Analyzing Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms Using Artificial Neural Network Methodologic Triangulation

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) are a type of mucinous pancreatic cyst. IPMN have been shown to be pre-malignant precursors to pancreatic cancer, which has an extremely high mortality rate with average survival less than 1 year. The purpose of this analysis is to utilize methodological triangulation using artificial neural networks and regression to examine the impact and effectiveness of a collection of variables believed to be predictive of malignant IPMN pathology. Results indicate that the triangulation is effective in both finding a new predictive variable and possibly reducing the number of variables needed for predicting if an IPMN is malignant or benign.

A novel staging system and clinical predictive nomogram for more accurate staging and prognosis of malignant pancreatic intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: a population-based study

Background The current guidelines of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) for the staging of exocrine pancreatic tumors seem inapplicable to malignant pancreatic intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN). Therefore, we aimed to improve the accuracy of clinical staging and prognosis for malignant IPMN by modifiing current AJCC system. Methods We extracted data of 2001 patients with malignant IPMN from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database between 2000 and 2016. Of these, 1401 patients were assigned to the primary cohort and 600 patients to the validation cohort. Results In Kaplan–Meier analysis of the primary cohort, the current AJCC guidelines were unable to distinguish between certain tumor substages (IA and IB in the 7th, IB and IIA in the 8th). The modified system that we regrouped based on the median overall survival and hazard ratios, was superior in tumor stage classifications. Age > 70 years, tumors located in the body or tail, high-grade differentiated tumors, surgery, chemotherapy, and tumor, lymph node, and metastasis (TNM) stage were identified as independent predictive factors for overall survival. Compared to that of TNM-based systems, the concordance index of the clinical predictive nomogram significantly improved (0.819; 95% confidence interval, 0.805–0.833), with excellent area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (1-, 3-, and 5-year: 0.881, 0.889, and 0.879, respectively). The calibration curves also showed good agreement between prediction and actual observation. The analysis of treatment modalities revealed that surgery resulted in better survival for all resectable malignant IPMN. The analysis of chemotherapy data reveals its potential in improving the prognosis of treatment for patients with locally advanced or distant metastases. Conclusions Our modified staging system improves the distinction of tumor stages. The nomogram was a more accurate and clinically reliable tool for prognosis prediction of patients with malignant IPMN.

Clinical Significance of Pancreatic Calcifications: A 15-Year Single Center Observational Study

Objective Pancreatic calcifications (PC) are considered specific for chronic pancreatitis (CP), but PC may also be present in non-CP diseases. The aims are to understand the pattern of calcifications in different diseases and to determine they were related to malignant diseases. Methods A retrospective study was performed including patients with PC or CP undergoing surgery in the Department of General Surgery of Ruijin Hospital from January 2003 to June 2018. Results PC were observed in 168 (4.5%) of the 3755 patients with pancreatic diseases. The majority of patients with PC had three kinds of CP (73.2%) while 26.8% had other five kinds of non-CP diseases. The incidences of PC in the pancreatic diseases were lower than these in previous studies. In patients with non-CP diseases, the incidence of PC in malignant intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) was significantly higher than benign IPMN (8.3% vs. 0.7%, p = 0.004). In 204 patients with CP, pancreatic calcification (OR = 3.7), advanced age (> 55 years), high BMI (> 24 kg/m2), parenchymal atrophy and pancreatic mass were independent predictors for malignancy. In patients of CP wih pancreatic mass (n = 81), the ability of PC (OR = 28.6) to predict malignancy increased nearly sevenfold. Conclusion The disease spectrum with PC was very diverse but the incidences of PC in the pancreatic diseases were low. PC may be related to malignant IPMN in non-CP diseases and is related to malignancy in the patients with CP, including the cases without pancreatic mass.

The prognostic roles of the prognostic nutritional index in patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm

The preoperative accurate diagnosis is difficult in the patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN). The aim of the present study was to elucidate the roles of systemic inflammation responses and nutritional status indexes in IPMN. High-grade dysplasia was classified as a malignant neoplasm in the study. We retrospectively reviewed 155 patients who underwent pancreatectomy. The correlation between the clinical factors and several indexes of a systemic inflammation response and nutritional status was analyzed. Among the biomarkers, prognostic nutritional index (PNI) value of malignant IPMN patients was significantly lower than that of benign IPMN patients (P = 0.023), whereas PNI was not significant predictor for malignant IPMN. The multivariate analysis showed that a PNI < 43.5 (odds ratio [OR] 16.1, 95% CI 1.88–138.5, P = 0.011) and a carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19–9 level > 22.5 U/mL (OR 6.64, 95% CI 1.73–25.6, P = 0.006) were significant independent predictors of the presence of lymph node metastasis (LNM). Our scoring system developed based on these two factors. Patients with a score of 0 had no LNM and zero disease-related death. The present study suggested the roles of PNI on the IPMN patients who undergo curative pancreatectomy.

