scholarly journals PENGUJIAN REAKSI INVESTOR TERHADAP PENGUMUMAN KABINET INDONESIA MAJU

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-40
Author(s):  
Rexza Bramesta

Capital markets are relevantly influenced by political event. This research aimed to analyze the market reaction on the announcement of cabinet of Indonesia Maju on October, 23 2019. Market reaction is measured by abnormal return and trading volume activity. This study used 44 companies from LQ45 group’s stock prices as population and used event study method to identify market reaction. The window event is 11 day long (t-5 – t+5). The statistical test used to test the hypotheses is simple t-test and paired sample test. The result of the statistical calculation of simple t-test showed there are no significant abnormal return around the date of the event. It means that investors do not respond to the event of newly cabinet announcement. The result of paired sample t-test showed there are no significant difference between the average abnormal return and trading volume activity obtained by sample companies listed in LQ45 index before and after the announcement of cabinet of Indonesia Maju.

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 125-138
Author(s):  
Nabiell Ghibran ◽  
Lukman Effendy ◽  
Indria Puspitasari Lenap

Abstract The study was intended to analyze the reactions of Indonesia's capital markets on events Indonesia tested positive for the corona virus pandemic. The study adopted an 11-day period of event study analysis. The population in this study is the entire company listed on the LQ45 index at the Indonesian stock exchange in February - June 2020. Sampling taken in this study uses an impressive sampling technique. Samples obtained by criteria on this research account number 42 companies. Variables used in this study are abnormal return and trading volume of activity.     The study used paired sample t-test analysis methods. The research indicates that there was no significant difference between average abnormal return before and after the Indonesia announcement was positive the corona virus pandemic. This is indicated by the results of the significant paired sample t-test that have a value of 0.924 > 0.05. Additionally, this study indicates that there was no significant difference in average trading volume activity before and after the events of the Indonesian announcement was positive that the corona virus pandemic. This is indicated by the results of the significant paired sample t-test that have a value of 0.936 > 0.05. Keywords : Event Study, Corona Virus Pandemic, Abnormal Return, Trading Volume Activity


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 340
Author(s):  
Fitri Astuti ◽  
Anggi Setya Prayoga

This study intends to examine the differences in market reaction around the announcement of the Annual Report Award which is not only measured by abnormal return but is also measured using trading volume activity and stock prices. The data used are quantitative data in the form of a list of companies that received the Annual Report Award for the 2015-2018 period, the daily closing price of the ARA-winning company in the event window, the composite stock price index, the number of shares traded, and the number of shares outstanding. The event window is selected for 11 days because the long window period will blend with the effects of other events or confounding effects. The results of the study concluded that the market reacted around the announcement of the Annual Report Award for the 2015-2018 period measured using abnormal returns, trading volume activity, and stock prices. There is no difference in abnormal returns before and after the announcement of the 2013-2016 Annual Report Award period. Instead there are differences in trading volume activity and stock prices before and after the announcement of the Annual Report Award for the 2015-2018 period.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin Immanuel ◽  
Oktafalia Marisa Muzamil

<p><em>The stock split policy is taken by the company to keep stock prices not too high so that its stock can reach many investors and increase stock liquidity. This study also aims to measure whether there is a difference before and after the company does a stock split through bid ask spread.</em></p><p><em>This research method uses event study about market reaction to information from stock split announcement.This type of research includes descriptive research using quantitative data, while data collection techniques consist of library techniques and documentation techniques. </em></p><p><em>The results showed that the test for normality only trading volume activity (TVA) that qualify and can do paired samples t-test, while the stock price, the variant return and bid ask spread is done by using Wilcoxon test because it does not pass the test of normality. In the paired sample t-test, the results show that there is significant trading activity volume difference before and after stock split. In the Wilcoxon test, the results show that there is no significant price difference before and after stock split, there is no significant difference of return variance before and after stock split, and there is no significant bid ask spread before And after stock splits.</em></p><p><em>The conclusions can be drawn based on the results of the study that the market conditions are in the bearish market and investors do not provide a quick feedback to the stock split. However, stock splits have increased liquidity from firms due to stock splits to n per sheets and reduced asymmetry costs to be borne by investors. Suggestions from researchers to investors are investors can take advantage of stock split events and must be observant in seeing the stock of a particular company that has prospects, good performance and good reputation in the community. For the company, the company should be wise in determining the ratio for stock prices to be optimal and consider whether the stock market is bearish / bullish market when doing stock split policy.</em></p><strong><em>Keywords</em></strong><em>: stock prices, return, trading volume activity, bid ask spread, and stock split</em>


