Sources of error in model predictions of pesticide leaching: a case study using the MACRO model

2000 ◽  
Vol 44 (1-3) ◽  
pp. 247-262 ◽  
Author(s):  
N.J Jarvis ◽  
C.D Brown ◽  
E Granitza
1998 ◽  
Vol 16 (11) ◽  
pp. 1513-1518 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. K. Pant ◽  
R. Sridharan

Abstract. The thermospheric temperatures from low and equatorial latitudes during geomagnetically disturbed periods are known to exhibit significant deviations from atmospheric model predictions. Also, the oscillatory features seen in the observations are not accounted for by the models. A simple relation has been established between the difference in the observed and model-predicted temperatures and the rate of change of Dst, the magnetic index representing the ring current variabilities. Using this relation, a correction term has been added to the latest MSIS-90 model algorithm and almost all the observed variations in neutral temperatures spectroscopically determined from Mt.Abu, a low-latitude station in India, are successfully reproduced for two moderate geomagnetic storms.Key words. Low-latitude thermosphere · MSIS model · Stormtime model predictions · FP spectroscopic temperatures  


2017 ◽  
Vol 88 ◽  
pp. 53-62 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Wallach ◽  
Sarath P. Nissanka ◽  
Asha S. Karunaratne ◽  
W.M.W. Weerakoon ◽  
Peter J. Thorburn ◽  
...  

PLoS ONE ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. e98256 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erin A. Urquhart ◽  
Benjamin F. Zaitchik ◽  
Darryn W. Waugh ◽  
Seth D. Guikema ◽  
Carlos E. Del Castillo

2016 ◽  
Vol 113 (36) ◽  
pp. 10210-10214 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohsen B. Mesgaran ◽  
Mark A. Lewis ◽  
Peter K. Ades ◽  
Kathleen Donohue ◽  
Sara Ohadi ◽  
...  

The founding population in most new species introductions, or at the leading edge of an ongoing invasion, is likely to be small. Severe Allee effects—reductions in individual fitness at low population density—may then result in a failure of the species to colonize, even if the habitat could support a much larger population. Using a simulation model for plant populations that incorporates demography, mating systems, quantitative genetics, and pollinators, we show that Allee effects can potentially be overcome by transient hybridization with a resident species or an earlier colonizer. This mechanism does not require the invocation of adaptive changes usually attributed to invasions following hybridization. We verify our result in a case study of sequential invasions by two plant species where the outcrosser Cakile maritima has replaced an earlier, inbreeding, colonizer Cakile edentula (Brassicaceae). Observed historical rates of replacement are consistent with model predictions from hybrid-alleviated Allee effects in outcrossers, although other causes cannot be ruled out.


1997 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
pp. 835-844 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. J. Besien ◽  
N. J. Jarvis ◽  
R. J. Williams

Abstract. In this paper, the dual-porosity MACRO model has been used to investigate methods of reducing leaching of isoproturon from a structured heavy clay soil. The MACRO model was applied to a pesticide leaching data-set generated from a plot scale experiment on a heavy clay soil at the Oxford University Farm, Wytham, England. The field drain was found to be the most important outflow from the plot in terms of pesticide removal. Therefore, this modelling exercise concentrated on simulating field drain flow. With calibration of field-saturated and micropore saturated hydraulic conductivity, the drain flow hydrographs were simulated during extended periods of above average rainfall, with both the hydrograph shape and peak flows agreeing well. Over the whole field season, the observed drain flow water budget was well simulated. However, the first and second drain flow events after pesticide application were not simulated satisfactorily. This is believed to be due to a poor simulation of evapotranspiration during a period of low rainfall around the pesticide application day. Apart from an initial rapid drop in the observed isoproturon soil residue, the model simulated isoproturon residues during the 100 days after pesticide application reasonably well. Finally, the calibrated model was used to show that changes in agricultural practice (deep ploughing, creating fine consolidated seed beds and organic matter applications) could potentially reduce pesticide leaching to surface waters by up to 60%.


Holzforschung ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 61 (1) ◽  
pp. 74-82 ◽  
Author(s):  
Changming Yu ◽  
Chunping Dai ◽  
Brad Jianhe Wang

Abstract As a continuation of previous publications on a physical-mathematical model of heat and mass transfer and a structural model of mat permeability, this paper presents typical prediction results for 15 pressing variables for strand mats. A case study and complete solutions to the governing equations are provided. The results show how the heat and mass transfer is controlled by heat conduction and convection involving gas flow and phase change. The model predictions provide a comprehensive illustration of the temporal and spatial variations of basic pressing variables, including mat temperature, gas pressure, moisture control and resin curing rate. The model offers a powerful tool for simulating the effects of mat structure, pressing schedule and initial mat conditions.


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