China summer precipitation simulations using an optimal ensemble of cumulus schemes

2009 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 248-257 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuyan Liu ◽  
Wei Gao ◽  
Min Xu ◽  
Xueyuan Wang ◽  
Xin-Zhong Liang
Keyword(s):  
Summer Precipitation ◽  
Optimal Ensemble ◽  
Cumulus Schemes

scholarly journals Regional Climate Model Simulation of U.S.–Mexico Summer Precipitation Using the Optimal Ensemble of Two Cumulus Parameterizations

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (20) ◽  
pp. 5201-5207 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin-Zhong Liang ◽  
Min Xu ◽  
Kenneth E. Kunkel ◽  
Georg A. Grell ◽  
John S. Kain
Keyword(s):  
Regional Climate Model ◽  
North American ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Mesoscale Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Summer Precipitation ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
North American Monsoon ◽  
Monsoon Region ◽  
Optimal Ensemble

Abstract The fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University–NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5)-based regional climate model (CMM5) simulations of U.S.–Mexico summer precipitation are quite sensitive to the choice of Grell or Kain–Fritsch convective parameterization. An ensemble based on these two parameterizations provides superior performance because distinct regions exist where each scheme complementarily captures certain observed signals. For the interannual anomaly, the ensemble provides the most significant improvement over the Rockies, Great Plains, and North American monsoon region. For the climate mean, the ensemble has the greatest impact on skill over the southeast United States and North American monsoon region, where CMM5 biases associated with the individual schemes are of opposite sign. Results are very sensitive to the specific methods used to generate the ensemble. While equal weighting of individual solutions provides a more skillful result overall, considerable further improvement is achieved when the weighting of individual solutions is optimized as a function of location.

scholarly journals Simulation study on the indirect effect of sulfate on the summer climate over the eastern China monsoon region

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dongdong Wang ◽  
Bin Zhu ◽  
Hongbo Wang ◽  
Li Sun
Keyword(s):  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Cloud Condensation Nuclei ◽  
Eastern China ◽  
Summer Precipitation ◽  
Cloud Droplet ◽  
Monsoon Region ◽  
Liquid Water Path ◽  
Surface Cooling ◽  
Community Atmosphere Model

AbstractIn this study, we designed a sensitivity test using the half number concentration of sulfate in the nucleation calculation process to study the aerosol-cloud interaction (ACI) of sulfate on clouds, precipitation, and monsoon intensity in the summer over the eastern China monsoon region (ECMR) with the National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Atmosphere Model version 5. Numerical experiments show that the ACI of sulfate led to an approximately 30% and 34% increase in the cloud condensation nuclei and cloud droplet number concentrations, respectively. Cloud droplet effective radius below 850 hPa decreased by approximately 4% in the southern ECMR, while the total liquid water path increased by 11%. The change in the indirect radiative forcing due to sulfate at the top of the atmosphere in the ECMR during summer was − 3.74 W·m−2. The decreased radiative forcing caused a surface cooling of 0.32 K and atmospheric cooling of approximately 0.3 K, as well as a 0.17 hPa increase in sea level pressure. These changes decreased the thermal difference between the land and sea and the gradient of the sea-land pressure, leading to a weakening in the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) and a decrease in the total precipitation rate in the southern ECMR. The cloud lifetime effect has a relatively weaker contribution to summer precipitation, which is dominated by convection. The results show that the ACI of sulfate was one possible reason for the weakening of the EASM in the late 1970s.

scholarly journals On the Classical Capacity of General Quantum Gaussian Measurement

Entropy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 377
Author(s):  
Alexander Holevo
Keyword(s):  
Dual Problem ◽  
Measurement Channel ◽  
Gaussian Channel ◽  
Quantum Communications ◽  
Classical Capacity ◽  
Optimal Ensemble ◽  
Accessible Information ◽  
Measurement Channels ◽  
Gaussian Ensemble ◽  
Average State

In this paper, we consider the classical capacity problem for Gaussian measurement channels. We establish Gaussianity of the average state of the optimal ensemble in the general case and discuss the Hypothesis of Gaussian Maximizers concerning the structure of the ensemble. Then, we consider the case of one mode in detail, including the dual problem of accessible information of a Gaussian ensemble. Our findings are relevant to practical situations in quantum communications where the receiver is Gaussian (say, a general-dyne detection) and concatenation of the Gaussian channel and the receiver can be considered as one Gaussian measurement channel. Our efforts in this and preceding papers are then aimed at establishing full Gaussianity of the optimal ensemble (usually taken as an assumption) in such schemes.

Evidence for a winter-snowpack derived water source for the Fremont maize farmers of Range Creek Canyon, Utah, USA

The Holocene ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 446-456
Author(s):  
Isaac Alfred Hart ◽  
Joan Brenner-Coltrain ◽  
Shannon Boomgarden ◽  
Andrea Brunelle ◽  
Larry Coats ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Stable Carbon Isotope ◽  
Isotope Analysis ◽  
Summer Precipitation ◽  
Water Source ◽  
Sediment Geochemistry ◽  
Tree Ring Chronology ◽  
Wet Meadow ◽  
Maize Agriculture ◽  
Stable Carbon Isotope Analysis ◽  
Dry Farming