2020 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-64
Author(s):  
Niken Kusumawardani

This study aims to determine the effect of simultaneous elections in Indonesia, namely legislative and executive elections that occur simultaneously together with the reaction in the capital market. Market reaction is measured using trading volume activity and returns stock that occur within the timeframe before and after the holding of simultaneous elections, namely on the date before and after April 17, 2019. The population in this study is the issuer that actively trades its shares on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) in Compass100 Index stock category. The research hypothesis was tested with an independent sample t-test using software SPPS26. Hypothesis testing results indicate a significant difference in trading volume activity that occurs before and after simultaneous elections. While the variable abnormal return there is no significant difference before and after the election simultaneously. This research is expected to be a reference for all parties concerned including the public towards a political event that occurs in this case specifically the simultaneous elections for decision making related to investment activities in stock instruments


2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (11) ◽  
pp. 2221
Author(s):  
Dian Ayu Firtanasari ◽  
Muhammad Nafik Hadi Ryandono

ABSTRAKPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui reaksi pasar terhadap pengumuman penerbitan sukuk yang diukur dengan average abnoramal return dan average trading volume activity. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan menggunakan jenis penelitian event study. Populasi dalam penelitian ini adalah seluruh pengumuman penerbitan sukuk korporasi yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia periode 2017-2020. Teknik pengambilan sampel dalam penelitian ini adalah purposive sampling yang kemudian diperoleh 17 tanggal pengumuman dari 8 perusahaan penerbit sukuk korporasi. Metode analisis yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah one sample t-test dan paired sample t-test. Hasil penelitian ini adalah terdapat abnormal return negatif signifikan pada t-4 yang berarti terdapat reaksi pasar namun terdapat respon negatif dari investor, kemudian pada t-1,t-2,t-5,t+1,t+2,t+4, dan t+5 menunjukkan hasil negatif tidak signifikan yang berarti tidak terdapat reaksi pasar dan tidak ada respon baik dari investor. Pada t-3,t-0,t+2 dan t+3 yang menunjukkan hasil positif tidak signifikan yang berarti tidak terdapat reaksi pasar tetapi terdapat respon positif dari investor. Namun tidak terdapat perbedaan average abnormal return sebelum maupun sesudah penerbitan sukuk. Hasil juga menunjukkan terdapat trading volume activity positif signifikan pada t-2,t-3,t-4,t-5 dan t+2,t+3,t+4,t+5. Hal itu menandakan bahwa terdapat transaksi pembelian saham disekitar tanggal pengumuman penerbitan sukuk yang berarti terdapat respon positif dari para investor. Namun tidak terdapat perbedaan average trading volume activity sebelum maupun sesudah pengumuman penerbitan sukuk. Kata kunci: Reaksi Pasar, Event Study, Abnormal Return, Trading Volume Activity ABSTRACTThis study aims to determine the market reaction to the announcement of Sukuk issuance as measured by abnormal returns and trading volume activities. This research used a quantitative approach by using the type of event study research. The populations in this study were all announcements published on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2017-2020 period. The sampling technique in this study was purposive sampling then obtained 17 of announcement dates from 8 corporate Sukuk issuing companies. The analytical method used in this study was a One-Sample t-test and Paired Sample t-test. The results of this study are there are significant negative abnormal returns on t-4, which means there is a market reaction but there is a negative response from investors, then at t-1, t-2, t-5, t+1, t+2, t+4, and t+5 show insignificant negative results, which means there is no market reaction and there is no good response from investors. Positive responses occur at t-3, t + 2, and t+3, which show insignificant positive results which means there is no market reaction but there is a positive response from investors. But there is no difference in the average abnormal returns before or after the Sukuk issuance. The results also show there is a significant positive trading volume activity on t-2, t-3, t-4, t-5 and t + 2, t + 3, t + 4, t + 5. This indicates that there were stock purchase transactions around the date of the announcement of the Sukuk issuance, which means there is a positive response from investors. But there is no difference in average trading volume activity before or after the announcement of the Sukuk issuance.  Keywords: Market Reaction, Event Study, Abnormal Return, Trading Volume Activity


