Prediction of early recurrence and response to adjuvant Sorafenib for hepatocellular carcinoma after resection

Background Early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major obstacle to improving the prognosis, and no widely accepted adjuvant therapy guideline for patients post-liver resection is available. Currently, all available methods and biomarkers are insufficient to accurately predict post-operation HCC patients’ risk of early recurrence and their response to adjuvant therapy. Methods In this study, we downloaded four gene expression datasets (GSE14520, GSE54236, GSE87630, and GSE109211) from the Gene Expression Omnibus database and identified 34 common differentially expressed genes associated with HCC dysregulation and response to adjuvant sorafenib. Then, we constructed a novel 11-messenger RNA predictive model by using ROC curves analysis, univariate Cox regression analysis, and LASSO Cox regression analysis. Furthermore, we validated the predictive values of the risk model in GSE14520 and TCGA-LIHC cohorts by using Kaplan–Meier survival analysis, multivariable Cox regression analysis, and decision curve analysis, respectively. Results The risk score model could identify patients with a high risk of HCC recurrence at the early stage and could predict the response of patients to adjuvant sorafenib. Patients with a high risk score had a worse recurrence rate in training cohorts (2-year: p < 0.0001, hazard ratio (HR): 4.658, confidence interval 95% CI [2.895–7.495]; 5-year: p < 0.0001, HR: 3.251, 95% CI [2.155–4.904]) and external validation cohorts (2-year: p < 0.001, HR: 3.65, 95% CI [2.001–6.658]; 5-year: p < 0.001, HR: 3.156, 95% CI [1.78–5.596]). The AUC values of the risk score model for predicting tumor early recurrence were 0.746 and 0.618, and that of the risk score model for predicting the response to adjuvant sorafenib were 0.722 and 0.708 in the different cohort, respectively. Multivariable Cox regression analysis and decision curve analysis also showed that the risk score model was superior to and independent of other clinicopathologic characteristics. Moreover, the risk score model had excellent abilities to predict the overall survival and HCC recurrence of patients with the same tumor stage category. Conclusions Our risk model is a reliable and superior predictive tool. With this model, we could optimize the risk stratification based on early tumor recurrence and could evaluate the response of patients to adjuvant sorafenib after liver resection.

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Immune-related gene based prognostic signature for the risk stratification analysis of breast cancer

Current Bioinformatics ◽

10.2174/1574893616666211005110732 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 16 ◽

Author(s):

Dongqing Su ◽

Qianzi Lu ◽

Yi Pan ◽

Yao Yu ◽

Shiyuan Wang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Breast Cancer ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Cancer Patients ◽

Risk Score ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Enrichment Analysis ◽

Gene Set Enrichment Analysis ◽

Breast Cancer Patients ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Score Model

Background: Breast cancer has plagued women for many years and caused many deaths around the world. Method: In this study, based on the weighted correlation network analysis, univariate Cox regression analysis and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, 12 immune-related genes were selected to construct the risk score for breast cancer patients. The multivariable Cox regression analysis, gene set enrichment analysis and nomogram were also conducted in this study. Results: Good results were obtained in the survival analysis, enrichment analysis, multivariable Cox regression analysis and immune-related feature analysis. When the risk score model was applied in 22 breast cancer cohorts, the univariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that the risk score model was significantly associated with overall survival in most of the breast cancer cohorts. Conclusion: Based on these results, we could conclude that the proposed risk score model may be a promising method, and may improve the treatment stratification of breast cancer patients in the future work.

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Identification of an independent immune-genes prognostic index for renal cell carcinoma

BMC Cancer ◽

10.1186/s12885-021-08367-6 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 21 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Guangyao Li ◽

Xiyi Wei ◽

Shifeng Su ◽

Shangqian Wang ◽

Wei Wang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Regression Analysis ◽

