scholarly journals Evaporation estimation from climatic factors

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 67 (4) ◽  
pp. 897-902
Author(s):  
PANKAJ KUMAR ◽  
DEVENDRA KUMAR ◽  
RAJDEV PANWAR

This study assessed the ability of two models, Local Linear Regression (LLR) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to estimate monthly potential evaporation from Pantagar, US Nagar (India) which falls under sub-humid and subtropical climatic zone. Observations of relative humidity, solar radiation, temperature, wind speed and evaporation have been used to train and test the developed models. A comparison was made between the estimates provided by the LLR model and ANN model. Results shown that the models were able to well learn the events they were trained to recognize. For ANN model the correlation coefficient for training period is 0.9311 and for testing period is 0.9236 and the value of root mean square error for training period is 1.070 and for testing period it is 0.9863. In case of LLR model the correlation coefficient for training period is 0.9746 and for testing period is 0.9273 and value of root mean square error for training period is 0.6121 and for testing period it is 1.5301.

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 356 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui Qiu ◽  
Shuanggen Jin

Mean sea surface height (MSSH) is an important parameter, which plays an important role in the analysis of the geoid gap and the prediction of ocean dynamics. Traditional measurement methods, such as the buoy and ship survey, have a small cover area, sparse data, and high cost. Recently, the Global Navigation Satellite System-Reflectometry (GNSS-R) and the spaceborne Cyclone Global Navigation Satellite System (CYGNSS) mission, which were launched on 15 December 2016, have provided a new opportunity to estimate MSSH with all-weather, global coverage, high spatial-temporal resolution, rich signal sources, and strong concealability. In this paper, the global MSSH was estimated by using the relationship between the waveform characteristics of the delay waveform (DM) obtained by the delay Doppler map (DDM) of CYGNSS data, which was validated by satellite altimetry. Compared with the altimetry CNES_CLS2015 product provided by AVISO, the mean absolute error was 1.33 m, the root mean square error was 2.26 m, and the correlation coefficient was 0.97. Compared with the sea surface height model DTU10, the mean absolute error was 1.20 m, the root mean square error was 2.15 m, and the correlation coefficient was 0.97. Furthermore, the sea surface height obtained from CYGNSS was consistent with Jason-2′s results by the average absolute error of 2.63 m, a root mean square error ( RMSE ) of 3.56 m and, a correlation coefficient ( R ) of 0.95.


Materials ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (22) ◽  
pp. 6792
Author(s):  
Jing Liu ◽  
Masoud Mohammadi ◽  
Yubao Zhan ◽  
Pengqiang Zheng ◽  
Maria Rashidi ◽  
...  

Self-consolidating concrete (SCC) is a well-known type of concrete, which has been employed in different structural applications due to providing desirable properties. Different studies have been performed to obtain a sustainable mix design and enhance the fresh properties of SCC. In this study, an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) algorithm is developed to predict the superplasticizer (SP) demand and select the most significant parameter of the fresh properties of optimum mix design. For this purpose, a comprehensive database consisting of verified test results of SCC incorporating cement replacement powders including pumice, slag, and fly ash (FA) has been employed. In this regard, at first, fresh properties tests including the J-ring, V-funnel, U-box, and different time interval slump values were considered to collect the datasets. At the second stage, five models of ANFIS were adjusted and the most precise method for predicting the SP demand was identified. The correlation coefficient (R2), Pearson’s correlation coefficient (r), Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and Wilmot’s index of agreement (WI) were used as the measures of precision. Later, the most effective parameters on the prediction of SP demand were evaluated by the developed ANFIS. Based on the analytical results, the employed algorithm was successfully able to predict the SP demand of SCC with high accuracy. Finally, it was deduced that the V-funnel test is the most reliable method for estimating the SP demand value and a significant parameter for SCC mix design as it led to the lowest training root mean square error (RMSE) compared to other non-destructive testing methods.


2020 ◽  
Vol 81 (5) ◽  
pp. 1090-1098
Author(s):  
Chen Xin ◽  
Xueqing Shi ◽  
Dongsheng Wang ◽  
Chong Yang ◽  
Qian Li ◽  
...  

