Annual flooding, survival and recruitment in a rodent population from the Niger River plain in Mali

2008 ◽  
Vol 24 (4) ◽  
pp. 375-386 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laurent Crespin ◽  
Yves Papillon ◽  
Doukary Abdoulaye ◽  
Laurent Granjon ◽  
Bruno Sicard
Keyword(s):  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Pest Species ◽  
Population Abundance ◽  
Mark Recapture ◽  
Closed Population ◽  
Survival Probabilities ◽  
Local Survival ◽  
Niger River ◽  
A Site

AbstractMultimammate rats of the genus Mastomys are among the most widespread pest species in Africa. Previous studies of Mastomys population dynamics have generally reported variation in abundance but few have investigated the demographic parameters underlying this variation, and in particular recruitment. Capture-mark-recapture data were collected for Mastomys erythroleucus several times a year from 2000 to 2004 at a site annually flooded by the Niger River in Mali. Closed-population models were used to estimate population abundance. Both seniority (a parameter inversely linked to recruitment) and survival probabilities were estimated by capture-mark-recapture models. The impacts of water level, population abundance and cumulative rainfall were assessed for each demographic parameter. Survival probabilities (local survival) were negatively correlated with water level, suggesting that rodents emigrated out of the study zone during flooding. As for seniority probabilities, 86% of temporal variation was explained by a model with season, abundance, water level and the interaction between abundance and water level. This suggests that density-dependence in recruitment was mediated by intraspecific competition for food or refuge from floodwaters, or by predation. The flood of the Niger River greatly impacts Mastomys erythroleucus population dynamics, affecting both survival and seniority probabilities.

Estimating Population Abundance of Burying Beetles Using Photo-Identification and Mark-Recapture Methods

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brandon M Quinby ◽  
J Curtis Creighton ◽  
Elizabeth A Flaherty
Keyword(s):  
Cost Effective ◽  
Rejection Rate ◽  
Population Abundance ◽  
High Quality ◽  
Mark Recapture ◽  
Closed Population ◽  
False Rejection Rate ◽  
Photo Identification ◽  
Nicrophorus Orbicollis ◽  
False Rejection

Abstract Successful conservation and management of protected wildlife populations require reliable population abundance data. Traditional capture-mark-recapture methods can be costly, time-consuming, and invasive. Photographic mark-recapture (PMR) is a cost-effective, minimally invasive way to study population dynamics in species with distinct markings or color patterns. We tested the feasibility and the application of PMR using the software Hotspotter to identify Nicrophorus spp. from digital images of naturally occurring spot patterns on their elytra. We conducted a laboratory study evaluating the identification success of Hotspotter on Nicrophorus americanus (Olivier, 1790) and Nicrophorus orbicollis (Say, 1825) before implementation of a mark-recapture study in situ. We compared the performance of Hotspotter using both ‘high-quality’ and ‘low-quality’ photographs. For high-quality photographs, Hotspotter had a false rejection rate of 2.7–3.0% for laboratory-reared individuals and 3.9% for wild-caught individuals. For low-quality photographs, the false rejection rate was much higher, 48.8–53.3% for laboratory-reared individuals and 28.3% for wild-caught individuals. We subsequently analyzed encounter histories of wild-caught individuals with closed population models in Program MARK to estimate population abundance. In our study, we demonstrated the utility of using PMR in estimating population abundance for Nicrophorus spp. based on elytral spot patterns.