Risk Score ◽

Roc Curve ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Immune Genes ◽

Score Model ◽

Set Up ◽

Immune Related Genes ◽

Survival Risk

Abstract Background Considerable evidence has indicated an association between the immune microenvironment and clinical outcome in ccRCC. The purpose of this study is to extensively figure out the influence of immune-related genes of tumors on the prognosis of patients with ccRCC. Methods Files containing 2498 immune-related genes were obtained from the Immunology Database and Analysis Portal (ImmPort), and the transcriptome data and clinical information relevant to patients with ccRCC were identified and downloaded from the TCGA data-base. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to screen out prognostic immune genes. The immune risk score model was established in light of the regression coefficient between survival and hub immune-related genes. We eventually set up a nomogram for the prediction of the overall survival for ccRCC. Kaplan-Meier (K-M) and ROC curve was used in evaluating the value of the predictive risk model. A P value of < 0.05 indicated statistically significant differences throughout data analysis. Results Via differential analysis, we found that 556 immune-related genes were expressed differentially between tumor and normal tissues (p < 0. 05). The analysis of univariate Cox regression exhibited that there was a statistical correlation between 43 immune genes and survival risk in patients with ccRCC (p < 0.05). Through Lasso-Cox regression analysis, we established an immune genetic risk scoring model based on 18 immune-related genes. The high-risk group showed a bad prognosis in K-M analysis. (p < 0.001). ROC curve showed that it was reliable of the immune risk score model to predict survival risk (5 year over survival, AUC = 0.802). The model indicated satisfactory AUC and survival correlation in the validation data set (5 year OS, Area Under Curve = 0.705, p < 0.05). From Multivariate regression analysis, the immune-risk score model plays an isolated role in the prediction of the prognosis of ccRCC. Under multivariate-Cox regression analysis, we set up a nomogram for comprehensive prediction of ccRCC patients’ survival rate. At last, it was identified that 18 immune-related genes and risk scores were not only tremendously related to clinical prognosis but also contained in a variety of carcinogenic pathways. Conclusion In general, tumor immune-related genes play essential roles in ccRCC development and progression. Our research established an unequal 18-immune gene risk index to predict the prognosis of ccRCC visually. This index was found to be an independent predictive factor for ccRCC.

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Identification of Long Noncoding RNA Biomarkers for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using Single-Sample Networks

BioMed Research International ◽

10.1155/2020/8579651 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 2020 ◽

pp. 1-12

Author(s):

Xiaoqing Yu ◽

Jingsong Zhang ◽

Rui Yang ◽

Chun Li

Keyword(s):

Hepatocellular Carcinoma ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Risk Score ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Single Sample ◽

Survival Prediction ◽

Prediction Ability ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Score Model ◽

Function Enrichment

Objective. Many studies have found that long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) are differentially expressed in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and closely associated with the occurrence and prognosis of HCC. Since patients with HCC are usually diagnosed in late stages, more effective biomarkers for early diagnosis and prognostic prediction are in urgent need. Methods. The RNA-seq data of liver hepatocellular carcinoma (LIHC) were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Differentially expressed lncRNAs and mRNAs were obtained using the edgeR package. The single-sample networks of the 371 tumor samples were constructed to identify the candidate lncRNA biomarkers. Univariate Cox regression analysis was performed to further select the potential lncRNA biomarkers. By multivariate Cox regression analysis, a 3-lncRNA-based risk score model was established on the training set. Then, the survival prediction ability of the 3-lncRNA-based risk score model was evaluated on the testing set and the entire set. Function enrichment analyses were performed using Metascape. Results. Three lncRNAs (RP11-150O12.3, RP11-187E13.1, and RP13-143G15.4) were identified as the potential lncRNA biomarkers for LIHC. The 3-lncRNA-based risk model had a good survival prediction ability for the patients with LIHC. Multivariate Cox regression analysis proved that the 3-lncRNA-based risk score was an independent predictor for the survival prediction of patients with LIHC. Function enrichment analysis indicated that the three lncRNAs may be associated with LIHC via their involvement in many known cancer-associated biological functions. Conclusion. This study could provide novel insights to identify lncRNA biomarkers for LIHC at a molecular network level.

