Uncertainty Handling in Genetic Risk Assessment and Counseling

In this paper, we consider genetic risk assessment and genetic counseling for breast cancer from the point of view of reliable uncertainty handling. In medical practice, there exist fairly accurate numerical tools predicting breast cancer (or gene mutation) probability based on such factors as the family history of a patient. However, they are too complex to be applied in normal doctors’ offices, so that several simplified, questionnaire-type support tools appeared. This process is highly affected by uncertainty. At the same time, reliability of test interpretations and counseling conclusions is especially important since they have direct influence on humans and their decisions. We show how expert opinions on mutation probabilities can be combined using the Dempster-Shafer theory. Based on multi-criteria binary decision trees and interval analysis, we combine the referral screening tool designed to determine patients at risk of breast cancer (and recommend genetic counseling or testing for them) with three further risk assessment tools available for this purpose. A patient’s confidence in the outcome of a genetic counseling session can be heightened by the proposed method since it combines different sources to provide score ranges leading to more information. Finally, based on this approach, a decision tree for assigning a risk category is proposed which enhances the existing methodology. The great impact of epistemic uncertainty is reflected through large overlapping intervals for the risk classes.

Feasibility of a Traceback Approach for Using Pathology Specimens to Facilitate Genetic Testing in the Genetic Risk Analysis in Ovarian Cancer (GRACE) Study Protocol

Guidelines currently state that genetic testing is clinically indicated for all individuals diagnosed with ovarian cancer. Individuals with a prior diagnosis of ovarian cancer who have not received genetic testing represent missed opportunities to identify individuals with inherited high-risk cancer variants. For deceased individuals, post-mortem genetic testing of pathology specimens allows surviving family members to receive important genetic risk information. The Genetic Risk Assessment in Ovarian Cancer (GRACE) study aims to address this significant healthcare gap using a “traceback testing” approach to identify individuals with a prior diagnosis of ovarian cancer and offer genetic risk information to them and their family members. This study will assess the potential ethical and privacy concerns related to an ovarian cancer traceback testing approach in the context of patients who are deceased, followed by implementation and evaluation of the feasibility of an ovarian cancer traceback testing approach using tumor registries and archived pathology tissue. Descriptive and statistical analyses will assess health system and patient characteristics associated with the availability of pathology tissue and compare the ability to contact and uptake of genetic testing between patients who are living and deceased. The results of this study will inform the implementation of future traceback programs.

Effective Treatment of Ph-Negative Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia for Uninsured Hispanic Adolescents and Young Adults with a Low-Cost Outpatient Regimen

