scholarly journals Macroeconomic Variables and Nigerian Agricultural Sector Development

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 9-20
Author(s):  
Okafor O. ◽  
Isibor A.

The study investigated the impact of some macroeconomic variables like exchange rate and inflation on the development of the Nigerian agricultural industry. Annual time series secondary data covering a period of 33 years (1986- 2020) was utilized in the study while the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) was the estimation technique used to analyze the data. Findings revealed that the exchange rate was positively significant in impacting the dependent variable while the inflation rate was negatively significant. The interest rate was insignificant in impacting the agricultural sector. From the findings, one recommendation arrived at was that the monetary authorities should make policies that would reduce inflation, for example, reduction of the money supply. Reduced inflation would positively impact the development of the agricultural sector as it would boost and increase the consumption of agricultural products.

ETIKONOMI ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-80 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bambang Sutrisno

This study aims to examine the effect of macroeconomic variables on sectoral indices in the Indonesian Stock Exchange. The difference in sensitiveness among sectors is an interesting issue to investigate this relationship in an emerging market, such as Indonesia. This study employs ordinary least square (OLS) as an estimation method with monthly time-series data from January 2005 to December 2014. The results document that the interest rate, inflation rate, and exchange rate simultaneously have a significant effect on sectoral indices in Indonesia. The interest rate partially shows a significant negative influence on all sectors except basic industry and chemical, finance, infrastructure, utilities, and transportation, and miscellaneous industry sectors. The inflation rate partially has no significant effect on all sectors. The exchange rate partially has a significant negative impact on all industries.DOI: 10.15408/etk.v16i1.4323


Author(s):  
Ayodele E. Ademola

The importance of agricultural surplus for the structural transformation accompanying economic growth is often addressed by development economists. In view of this, the study empirically assesses the impact of agricultural finance on the growth of Nigerian economy. This paper employed secondary data and econometric techniques of Ordinary Least Square (OLS) of multiple regression estimates. The result of the model used suggests that the productivity of investment will be more appropriately financed with resources administered by the commercial and specialized financial institutions. And also, that there are an urgent and sincere needs to expand the credit size to the agricultural sector in order to enhance the productivity growth of the sector. It is recommended that maintenance of credible macroeconomic policies that is pro-investment in overhauling the Agricultural Sector and debt-equity swap option are necessary for an agricultural-led economic growth.


2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 105-116
Author(s):  
Peter A Okere ◽  
Michaelo Ndugbu

This research work analyzed the impact of macroeconomic variables on domestic savings mobilization in Nigeria (1993-2012).Secondary data was adopted and sourced from CBN statistical bulletin.Ordinary Least Square and cointegration were used to determine the effects of the selected macroeconomic variables on savings mobilization in Nigeria. The result of the overall statistic showed that there is a positive and significant impact between the selected macroeconomic variables and domestic savings mobilization in Nigeria. But specifically, financial deepening seemed to have a greater impact on savings mobilization in Nigeria. Inflation and exchange rate revealed an inverse relationship with domestic saving mobilization in Nigeria. Augmented Dicker Fuller (ADF) unit root test and cointegration proved that the variables are stationary and there exist a long-run relationship among the variables. The study therefore recommended among others that efforts should be geared towards continuous and well-articulated fiscal and monetary policies that will sustain this growth in the financial sector. Also, Government should ensure that adequate macroeconomic policies that will be put in place to attract foreign investors, encourage export and make Nigeria an export platform where export goods could be produced, this will help to strengthen Nigeria’s exchange rate and induce domestic savings. Finally, proper measures should be put into encourages banks to open branches in the rural areas in order to mop up deposits. The rural banking policies should be revisited modified and implemented in Nigeria.


Agrotek ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kunto Wibowo

<em>The agricultural sector</em><em> is a strategic sector in Manokwari regency. The agricultural sector provides a major contribution in the regional economy, an economic base of rural people, dominate the life of most residents in this region and provider of food and raw materials for other sectors. The purpose of this study was to determine how big the contribution of different sub-sectors that exist in the agricultural sector, which analyzes sectors influential in changing the economic structure of agriculture in the area and know the potential commodities that can be developed in an effort to enhance the role of the agricultural sector. The research method used through literature study and analysis of secondary data sourced from the relevant authorities. To find out how big the factors that influence changes in economic structures of domination of the agricultural sector into non-agricultural sector estimates used Ordinary Least Square (OLS). For the determination of the potential commodities that can be seeded used method approach Location Quotient (LQ). The results showed the greatest contribution of the different sub-sectors within the agricultural sector contained in the food crops sub-sector. Based on the rate of growth per year, plantation crops sub-sector occupied the highest positions. The sectors that provide real impact on the agricultural sector's contribution to the regional gross domestic product �of the building sector and services sector. Potential commodities that can be developed in different areas in Manokwari regency include food crops and pulses, vegetables and fruits and livestock including cows, goats, pigs and chicken.</em>


2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 301-326 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chandan Sharma ◽  
Rajat Setia

