Is Automation of Statistical Reasoning a Suitable Mindware in a Base-Rate Neglect Task?

Until recently, studies within the dual-process approach were mainly focused on group differences in processing, and individual differences were neglected. However, individual differences have proven to be a significant factor in conflict detection efficiency and the overall success in base-rate neglect and similar tasks. This should be taken into consideration within the framework of the Hybrid Model of Dual Processing. New tendencies in the development of this model have focused attention on the degree of mindware instantiation as a predictor of base-rate neglect task efficiency. This study aimed to examine the relationship between mindware and base-rate neglect task efficiency and to test and explore the relationship between base-rate response frequency and conflict detection efficiency and the degree of mindware instantiation. All participants solved base-rate neglect tasks, made judgments of confidence in their responses, and solved the Statistical Reasoning Test, Cognitive Reflection Test and Numeracy Scale. We used the Statistical Reasoning Test as a measure of mindware instantiation. The degree of mindware instantiation was found to be the only significant predictor of base-rate neglect task efficiency and the results showed that participants with a higher degree of mindware instantiation generally made more base-rate responses. No correlation was found between the degree of mindware instantiation and conflict detection efficiency. These findings support the hypothesis that the power of logical intuition depends on the individual’s degree of mindware instantiation. Therefore, the results of this research indicate the importance of further research into the role of statistical reasoning in base-rate neglect task efficiency. However, we discuss that there are some methodological limitations in this research which might explain why the degree of mindware instantiation had no relationship with conflict efficiency.

Modifiable Risk Factors for Neurocognitive and Psychosocial Problems After Hodgkin Lymphoma

Long-term survivors of childhood Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) experience high burden of chronic health morbidities. Correlates of neurocognitive and psychosocial morbidity have not been well established. 1,760 survivors of HL (mean[SD] age 37.5[6.0] years, time since diagnosis 23.6[4.7] years, 52.1% female) and 3,180 siblings (age 33.2[8.5] years, 54.5% female) completed cross-sectional surveys assessing neurocognitive function, emotional distress, quality of life, social attainment, smoking, and physical activity. Treatment exposures were abstracted from medical records. Chronic health conditions were graded according to NCI CTCAE v4.3 (1=mild, 2=moderate, 3=severe/disabling, 4=life-threatening). Multivariable analyses, adjusted for age, sex, and race, estimated relative risk (RR) of impairment in survivors vs. siblings and, among survivors, risk of impairment associated with demographic, clinical, treatment factors and grade 2+ chronic health conditions. Compared with siblings, survivors had significant higher risk (p's<0.05) of neurocognitive impairment (e.g. memory 8.1% vs. 5.7%), anxiety (7.0%%vs. 5.4%),depression (9.1% vs. 7%), unemployment (9.6% vs. 4.4%), and impaired physical/mental quality of life (e.g. physical function 11.2% vs. 3.0%). Smoking was associated with higher risk of impairment in task efficiency (RR=1.56[1.02-2.39]), emotional regulation (RR=1.84[1.35-2.49]), anxiety (RR=2.43[1.51-3.93]), and depression (RR=2.73[1.85-4.04]). Meeting CDC exercise guidelines was associated with lower risk of impairment in task efficiency (RR=0.70[0.52-0.95]), organization (RR=0.60[0.45-0.80]), depression (RR=0.66[0.48-0.92]), and multiple quality of life domains. Cardiovascular and neurologic conditions were associated with impairment in nearly all domains. Survivors of HL are at elevated risk for neurocognitive and psychosocial impairment, and risk is associated with modifiable factors that provide targets for interventions to improve long-term functional outcomes.