A Novel Staging System and Clinical Predictive Nomogram for More Accurate Staging and Prognosis of Malignant Pancreatic Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms: A Population-Based Study

Background: The current guidelines of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) for the staging of exocrine pancreatic tumors seem inapplicable to malignant pancreatic intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN). Therefore, we aimed to improve the accuracy of clinical staging and prognosis for malignant IPMN.Methods: We extracted data of 2001 patients with malignant IPMN from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database between 2000 and 2016. Of these, 1401 patients were assigned to the primary cohort and 600 patients to the validation cohort.Results: In Kaplan-Meier analysis of the primary cohort, the current AJCC guidelines were unable to distinguish between certain tumor substages (IA and IB in the 7th, IB and IIA in the 8th). The modified system we regrouped based on the median overall survival and hazard ratios was superior in tumor stage classifications. Age > 70 years, tumors located in the body or tail, high-grade differentiated tumors, surgery, chemotherapy, and TNM stage were identified as independent predictive factors of overall survival. Compared to that of TNM-based systems, the concordance index of the clinical predictive nomogram significantly improved (0.819; 95% confidence interval, 0.805–0.833), with excellent area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (1-, 3-, and 5-year: 0.881, 0.889, and 0.879, respectively). The calibration curves also showed good agreement between prediction and actual observation. In the analysis of treatment modalities, surgery resulted in better survival for all resectable IPMN. Chemotherapy is the treatment of choice for locally advanced or distant metastases patients.Conclusion: Our modified staging system improves the distinction of tumor stages. The nomogram was a more accurate and clinically reliable tool in prognosis prediction of patients with IPMN.

The efficacy of pancreatic juice cytology with liquid-based cytology for evaluating malignancy in patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm

Background: Pancreatic juice cytology (PJC) is a tool for diagnosing malignant intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN); however, the accuracy is insufficient using the conventional method. Liquid-based cytology (LBC) improves the cell recovery rate, and almost all cells can be evaluated. We evaluated the efficacy of PJC with LBC for malignant IPMN. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 90 patients with suspected malignant IPMN who underwent PJC before pancreatectomy. PJC with smear and LBC methods was conducted in 52 patients (between June 2003 to December 2011) and 38 patients (between January 2012 to December 2018). Based on the imaging studies, all of the patients were classified according to the international consensus guidelines for IPMN revised in 2017.Results: Of the 90 patients, 43 (48%) had malignant IPMN (high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma), and the remaining patients had non-malignant IPMN (intermediate- or low-grade dysplasia). LBC increased the accuracy of PJC for the diagnosis of malignant IPMN (smear method: 56% [29/52] vs. LBC method: 76% [29/38]; P = 0.044). In a multivariate analysis, LBC was a significant factor influencing the accurate diagnosis of PJC (odds ratio: 3.52; P = 0.021). Furthermore, LBC increased the accuracy of PJC for malignant IPMN in patients with worrisome features (smear method: 66% [19/29] vs. LBC method: 93% [14/15]; P = 0.043). Conclusions: LBC increases the accuracy of PJC for diagnosing malignant IPMN compared with the conventional smear method.

Clinicopathological findings and imaging features of intraductal papillary neoplasms in bile ducts

Background Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the bile duct (IPMN-B) is considered an uncommon tumor, and there is limited understanding of IPMN-B. This study aimed to investigate the prognosis and influential factors of the IPMN-B from 58 cases. Methods The clinical data of 58 patients with pathologically confirmed IPMN-B admitted to our hospital from January 1, 2012 to August 2017 were collected and analyzed. The patients were followed up by outpatient or telephone until January 1, 2019. SPSS 19.0 software was applied for data analysis. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier method and parallel Log-rank test. Prognostic factors were analyzed by univariate analysis and multiple Cox regression model. Results Among of all the patients, 26 cases were benign tumors and 32 cases were malignant tumors. The preoperative tumor markers CA242 and CEA of malignant IPNM-B patients were significantly higher than those in benign tumors (P < 0.05). Survival analysis showed that patients with malignant tumors had a worse prognosis. The median survival time of malignant IPMN-B patients was 40.6 ± 3.0 months, yet median survival time of benign IPMN-B patients was not reached (P = 0.19). The one-year survival rate and three-year survival rate of benign IPMN-B were 84% and 74% respectively. The one-year survival rate and three-year survival rate of malignant IPMN-B were 88% and 64% respectively. Univariate analysis showed that combined lymph node metastasis, surgical method, and differentiation degree could affect patients’ prognosis (P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis showed differentiation degree was an independent risk factor affecting prognosis (OR = 0.06, 95% confidence interval: 0.007∼0.486, P < 0.05). Conclusion The levels of CEA and CA242 were helpful to identify benign and malignant of IPNM-B. Moreover, radical surgical resection could prolong patients’ survival. Finally, differentiation degree was an independent risk factor affecting malignant IPNM-B prognosis.

The efficacy of pancreatic juice cytology with liquid-based cytology for evaluating malignancy in patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm

Background Pancreatic juice cytology (PJC) is a tool for diagnosing malignant intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN); however, the accuracy is insufficient using the conventional method. Liquid-based cytology (LBC) improves the cell recovery rate, and almost all cells can be evaluated. We evaluated the efficacy of PJC with LBC for malignant IPMN. Methods We retrospectively analyzed 90 patients with suspected malignant IPMN who underwent PJC before pancreatectomy. PJC with smear and LBC methods was conducted in 52 patients (between June 2003 to December 2011) and 38 patients (between January 2012 to December 2018). Based on the imaging studies, all of the patients were classified according to the international consensus guidelines for IPMN revised in 2017. Results Of the 90 patients, 43 (48%) had malignant IPMN (high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma), and the remaining patients had non-malignant IPMN (intermediate- or low-grade dysplasia). LBC increased the accuracy of PJC for the diagnosis of malignant IPMN (smear method: 56% [29/52] vs. LBC method: 76% [29/38]; P = 0.044). In a multivariate analysis, LBC was a significant factor influencing the accurate diagnosis of PJC (odds ratio: 3.52; P = 0.021). Furthermore, LBC increased the accuracy of PJC for malignant IPMN in patients with worrisome features (smear method: 66% [19/29] vs. LBC method: 93% [14/15]; P = 0.043). Conclusions LBC increases the accuracy of PJC for diagnosing malignant IPMN compared with the conventional smear method.