Do Valuation (P/E, ROE and P/BV) Ratios Drive Stock Values? A Case of GCC Countries

Author(s):  
Arindam Banerjee

Do valuation ratios predict the future stock prices? Over the decades, researchers have explored data across various global financial markets and across different timelines to seek its unique answer. The results though were not universal, resulted in generating greater interest in the subject. Using valuation ratios as a stock price predictor gained further momentum after Campbell and Shiller’s seminal work involving a century of data sets. In spite of its practical relevance, not much effort was being made to establish the correlation between valuation ratios and stock price of GCC listed companies. This paper attempts to bridge the existing gap by studying 140 publicly listed companies in the six GCC countries namely Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Oman and United Arab Emirates (UAE) using the multiple regression model. The period of study was between 2013-2017. Correlation is established for each of the countries individually, followed by an integrated approach. The independent variables used in the study are Price Earnings Ratio (P/E), Return on Equity (ROE), Price to Book Ratio (P/BV) and Stock Returns being the dependent variable.

Author(s):  
Anggun Putri Romadhina ◽  
Eka Kusuma Dewi

The first Covid-19 case in Indonesia was announced on March 2, 2020. This study aims to determine whether there is a significant difference in stock prices, stock transaction volume and stock returns due to the COVID-19 pandemic (case study at PT. Agung Podomoro Land, Tbk). This research data was taken 90 days before and 90 days after the announcement of the first case of COVID-19 in Indonesia. The data was processed by paired sample t-test, using SPSS version 20. From the results of data processing, it was shown that there was a significant difference in stock prices before and after the announcement of the first case of covid-19 in Indonesia. This is indicated by a significance value of 0.000 < 0.05 where the stock price has decreased compared to before the Covid-19 case. Meanwhile, the volume of stock transactions also showed a significant difference with a significance value of 0.007 <0.05, where the volume of stock transactions after the announcement showed a decrease. Likewise, stock returns show a significant difference with a significance value of 0.025 < 0.05 where stock returns have decreased after the announcement of the first case of covid-10 in Indonesia.  


Author(s):  
Aprih . Santoso

Abstract : Companies need funds in order to carry out operations such as the financing of production activities, pay employees, pay other expenses related to the operation of the company. One way to obtain these funds is to attract investors to invest in companies in the form of stock, but in making this investment is certainly not easy for investors, because investors need consideration beforehand to find out how the company's performance. The purpose of this study was to examine and analyze the effect of operating cash flow to stock return through stock price at companies listed on the Stock Exchange Year 2012-2015. The data used in this study dala are secondary data from the financial statements of companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange period 2012 - 2015. The data are in the form of financial statements can be obtained from the Indonesian Capital Market Directory (ICMD), the IDX website www.idx.co. id as well as from various other sources to support this research. The population in this research is manufacturing companies listed on the Stock Exchange the period 2012 - 2015. The samples taken by the sampling technique used purposive sampling.From the test results and analysis of the data it can be concluded that operating cash flow directly and indirectly has no effect on stock returns through stock prices showed no significant results. Keywords :  Operating Cash Flow, Stock Price, Stocks Return


2022 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 72-80
Author(s):  
Soltane et al. ◽  

The objective of this research is to investigate the relationship between illiquidity and stock prices on the Tunisian stock exchange. While previous researches tended to focus on one form of illiquidity to examine this relationship, our study unifies three forms of illiquidity at the same time. Indeed, we simultaneously consider illiquidity as systematic risk, as a characteristic of the market, and as a characteristic of the stock. The aggregate illiquidity of the market is the average of individual stock illiquidity. The illiquidity risk is the sensitivity of the stock price to illiquidity shocks. Shocks of market illiquidity are estimated by the innovations in the expected market illiquidity. Results show that investors on the Tunisian stock exchange do not require higher returns when they expect a rise of market illiquidity, whereas investors on U.S markets are compensated for higher expected market illiquidity. In addition, shocks of market illiquidity provoke a fall in stock prices of small caps, while large caps are not sensitive to market illiquidity shocks. This differs slightly from results based on U.S. data where illiquidity shocks reduce all stock prices but most notably those of small caps. Robustness tests validate our findings. Our results are consistent with previous studies which reported that the “zero-return” ratio predicts significantly the return-illiquidity relationship on emerging markets.