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Identification of an Independent Immune-genes Prognostic Index for Renal Cell Carcinoma

10.21203/rs.3.rs-111386/v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Chao Qin ◽

Guangyao Li ◽

Xiyi Wei ◽

Shifeng Su ◽

Shangqian Wang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Renal Cell Carcinoma ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Cell Carcinoma ◽

Risk Score ◽

Renal Cell ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Immune Gene ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Immune Genes ◽

Score Model

Abstract Objective: Increasing evidence has indicated an association between immune micro-environment in clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) and clinical outcomes. The aim of this research is to comprehensively investigate the effect of tumor immune genes on the prognosis of ccRCC patients. Methods: 2498 immune genes were downloaded from ImmPort database. Additionally, we identified and downloaded the transcriptome data of patients with ccRCC from the TCGA database through the R package, as well as relevant clinical information. We apply certain survival R package to analyse the survival of hub-genes before analyzing the effect of immune genes on the prognosis of clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) utilizing Cox regression analysis. Based on the statistical correlation between hub immune gene and survival ,immune risk score model was set up.We finally constructed a nomogram to predict the survival rate of ccRCC overally. In addition, whether the immune gene risk score model is an independent prognostic factor for ccRCC is comprehensively considered applying multivariate cox regression analysis. It is worth noting that throughout the data analysis, P< 0.05 was recognized to be of significance statistically. Results: The results of the difference analysis showed that 556 immune genes exhibited differential expression between normal and ccRCC tissues (p<0. 05). Univariate cox regression analysis revealed 43 immune genes statistically correlated with ccRCC related survival risk (P<0.05). In addition, a 18-genes based immune genes risk scoring model was constructed through lasso COX regression analysis. KM curve indicated that patients in high-risk were associated with poor outcomes (p<0.001). ROC curve indicated that the immune risk score model was reliable in predicting survival risk (5-year OS, AUC=0.802). Our model showed satisfying AUC and survival correlation in the validation dataset ( 5-year OS AUC=0.705, P<0.001). Furthermore, multivariate cox regression analysis confirmed that the immune risk score model was an independent factor for predicting the prognosis of ccRCC. A nomogram was established to comprehensively predict the survival of ccRCC patients with the results of multivariate cox regression analysis. Finally, we found that 15 immune genes and risk scores were significantly associated with clinical factors and prognosis, and were involved in multiple oncogenic pathways.Conclusion: Collectively, tumor immune genes played an essential role in the prognosis of ccRCC. Furthermore, immune risk score was an independent predictive factor of ccRCC, indicating a poor survival.

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Identification of Prognosis-related RNA Binding Proteins to Reveal the Role of RNA Binding Proteins in the Progression and Prognosis of Colon Cancer

10.21203/rs.3.rs-54019/v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Qi Zou ◽

Yue Ding ◽

Yuxiang Dong ◽

Dejun Wu ◽

Junyi Wang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Breast Cancer ◽

Colon Cancer ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Risk Score ◽

Binding Proteins ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Immune Genes ◽

Score Model ◽

Survival Risk

Abstract Background: RNA binding proteins (RBPs) are now under discussion as novel promising bio-markers for patients with colon cancer. The purpose of our study is to identify several RBPs related to the progression and prognosis of colon cancer, and to further investigate the mechanism of their influence on tumor progression. Methods: The transcriptome data of colon cancer as well as clinical characteristics used in this study were downloaded from the The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. Gene ontology (GO), Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analysis and Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) were performed to elucidate the gene functions and relative pathways. Cox and lasso regression analysis were used to analyze the effect of immune genes on the prognosis of breast cancer. Immune risk scoring model was constructed based on the statistical correlation between hub immune genes and survival. Meanwhile, multivariate cox regression analysis was utilized to investigate whether the immune genes risk score model was an independent factor for predicting the prognosis of breast cancer. Nomogram was constructed to comprehensively predict the survival rate of breast cancer. P< 0.05 was considered to be statistically significant. Results: The results of the difference analysis showed that 473 RBPs exhibited differential expression between normal and colon cancer tissues (p<0. 05). Univariate cox regression analysis revealed 25 RBPs statistically correlated with colon cancer related survival risk (P<0.05). In addition, a 10-RBPs based risk scoring model was constructed through multivariate cox regression analysis. KM curve indicated that patients in high-risk were associated with poor outcomes (p<0.001). ROC curve indicated that the immune risk score model was reliable in predicting survival risk (5-year OS, AUC=0.782). Our model showed satisfying AUC and survival correlation in the validation dataset (5-year OS AUC=0.744). Furthermore, multivariate cox regression analysis confirmed that the immune risk score model was an independent factor for predicting the prognosis of colon cancer. A nomogram was established to comprehensively predict the survival of colon cancer patients with the results of multivariate cox regression analysis. Finally, we found that 10 RBPs and risk scores were significantly associated with clinical factors and prognosis, and were involved in multiple oncogenic pathways. Conclusion: Collectively, RBPs played an essential role in the progression and prognosis of colon cancer by regulating multiple biological pathways. Furthermore, RBPs risk score was an independent predictive factor of colon cancer, indicating a poor survival.