2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 37
Author(s):  
Amir Kusnanto

Devaluation Yuan affect the global economy, this can be seen with the decline in currency exchange rates and falling stock prices in many countries. Based on this background, the authors do research event study. The selected time period is 11 days of exchange as the event period separated to 5 days before the event day (11 August 2015 as event day) and 5 days after the event day. The results showed that (1) by calculating the average abnormal return (AAR) is known to have a positive abnormal return during the event period; (2) different test results with paired sample test there is no significant difference of average abnormal return between before and after devaluation of Chinese Yuan currency; And (3) with different test using paired sample test there is no significant difference of average trading volume activity between before and after devaluation of Yuan Chinese currency.


2021 ◽  
Vol 31 (10) ◽  
pp. 2530
Author(s):  
Ngakan Putu Wahyu Pandu Dewanata ◽  
I Gde Ary Wirajaya

This study aims to examine the market reaction caused by the announcement of the stock split. The population used in this study amounted to 67 companies. The method used in sampling using saturated samples, using the entire company that did the stock split. The data obtained is secondary data consisting of stock prices, IHSG, and stock trading volume. In analyzing the data, this study used the One-Sample T-Test and Paired Sample T-Test. The results showed that  there was a market reaction to the announcement of a stock split as indicated by an abnormal return, there was a market reaction to the announcement of a stock split as indicated by the volume of stock trading, there is no difference in markets reaction before and after the announcement of the stock split. Keywords: Stock Split; Abnormal Return; Stock Liquidity.


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 156
Author(s):  
Hamdani Arifulsyah Rangkuti ◽  
Fifitri Ali ◽  
Abdi Bhayangkara

AbstractThe purpose of this research is to analyze descriptively qualitatively to test whether the abnormal return, trading Volume activity and Bid-Aks spread have a positive or negative value before the announcement suspension and after unsuspension. After that, testing with a different test (paired sample t-test). This research is an event study, using an estimated period of 5 days before the announcement of the suspension, and 5 days after the withdrawal of the suspension (unsuspension), within the period of observation in the year 2019. The sample in this study was 75 companies that announced the stock suspension. as well as announcing stock unsuspension in 2019. The results of this study show that the average abnormal return, trading Volume activity and Bid-Aks spread show a positive value both before the announcement of the stock suspension and after the stock unsuspension. Meanwhile, for the different test results (paired sample t-test), there is a significant difference before the announcement of stock suspension and after stock unsuspension for the abnormal return variable and the Bid-Aks spread, while the trading Volume activity must be excluded from the study because SPSS did not include it so the exclude variable category.  Abstrak Riset ini bertujuan menganalisis secara deskriptif kualitatif apakah abnormal return, Trading Volume activity dan Bid-Aks spread memiliki nilai positif atau negatif pada saat sebelum pengumunan dan setelah pencabutan suspensi saham. Pengujian berikutnya adalah dengan melakukan uji beda berpasangan (paired sample t-test). Periode penelitian ini adalah 5 hari sebelum pengumuman suspensi saham, dan 5 hari setelah penarikan suspensi saham (unsuspensi), dalam rentang waktu pengamatan dari selama tahun 2019. Sebanyak 75 perusahaan yang mengumumkan suspensi dan unsuspensi saham selama tahun 2019. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa rata-rata Abnormal Return, Trading Volume Activity dan Bid-Aks Spread menunjukkan nilai yang positif baik sebelum pengumuman suspensi saham, maupun setelah unsuspensi saham. Sementara untuk hasil uji bedanya, beda yang cukup nyata sebelum pengumuman suspensi saham dan setelah unsuspensi saham untuk variabel Abnormal Return  dan Bid-Aks Spread, sementara untuk variabel Trading Volume Activity dikeluarkan dari penelitian karena di SPSS termasuk kedalam kategori exclude variable.


