scholarly journals Modeling surface fire rate of spread within a thinned Anatolian black pine stand in Turkey

2018 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. e007
Author(s):  
Omer Kucuk ◽  
Ertugrul Bilgili ◽  
Rifat Uzumcu

Aim of the study: To develop regression models for estimating the rate of surface fire spread in a thinned even-aged black pine stand (Pinus nigra J.F. Arnold subsp. nigra var. caramanica (Loudon) Rehder).Area of the study: The study was carried out within a thinned black pine forest located in the Kastamonu Forest District, northwestern Turkey. The study area is located at 546819, 4577880 UTM.Material and methods: A total of 33 small scale surface fires were ignited under varying weather and fuel conditions. Line ignition was used during the burnings. Surface fuels consisted generally of thinned material (needle+branches).Main results: Within the stand, surface fuel loading ranged from 3.0 to 10.2 kg/m2. Wind speed ranged from 0.3 to 8.4 km/h. Needle moisture content ranged from 8 to 15%. The rate of fire spread ranged from 0.47 to 6.92 m/min. Relationships between the rate of fire spread and fuel and weather conditions were determined through regression analyses.Research highlights: Wind speed was the most important factor on the rate of fire spread and explained 85% of the observed variation in the surface fire rate of spread within a stand.

2013 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 428 ◽  
Author(s):  
Holly A. Perryman ◽  
Christopher J. Dugaw ◽  
J. Morgan Varner ◽  
Diane L. Johnson

In spite of considerable effort to predict wildland fire behaviour, the effects of firebrand lift-off, the ignition of resulting spot fires and their effects on fire spread, remain poorly understood. We developed a cellular automata model integrating key mathematical models governing current fire spread models with a recently developed model that estimates firebrand landing patterns. Using our model we simulated a wildfire in an idealised Pinus ponderosa ecosystem. Varying values of wind speed, surface fuel loading, surface fuel moisture content and canopy base height, we investigated two scenarios: (i) the probability of a spot fire igniting beyond fuelbreaks of various widths and (ii) how spot fires directly affect the overall surface fire’s rate of spread. Results were averages across 2500 stochastic simulations. In both scenarios, canopy base height and surface fuel loading had a greater influence than wind speed and surface fuel moisture content. The expected rate of spread with spot fires occurring approached a constant value over time, which ranged between 6 and 931% higher than the predicted surface fire rate of spread. Incorporation of the role of spot fires in wildland fire spread should be an important thrust of future decision-support technologies.


2009 ◽  
Vol 18 (6) ◽  
pp. 698 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paulo M. Fernandes ◽  
Hermínio S. Botelho ◽  
Francisco C. Rego ◽  
Carlos Loureiro

An experimental burning program took place in maritime pine (Pinus pinaster Ait.) stands in Portugal to increase the understanding of surface fire behaviour under mild weather. The spread rate and flame geometry of the forward and backward sections of a line-ignited fire front were measured in 94 plots 10–15 m wide. Measured head fire rate of spread, flame length and Byram’s fire intensity varied respectively in the intervals of 0.3–13.9 m min–1, 0.1–4.2 m and 30–3527 kW m–1. Fire behaviour was modelled through an empirical approach. Rate of forward fire spread was described as a function of surface wind speed, terrain slope, moisture content of fine dead surface fuel, and fuel height, while back fire spread rate was correlated with fuel moisture content and cover of understorey vegetation. Flame dimensions were related to Byram’s fire intensity but relationships with rate of spread and fine dead surface fuel load and moisture are preferred, particularly for the head fire. The equations are expected to be more reliable when wind speed and slope are less than 8 km h–1 and 15°, and when fuel moisture content is higher than 12%. The results offer a quantitative basis for prescribed fire management.


1988 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 391-397 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ralph M. Nelson Jr. ◽  
Carl W. Adkins

Data for the behavior of 59 experimental wind-driven fires were extracted from the literature for use in determining a correlation among several variables known to influence the rate of forest fire spread. Also included in the correlation were unpublished data from six field fires. This information consisted of behavior measurements on small-scale burns of artificial fuels in the laboratory and measurements on field fires in diverse fuels such as grass and logging slash. Fire intensities ranged from about 40 to 4600 kW/m. Dimensional analysis was used to derive three variables governing the fire spread process. These variables, rearranged into a dimensionless rate of spread and a dimensionless wind speed, are strongly correlated and lead to a simple expression for fire spread rate in terms of fuel consumption, ambient wind speed, and flame residence time.


2013 ◽  
Vol 22 (7) ◽  
pp. 959 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patricia L. Andrews ◽  
Miguel G. Cruz ◽  
Richard C. Rothermel

The Rothermel surface fire spread model includes a wind speed limit, above which predicted rate of spread is constant. Complete derivation of the wind limit as a function of reaction intensity is given, along with an alternate result based on a changed assumption. Evidence indicates that both the original and the revised wind limits are too restrictive. Wind limit is based in part on data collected on the 7 February 1967 Tasmanian grassland fires. A reanalysis of the data indicates that these fires might not have been spreading in fully cured continuous grasslands, as assumed. In addition, more recent grassfire data do not support the wind speed limit. The authors recommend that, in place of the current wind limit, rate of spread be limited to effective midflame wind speed. The Rothermel model is the foundation of many wildland fire modelling systems. Imposition of the wind limit can significantly affect results and potentially influence fire and fuel management decisions.


