Eating Disorder Neuroimaging Initiative (EDNI): a multicentre prospective cohort study protocol for elucidating the neural effects of cognitive–behavioural therapy for eating disorders

IntroductionAnorexia nervosa is a refractory psychiatric disorder with a mortality rate of 5.9% and standardised mortality ratio of 5.35, which is much higher than other psychiatric disorders. The standardised mortality ratio of bulimia nervosa is 1.49; however, it is characterised by suicidality resulting in a shorter time to death. While there is no current validated drug treatment for eating disorders in Japan, cognitive–behavioural therapy (CBT) is a well-established and commonly used treatment. CBT is also recommended in the Japanese Guidelines for the Treatment of Eating Disorders (2012) and has been covered by insurance since 2018. However, the neural mechanisms responsible for the effect of CBT have not been elucidated, and the use of biomarkers such as neuroimaging data would be beneficial.Methods and analysisThe Eating Disorder Neuroimaging Initiative is a multisite prospective cohort study. We will longitudinally collect data from 72 patients with eating disorders (anorexia nervosa and bulimia nervosa) and 70 controls. Data will be collected at baseline, after 21–41 sessions of CBT and 12 months later. We will assess longitudinal changes in neural circuit function, clinical data, gene expression and psychological measures by therapeutic intervention and analyse the relationship among them using machine learning methods.Ethics and disseminationThe study was approved by The Ethical Committee of the National Center of Neurology and Psychiatry (A2019-072). We will obtain written informed consent from all patients who participate in the study after they had been fully informed about the study protocol. All imaging, demographic and clinical data are shared between the participating sites and will be made publicly available in 2024.Trial registration numberUMIN000039841

P182 Prevalence and mortality of ANCA-associated vasculitis in England

Background The contemporary prevalence of ANCA-associated vasculitis (AAV) in England is unknown. Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) contain data on every hospital and day case NHS admission in England since 1997. In collaboration with the National Congenital Anomaly and Rare Disease Registration Service (NCARDRS) we validated the diagnosis of AAV using ICD codes in HES. The positive predictive value of these codes was 86%, which compares favourably to a median coding accuracy of 80% in a recent systematic review of NHS coding studies. This justifies using this novel dataset for population-based epidemiology with coverage of the whole population of England. Methods We worked within NCARDRS enabled by their Section 251 legal permissions (CAG 10-02(d)/2015). We extracted all cases of AAV from HES 2011/12 to 2016/17 using ICD-10 codes M313 Granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA), M317 Microscopic polyangiitis (MPA), and M301 Eosinophilic granulomatosis with polyangiitis (EGPA). We used the Summary Care Record to check vital status and record date of death where appropriate. We estimated point prevalence on 1 July 2016 using ONS mid-year population estimates for England in 2016 as the denominator. Standardised mortality ratio (SMR) was calculated using the Office for National Statistics death summary tables 2016 to provide expected number of deaths for each 5-year age-band and sex. Results We identified 9,890 patients who were coded as having AAV during a hospital admission 2011-2017. This included 6,856 (69.3%) with GPA, 964 (9.8%) with MPA and 2,070 (20.9%) with EGPA. On 1 July 2016, our dataset found 8,040 people in England were living with ANCA associated vasculitis. We estimate the prevalence was 14.55 (95% CI: 14.23-14.87)/100,000 adult population. The median age of these patients was 65.3 years (interquartile range 52.3-74.2). 47% were female. The prevalence of GPA was 9.97/100.000 (95% CI: 9.71-10.24), MPA was 1.40/100,000 (95% CI: 1.30-1.50), and EGPA was 3.18/100,000 (95% CI: 3.03-3.33). People with AAV were 4.6 times more likely to die than the background population of the same age and sex (Standardised Mortality Ratio = 4.58). Conclusion There are no recent UK prevalence estimates for all types of ANCA-associated vasculitis. Studies in Australia, Germany, Southern Sweden and the USA have found estimated prevalence to be between 4.6-18.4 cases per 100,000 individuals. Our estimate of 14.6/100,000 in England is consistent with this, and towards the higher end of the range. However, our estimates underestimate the prevalence of MPA compared to other studies, and further work is needed to increase the routine identification of cases of MPA. Further work within NCARDRS using their unique data linkages will enable more specific AAV case ascertainment as well as nationwide population-based studies on cause of death and studies using the database of English prescriptions dispensed in the community. Disclosures F.A. Pearce None. B. Griffiths None. C. Mukhtyar None. R. Al-Jayoussi None. R.A. Watts None. J. Aston None. M. Bythell None. S. Stevens None. P.C. Lanyon None.