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Defry Wijaya Rimba ◽  
Muthia Harnida

Abstract: The aim of this research is to examine the effect of financial performance on the stock prices of state-owned (BUMN) banking companies in the Indonesian Stock Exchange for the period 2010-2017.The financialperformance consists of Non Performing Loans, Return on Assets, Capital Adequacy Ratio, Price Earning Ratio, and Net Profit Margin. The analysis in this study  used the multiple linier regression with 32 observations. Simultaneously all variables affect the stock price of Banking Companies of BUMN that listed on the  Indonesian Stock Exchange  for the period of 2010-2017. But partially, the variables which affect the stock price are  only Return On Assets, Capital Adequacy Ratio, and Net Profit Margin.  Whereas the variable of  Non Performing Loans and Price Earning Ratio do not affect the stock price of Banking Companies of BUMN  in the Indonesian Stock Exchange for the period of 2010 until 2017 Keywords: Performance, Non Performing Loans, Return On Assets, Capital Adequacy Ratio, Price Earning Ratio, Net Profit Margin, Stock Price Abstrak: Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk menguji pengaruh kinerja keuangan terhadap harga saham pada perusahaan perbankan BUMN yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia untuk periode 2010-2017. Kinerja keuangan yang diuji meliputi Non performace Loans (NPL), Return on assets (ROA), CapitalAdequacy Ratio (CAR), Price Earnings Ratio(PER),dan Net Profit Margin (NPM). Hasil penelitian dengan menggunakan analisis regresi linier berganda,dengan sampel sebanyak 32 observasi menunjukkkan hasil bahwa secara simultan semua variabel yang terdiri dari Non performace Loans (NPL), Return on assets (ROA), CapitalAdequacy Ratio (CAR), Price Earnings Ratio(PER),dan Net Profit Margin (NPM)  berpengaruh terhadap harga saham . Sedangkan secara parsial variabel yang berpengaruh terhadap harga saham adalah return on assets (ROA), CapitalAdequacy Ratio (CAR), dan Net Profit Margin (NPM), sementara Non Performing Loans (NPL) dan Price Earnings Ratio (PER) secara statistik tidak berpengaruh terhadap harga saham perusahan perbankan BUMN yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia untuk periode pengamatan 2010-2017 Kata kunci : Kinerja, Non Performing Loans, Return On Assets, Capital Adequacy Ratio, Price Earning Ratio, Net Profit Margin, harga saham


Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (24) ◽  
pp. 4630 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cody Yu-Ling Hsiao ◽  
Weishun Lin ◽  
Xinyang Wei ◽  
Gaoyun Yan ◽  
Siqi Li ◽  
...  

In order to address a series of issues, including energy security, global warming, and environmental protection, China has ranked first in global renewable investment for the seventh consecutive year. However, developing a renewable energy industry requires a significant capital investment. Also, the international oil price fluctuations have an important impact on the stock prices of renewable energy firms. Thus, in order to provide implications for market investment as well as policy recommendations, this paper studied the spillover effect of international oil prices on the stock prices of China’s renewable energy listed companies. We used a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model with innovations using a Factor-GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) process to evaluate the impact of market co-movements and time-varying volatility and correlation between the international oil price and China’s renewable energy market. The results show that the international oil price has a significant price spillover effect on the stock prices of China’s renewable energy listed companies. Moreover, the fluctuations of international oil prices have an influence on the stock price variations of Chinese renewable energy listed companies.