2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
C H Asta Nugraha ◽  
Suroto Suroto

<p>This study aims to find out the empirical evidence of Indonesia capital market investors’ reaction toward presidential election 2019. The population in this study is the companies’ stocks which are included in the LQ-45 index during this study. The data used is secondary data in the form of LQ-45 stocks and daily Composite index three days before and three days after the event. By implementing the one sample t-test and paired samples t-test, the result shows that there is a positive and significant abnormal return around the event especially on the third day (t+3) after the event.  Moreover, there is an insignificant difference in the average of negative abnormal return and significant difference on the average of negative trading volume activity, before and after the presidential election 2019.</p><p><strong>Keywords:</strong> Capital Market, Event Study, Abnormal Return, Trading Volume Activity, Investors’ Reactions</p><p class="Default"><em>Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menemukan bukti empiris reaksi investor pasar modal Indonesia terhadap peristiwa pemilihan presiden 2019. Populasi penelitian ini adalah saham-saham perusahaan yang konsisten tergabung dalam indeks LQ-45 selama periode penelitian. Data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder berupa harga saham LQ-45 dan IHSG harian tiga hari sebelum dan tiga hari setelah peristiwa. Uji statistik yang digunakan untuk menguji hipotesis adalah one sample t-test dan  paired samples t-test. Hasil yang diperoleh menunjukkan terdapat abnormal return positif dan signifikan di sekitar  peristiwa terutama pada hari ke-3 (t+3) setelah peristiwa. Selain itu, terdapat perbedaan rata-rata abnormal retrun negatif tidak signifikan dan terdapat perbedaan rata-rata trading volume activity negatif yang signifikan antara sebelum dan setelah peristiwa pemilihan presiden 2019. </em></p><p><strong><em>Kata Kunci</em></strong><em>: Pasar Modal, Studi Peristiwa, </em>Abnormal Return, Trading Volume Activity, <em>Reaksi Investor</em></p>


2015 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 200
Author(s):  
Adhe Raka Setiawan ◽  
Bandi Bandi

Abstrak: Reaksi Pasar Terhadap Perubahan Dividen dengan Indikator Abnormal Return dan Trading Volume Activity. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui reaksi pasar terhadap perubahan dividen, yaitu dividen tetap, dividen naik, dividen turun, dividen inisiasi, dan dividen omisi dengan indikator abnormal return dan trading volume activity pada perusahaan yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia pada sektor properti, real estate, dan konstruksi bangunan periode 1998-2015. Penelitian ini menggunakan desain event study, di mana dilakukan pengamatan 5 hari sebelum dan 5 hari sesudah peristiwa. Analisis data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah Uji Paired Sample t-test. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa hanya dividen tetap dan dividen inisiasi dengan indikator trading volume activity terjadi reaksi pasar secara signifikan. Hasil penelitian ini juga menunjukkan bahwa untuk melihat reaksi pasar lebih baik menggunakan indikator trading volume activity dari pada abnormal return.Kata kunci: dividen, abnormal return, trading volume activity.Abstract: Market Reaction to Dividend Change with Abnormal Return and Trading Volume Activity as Indicators. The aim of this study is to find the influence of dividend change on market reaction, which are fixed dividend, rise dividend, fall dividend, initiation dividend, and omission dividend with abnormal return and trading volume activity as indicators at the companies listed in Indonesian Stock Exchange in property, real estate, and building construction sectors in 1998-2015. This study employs event study, in which it is observed within 5 days before and 5 days after the event date. Paired Sample t-test is utilized to analyze the data. The results show that fixed dividend and initiation dividend using average trading volume activity have significant effect on market reaction. Furthermore, it also suggests that to comprehend market reaction, trading volume activity is better indicator rather than abnormal return.Keywords: dividend, abnormal return, trading volume activity.


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