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Identification of an independent immune-genes prognostic index for breast cancer

10.21203/rs.3.rs-41670/v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Lin Chen ◽

Yuxiang Dong ◽

Yitong Pan ◽

Chen Chen ◽

Junyi Wang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Breast Cancer ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Risk Score ◽

Cox Regression ◽

R Package ◽

Breast Cancer Patients ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Immune Genes ◽

Score Model ◽

Survival Risk

Abstract Objective Increasing evidence has indicated an association between immune micro-environment in breast cancer and clinical outcomes. The aim of this research is to comprehensively investigate the effect of tumor immune genes on the prognosis of breast cancer patients. Methods 2498 immune genes were downloaded from ImmPort database. Additionally, we identified and downloaded the transcriptome data of patients with breast cancer from the TCGA database through the R package, as well as relevant clinical information. Survival R package was applied in survival analyses for hub-genes. Cox regression analysis was used to analyze the effect of immune genes on the prognosis of breast cancer. Immune risk scoring model was constructed based on the statistical correlation between hub immune genes and survival. Meanwhile, multivariate cox regression analysis was utilized to investigate whether the immune genes risk score model was an independent factor for predicting the prognosis of breast cancer. Nomogram was constructed to comprehensively predict the survival rate of breast cancer. P < 0.05 was considered to be statistically significant. Results The results of the difference analysis showed that 556 immune genes exhibited differential expression between normal and breast cancer tissues (p < 0. 05). Univariate cox regression analysis revealed 66 immune genes statistically correlated with breast cancer related survival risk, of which 30 were associated with overall survival (P < 0.05). In addition, a 15-genes based immune genes risk scoring model was constructed through lasso COX regression analysis. KM curve indicated that patients in high-risk were associated with poor outcomes (p < 0.001). ROC curve indicated that the immune risk score model was reliable in predicting survival risk (5-year OS, AUC = 0.752). Our model showed satisfying AUC and survival correlation in the validation dataset (3-year over survival (OS) AUC = 0.685, 5-year OS AUC = 0.717, P = 0.00048). Furthermore, multivariate cox regression analysis confirmed that the immune risk score model was an independent factor for predicting the prognosis of breast cancer. A nomogram was established to comprehensively predict the survival of breast cancer patients with the results of multivariate cox regression analysis. Finally, we found that 15 immune genes and risk scores were significantly associated with clinical factors and prognosis, and were involved in multiple oncogenic pathways. Conclusion Collectively, tumor immune genes played an essential role in the prognosis of breast cancer. Furthermore, immune risk score was an independent predictive factor of breast cancer, indicating a poor survival.

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Development and Validation of a Prognostic Gene Signature Correlated With M2 Macrophage Infiltration in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Frontiers in Oncology ◽

10.3389/fonc.2021.769727 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 ◽

Author(s):

Jiannan Yao ◽

Ling Duan ◽

Xuying Huang ◽

Jian Liu ◽

Xiaona Fan ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Regression Analysis ◽

