The Impact of Public Debt on Economic Growth: Empirical Analyses for Western Balkan Countries

2020 ◽  
pp. 13-32
Author(s):  
Abdylmenaf Bexheti ◽  
Luljeta Sadiku ◽  
Murat Sadiku
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Balkan Countries ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Empirical Analyses

How Does Public Debt Affect the Indian Macroeconomy? A Structural VAR Approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 253-284
Author(s):  
Ranjan Kumar Mohanty ◽  
Sidheswar Panda
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Decomposition Analysis ◽  
Structural Var ◽  
Adverse Impact ◽  
Mixed Effect ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
The Impact

The study investigates the macroeconomic effects of public debt in India during 1980–2017 using a structural vector autoregression framework. The objective is to examine the impact of public debt on the interest rate, investment, inflation and economic growth in India. The results of the impulse response functions show that public debt has an adverse impact on economic growth but a positive impact on the long-term interest rate in the short run and a mixed effect (both negative and positive) on investment and inflation. We also find that domestic debt has a more adverse impact on the economy than external debt. The estimated variance decomposition analysis finds that much of the variation in selected macro variables are explained by public debt and growth in India. This study suggests that public debt especially domestic debt should be controlled and channelled productively to have a favourable impact on the economy. JEL Classification: H63, O40, C40

Does Public Debt Service Expenditure Crowd-Out Economic Growth? Empirical Evidence from an African Developing Country

2019 ◽  
Vol 64 (3) ◽  
pp. 23-38
Author(s):  
Talknice Saungweme ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Policy Formulation ◽  
Debt Service ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

Abstract This paper contributes to the ongoing debate on the impact of public debt service on economic growth; and it provides an evidence-based approach to public policy formulation in Zimbabwe. The empirical analysis was performed by applying the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) technique to annual time-series data from 1970 to 2017. The study findings reveal that the impact of public debt service on economic growth in Zimbabwe is negative in the short run but positive in the long run. The results are suggestive of the existence of a crowding-out effect of public debt service in Zimbabwe in the short run and a crowding-in effect in the long run. In view of these findings, the government should consider fiscal and financial policies that promote a constant supply of long-term finance, long-term fixed investments, and extension of a government securities maturity structure so as to ensure sustainable short- and long-term public debt service expenditures. The study further recommends the strengthening of non-distortionary revenue mobilisation reforms to reduce market distortions and boost domestic investment.

scholarly journals The Impact of Public Debt on the Economic Growth of Jordan: An Empirical Study (2000- 2015)

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 114 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tawfiq Ahmad Mousa ◽  
Abudallah. M. LShawareh
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Empirical Study ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Least Squares Method ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Using Data ◽  
The Impact

In the last two decades, Jordan’s economy has been relied on public debt in order to enhance the economic growth. As such, an understanding  of the dynamics between public debt and economic growth is very important in addressing the obstacles to economic growth. The study investigates the impact of public debt on economic growth using data from 2000 to 2015. The study employs least squares method and regression model to capture the impact of public debt on economic growth. The results of the analysis indicate that there is a negative impact of total public debt, especially the external debt on economic growth. 

scholarly journals The Impact Of Macroeconomic Factors In Economic Growth

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 331 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alush Kryeziu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Econometric Model ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
The Public ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
The Impact

In this paper will be discussed the main concepts and trends of the macro-fiscal indicators in economic growth, as well as their importance in the economic development of different countries, with special emphasis in Kosovo. One of the aims of this paper is to define and explain the connection between macroeconomic indicators with specific emphasis: the public debt, budget deficit and inflation on economic growth. In order to analyze this impact of variables in economic growth, the targeted time period of research is the period from 2004 to 2014. While the data taken regarding Kosovo were obtained from the year 2005, due to the fact that earlier the data have been limited because of the developments in which Kosovo went through. The model that best represents the link between macro-fiscal indicators on economic growth is the linear regression as an econometric model. We will have the opportunity to see and interpret these data. The overall results have emerged in accordance with theoretical discussions presented, but this relationship has not turned out to be very strong because the coefficients acquired did not have great explanatory skills for economic phenomena.