Abstract The real time estimation of effluent indices of papermaking wastewater is vital to environmental conservation. Ensemble methods have significant advantages over conventional single models in terms of prediction accuracy. As an ensemble method, multi-grained cascade forest (gcForest) is implemented for the prediction of wastewater indices. Compared with the conventional modeling methods including partial least squares, support vector regression, and artificial neural networks, the gcForest model shows prediction superiority for effluent suspended solid (SSeff) and effluent chemical oxygen demand (CODeff). In terms of SSeff, gcForest achieves the highest correlation coefficient with a value of 0.86 and the lowest root-mean-square error (RMSE) value of 0.41. In comparison with the conventional models, the RMSE value using gcForest is reduced by approximately 46.05% to 50.60%. In terms of CODeff, gcForest achieves the highest correlation coefficient with a value of 0.83 and the lowest root-mean-square error value of 4.05. In comparison with the conventional models, the RMSE value using gcForest is reduced by approximately 10.60% to 18.51%.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (02) ◽  
pp. 2050009
Author(s):  
Amorndej Puttipipatkajorn ◽  
Amornrit Puttipipatkajorn

Rubber sheets are one of the primary products of natural rubber and are the main raw material in various rubber industries. The quality of a rubber sheet can be visually examined by holding it against clear light to inspect for any specks and impurities inside, but its moisture content is difficult to evaluate based on a visual inspection and this might lead to unfair trading. Herein, we developed a rapid, robust and nondestructive near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS)-based method for moisture content determination in rubber sheets. A set of 300 rubber sheets were divided into a calibration (200 samples) and prediction groups (100 samples). The calibration set was used to develop NIRS calibration equation using different calibration models, Partial Least Square Regression (PLSR), Least Square Support Vector Machine (LS-SVM) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Among the models investigated, the ANN model with the first derivative of spectral preprocessing presented the best prediction with a coefficient of determination ([Formula: see text] of 0.993, root mean square error of calibration (RMSEC) of 0.126% and root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP) of 0.179%. The results indicated that the proposed NIRS-ANN model will be able to reduce human error and provide a highly accurate estimate of the moisture content in a rubber sheet compared to traditional wet chemistry estimation methods according to AOAC standards.


2018 ◽  
Vol 40 ◽  
pp. 112
Author(s):  
Adriana Aparecida Moreira ◽  
Daniela Santini Adamatti ◽  
Anderson Luis Ruhoff

This study aims to evaluate the performance of MOD16 and GLEAM evapotranspiration (ET) datasets in nine eddy covariance monitoring sites. Data from both ET products were downloaded and its daily means calculated. Evapotranspiration estimations were then compared to the observed ET in the eddy covariance monitoring sites from the Large-Scale Biosphere-Atmosphere Experiment in the Amazon (LBA). We performed a statistical analysis using the correlation coefficient (R), the root mean square error (RMSE) and BIAS. Results indicate that, in general, both products can represent the observed ET in the eddy covariance flux towers. MOD16 and GLEAM showed similar values to the calculated statistics when ET estimates were compared to observed ET. Model estimates and eddy covariance flux towers are subject to uncertainties that influence the analysis of remotely-sensed ET products.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Khalil Ur Rahman ◽  
Songhao Shang ◽  
Muhammad Shahid ◽  
Yeqiang Wen