Risk Score ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Risk Group ◽

Gene Signature ◽

M2 Macrophage ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Qrt Pcr ◽

Score Model ◽

Geo Database

BackgroundEsophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is the most common type of esophageal cancer and the seventh most prevalent cause of cancer-related death worldwide. Tumor microenvironment (TME) has been confirmed to play an crucial role in ESCC progression, prognosis, and the response to immunotherapy. There is a need for predictive biomarkers of TME-related processes to better prognosticate ESCC outcomes.AimTo identify a novel gene signature linked with the TME to predict the prognosis of ESCC.MethodsWe calculated the immune/stromal scores of 95 ESCC samples from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) using the ESTIMATE algorithm, and identified differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between high and low immune/stromal score patients. The key prognostic genes were further analyzed by the intersection of protein–protein interaction (PPI) networks and univariate Cox regression analysis. Finally, a risk score model was constructed using multivariate Cox regression analysis. We evaluated the associations between the risk score model and immune infiltration via the CIBERSORT algorithm. Moreover, we validated the signature using the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. Within the ten gene signature, five rarely reported genes were further validated with quantitative real time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) using an ESCC tissue cDNA microarray.ResultsA total of 133 up-regulated genes were identified as DEGs. Ten prognostic genes were selected based on intersection analysis of univariate COX regression analysis and PPI, and consisted of C1QA, C1QB, C1QC, CD86, C3AR1, CSF1R, ITGB2, LCP2, SPI1, and TYROBP (HR>1, p<0.05). The expression of 9 of these genes in the tumor samples were significantly higher compared to matched adjacent normal tissue based on the GEO database (p<0.05). Next, we assessed the ability of the ten-gene signature to predict the overall survival of ESCC patients, and found that the high-risk group had significantly poorer outcomes compared to the low-risk group using univariate and multivariate analyses in the TCGA and GEO cohorts (HR=2.104, 95% confidence interval:1.343-3.295, p=0.001; HR=1.6915, 95% confidence interval:1.053-2.717, p=0.0297). Additionally, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis demonstrated a relatively sensitive and specific profile for the signature (1-, 2-, 3-year AUC=0.672, 0.854, 0.81). To identify the basis for these differences in the TME, we performed correlation analyses and found a significant positive correlation with M1 and M2 macrophages and CD8+ T cells, as well as a strong correlation to M2 macrophage surface markers. A nomogram based on the risk score and select clinicopathologic characteristics was constructed to predict overall survival of ESCC patients. For validation, qRT-PCR of an ESCC patient cDNA microarray was performed, and demonstrated that C1QA, C3AR1, LCP2, SPI1, and TYROBP were up-regulated in tumor samples and predict poor prognosis.ConclusionThis study established and validated a novel 10-gene signature linked with M2 macrophages and poor prognosis in ESCC patients. Importantly, we identified C1QA, C3AR1, LCP2, SPI1, and TYROBP as novel M2 macrophage-correlated survival biomarkers. These findings may identify potential targets for therapy in ESCC patients.

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Systematic Construction of an Autophagic Risk Model in Bone Marrow for Prognostic Prediction in Multiple Myeloma

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood-2021-150454 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 138 (Supplement 1) ◽

pp. 4713-4713

Author(s):

Lingling Shu ◽

Han-Ying Huang ◽

Yang Liu ◽

Yang Li ◽

Weida Wang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Multiple Myeloma ◽

Bone Marrow ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Risk Score ◽

Risk Model ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Conflicts Of Interest ◽

Critical Role ◽

Cox Regression Analysis

Abstract Autophagy is an intracellular self-degradative process that balances cell energy source and regulates tissue homeostasis, which plays critical role in the pathogenesis of multiple myeloma (MM). However, the prognostic role of autophagy-related genes (ARGs) in MM remains undefined. In the present study, the ARGs were obtained from Gene Expression Omnibus datasets (accession GSE24080, GSE136337, GSE57317), which contains 1038 samples of patients with MM. Univariate Cox regression analysis identified 38 ARGs that were significantly associated with overall survival of MM. Furthermore, a risk score model with 11 prognosis-associated ARGs was developed using multivariate Cox regression analysis, including ARNT, ATG4D, BIRC5, BNIP3L, CDKN1A, EIF2S1, IRGM, ITGA3, NCKAP1, NRG1 and TM9SF1. The 3-year area under the curve (AUC) values for the receiver operating characteristic curves were 0.717(0.662, 0.758), 0.646(0.587, 0.703) and 0.906(0.694, 1.000) for GSE24080, GSE136337, GSE57317 prognosis predictions, respectively (Figure A-C). Using this prognostic signature, patients with MM could be separated into high- and low-risk groups with distinct clinical outcomes (Figure D-F). Moreover, autophagy risk score was an independent prognostic factor by multivariate analysis. KEGG revealed that most pathways were related to autophagy and metabolism. Furthermore, we validated the expression of 11 genes and ARNT in bone marrow of MM patients (Figure G-I) and showed the critical role of ARNT-mediated autophagy in the proliferation and drug resistance of bortezomib in myeloma cells (Figure J-M). In conclusion, we constructed ARGs-based prognostic model to predict the prognosis of MM, targeting specific autophagic gene such as ARNT might provide therapeutic clues for MM treatment. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