Estimated impact of COVID-19 on the Jordanian economy

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 34-41
Author(s):  
Jameel Aljaloudi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
International Institutions ◽  
Economic Downturn ◽  
International Labor Organization ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Poverty And Inequality ◽  
The Impact

This study aims to estimate the negative effects of COVID-19 on the Jordanian economy. These effects are expected to coincide with the results of studies carried out by international institutions. For example, the International Labor Organization (ILO) estimated indicate an increase in the number of unemployed to 5.3 million (the “low” scenario) and 24.7 million (the “high” scenario), from a baseline of 188 million in 2019 (ILO, 2020a). Experts from the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) confirmed that the global economic downturn (caused by the coronavirus pandemic) is the largest in the past eight decades, which will lead to an increase in poverty and inequality and harm economic growth in the long term. (News 18, 2020). To measure the impact of COVID-19 on the Jordanian economy, the following indicators were adopted: an economic growth, an unemployment rate, a foreign trade (imports and exports), public revenues, public spending, a public debt, and a budget deficit. The study relied on data contained in reports issued by international institutions and official institutions in Jordan. The results indicate a slowdown in the rate of economic growth, an increase in the unemployment rate, a decrease in exports and imports, an increase in the public debt and the budget deficit

FOUR DECADES OF POVERTY AND CONSUMPTION IN CHINA

2020 ◽  
Vol 65 (supp01) ◽  
pp. 117-138
Author(s):  
JINXIAN WANG ◽  
CHEN WANG ◽  
YAN ZHANG
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Income Distribution ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Poverty Index ◽  
Domestic Consumption ◽  
Individual Level ◽  
Provincial Level ◽  
The Individual ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Empirical Analyses

Since 2010, China’s miraculous growth has come to a halt and has shown steady deceleration. To re-accelerate economic growth, stimulating domestic consumption is a crucial way with fighting poverty as the key step. This paper attempts to explore the impact of poverty on resident consumption in China over the last four decades. Based on provincial data, we first simulate income distribution at the individual level and provide moderate poverty profiles at the provincial level. The empirical analyses are then conducted to gauge the poverty impacts using the estimated poverty index. Results show that (1) moderate poverty has decreased sharply in China, with the best achievement in Beijing, Shanghai and Guangdong; (2) moderate poverty exerts a significantly negative impact on resident consumption; and (3) when poverty increases, resident consumption on household equipment decreases the most, while resident consumption on food, transportation, and telecommunication decreases the least.

The Impact of Public Debt on Economic Growth of Pakistan

2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Amara Akram Khan ◽  
Dr. Abdur Rauf ◽  
Dr. Mirajul- haq ◽  
Nighat Anwar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
The Impact

scholarly journals INFLUENCE OF BUDGET POLICY ON ECONOMIC GROWTH OF THE COUNTRY

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (36) ◽  
pp. 243-249
Author(s):  
V. Makohon
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Social Protection ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Economic Environment ◽  
Regulation System ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Safe Level ◽  
Budget Policy ◽  
The Impact

The article describes the essence of budget policy. Determined its role in ensuring macroeconomic stability and accelerating economic growth. The quantitative and qualitative impact of the budget regulation system on the economic environment has been characterized. It is substantiated that purposeful budget regulation allows accelerating or slowing social and economic processes, ensuring achievement of certain strategic goals and objectives. An estimation of the impact of budget policy on economic growth, in particular, on the justification of the interrelation of the share in the GDP of income, including direct and indirect taxes; expenses, including social protection and social security, economic activity; direct state and guaranteed debt with real GDP in Ukraine. For 2009—2019, the share of gross income and expenditure, deficit and debt in the countries of the European Union in the GDP was determined; income, expenses, deficit of the consolidated budget, direct state and guaranteed debt in Ukraine. The substantiation of the provision on the development of institutional foundations for fiscal policy-making based on the necessity of adapting the set of mechanisms of functioning of the budget regulation system to the conditions of development of the financial and economic environment and the cyclical nature of economic processes; the position regarding the formation of budget policy based on a forecast assessment of budgetary parameters, based on the projected macroeconomic indicators of socio-economic development of the country, tools and levers of tax policy. The priority directions of budget policy in the conditions of economic transformations are determined, in particular, to strengthen the investment and innovation budget component, to improve the structure of tax revenues, to maintain a safe level of public debt and budget deficit, to improve the quality of public debt management and to determine strategic guidelines for the structure of the debt portfolio.

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