economy efficiency, as well as the efficient use of resources obtained by credit facilities, are guaranties of maintaining the balance between volume and repayment capabilities of debts.


Significance The review will take into account the effects of measures taken thus far, in particular the flotation of the Egyptian pound, and will assess the government’s budget for the 2017-18 (July-June) fiscal year. Impacts The government will struggle to reduce the deficit because of the scale of public debt and the record high domestic interest rate. Government expenditure on wages will rise at a much lower rate than inflation. The public will also face further rises in indirect taxation, revenue from which is projected to rise by 40%. The IMF is unlikely to raise any serious objections to the government’s plans.


Author(s):  
Vi Hoang Dinh

By the end of 2017, VietNam's public debt had reached 3.1 million billion VND; 2.2 times higher than the end of 2011 (1,393 million VND). The ratio of public debt/GDP of Vietnam has increased rapidly in recent year, since 2011. Specifically, within only 5 years from 2011 to 2015, the ratio of public debt / GDP of Vietnam increased by 12.2 percentage points, from 50% to 62.2%. Although, the Government of Vietnam has made strong commitments to control public debt. But the actual results are not as expected and tend to get worse. With the current trend of increasing the size and risk of public debt, it is necessary to forecast the public debt and make policy implications on public debt management. Therefore, the author analyzed the state of Vietnam's budget deficit and public debt. Since the author used dynamic models Cechetti, Mohanty and Zampolli (2010) to forecast Vietnam's public debt trends to 2030, with three scenarios: The basic scenario is that there is no improvement in the balance of budget the Basic scenario is no improvement in the basic budget balance, the Bad scenario is the high budget deficit. From there, implications on public debt management that aim to increase the sustainability of public debt in VietNam.


Author(s):  
Kurpayanidi Konstantin Ivanovich ◽  
Mukhsinova Shakhrizoda Odiljon qizi

In this article, the authors consider modern approaches and methodology for defining the concept of public debt in the national economy. The author's interpretation of the economic category of public debt is given on the basis of the system analysis of literary sources. The activities carried out by the government of the Republic of Uzbekistan in the external borrowing market are studied separately, and projects implemented at the expense of the state debt are considered. The necessity of reasonable use of borrowings in long - term and medium-term projects is proved. Based on the analysis of the Japanese Plan to revive economic growth, or the "Three arrows plan" of S. Abe, the directions for regulating public debt for the conditions of the Republic of Uzbekistan are proposed. KEYWORDS: Public debt, borrowing, debt composition, state regulation, S. Abe's "Three arrows plan", economy of Uzbekistan.


Author(s):  
Mykhailo Hantsiak

The purpose of the study is to substantiate the need to determine the essence and place of the public debt market in the financial market. Achievement is ensured by the implementation of tasks: systematization of views of domestic and foreign scientists on the essence of the place of public debt in the classification system of financial market segments; study of the structure of the financial market in terms of segments that ensure the implementation of debt financing of public debts; development of a theoretical approach to the structure of the public debt market. The article considers and systematizes the views of scientists concerning the place of the state morgue market in the financial market. The article substantiates the need to supplement the classification features for financial market segmentation in terms of complementing the target of market participants and identifying segments: the market for attracting financial resources to cover the state budget deficit (public debt market); the market for attracting financial resources to increase private capital. The concept of the public debt market is defined and its structure is proposed in general and detailed form. In general, the structure of the public debt market covers the debt securities market and the external credit market. The government debt securities market is a segment of the securities market, which in turn can also be classified. The same can be said about the external segment of the credit market. However, if the government debt securities market is fully owned by the public debt market, then the external segment of the credit market is only partially owned. The detailed structure of the public debt market is also presented. Conclusions are drawn and the directions of further scientific research in this direction are indicated.


Author(s):  
Talknice Saungweme ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo

Abstract This paper provides a conceptual analysis of government debt servicing in Zimbabwe from 1980 to 2015. The mounting debt burden arising largely from nonconcessionary foreign loans since the 1980s, and the economic hardships that characterise the country beginning the late 1990s, caused dreadful public debt servicing challenges. Thus, the paper discusses the public debt service reforms and policies; trends; and problems in Zimbabwe over the review period. In the paper, it was identified that between 1983 and 1997, the government’s debt servicing costs were growing exponentially, resulting in liquidity challenges. However, between 1998 and 2015, the country had plunged into public debt service overhang, with public debt servicing liabilities exceeding the country’s foreign exchange earnings. Notwithstanding the various public debt servicing reforms to boost domestic revenues, Zimbabwe, as many other developing countries, still faces a number of debt servicing problems. Among others, these include: high government debt, low industrial and export competitiveness, narrow revenue base and subdued investor confidence. The paper recommends the government of Zimbabwe to undertake the following measures, among others, aimed at either boosting or expanding the revenue base: (i) improving tax enforcements; (ii) mobilising the informal sector; and (iii) expanding the productive capacity of public entities.


Author(s):  
А. Yu. Skakov ◽  
V. М. Мukhanov

The article analyses the political situation in Abkhazia in 2017, namely, the activities of the government and the opposition, parliamentary elections, their results and the power balance in the new legislative body. It also studies the existence of the third force, which is a topical issue in Abkhazian society. The author examines the grave socio-economic situation in the Republic this year, which continues to worsen, and comes to the conclusion that the reasons for this deterioration are the failure of the tourist season and catastrophic Abkhazian reputation losses. Besides, the article scrutinizes the main problems in Russian-Abkhazian relations, the aggravation of the crime situation in Abkhazia, the current church footing (splits in church congregations) and issue regarding the Gali residents’ status.


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