We present results of multiproxy analysis of a sediment core collected from Billy Slope Meadow, a spring-fed wet meadow in Range Creek Canyon, Utah. Range Creek Canyon was the home to Fremont maize farmers between roughly 1200 and 800 cal BP (AD 750–1150). Stable carbon isotope analysis of core sediments from Billy Slope Meadow indicate the Billy Slope Meadow site was used as a field for maize agriculture during that time. Some scholars have suggested the florescence of the Fremont culture may have been driven by increased summer precipitation, which improved the economic profitability of dry farming maize. But analysis of pollen, macroscopic charcoal and sediment geochemistry from Billy Slope Meadow, and a comparison with a local tree-ring chronology indicate the Fremont period in Range Creek Canyon was probably marked by reduced summer precipitation, and not an invigorated monsoon. The Fremont maize farmers of Range Creek Canyon therefore likely used winter snowpack-derived water from Range Creek for maize agriculture. This observation has significant implications, as using creek water rather than direct precipitation and runoff necessitates the construction of dams irrigation infrastructure, limited evidence for which has been reported by archaeologists working in the Fremont region.

scholarly journals Roles of anthropogenic forcings in the observed trend of decreasing late-summer precipitation over the East Asian transitional climate zone

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Zhao ◽  
Wen Chen ◽  
Shangfeng Chen ◽  
Hainan Gong ◽  
Tianjiao Ma
Keyword(s):  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Dominant Role ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Eastern China ◽  
Summer Precipitation ◽  
Late Summer ◽  
Water Vapor Transport ◽  
Anthropogenic Aerosol ◽  
Climate Zone ◽  
Drying Trend

AbstractObservations indicate that late-summer precipitation over the East Asian transitional climate zone (TCZ) showed a pronounced decreasing trend during 1951–2005. This study examines the relative contributions of anthropogenic [including anthropogenic aerosol (AA) and greenhouse gas (GHG)] and natural forcings to the drying trend of the East Asian TCZ based on simulations from CMIP5. The results indicate that AA forcing plays a dominant role in contributing to the drying trend of the TCZ. AA forcing weakens the East Asian summer monsoon via reducing the land-sea thermal contrast, which induces strong low-level northerly anomalies over eastern China, suppresses water vapor transport from southern oceans and results in drier conditions over the TCZ. In contrast, GHG forcing leads to a wetting trend in the TCZ by inducing southerly wind anomalies, thereby offsetting the effect of the AA forcing. Natural forcing has a weak impact on the drying trend of the TCZ due to the weak response of atmospheric anomalies.

scholarly journals Simulation of Extreme Precipitation in Four Climate Regions in China by General Circulation Models (GCMs): Performance and Projections

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 1509
Author(s):  
Mengru Zhang ◽  
Xiaoli Yang ◽  
Liliang Ren ◽  
Ming Pan ◽  
Shanhu Jiang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Extreme Precipitation ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Summer Precipitation ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
Extreme Precipitation Events ◽  
Increasing Trend ◽  
The Future ◽  
Semi Arid

In the context of global climate change, it is important to monitor abnormal changes in extreme precipitation events that lead to frequent floods. This research used precipitation indices to describe variations in extreme precipitation and analyzed the characteristics of extreme precipitation in four climatic (arid, semi-arid, semi-humid and humid) regions across China. The equidistant cumulative distribution function (EDCDF) method was used to downscale and bias-correct daily precipitation in eight Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) general circulation models (GCMs). From 1961 to 2005, the humid region had stronger and longer extreme precipitation compared with the other regions. In the future, the projected extreme precipitation is mainly concentrated in summer, and there will be large areas with substantial changes in maximum consecutive 5-day precipitation (Rx5) and precipitation intensity (SDII). The greatest differences between two scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) are in semi-arid and semi-humid areas for summer precipitation anomalies. However, the area of the four regions with an increasing trend of extreme precipitation is larger under the RCP8.5 scenario than that under the RCP4.5 scenario. The increasing trend of extreme precipitation in the future is relatively pronounced, especially in humid areas, implying a potential heightened flood risk in these areas.

scholarly journals A Stable Isotope Approach for Estimating the Contribution of Recycled Moisture to Precipitation in Lanzhou City, China

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (13) ◽  
pp. 1783
Author(s):  
Fenli Chen ◽  
Mingjun Zhang ◽  
Xixi Wu ◽  
Shengjie Wang ◽  
Athanassios A. Argiriou ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Changes ◽  
Water Cycle ◽  
Summer Precipitation ◽  
Northwest China ◽  
Plant Transpiration ◽  
Surface Evaporation ◽  
Lanzhou City ◽  
Water Vapors ◽  
Spatial Differences ◽  
Dependent Parameter

The proportional contribution of recycled moisture to local precipitation is a geographically dependent parameter that cannot be ignored in water budgets. Stable hydrogen and oxygen isotopes are sensitive to environmental changes and can be applied to investigate the modern water cycle. In this study, a three-component mixing model is used to calculate the contribution of different water vapors (advection, evaporation and transpiration) to summer precipitation in Lanzhou city, Northwest China. The results show that for all sampling sites in Lanzhou, the contribution of advection vapor to precipitation is the largest, followed by the plant transpiration vapor, and the contribution of surface evaporation water vapor is usually the least, with the average values of 87.96%, 9.1% and 2.9%, respectively. The spatial differences of plant transpiration vapor are generally larger than those of advection vapor and surface evaporation vapor, and the high values appear in Yongdeng, Daheng and Gaolan.

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