A multi-compartment hydrologic model to estimate groundwater recharge in an alluvial-karst system

2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ata Joodavi ◽  
Mohammad Zare ◽  
Ezzat Raeisi ◽  
Mohammad Bagher Ahmadi
Author(s):  
Daniel Bittner ◽  
Beatrice Richieri ◽  
Gabriele Chiogna

AbstractUncertainties in hydrologic model outputs can arise for many reasons such as structural, parametric and input uncertainty. Identification of the sources of uncertainties and the quantification of their impacts on model results are important to appropriately reproduce hydrodynamic processes in karst aquifers and to support decision-making. The present study investigates the time-dependent relevance of model input uncertainties, defined as the conceptual uncertainties affecting the representation and parameterization of processes relevant for groundwater recharge, i.e. interception, evapotranspiration and snow dynamic, on the lumped karst model LuKARS. A total of nine different models are applied, three to compute interception (DVWK, Gash and Liu), three to compute evapotranspiration (Thornthwaite, Hamon and Oudin) and three to compute snow processes (Martinec, Girons Lopez and Magnusson). All the input model combinations are tested for the case study of the Kerschbaum spring in Austria. The model parameters are kept constant for all combinations. While parametric uncertainties computed for the same model in previous studies do not show pronounced temporal variations, the results of the present work show that input uncertainties are seasonally varying. Moreover, the input uncertainties of evapotranspiration and snowmelt are higher than the interception uncertainties. The results show that the importance of a specific process for groundwater recharge can be estimated from the respective input uncertainties. These findings have practical implications as they can guide researchers to obtain relevant field data to improve the representation of different processes in lumped parameter models and to support model calibration.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miao Jing ◽  
Falk Heße ◽  
Wenqing Wang ◽  
Thomas Fischer ◽  
Marc Walther ◽  
...  

Abstract. Most of the current large scale hydrological models do not contain a physically-based groundwater flow component. The main difficulties in large-scale groundwater modeling include the efficient representation of unsaturated zone flow, the characterization of dynamic groundwater-surface water interaction and the numerical stability while preserving complex physical processes and high resolution. To address these problems, we propose a highly-scalable coupled hydrologic and groundwater model (mHM#OGS) based on the integration of two open-source modeling codes: the mesoscale hydrologic Model (mHM) and the finite element simulator OpenGeoSys (OGS). mHM#OGS is coupled using a boundary condition-based coupling scheme that dynamically links the surface and subsurface parts. Nested time stepping allows smaller time steps for typically faster surface runoff routing in mHM and larger time steps for slower subsurface flow in OGS. mHM#OGS features the coupling interface which can transfer the groundwater recharge and river baseflow rate between mHM and OpenGeoSys. Verification of the coupled model was conducted using the time-series of observed streamflow and groundwater levels. Moreover, we force the transient model using groundwater recharge in two scenarios: (1) spatially variable recharge based on the mHM simulations, and (2) spatially homogeneous groundwater recharge. The modeling result in first scenario has a slightly higher correlation with groundwater head time-series, which further validates the plausibility of spatial groundwater recharge distribution calculated by mHM in the mesocale. The statistical analysis of model predictions shows a promising prediction ability of the model. The offline coupling method implemented here can reproduce reasonable groundwater head time series while keep a desired level of detail in the subsurface model structure with little surplus in computational cost. Our exemplary calculations show that the coupled model mHM#OGS can be a valuable tool to assess the effects of variability in land surface heterogeneity, meteorological, topographical forces and geological zonation on the groundwater flow dynamics.


2015 ◽  
Vol 30 (5) ◽  
pp. 771-782 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephan Schulz ◽  
Gerrit H. de Rooij ◽  
Nils Michelsen ◽  
Randolf Rausch ◽  
Christian Siebert ◽  
...  