Modelling Population Dynamics Using Closed-Population Abundance Estimates

2014 ◽  
pp. 123-145
Author(s):  
K. B. Newman ◽  
S. T. Buckland ◽  
B. J. T. Morgan ◽  
R. King ◽  
D. L. Borchers ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Population Abundance ◽  
Closed Population ◽  
Abundance Estimates

Population dynamics in changing environments: the case of an eruptive forest pest species

2011 ◽  
Vol 87 (1) ◽  
pp. 34-51 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kyrre Kausrud ◽  
Bjørn Økland ◽  
Olav Skarpaas ◽  
Jean-Claude Grégoire ◽  
Nadir Erbilgin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Pest Species ◽  
Forest Pest ◽  
Changing Environments

scholarly journals MULTI-SCALE INFRA-GRAVITY WAVE DYNAMICS - THE FRENCH BASQUE COAST

2020 ◽  
pp. 46
Author(s):  
Volker Roeber ◽  
J. Dylan Nestler ◽  
Jonas Pinault ◽  
Assaf Azouri ◽  
Florian Bellafont
Keyword(s):  
Water Level ◽  
Gravity Wave ◽  
Numerical Study ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Wave Direction ◽  
Wave Dynamics ◽  
Multi Scale ◽  
Offshore Wave ◽  
A Site ◽  
Basque Coast

Phase-resolving numerical models are a powerful tool to identify and analyze dominant wave processes along a site of interest. We have carried out a numerical study related to infra-gravity wave dynamics along the French Basque coast. The computed scenarios are representative for the swell conditions at the site of interest and include variations in offshore wave height, direction, and water level. Several statistical methods were employed that illustrate that the irregular bathymetry is a key component for the strong variations in sea-swell and IG-wave energy. The water level is demonstrated to substantially affect the IG-wave behavior, more than the wave direction. Swash oscillations in the IG-frequency band are greater than or equal to sea-swell swash oscillations at nearly all locations along the studied shoreline.Recorded Presentation from the vICCE (YouTube Link): https://youtu.be/ELZwJCokkX0

scholarly journals Breeding transients in capture–recapture modeling and their consequences for local population dynamics

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Oro ◽  
Daniel F. Doak
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Local Population ◽  
Environmental Stochasticity ◽  
Adult Survival ◽  
Local Survival ◽  
First Reproduction ◽  
Capture Recapture

Abstract Standard procedures for capture–mark–recapture modelling (CMR) for the study of animal demography include running goodness-of-fit tests on a general starting model. A frequent reason for poor model fit is heterogeneity in local survival among individuals captured for the first time and those already captured or seen on previous occasions. This deviation is technically termed a transience effect. In specific cases, simple, uni-state CMR modeling showing transients may allow researchers to assess the role of these transients on population dynamics. Transient individuals nearly always have a lower local survival probability, which may appear for a number of reasons. In most cases, transients arise due to permanent dispersal, higher mortality, or a combination of both. In the case of higher mortality, transients may be symptomatic of a cost of first reproduction. A few studies working at large spatial scales actually show that transients more often correspond to survival costs of first reproduction rather than to permanent dispersal, bolstering the interpretation of transience as a measure of costs of reproduction, since initial detections are often associated with first breeding attempts. Regardless of their cause, the loss of transients from a local population should lower population growth rate. We review almost 1000 papers using CMR modeling and find that almost 40% of studies fitting the searching criteria (N = 115) detected transients. Nevertheless, few researchers have considered the ecological or evolutionary meaning of the transient phenomenon. Only three studies from the reviewed papers considered transients to be a cost of first reproduction. We also analyze a long-term individual monitoring dataset (1988–2012) on a long-lived bird to quantify transients, and we use a life table response experiment (LTRE) to measure the consequences of transients at a population level. As expected, population growth rate decreased when the environment became harsher while the proportion of transients increased. LTRE analysis showed that population growth can be substantially affected by changes in traits that are variable under environmental stochasticity and deterministic perturbations, such as recruitment, fecundity of experienced individuals, and transient probabilities. This occurred even though sensitivities and elasticities of these parameters were much lower than those for adult survival. The proportion of transients also increased with the strength of density-dependence. These results have implications for ecological and evolutionary studies and may stimulate other researchers to explore the ecological processes behind the occurrence of transients in capture–recapture studies. In population models, the inclusion of a specific state for transients may help to make more reliable predictions for endangered and harvested species.

scholarly journals Validation of close‐kin mark–recapture (CKMR) methods for estimating population abundance

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 1445-1453 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel E. Ruzzante ◽  
Gregory R. McCracken ◽  
Brage Førland ◽  
John MacMillan ◽  
Daniela Notte ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Population Abundance ◽  
Mark Recapture

scholarly journals Overcoming the challenges of measuring the abundance of a cryptic macropod: is a qualitative approach good enough?