2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 109-121
Author(s):  
Ha Na Lee ◽  
B. K. Song

AbstractThis study examines the ways political events can affect the stock prices of politically connected firms by studying one of the biggest corruption scandals in modern South Korean history, which led to the first-ever impeachment of a sitting president. We analyzed the stock returns of firms that donated money to foundations allegedly controlled by the president's confidante. We found that the abnormal stock returns of politically connected firms decreased when the president was removed from office. Using tick-by-tick stock price data, we were able to pinpoint the exact moments when the stock prices of firms that donated money fluctuated, as the president's fate was determined by the justices of the Constitutional Court.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Songtao Wu ◽  
Jianmin He ◽  
Chao Wang

An artificial stock market with agent-based model is built to investigate effects of different information characteristics of common factors on the dynamics stock returns. Investors with limited information capacity update their beliefs based on the information they have obtained and processed and optimize portfolios based on beliefs. We find that with changing of concerned information characteristics the uncertainty of stock price returns rises and is higher than the uncertainty of intrinsic value returns. However, this increase is constrained by the limited information capacity of investors. At the same time, we also find that dependence between returns of stock prices also increased with the changing information environment. The uncertainty and dependency pertaining to prices show a positive relationship. However, the positive relationship is weakened when taking into account the features of intrinsic values, based on which prices are generated.


2016 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 95-105 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manuela Raisová ◽  
Martin Užik ◽  
Christian M. Hoffmeister

The economic crisis has forced managers of joint stock companies to look for short-term solutions for the sharp changes in stock prices of their companies. Even the companies of the V4 countries are not the exception. The authors have focused on those companies where have been used either reverse stock split or stock split. They analyzed the effects of the reverse stock split or stock splits on the abnormal returns of stocks. In this paper, the authors analyzed a dataset from 1993 until 2015 with 124 reverse stock splits and 184 stock splits in total focused on the stock market in V4. Based on their own research they conclude that when reverse stock splits were used stock returns significantly decreased one day around the announcement date. They conclude that managers of a company might use this instrument to move the stock price back to the optimal trading range outside of the penny stock area. In the case of stock splits, the authors concluded that the use of this tool results in a significant increase in the returns of a stock after the announcement date. However, the results are in contrast to some former studies which found no positive effect on the returns caused by stock splits. The authors conclude that managers of a company might use this instrument to transport information content of future (positive) performance of a company to the traders. Keywords: Vysegrad group countries, normal stock split, reverse stock split, abnormal returns. JEL Classification: G11, G23, G32


2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 161-173
Author(s):  
Wasiaturrahma Wasiaturrahma ◽  
Dita Normalaksana Putri ◽  
Shochrul Rohmatul Ajija

The stock price is one indicator that represents the economic performance in a country. Changes in stock prices, including various factors, as an example, is the exchange rate changes as the representation from the foreign exchange market. The fluctuating exchange rate price also influences the volatility of the stock price. Furthermore, volatility has different high and low regime stages that will cause a disparate impact on the outcome of the relationship changes. This study aims to examine the presence of asymmetric volatility and its effects on the volatility of LQ45 stock returns, as well as the changes in exchange rates of Rupiah against USD from 1997 to 2017. Using the Augmented Markov Switching EGARCH  approach,  the  results  of  this  study  indicate  an  asymmetric  behavior  in  the  volatility  of LQ45 stock returns. High volatility regimes are more dependent and more unstable than low volatility regimes, and low volatility regimes dominate the duration compared to the high volatility regime. The good and bad news give different impact on LQ45 stock return volatility and exchange rate changes. Moreover, the unstable economies will respond faster than the stable economies in terms of facing the exchange rate changes.


2015 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 431
Author(s):  
Mulyono Mulyono

The research objectives to examine the magnitude of the significant influence between financial ratios and the market based ratio toward the stock price of manufacturing industry sector in Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). In accordance IDX data by December 2013, the number of companies, included in the stock of the manufacturing industry sector, is 139 companies. Based on the analysis, it is concluded that the variable return on assets (ROA) and price to book value (PBV) has positive influence on stock prices. It can be interpreted that the higher the return on assets ratio and price to book value, the more positive influence on the increase of the stock price. The variable debt to equity ratio (DER) and price earnings ratio (PER) has negatively influence the stock price on the stock of manufacturing industry sector. This can be interpreted the higher the value of the debt to equity ratio and price earnings ratio, the more negatively influence on the decrease stock price.


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