2005 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 31-35 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Götzinger ◽  
A. Bárdossy

Abstract. Water balance models provide significant input to integrated models that are used to simulate river basin processes. However, one of the primary problems involves the coupling and simultaneous calibration of rainfall-runoff and groundwater models. This problem manifests itself through circular arguments - the hydrologic model is modified to calculate highly discretized groundwater recharge rates as input to the groundwater model which provides modeled base flow for the flood-routing module of the rainfall-runoff model. A possibility to overcome this problem using a modified version of the HBV Model is presented in this paper. Regionalisation and optimization methods lead to objective and efficient calibration despite large numbers of parameters. The representation of model parameters by transfer functions of catchment characteristics enables consistent parameter estimation. By establishing such relationships, models are calibrated for the parameters of the transfer functions instead of the model parameters themselves. Simulated annealing, using weighted Nash-Sutcliffe-coefficients of variable temporal aggregation, assists in efficient parameterisations. The simulations are compared to observed discharge and groundwater recharge modeled by the State Institute for Environmental Protection Baden-Württemberg using the model TRAIN-GWN.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam P. Schreiner-McGraw ◽  
Hoori Ajami

Abstract. Mountainous regions act as the water towers of the world by producing streamflow and groundwater recharge, a function that is particularly important in semiarid regions. Quantifying rates of mountain system recharge is difficult, and hydrologic models offer a method to estimate recharge over large scales. These recharge estimates are prone to uncertainty from various sources including model structure and parameters. The quality of meteorological forcing datasets, particularly in mountainous regions, is a large source of uncertainty that is often neglected in groundwater investigations. In this contribution, we quantify the impact of uncertainty in both precipitation and air temperature forcing datasets on the simulated groundwater recharge in the mountainous watershed of the Kaweah River in California, USA. We make use of the integrated surface water – groundwater model, ParFlow.CLM and several gridded datasets commonly used in hydrologic studies, downscaled NLDAS-2, PRISM, Daymet, Gridmet, and TopoWx. Simulations indicate that across all forcing datasets, mountain front recharge is an important component of the water budget in the mountainous watershed accounting for 25–46 % of the annual precipitation, and ~90 % of the total mountain system recharge to the adjacent Central Valley aquifer. The uncertainty in gridded air temperature or precipitation datasets, when assessed individually, results in similar ranges of uncertainty in the simulated water budget. Variations in simulated recharge to changes in precipitation (elasticities) and air temperature (sensitivities) are larger than 1 % change in recharge per 1 % change in precipitation or 1-degree C change in temperature. The total volume of snowmelt is the primary factor creating the high water budget sensitivity; and snowmelt volume is influenced by both precipitation and air temperature forcings. The combined effect of uncertainty in air temperature and precipitation on recharge is additive, and results in uncertainty levels roughly equal to the sum of the individual uncertainties. Mountain system recharge pathways including mountain block recharge, mountain aquifer recharge, and mountain front recharge are less sensitive to changes in air temperature than changes in precipitation. Mountain front and mountain block recharge are more sensitive to changes in precipitation than other recharge pathways. The magnitude of uncertainty in the simulated water budget reflects the importance of developing high qualify meteorological forcing datasets in mountainous regions.


Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 268 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ehsan Beigi ◽  
Frank Tsai ◽  
Vijay Singh ◽  
Shih-Chieh Kao