Merging satellite precipitation products tends to reduce the errors associated with individual satellite precipitation products and has higher potential for hydrological applications. The current study evaluates the performance of merged multi-satellite precipitation dataset (daily temporal and 0.25° spatial resolution) developed using the Dynamic Bayesian Model Averaging algorithm across four different climate regions, i.e., glacial, humid, arid and hyper-arid regions, of Pakistan during 2000–2015. Four extensively evaluated SPPs over Pakistan, i.e., Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM) Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) 3B42V7, Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks-Climate Data Record (PERSIANN-CDR), Climate Prediction Center MORPHing technique (CMORPH), and Era-Interim, are used to develop the merged multi-satellite precipitation dataset. Six statistical indices, including Mean Bias Error, Mean Absolute Error, Root Mean Square Error, Correlation Coefficient, Kling-Gupta efficiency, and Theil’s U coefficient, are used to evaluate the performance of merged multi-satellite precipitation dataset over 102 ground precipitation gauges both spatially and temporally. Moreover, the ensemble spread score and standard deviation are also used to depict the spread and variation of precipitation of merged multi-satellite precipitation dataset. Skill scores for all statistical indices are also included in the analyses, which shows improvement of merged multi-satellite precipitation dataset against Simple Model Averaging. The results revealed that DBMA-MSPD assigned higher weights to TMPA (0.32) and PERSIANN-CDR (0.27). TMPA presented higher skills in glacial and humid regions with average weights of 0.32 and 0.37 as compared to PERSIANN-CDR of 0.27 and 0.25, respectively. TMPA and Era-Interim depicted higher skills during pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons, with average weights of 0.31 and 0.52 (TMPA) and 0.25 and 0.21 (Era-Interim), respectively. Merged multi-satellite precipitation dataset overestimated precipitation in glacial/humid regions and showed poor performance, with the poorest values of mean absolute error (2.69 mm/day), root mean square error (11.96 mm/day), correlation coefficient (0.41), Kling-Gupta efficiency score (0.33) and Theil’s U (0.70) at some stations in glacial/humid regions. Higher performance is observed in hyper-arid region, with the best values of 0.71 mm/day, 1.72 mm/day, 0.84, 0.93, and 0.37 for mean absolute error, root mean square error, correlation coefficient, Kling-Gupta Efficiency score, and Theil’s U, respectively. Merged multi-Satellite Precipitation Dataset demonstrated significant improvements as compared to TMPA across all climate regions with average improvements of 45.26% (mean bias error), 30.99% (mean absolute error), 30.1% (root mean square error), 11.34% (correlation coefficient), 9.53% (Kling-Gupta efficiency score) and 8.86% (Theil’s U). The ensemble spread and variation of DBMA-MSPD calculated using ensemble spread score and standard deviation demonstrates high spread (11.38 mm/day) and variation (12.58 mm/day) during monsoon season in the humid and glacial regions, respectively. Moreover, the improvements of DBMA-MSPD quantified against fixed weight SMA-MSPD reveals supremacy of DBMA-MSPD, higher improvements (40–50%) in glacial and humid regions.


2021 ◽  
Vol 15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew E. Montgomery ◽  
John M. Allen ◽  
Sherif M. Elbasiouny

The overarching goal was to resolve a major barrier to real-life prosthesis usability—the rapid degradation of prosthesis control systems, which require frequent recalibrations. Specifically, we sought to develop and test a motor decoder that provides (1) highly accurate, real-time movement response, and (2) unprecedented adaptability to dynamic changes in the amputee’s biological state, thereby supporting long-term integrity of control performance with few recalibrations. To achieve that, an adaptive motor decoder was designed to auto-switch between algorithms in real-time. The decoder detects the initial aggregate motoneuron spiking activity from the motor pool, then engages the optimal parameter settings for decoding the motoneuron spiking activity in that particular state. “Clear-box” testing of decoder performance under varied physiological conditions and post-amputation complications was conducted by comparing the movement output of a simulated prosthetic hand as driven by the decoded signal vs. as driven by the actual signal. Pearson’s correlation coefficient and Normalized Root Mean Square Error were used to quantify the accuracy of the decoder’s output. Our results show that the decoder algorithm extracted the features of the intended movement and drove the simulated prosthetic hand accurately with real-time performance (<10 ms) (Pearson’s correlation coefficient >0.98 to >0.99 and Normalized Root Mean Square Error <13–5%). Further, the decoder robustly decoded the spiking activity of multi-speed inputs, inputs generated from reversed motoneuron recruitment, and inputs reflecting substantial biological heterogeneity of motoneuron properties, also in real-time. As the amputee’s neuromodulatory state changes throughout the day and the electrical properties and ratio of slower vs. faster motoneurons shift over time post-amputation, the motor decoder presented here adapts to such changes in real-time and is thus expected to greatly enhance and extend the usability of prostheses.