1995 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 237 ◽  
Author(s):  
NP Cheney ◽  
JS Gould

The development of grass fires originating from both point and line ignitions and burning in both open grasslands and woodlands with a grassy understorey was studied using 487 periods of fire spread and associated fuel, weather and fire-shape observations. The largest fires travelled more than 1000 m from the origin and the fastest 2-minute spread rate was over 2 m s-1. Given continuous fuel of uniform moisture content, the rate of forward spread was related to both the wind speed and the width of the head fire measured normal to the direction of fire travel. The head fire width required to achieve the potential quasi-steady rate of forward spread for the prevailing conditions increased with increasing wind speeds. These findings have important implications for relating small-scale field or laboratory measurements of fire spread to predictions of wildfire spread. The time taken to reach the potential quasi-steady rate of spread at any wind speed was highly variable. This time was strongly influenced by the frequency of changes in wind direction and the rate of development of a wide head fire.


Fire ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 69
Author(s):  
Daryn Sagel ◽  
Kevin Speer ◽  
Scott Pokswinski ◽  
Bryan Quaife

Most wildland and prescribed fire spread occurs through ground fuels, and the rate of spread (RoS) in such environments is often summarized with empirical models that assume uniform environmental conditions and produce a unique RoS. On the other hand, representing the effects of local, small-scale variations of fuel and wind experienced in the field is challenging and, for landscape-scale models, impractical. Moreover, the level of uncertainty associated with characterizing RoS and flame dynamics in the presence of turbulent flow demonstrates the need for further understanding of fire dynamics at small scales in realistic settings. This work describes adapted computer vision techniques used to form fine-scale measurements of the spatially and temporally varying RoS in a natural setting. These algorithms are applied to infrared and visible images of a small-scale prescribed burn of a quasi-homogeneous pine needle bed under stationary wind conditions. A large number of distinct fire front displacements are then used statistically to analyze the fire spread. We find that the fine-scale forward RoS is characterized by an exponential distribution, suggesting a model for fire spread as a random process at this scale.


2018 ◽  
Vol 48 (1) ◽  
pp. 105-110
Author(s):  
Jiann C. Yang

A dimensional analysis was performed to correlate the fuel bed fire rate of spread data previously reported in the literature. Under wind condition, six pertinent dimensionless groups were identified, namely dimensionless fire spread rate, dimensionless fuel particle size, fuel moisture content, dimensionless fuel bed depth or dimensionless fuel loading density, dimensionless wind speed, and angle of inclination of fuel bed. Under no-wind condition, five similar dimensionless groups resulted. Given the uncertainties associated with some of the parameters used to estimate the dimensionless groups, the dimensionless correlations using the resulting dimensionless groups correlate the fire rates of spread reasonably well under wind and no-wind conditions.


2001 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 401-409 ◽  
Author(s):  
A L Sullivan ◽  
I K Knight

Most experimental fires, by nature, are small scale ([Formula: see text]100 m), and rate of spread measurements are taken over periods of several minutes. The aim of empirical fire modellers is to ascribe a single measure of rate of forward spread over a period to a single scalar measure of wind. The actual wind affecting the fire is unmeasurable; its value must be estimated from remote anemometry. Observation and consideration of the spatial and temporal statistics of the wind has allowed confidence limits to be placed upon the accuracy with which the measured wind reflects the wind acting on the fire front. Experimental data to verify these estimates was gathered during Project Vesta, a study into high-intensity fires in dry eucalypt forests. An equation that quantifies the accuracy of the estimate of wind affecting the fire front is given. The accuracy increases with time scale, size of the fire front, and density of anemometry. When applied to a measured wind speed taken some distance from the fire, it gives a useful estimate of the likely variation of the corresponding wind at the fire front.


2020 ◽  
Vol 29 (1) ◽  
pp. 81
Author(s):  
Bret Butler ◽  
Steve Quarles ◽  
Christine Standohar-Alfano ◽  
Murray Morrison ◽  
Daniel Jimenez ◽  
...  

The relationship between wildland fire spread rate and wind has been a topic of study for over a century, but few laboratory studies report measurements in controlled winds exceeding 5ms−1. In this study, measurements of fire rate of spread, flame residence time and energy release are reported for fires burning under controlled atmospheric conditions in shallow beds of pine needles subject to winds ranging from 0 to 27ms−1 (measured 5m above ground level). The data suggested that under constant flow conditions when winds are less than 10ms−1, fire rate of spread increases linearly at a rate of ~3% of the wind speed, which generally agrees with other laboratory-based models. When wind speed exceeds 10ms−1, the fire rate of spread response to wind remains linear but with a much stronger dependence, spreading at a rate of ~13% of the wind speed. Radiative and convective heating correlated directly to wind speed, with radiant heating increasing approximately three-fold as much as convective heating over the range of winds explored. The data suggested that residence time is inversely related to wind speed and appeared to approach a lower limit of ~20s as wind exceeded 15ms−1. Average flame residence time over the range of wind speeds was nominally 26s.


1998 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
NP Cheney ◽  
JS Gould ◽  
WR Catchpole

This pager describes a model to predict fire spread in grasslands from wind speed at 10 m, dead fuel moisture, and degree of grass curing in three defined pasture types, The model was developed from spread measurements of experimental fins that were adjusted to their potential rate of spread at wide fronts. Extrapolations of the model were compared with spread data from 20 major wildfires in Australia. This model uses different functions to describe the relationship between rate of spread and wind speed above and below a critical wind speed of 5 km h-1. A linear relationship is used below 5 km h-1; above 5 km h-1 rate of spread is described by a power function of wind speed with an exponent of less than 1.


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