The study investigates the hierarchical uncertainty of multi-ensemble hydroclimate projections for the Southern Hills-Gulf region, USA, considering emission pathways and a global climate model (GCM) as two main sources of uncertainty. Forty projections of downscaled daily air temperature and precipitation from 2010 to 2099 under four emission pathways and ten CMIP5 GCMs are adopted for hydroclimate modeling via the HELP3 hydrologic model. This study focuses on evapotranspiration (ET), surface runoff, and groundwater recharge projections in this century. Climate projection uncertainty is characterized by the hierarchical Bayesian model averaging (HBMA) method, which segregates emission pathway uncertainty and climate model uncertainty. HBMA is able to derive ensemble means and standard deviations, arising from individual uncertainty sources, for ET, runoff, and recharge. The model results show that future recharge in the Southern Hills-Gulf region is more sensitive to different climate projections and exhibits higher variability than ET and runoff. Overall, ET is likely to increase and runoff is likely to decrease in this century given the current emission path scenarios. Runoff are predicted to have an 18% to 20% decrease and ET is predicted to have around a 3% increase throughout the century. Groundwater recharge is likely to increase in this century with a decreasing trend. Recharge would increase about 13% in the early century and will have only a 3% increase in the late century. All hydrological projections have increasing uncertainty towards the end of the century. The HBMA result suggests that the GCM uncertainty dominates the overall hydrological projection uncertainty in the early century and the mid-century. The emission pathway uncertainty becomes important in the late century.


Author(s):  
Adam Schreiner-McGraw ◽  
Hoori Ajami ◽  
Ray Anderson ◽  
Dong Wang

Accurate simulation of plant water use across agricultural ecosystems is essential for various applications, including precision agriculture, quantifying groundwater recharge, and optimizing irrigation rates. Previous approaches to integrating plant water use data into hydrologic models have relied on evapotranspiration (ET) observations. Recently, the flux variance similarity approach has been developed to partition ET to transpiration (T) and evaporation, providing an opportunity to use T data to parameterize models. To explore the value of T/ET data in improving hydrologic model performance, we examined multiple approaches to incorporate these observations for vegetation parameterization. We used ET observations from 5 eddy covariance towers located in the San Joaquin Valley, California, to parameterize orchard crops in an integrated land surface – groundwater model. We find that a simple approach of selecting the best parameter sets based on ET and T performance metrics works best at these study sites. Selecting parameters based on performance relative to observed ET creates an uncertainty of 27% relative to the observed value. When parameters are selected using both T and ET data, this uncertainty drops to 24%. Similarly, the uncertainty in potential groundwater recharge drops from 63% to 58% when parameters are selected with ET or T and ET data, respectively. Additionally, using crop type parameters results in similar levels of simulated ET as using site-specific parameters. Different irrigation schemes create high amounts of uncertainty and highlight the need for accurate estimates of irrigation when performing water budget studies.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nariman Mahmoodi ◽  
Jens Kiesel ◽  
Paul D. Wagner ◽  
Nicola Fohrer

Abstract. Understanding current and possible future alterations of water resources under climate change and increased water withdrawal allows for better water and environmental management decisions in arid regions. This study aims at analyzing the impact of groundwater withdrawals and climate change on groundwater sustainability and hydrologic regime alterations in a Wadi system in central Iran. A hydrologic model is used to assess streamflow and groundwater recharge of the Halilrood Basin on a daily time step under different scenarios over a model setup period (1979–2009) and for two future scenario periods (near future: 2030–2059 and far future: 2070–2099). The Indicators of Hydrologic Alteration (IHA) with a set of 32 parameters are used in conjunction with the Range of Variability Approach (RVA) to evaluate hydrologic regime change in the river. The results show that groundwater recharge is expected to decrease, and is not able to fulfil the increasing water demand in the far future scenario. The Halilrood River will undergo low and moderate flow alteration under both stressors during the near future as RVA alteration is classified as high for only three indicators, while in the far future, 11 indicators lie in high range. Absolute changes in hydrologic indicators are stronger when both climate change and withdrawals are considered in the far future simulations, since 27 indicators show significant changes and RVA show high and moderate level of changes for 18 indicators. Considering the evaluated RVA changes, future impacts on the freshwater ecosystems in the Halilrood Basin will be severe. The developed approach can be transferred to other Wadi regions for a spatially-distributed assessment of water resources sustainability.


2021 ◽  
Vol 54 (2) ◽  
pp. 161-176
Author(s):  
Kyoochul Ha ◽  
Changhui Park ◽  
Sunghyun Kim ◽  
Esther Shin ◽  
Eunhee Lee

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document