Long-term forecast method for ice disasters on power grids

2018 ◽  
Vol 155 ◽  
pp. 108-119 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiazheng Lu ◽  
Jun Guo ◽  
Xunjian Xu ◽  
Li Yang
2014 ◽  
Vol 950 ◽  
pp. 214-220
Author(s):  
Ying Lin

We forecast wind power in a way combining wavelet neutral network and rolling forecast. At the same time, we build a system of forecast deviation. Then we use some data to test our model, which yields a desirable result. In addition, we are informed that our method can predict wind power correctly in a long time and short sampling interval can lead to a better result than long sampling interval.


2021 ◽  
pp. 114300
Author(s):  
Nick Schneider ◽  
Elizabeth Buitrago ◽  
Wolfgang Vitale ◽  
Luca De-Michielis

2021 ◽  
Vol 236 ◽  
pp. 02002
Author(s):  
Bingqi Jiao ◽  
Zhicheng Xu ◽  
Kuan Zheng ◽  
Xiaoqing Yan ◽  
Junshu Feng

In response to the climate change, it has been becoming the consensus of most countries in the world to accelerate the development of a high proportion of clean energy. The power grid is the core to support the development of a high proportion of clean energy, and the key is to accelerate the construction of clean power grids. This paper focuses on the main characteristics of clean power grid construction, and proposes a set of clean power grid development evaluation indicators including 5 first-level indicators and 19 second-level indicators and an analysis method based on radar charts. Taking China Power Grid as an example, this paper analyzes in detail the characteristics of the medium and long-term development mode of clean power grids and the relative change trends of specific indicators, and discusses the key links and potential problems that need attention in the development of clean power grids.


2013 ◽  
Vol 441 ◽  
pp. 1060-1063
Author(s):  
Hui Ling Yu ◽  
Hao Liang ◽  
De Lin Fan

Man-made boards often made use of waste wood materials. China is one of the worlds largest manufacturers and consumers of man-made board applications. Application of the law of evolution with a S-shaped curve could contribute essentially to the accuracy of the long-term forecast. This research seeks to determine the current stage and the position on the S-curve of man-made board technology in China on the TRIZ evolution theory and introduce a methodology which combines patent analysis and technology life cycle forecasting to find a niche space of man-made technology development in China.


2014 ◽  
Vol 521 ◽  
pp. 485-489
Author(s):  
Hong Hao Fu ◽  
Guo Tian Cai ◽  
Dai Qing Zhao

This paper analyzes temporal and spatial process, and problems based on data between 1986 and 2010. Conclusions are as follows. Power supply of Guangdong relied more on distant outer-province power grids over time, not inner-province ones, close ones or independent power plants. This accelerating enlargement of power supply range could well satisfy its increasing power consumption. However, power production of western provinces couldnt simultaneously meet their own increasing demand and demand by Guangdong. Furthermore, total power transmission and electricity tariff were fixed by long-term framework agreements signed among governments, in which the transmission amount was too much while the tariff was too low, forcing the western provinces limiting their domestic demand without proper compensation. So the current enlarging trend of power supply range of Guangdong is unsustainable and its necessary to introduce power market mechanism through adjusting short-term total power transmission and power tariff according to the market situation.


Author(s):  
E.S. Lartseva ◽  
◽  
A.D. Kuznetsova

Based on official statistics on the number, of representatives of the family of non-ruminant cloven-hoofed animals (Artiodactyl) on the territory of the Russian Federation. Using the example of two species: domestic pigs and wild boars, the dynamics of the indicator for the long term is analyzed. Multidirectional trends were revealed for each species. Mathematical models of the dynamics of the livestock were obtained using the methods of regression analysis and applied software. Statistical estimates of the quality of animal population models were obtained. The short-term forecast for 2020 has been fulfilled.


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