Effects of Training and Motivation Practices on Performance and Task Efficiency

This paper solely focuses on the two Brunei halal meat slaughterhouses and offers suggestions on how these findings can translate into considerations for the halal industry in Brunei. In Islamic law, dhabīḥah is the prescribed method of ritual slaughter of all lawful halal animals. This method of slaughtering lawful animals has several conditions to be fulfilled. This method requires proper training and mindset in order to be carried out correctly. This research is explorative using qualitative primary data collection through the use of interviews. The participants comprise slaughterhouse employees using a purposive sampling method. The intent is that this research adds to the body of literature seeking to understand the complexities of training and motivation in meat slaughterhouses and offer insight on the complexities between training, motivation, and performance. It also identifies how differences in organisational structure can impact the approach to the training and employee motivation approaches.

The Impact of Training on Human–Autonomy Team Communications and Trust Calibration

Objective This work examines two human–autonomy team (HAT) training approaches that target communication and trust calibration to improve team effectiveness under degraded conditions. Background Human–autonomy teaming presents challenges to teamwork, some of which may be addressed through training. Factors vital to HAT performance include communication and calibrated trust. Method Thirty teams of three, including one confederate acting as an autonomous agent, received either entrainment-based coordination training, trust calibration training, or control training before executing a series of missions operating a simulated remotely piloted aircraft. Automation and autonomy failures simulating degraded conditions were injected during missions, and measures of team communication, trust, and task efficiency were collected. Results Teams receiving coordination training had higher communication anticipation ratios, took photos of targets faster, and overcame more autonomy failures. Although autonomy failures were introduced in all conditions, teams receiving the calibration training reported that their overall trust in the agent was more robust over time. However, they did not perform better than the control condition. Conclusions Training based on entrainment of communications, wherein introduction of timely information exchange through one team member has lasting effects throughout the team, was positively associated with improvements in HAT communications and performance under degraded conditions. Training that emphasized the shortcomings of the autonomous agent appeared to calibrate expectations and maintain trust. Applications Team training that includes an autonomous agent that models effective information exchange may positively impact team communication and coordination. Training that emphasizes the limitations of an autonomous agent may help calibrate trust.

THE AUTONOMOUS UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLE GROUP APPLICATION CONCEPT OF THE CLUSTER OF OBJECTS OF INTEREST PAYLOAD DELIVERY

The modern weapons key features are: autonomy, precision, long arm (range more than 2000 km). Such AUAV (Autonomous Unmanned Aerial Vehicles) are quite expensive. The traditional way of delivering a payload is a priori programming each AUAV to the concrete OI (Object of Interest). Since the probability of successful payload delivery is usually about 0.8 or less, then to increase the successful solution probability to the problem posed, the method of launching two or more AUAVs at one OI is used. Thus, a method that minimizes the cost of a solution, i.e. minimizes the AUAV squad, while maintaining a given probability of completing a flight task is of obvious economic interest. A flock of AUAVs can exchange data before the payload delivery, before the final guidance stage, distribute the available AUAVs to the OI to maximize the total task efficiency. To solve the problem of AUAV reprogramming, a method of AUAV data exchange in the synchronization zone is proposed. The geometrical parameters of the zone, the possibility of radio communication with the required exchange rate, and the speed of the synchronization algorithms have been determined. The program exchange parameters are determined and one of the possible Raft algorithms is selected for solving consensus problems in the unreliable computations network.

Role of Interface Design: A Comparison of Different Online Learning System Designs

Mobile devices are becoming an indispensable part of the daily lives and learning habits of older adults with the easy access of the Internet. It enhances the connection between old users and online education, which supplies an approach to cultivate them with innovative concepts and entrepreneurship of education. However, the complicated navigation of information systems (IS) confuses older adults, and gets them disoriented in searches of information, in addition, to influencing online activities for older adults. This study aims to investigate what kind of navigation of IS is suitable for older adults. A 2 × 2 (2 factors, 2 levels) mixed experimental design was employed. The two factors were, respectively, cognitive load (CL) and navigation structure (NS). A sample of 40 older participants (mean age = 64.37, SD = 4.03) performed online learning tasks in terms of innovative concept using linear hierarchical or mixed NSs under different time pressures. The results showed that linear hierarchical navigation is more appropriate for the elderly when learning and generating innovative concepts on smartphones, as the interaction between CL and NS exists. Overall, the findings combined suggest that the linear hierarchical NS, compared to mixed hierarchical navigation, obtained better usability in terms of task efficiency, CL, and subjective ratings. The findings can provide theoretical support for designers to design and develop mobile websites for older adults.