2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (10) ◽  
pp. 4869-4885 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefania Camici ◽  
Christian Massari ◽  
Luca Ciabatta ◽  
Ivan Marchesini ◽  
Luca Brocca

Abstract. The global availability of satellite rainfall products (SRPs) at an increasingly high temporal and spatial resolution has made their exploitation in hydrological applications possible, especially in data-scarce regions. In this context, understanding how uncertainties transfer from SRPs to river discharge simulations, through the hydrological model, is a main research question. SRPs' accuracy is normally characterized by comparing them with ground observations via the calculation of categorical (e.g. threat score, false alarm ratio and probability of detection) and/or continuous (e.g. bias, root mean square error, Nash–Sutcliffe index, Kling–Gupta efficiency index and correlation coefficient) performance scores. However, whether these scores are informative about the associated performance in river discharge simulations (when the SRP is used as input to a hydrological model) is an under-discussed research topic. This study aims to relate the accuracy of different SRPs both in terms of rainfall and in terms of river discharge simulation. That is, the following research questions are addressed: is there any performance score that can be used to select the best performing rainfall product for river discharge simulation? Are multiple scores needed? And, which are these scores? To answer these questions, three SRPs, namely the Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRRM) Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA), the Climate Prediction Center MORPHing (CMORPH) algorithm and the SM2RAIN algorithm applied to the Advanced SCATterometer (ASCAT) soil moisture product (SM2RAIN–ASCAT) have been used as input into a lumped hydrologic model, “Modello Idrologico Semi-Distribuito in continuo” (MISDc), for 1318 basins over Europe with different physiographic characteristics. Results suggest that, among the continuous scores, the correlation coefficient and Kling–Gupta efficiency index are not reliable indices to select the best performing rainfall product for hydrological modelling, whereas bias and root mean square error seem more appropriate. In particular, by constraining the relative bias to absolute values lower than 0.2 and the relative root mean square error to values lower than 2, good hydrological performances (Kling–Gupta efficiency index on river discharge greater than 0.5) are ensured for almost 75 % of the basins fulfilling these criteria. Conversely, the categorical scores have not provided suitable information for addressing the SRP selection for hydrological modelling.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefania Camici ◽  
Christian Massari ◽  
Luca Ciabatta ◽  
Ivan Marchesini ◽  
Luca Brocca

Abstract. The global availability of satellite rainfall products (SRPs) at an increasingly high temporal/spatial resolution has made possible their exploitation in hydrological applications, especially over in-situ data scarce regions. In this context, understand how uncertainties transfer from SRPs into flood simulation, through the hydrological model, is a main research question. SRPs accuracy is normally characterized by comparing them with ground observations via the calculation of categorical (e.g., threat score, false alarm ratio, probability of detection) and/or continuous (e.g., bias, root mean square error, Nash-Sutcliffe index, Kling-Gupta efficiency index, correlation coefficient) metrics. However, whether these metrics are informative about the associated performance in flood simulations (when the SRP is used as input to an hydrological model) is an underdiscussed research topic. This study aims to relate the accuracy of different SRPs both in terms of rainfall and in terms of flood simulation. That is, the following research question are addressed: is (are) there appropriate performance metric (s) to drive the choice of the best performing rainfall product for flood simulation? To answer this question three SRPs, namely the Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis, TMPA; the Climate Prediction Center Morphing algorithm, CMORPH, and the SM2RAIN algorithm applied to the ASCAT (Advanced SCATterometer) soil moisture product, SM2RAIN-ASCAT, have been used as input into a lumped hydrologic model (MISDc, “Modello Idrologico Semi-Distribuito in continuo”) on 1318 basins over Europe with different physiographic characteristics. Results have suggested that, among the continuous metrics, correlation coefficient and Kling-Gupta efficiency index are not reliable scores to select rainfall product performing best for hydrological modelling whereas bias and root mean square error seem more appropriate. In particular, by constraining the relative bias to values lower than 0.2 and the relative root mean square error to values lower than 2, good hydrological performances (Kling-Gupta efficiency index on discharge greater than 0.5) are ensured for almost 75 % of the basins fulfilling these criteria. Conversely, the categorical scores have not provided suitable information to address the SRPs selection for hydrological modelling.


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