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Construction of a Novel Prognostic Immune-Related LncRNA Risk Model for Gastric Cancer

10.21203/rs.3.rs-1010858/v1 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Gen-hua Yang

Keyword(s):

Gastric Cancer ◽

Risk Score ◽

Risk Model ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Vital Role ◽

The Cancer Genome Atlas ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Immune Genes ◽

Cancer Genome Atlas ◽

Score Model

Abstract Background and AimStudies have recently shown that immune-related lncRNAs play a vital role in the occurrence and development of human malignancies. However, the study in gastric cancer (GC) remains unclear. Here, we aimed to identify immune-related lncRNAs and construct a risk score model to predict the prognosis of GC patients.Methods:RNA expression data and clinical characteristics of GC were download from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. Immune genes were obtained from the Molecular Signatures Database (MSigDB). Immune-related lncRNAs were acquired by correlation coefficient between the immune genes and lncRNAs using “limma R” package and Cytoscape 3.6.1. The risk score model was constructed by univariate and multivariate Cox regression, and its prognostic value was verified in TCGA cohort. Results:A total of 146 immune-related lncRNAs were obtained compared 375 GC samples with 32 normal samples. A five immune-related lncRNA (AP001528.2, LINC02542, LINC02526, PVT1 and LINC01094) risk score model was constructed to predict prognosis of GC patients by Cox regression analysis. Moreover, GC patients with higher risk score had a poorer overall survival than that with lower risk score (P<0.001). Furthermore, ROC analysis revealed that the risk score model had the best predictive effect compared with clinicopathological features during 5 years followed-up (AUC = 0.679). Indeed, PCA analysis showed that the patients in the low- and high- group were significantly distinguished in different directions based on the risk score model. Conclusion:This study indicated that a five immune-related lncRNA risk score model possessed a satisfactory predictive prognosis, which might be potential prognostic biomarkers and immunotherapy targets for GC patients in future.

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An 8-ferroptosis-related genes signature from Bronchoalveolar Lavage Fluid for prognosis in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

BMC Pulmonary Medicine ◽

10.1186/s12890-021-01799-7 ◽

2022 ◽

Vol 22 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Yaowu He ◽

Yu Shang ◽

Yupeng Li ◽

Menghan Wang ◽

Dongping Yu ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Regression Analysis ◽

High Risk ◽

Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis ◽

Pulmonary Fibrosis ◽

Risk Score ◽

Poor Prognosis ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Risk Group ◽

Curve Analysis ◽

Cox Regression Analysis

Abstract Background With the rapid advances of genetic and genomic technologies, the pathophysiological mechanisms of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) were gradually becoming clear, however, the prognosis of IPF was still poor. This study aimed to systematically explore the ferroptosis-related genes model associated with prognosis in IPF patients. Methods Datasets were collected from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression analysis was applied to create a multi-gene predicted model from patients with IPF in the Freiburg cohort of the GSE70866 dataset. The Siena cohort and the Leuven cohort were used for validation. Results Nineteen differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between the patients with IPF and control were associated with poor prognosis based on the univariate Cox regression analysis (all P < 0.05). According to the median value of the risk score derived from an 8-ferroptosis-related genes signature, the three cohorts’ patients were stratified into two risk groups. Prognosis of high-risk group (high risk score) was significantly poorer compared with low-risk group in the three cohorts. According to multivariate Cox regression analyses, the risk score was an independently predictor for poor prognosis in the three cohorts. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA) confirmed the signature's predictive value in the three cohorts. According to functional analysis, inflammation- and immune-related pathways and biological process could participate in the progression of IPF. Conclusions These results imply that the 8-ferroptosis-related genes signature in the bronchoalveolar lavage samples might be an effective model to predict the poor prognosis of IPF.

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