Purpose – This paper aims to examine the relationship between Indian rupee-US dollar exchange rate and the macroeconomic fundamentals for the post-economic reform period. Design/methodology/approach – The authors have used an empirical model which includes a range of important macroeconomic variables based on the basic monetary theories of exchange rate determination. At the first stage of the analysis, they have tested structural break in the data. Subsequently, they have employed the fully modified ordinary least square, Wald’s coefficient restriction and impulse response functions (IRF) to estimate the monetary model in the long- and short-run horizons. Findings – Results of analyses indicate that the macroeconomic fundamentals determine exchange rate in a significant way, but their effect varies sizably across the periods. The IRF illustrate the importance of interest rate in controlling exchange rate volatility. Practical implications – The analysis of the behavior of inter-relationship among macroeconomic variables will help policymakers in a deep-rooted understanding of this complex and time-varying relationship. Originality/value – Most of the existing studies have tested the impact of a single or a few macroeconomic fundamentals on exchange rate. But in the present study, we have tested the impact of a range of important variables, i.e. money supply, real income or output, price level and trade balance. Further, considering the importance of structural breaks in data, they authors have employed standard tests of structural break and incorporated the issue in the cointegration analysis.


Author(s):  
Friday Osaru Ovenseri Ogbomo ◽  
Precious Imuwahen Ajoonu

This paper examined the impact of Exchange Rate Management on economic growth in Nigeria between 1980 and 2015. The study was set to gauge how the management of exchange rate in Nigeria has impacted the economy. The study employed the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method in its analysis. Co-integration and Error Correction Techniques were used to establish the Short-run and Long-run relationships between economic growth and other relevant economic indicators. The result revealed that exchange rate management proxy by various exchange rates regimes in Nigeria was not germane to economic growth. Rather, government expenditure, inflation rate, money supply and foreign direct investment significantly impact on economic growth in Nigeria. It is against this backdrop that the Nigerian economy must diversify her export base to create room for more inflow of foreign exchange.  


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 165-182
Author(s):  
Aep soleh Soleh

This study investigates the impact of fuel price adjusment on changes in fuel consumption and inflation in Indonesia. This study uses secondary data obtained from the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources, the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Trade, Bank Indonesia, the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), and PT Pertamina (Persero) from 2006 to 2016 and analyzed by using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. Research showed, if the government increases Premium Gasoline's price by 10%, in average its consumption would decrease around 2,99 %. However, if the Pertamax Gasoline's price increases, the consumption of Premium Gasoline would also increase due to substitution effect. Every 10% increase in Subsidized Diesel's price, in average its consumption would decrease around 4,80 % and vice versa. However, if the Pertamina dex's price increases, the consumption of Subsidized Diesel would also increase due to substitution effect. Moreover, IDR1.000/L increase in Premium Gasoline's Price would contribute 1,10 % to the inflation rate. On the other hand, increase in Subsidized Diesel's price does not contribute to the inflation rate.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mehdi Seraj ◽  
Cagay Coskuner ◽  
Seyi Saint Akadiri ◽  
Negar Bahadori

Abstract This study revisited Dani Rodrik (2008) work on real exchange rate undervaluation and economic growth by using the Fully Modified Ordinary Least Square (FMOLS) and Dynamic Ordinary Least Square (DOLS). This research, to the best of authors' knowledge, is the first to use FMOLS and DOLS approach to empirically evaluate Rodrik work on the real exchange rate and economic growth using a Panel periodic data (six sets of five years) of 82 countries throughout 1990 to 2018. We used the Balassa Samuelson method to estimate the predicted real exchange rate and real exchange rate undervaluation. Finally, the study is in support of Rodrik conclusion that, real exchange undervaluation has a significant impact on the economic growth of the developing economies and statistically insignificant in the developed economies.


2014 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tarmizi Gadeng

The main objective of this study is to find out the impact of the inflation rate,percapita income as wall as the interest rate on the household comsumption of the population of Aceh.Secondary data 1983 – 2008 are collected or couning from various ageucig and instution and ordinary least square econometric model used as a method of analysis.            The result of the study tells us that the rate of inflation and the percapita income hare positive and significoutly effect on the household consumtion while the rate of interest on the other hand statistically has a negative and not significant effect on the house hold consumption. The interest rate which reflect the influence of the consumption has a positive, not significantly and in elactic. 


Author(s):  
Ifran Khan ◽  
Muhammad Imran Nazir ◽  
Zeeshan Fareed ◽  
Muhammad Rizwan Nazir ◽  
Faryal Faryal

Macroeconomic factors play a fundamental role in attracting the growth the country. This research examined the impact of various macroeconomic factors on GDP of Pakistan for the period of 1975-2015. The core objective of this research was to check the impact of inflation, investment, exchange rate and net export on development of Pakistan. The tool for analysis was Ordinary Least Square (OLS) multiple regression model. This research used Descriptive Statistics, Harvey's test for checking the heteroscedasticity and Breusch Godfrey LM test to check autocorrelation among variables. The results of this study show that inflation exerts negative significant effect on Pakistan GDP whereas investment shows positive significant effect and exchange rate have positive insignificant effect on GDP of Pakistan. Moreover net export has been highly positive significant on Pakistan GDP.


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