Colony fitness increases in the honey bee at queen mating frequencies higher than genetic diversity asymptote

Across the eusocial Hymenoptera, a queen’s mating frequency is positively associated with her workers’ genetic diversity and colony’s fitness. Over 90% of a colony’s diversity potential is achieved by its mother’s tenth effective mating (me); however, many females mate at levels of me > 10, a zone we here call hyperpolyandry. We compared honey bee colony fitness at mating levels near and above this genetic diversity asymptote. We were interested in how hyperpolyandry affects colony phenotypes arising from both common tasks (brood care) and rare specialized tasks (parasite resistance). We used an unselected wild line of bees and a Varroa Sensitive Hygiene (VSH) line selected to resist the parasite Varroa destructor. Virgin queens were instrumentally inseminated to replicate the following queen/colony conditions: (1) VSH semen/low polyandry (observed mating number = mo = 9), (2) VSH semen/high polyandry (mo = 54), (3) wild type semen/low polyandry, or (4) wild semen/high polyandry. There was a positive effect of polyandry on brood survival, an outcome of common tasks, with highest values at mo = 54. There was an interaction between polyandry and genetics such that differences between genetic lines expressed only at mo = 54, with fewer mites in VSH colonies. These results are consistent with two hypotheses for the evolution of mating levels in excess of the genetic diversity asymptote: hyperpolyandry improves colony fitness by (1) optimizing genotype compositions for common tasks and (2) by capturing rare specialist allele combinations, resisting cliff-edge ecological catastrophes. Significance statement Polyandry is a female’s practice of mating with several males, storing their sperm, and using it to produce one or more clutches of genetically diverse offspring. In the social Hymenoptera, polyandry increases the genetic diversity and task efficiency of workers, leading to improved colony fitness. Over 90% of the increase in a colony’s diversity potential is achieved by its mother’s tenth mating; however, many females practice hyperpolyandry, a term we reserve here for mating levels above this genetic diversity asymptote. We show that a token of colony fitness arising from common tasks, brood survival, improves universally as one moves from sub- to hyperpolyandrous mating levels. However, a colony phenotype arising from a rare parasite resistance task is only expressed in the presence of the controlling alleles and under conditions of hyperpolyandry. These results suggest adaptive mechanisms by which hyperpolyandry could evolve.

Response thresholds alone cannot explain empirical patterns of division of labor in social insects

The effects of heterogeneity in group composition remain a major hurdle to our understanding of collective behavior across disciplines. In social insects, division of labor (DOL) is an emergent, colony-level trait thought to depend on colony composition. Theoretically, behavioral response threshold models have most commonly been employed to investigate the impact of heterogeneity on DOL. However, empirical studies that systematically test their predictions are lacking because they require control over colony composition and the ability to monitor individual behavior in groups, both of which are challenging. Here, we employ automated behavioral tracking in 120 colonies of the clonal raider ant with unparalleled control over genetic, morphological, and demographic composition. We find that each of these sources of variation in colony composition generates a distinct pattern of behavioral organization, ranging from the amplification to the dampening of inherent behavioral differences in heterogeneous colonies. Furthermore, larvae modulate interactions between adults, exacerbating the apparent complexity. Models based on threshold variation alone only partially recapitulate these empirical patterns. However, by incorporating the potential for variability in task efficiency among adults and task demand among larvae, we account for all the observed phenomena. Our findings highlight the significance of previously overlooked parameters pertaining to both larvae and workers, allow the formulation of theoretical predictions for increasing colony complexity, and suggest new avenues of empirical study.

Accelerated cognitive decline in adult survivors of pediatric central nervous system (CNS) tumors: A report from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (CCSS).