Introduction Pediatric inspired regimens can achieve good outcomes in adolescents and young adults (AYAs) with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) by delivering intense non-myelosuppressive chemotherapy and are considered standard. Experience with the implementation of these regimens outside of academic centers in high-income countries is limited. Furthermore, Mexican patients (with "hispanic ethnicity") have increased risk for relapse and treatment related complications. Objectives Primary objective: to determine 2-year overall survival (OS) and event-free survival (EFS). Secondary objectives: to determine the impacts of treatment abandonment and measurable residual disease (MRD) on outcomes, and to compare treatment costs with a widely used standard regimen in the United States. Patients and Methods Consecutive patients 16-45 years diagnosed with Ph-negative B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia after 2016 were included. The salient features of our modified-BFM regimen include the use mitoxantrone, E. coli L-asparaginase, without systemic cytarabine or high dose methotrexate designed to be delivered entirely in an outpatient basis for maximum affordability (Table 1), given that we treat an uninsured population that must cover their own treatment costs out of pocket. Genetic risk assessment was limited to BCR/ABL. Thereafter, relapse risk assessment was based exclusively on "next generation" flow cytometry measurable residual disease (MRD) after consolidation, with a planned allogeneic transplant for MRD-positive patients (≥0.001%). Treatment abandonment was defined as a missed ≥14-day period during intensive treatment or ≥1 month during maintenance. Statistical analysis was performed as intent-to-treat. Lastly, drugs included in our protocol were compared to those of CALGB 10403 with current local pricing in USD. Results Ninety-one AYAs have been treated, 47 women and 44 men, with a median age of 21 years (range, 15-45), mostly with a good functional capacity and no comorbidities (ECOG≤2: 92.1%; HCT-Ci 0-1: 97.8%); 43.8% of patients had ≥30x10 9/L white blood cells at diagnosis and 31.7% had grade ≥1 obesity. Notable grade ≥3 adverse events during induction were infections/neutropenic fever (35.6%),hepatotoxicity (11%) and thrombosis/bleeding (8.1%) with 44.3% eventually requiring hospitalization. Induction related mortality was 11%. Only n=3 were refractory to induction and the remainder assessed achieved complete remission (n=63; 95.5%) with a median follow-up of 15 months (range, 0.9-50.1). N=29 received induction and consolidation entirely on an outpatient basis, ulterior hospitalizations during therapy were rare. Treatment abandonment was common (n=24; 26.4%) usually during induction (n=8; 32%) or consolidation (n=12; 48%) and mostly related to unaffordability. For the same reason, transfers to social security healthcare systems were also frequent (n=19; 20.9%). Most patients assessed were MRD negative (n=38; 74.5%) Early relapse incidence was 32.9%; 44.4% in MRD-positive and 27.5% in MRD-negative patients (p=0.43). OS at 24 months was 61.5% (95% CI 47-73%) and EFS 49.8% (95% CI 37-62%) with excellent outcomes for MRD-negative patients (Figure 1, Panels A and B). Treatment abandonment and MRD positivity were the only independent predictors of mortality in a multivariate analysis (HR 7.8 [95% CI 2.8-21.9] and HR 4.5 [95% CI 1.4-14], respectively). Lastly, the total cumulative price for medications included in our regimen was calculated at $16,750 vs. $36,061 USD in CALGB 10403, representing a cost reduction of 53.5%. Conclusions The treatment of Hispanic ALL patients with our regimen has shown promising outcomes at a reduced cost for patients. Genetic risk assessment, induction mortality, treatment abandonment and lack of access to novel therapies for MRD positive patients remain the main barriers for improving outcomes further. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures Gomez-De Leon: Novartis: Honoraria; ASH: Research Funding; Sanofi: Honoraria; Abbvie: Honoraria. González López: JANSSEN: Honoraria; AMGEN: Honoraria. Gomez-Almaguer: Roche: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; Janssen: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; Bristol-Myers-Squibb: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; Takeda: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau.

Evaluating genetic and genomic tests for heritable conditions in Australia: lessons learnt from health technology assessments

The Medical Services Advisory Committee (MSAC) is an independent non-statutory committee established by the Australian government to provide recommendations on public reimbursement of technologies and services, other than pharmaceuticals. MSAC has established approaches for undertaking health technology assessment (HTA) of investigative services and codependent technologies. In 2016, MSAC published its clinical utility card (CUC) Proforma, an additional tool to guide assessments of genetic testing for heritable conditions. We undertook a review and narrative synthesis of information extracted from all MSAC assessments of genetic testing for heritable conditions completed since 2016, regardless of the HTA approach taken. Ten assessments met our inclusion criteria, covering a range of testing methods (from gene panels to whole-exome sequencing) and purposes (including molecular diagnosis, genetic risk assessment, identification of congenital anomaly syndromes, and carrier screening). This analysis identified a range of methodological and policy challenges such as how to incorporate patient and societal preferences for the health and non-health outcomes of genomic testing, how best to capture the concept of co-production of utility, and how to engage clinicians as referrers for genomics tests whilst at the same time ensuring equity of access to a geographically dispersed population. A further challenge related to how qualitative assessments of patient and community needs influenced the evidence thresholds against which decisions were made. These concepts should be considered for incorporation within the value assessment frameworks used by HTA agencies around the world.