2014 ◽  
Vol 41 (1) ◽  
pp. 84 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karlene Bain ◽  
Adrian Wayne ◽  
Roberta Bencini
Keyword(s):  
Population Size ◽  
Relative Abundance ◽  
Spatial Scales ◽  
Faecal Pellet ◽  
Survey Method ◽  
Population Abundance ◽  
Mark Recapture ◽  
Survey Technique ◽  
Threatened Taxa ◽  
Activity Indices

Context An understanding of population size and status is necessary for the implementation of appropriate conservation measures to recover threatened taxa. Mark–recapture studies at large spatial scales are impractical and expensive and a rapid survey technique is an attractive option to provide a measure of relative abundance for cryptic species, using indicators of activity. Aims The aim of our study was to use conventional methods for population estimation to calibrate a rapid survey technique for the quokka (Setonix brachyurus) in the southern forests of Western Australia, with a view to providing quantitative outcomes from this widely adopted monitoring approach. Methods We evaluated the accuracy of relative abundances obtained from the rapid survey technique by comparing them with abundance estimates obtained through established methods for the estimation of populations, including web-based mark–recapture and transect-based counts of activity indicators and sightings. Key results The rapid survey technique was effective at determining presence of quokkas but resulted in an over-estimation of population size because of inaccurate assumptions about occupancy and relative abundance of animals. An alternative survey method based on counts of fresh faecal-pellet groups was found to provide a more reliable and practical estimation of population abundance (R2 = 0.97). Conclusions Activity indices can be used to quantify population abundance, but only for indicators of activity that can be detected readily and for which freshness of activity can be determined. Implications Our findings suggest that a rapid survey based on activity indices can be used to evaluate quantitatively the population size of a species that is rare and potentially mobile at a landscape scale. The attraction of these techniques is that they provide a rapid and inexpensive survey option that is potentially applicable to any cryptic and/or threatened species and is practical for resource-constrained land managers.

The mark–recapture method applied to population estimates of a freshwater crab on an alluvial plain

2013 ◽  
Vol 64 (4) ◽  
pp. 317 ◽  
Author(s):  
Débora de Azevedo Carvalho ◽  
Pablo Agustín Collins ◽  
Cristian Javier De Bonis
Keyword(s):  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Field Studies ◽  
Accurate Method ◽  
Alluvial Plain ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Chi Square ◽  
Mark Recapture ◽  
Closed Population ◽  
Short Term Study ◽  
Chi Square Test

Mark–recapture methods are a useful population estimation tool, although with many assumptions that cannot always be satisfied for all types of organisms and environments. In the present study, three mark–recapture methods (Petersen, Schnabel and Schumacher–Eschmeyer) were applied in a preliminary trial to estimate the population size of the crab Trichodactylus borellianus and to gain information that would support the use of the methods in the field. The accuracy of these estimates was verified by analysing the percentage of bias, the width of the confidence intervals, and by a chi-square test. The assumptions of equal catchability and closed population were verified, along with assumptions related to the efficiency of marking. The adjusted methodology was applied in a short-term study of a pond on the Paraná floodplain. The results showed that the assumptions were satisfied for both the experimental and field studies. The Schnabel was the most accurate method evaluated in both studies. Although the Schumacher–Eschmeyer method also provided accurate results in the field study, it needed large samples to give reliable estimates. The applicability of these methods depends on the stage of the hydrological cycle. The choice of a short-term research design will ensure that the assumption of a closed population is valid for research of this type on an alluvial plain.

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