10049 Background: Survivors of pediatric CNS tumors may be at elevated risk for accelerated cognitive decline as they age through adulthood relative to the general population, which may be an early risk factor for dementia. Methods: Longitudinal analysis of 512 CNS tumor survivors (52.3% female, mean [SD] 30.6 [7.1] years at T1) and 232 siblings (57.8% female, mean [SD] 34.2 [8.4] years at T1) from the CCSS was conducted using the Neurocognitive Questionnaire (NCQ) to assess task efficiency, emotional regulation, organization and memory at two timepoints separated by a mean of 11.6 [0.7] years. Impairment in each NCQ domain was defined as a score ≥ 90th percentile of the CCSS sibling distribution at each survey, with decline defined as moving from unimpaired at T1 to impaired at T2. Treatment exposures were abstracted from medical records. Chronic health conditions were self-reported at T1 and graded according to CTCAE v4.3. Relative risk of decline for group, treatment and chronic condition predictors was estimated using generalized linear models with robust variance estimates. Mediation analysis examined direct effects of treatments and mediating effects of chronic conditions. All models were adjusted for age, sex, and race. Results: At T1, survivors demonstrated higher frequency of impaired memory (24.5% vs. 6.5%, p < 0.001), emotional regulation (14.3 % vs. 5.6%, p < 0.001), task efficiency (43.3% vs. 13.8%, p < 0.001) and organization (17.7% vs. 10.8%, p = 0.015) than siblings. Among those unimpaired at T1, more survivors vs. siblings declined in memory (34.7% vs. 7.8; RR 4.2, 95% CI 2.6-6.9), emotional regulation (15.5% vs. 5.0%; RR 2.8, 95% CI 1.5-5.3), task efficiency (22.7% vs. 7.0%; RR 2.9, 95% CI 1.7-5.2), and organization (14.5% vs. 2.9%; RR 4.9, 95% CI 2.1-11.0) by T2. Decline in survivor memory was associated with exposure to craniospinal irradiation (RR 1.9, 95% CI 1.3-2.8) and focal irradiation (RR 1.6, 95% CI 1.1-2.3) compared with no radiation, and exposure to Ara-C (RR 1.7, 95% CI 1.0-2.8) and cyclophosphamide (RR 1.7, 95% CI 1.01-2.8). Independent of therapy, serious/disabling or life-threatening cardiopulmonary conditions at T1 predicted future decline in memory (RR 1.5, 95% CI 1.02-2.2) and organization (RR 2.0, 95% CI 1.1-3.6), with the presence of 2 or more cardiopulmonary conditions associated with even higher risk (memory RR 2.6, 95% CI 2.0-3.1; organization RR 3.4, 95% CI 1.1-10.5). Chronic conditions did not mediate associations between treatment exposures and cognitive decline. Conclusions: CNS tumor survivors are at elevated risk for impairment and accelerated cognitive decline compared to siblings. Cranial radiation, Ara-C, cyclophosphamide, and cardiopulmonary morbidity are risk factors for decline. Survivors with these exposures/conditions may benefit from interventions to prevent additional future cognitive decline.

Towards Finding the Optimum Position in the Visual Field for a Head Worn Display Used for Task Guidance with Non-registered Graphics

Where should a HWD be placed in a user's visual field? We present two studies that compare comfort, preference, task efficiency and accuracy for various HWD positions. The first study offsets a 9.2° horizontal field-of-view (FOV) display temporally (toward the ear) from 0° to 30° in 10° steps. 30° proves too uncomfortable while 10° is the most preferred position for a simple button-pushing game, corroborating results from previous single-task reading experiments. The second experiment uses a Magic Leap One to compare 10° x 10° FOV interfaces centered at line-of-sight, temporally offset 15° (center-right), inferiorly offset 15° (bottom-center), and offset in both directions (bottom-right) for an order picking task. The bottom-right position proved worst in terms of accuracy and several subjective metrics when compared to the line-of-sight position.