The Onset of Depression in Middle-Aged Presumed Healthy Slovenian Family Practice Attendees and Its Associations with Genetic Risk Assessment, Quality of Life and Health Status: A Contribution for Family Medicine Practitioners’ Early Detection

Despite depression being a major driver of morbidity and mortality, the majority of primary care patients remain undiagnosed, so this study aimed to assess the prevalence of depression and the association with demographic and clinical variables, genetic risk, and quality of life. The participants were presumably healthy model family medicine practice (MFMP) attendees between 30 and 65 years of age and recruited during a preventive check-up in 2019. Each of the 40 pre-selected MFMP pragmatically invited 30 attendees to voluntarily participate. They completed a questionnaire of demographic, clinical, and social determinants, as well as a three-generational family history. The results were analyzed using multivariable modelling to calculate the associations with signs of depression. A modified Scheuner method was used to calculate the level genetic risk level using family history. Of 968 participants, aged 42.8 ± 8.6 years, 627 (64.8%) were women. The prevalence of depression was 4.1%. Signs of depression were negatively associated with health-related quality of life score, in particular in the domains of self-care (p = 0.001) and anxiety/depression (p < 0.001). Depression was also associated with predicted high risk for comorbidities given the family history (p = 0.030). Primary care directed at improving patients’ quality of life should implement more widespread screening for mental health disorders. Family history for disease even beyond depression can be used by physicians as an important primary prevention tool.

Preventing type 1 diabetes in childhood

Type 1 diabetes (T1D) is an autoimmune disease in which the insulin-producing β cells of the pancreas are destroyed by T lymphocytes. Recent studies have demonstrated that monitoring for pancreatic islet autoantibodies, combined with genetic risk assessment, can identify most children who will develop T1D when they still have sufficient β cell function to control glucose concentrations without the need for insulin. In addition, there has been recent success in secondary prevention using immunotherapy to delay the progression of preclinical disease, and primary prevention approaches to inhibiting the initiating autoimmune process have entered large-scale clinical trials. By changing the focus of T1D management from late diagnosis and insulin replacement to early diagnosis and β cell preservation, we can anticipate a future without the need for daily insulin injections for children with T1D.

Neuroendocrine and Adrenal Tumors, Version 2.2021, NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines in Oncology

The NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines in Oncology (NCCN Guidelines) for Neuroendocrine and Adrenal Gland Tumors focus on the diagnosis, treatment, and management of patients with neuroendocrine tumors (NETs), adrenal tumors, pheochromocytomas, paragangliomas, and multiple endocrine neoplasia. NETs are generally subclassified by site of origin, stage, and histologic characteristics. Appropriate diagnosis and treatment of NETs often involves collaboration between specialists in multiple disciplines, using specific biochemical, radiologic, and surgical methods. Specialists include pathologists, endocrinologists, radiologists (including nuclear medicine specialists), and medical, radiation, and surgical oncologists. These guidelines discuss the diagnosis and management of both sporadic and hereditary neuroendocrine and adrenal tumors and are intended to assist with clinical decision-making. This article is focused on the 2021 NCCN Guidelines principles of genetic risk assessment and counseling and recommendations for well-differentiated grade 3 NETs, poorly differentiated neuroendocrine carcinomas, adrenal tumors, pheochromocytomas, and paragangliomas.

Impact of changing guidelines on genetic testing and surveillance recommendations in a contemporary cohort of breast cancer survivors with family history of pancreatic cancer

Changing practice guidelines and recommendations have important implications for cancer survivors. This study investigated genetic testing patterns and outcomes and reported family history of pancreatic cancer (FHPC) in a large registry population of breast cancer (BC) patients. Variables including clinical and demographic characteristics, FHPC in a first or second-degree relative, and genetic testing outcomes were analyzed for BC patients diagnosed between 2010 and 2018 in the NYU Langone Health Breast Cancer Database. Among 3334 BC patients, 232 (7%) had a positive FHPC. BC patients with FHPC were 1.68 times more likely to have undergone genetic testing (p < 0.001), but 33% had testing for BRCA1/2 only and 44% had no genetic testing. Pathogenic germline variants (PGV) were identified in 15/129 (11.6%) BC patients with FHPC, and in 145/1315 (11.0%) BC patients without FHPC. Across both groups, updates in genetic testing criteria and recommendations could impact up to 80% of this cohort. Within a contemporary cohort of BC patients, 7% had a positive FHPC. The majority of these patients (56%) had no genetic testing, or incomplete testing by current standards, suggesting under-diagnosis of PC risk. This study supports recommendations for survivorship care that incorporate ongoing genetic risk assessment and counseling.