Which urban land covers/uses are associated with residents’ mortality? A cross-sectional, ecological, pan-European study of 233 cities

​ObjectivesThe study aim was to determine whether the range and distribution of all, and proportions of specific, land covers/uses within European cities are associated with city-specific mortality rates.​Setting233 European cities within 24 countries.​ParticipantsAggregated city-level all-cause and age-group standardised mortality ratio for males and females separately and Western or Eastern European Region.​ResultsThe proportion of specific land covers/uses within a city was related to mortality, displaying differences by macroregion and sex. The land covers/uses associated with lower standardised mortality ratio (SMR) for both Western and Eastern European cities were those characterised by ‘natural’ green space, such as forests and semi-natural areas (Western Female coefficient: −18.3, 95% CI −29.8 to −6.9). Dense housing was related to a higher SMR, most prominently in Western European cities (Western Female coefficient: 17.4, 95% CI 9.6 to 25.2).​ConclusionsThere is pressure to build on urban natural spaces, both for economic gain and because compact cities are regarded as more sustainable, yet here we offer evidence that doing so may detract from residents’ health. Our study suggests that urban planners and developers need to regard retaining more wild and unstructured green space as important for healthy city systems.

Results of international assistance for a paediatric heart surgery programme in a single Ukrainian centre

BackgroundSurgery for CHD has been slow to develop in parts of the former Soviet Union. The impact of an 8-year surgical assistance programme between an emerging centre and a multi-disciplinary international team that comprised healthcare professionals from developed cardiac programmes is analysed and presented.Material and methodsThe international paediatric assistance programme included five main components – intermittent clinical visits to the site annually, medical education, biomedical engineering support, nurse empowerment, and team-based practice development. Data were analysed from visiting teams and local databases before and since commencement of assistance in 2007 (era A: 2000–2007; era B: 2008–2015). The following variables were compared between periods: annual case volume, operative mortality, case complexity based on Risk Adjustment for Congenital Heart Surgery (RACHS-1), and RACHS-adjusted standardised mortality ratio.ResultsA total of 154 RACHS-classifiable operations were performed during era A, with a mean annual case volume by local surgeons of 19.3 at 95% confidence interval 14.3–24.2, with an operative mortality of 4.6% and a standardised mortality ratio of 2.1. In era B, surgical volume increased to a mean of 103.1 annual cases (95% confidence interval 69.1–137.2, p<0.0001). There was a non-significant (p=0.84) increase in operative mortality (5.7%), but a decrease in standardised mortality ratio (1.2) owing to an increase in case complexity. In era B, the proportion of local surgeon-led surgeries during visits from the international team increased from 0% (0/27) in 2008 to 98% (58/59) in the final year of analysis.ConclusionsThe model of assistance described in this report led to improved adjusted mortality, increased case volume, complexity, and independent operating skills.

Measuring Hospital Mortality

The hospital standardised mortality ratio (HSMR) and the summary hospital mortality index (SHMI) are both in current use in the UK as measures of the performance of acute hospitals. Characteristics of both the acute hospital itself and of its local healthcare environment influence these indices. Whilst many hope that measures of mortality can be used as a surrogate for healthcare quality, this is an evolving area.