Kaplan-Meier survival analysis.

Author(s):  
R. Karl Hanson
2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 54-56
Author(s):  
D R Lim ◽  
M Tsai ◽  
S E Gruchy ◽  
J Jones ◽  
G Williams ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The COVID-2019 pandemic continues to restrict access to endoscopy, resulting in delays or cancellation of non-urgent endoscopic procedures. A delay in the removal or exchange of plastic biliary stents may lead to stent occlusion with consensus recommendation of stent removal or exchange at three-month intervals [1–4]. We postulated that delayed plastic biliary stent removal (DPBSR) would increase complication rates. Aims We aim to report our single-centre experience with complications arising from DPBSR. Methods This was a retrospective, single-center, observational cohort study. All subjects who had ERCP-guided plastic biliary stent placement in Halifax, Nova Scotia between Dec 2019 and June 2020 were included in the study. DPBSR was defined as stent removal >=90 days from insertion. Four endpoints were assigned to patients: 1. Stent removed endoscopically, 2. Died with stent in-situ (measured from stent placement to documented date of death/last clinical encounter before death), 3. Pending removal (subjects clinically well, no liver enzyme elevation, not expired, endpoint 1 Nov 2020), and 4. Complication requiring urgent reintervention. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to represent duration of stent patency (Fig.1). Results 102 (47.2%) had plastic biliary stents placed between 2/12/2019 and 29/6/2020. 49 (48%) were female, and the median age was 68 (R 16–91). Median follow-up was 167.5 days, 60 (58.8%) subjects had stent removal, 12 (11.8%) died before replacement, 21 (20.6%) were awaiting stent removal with no complications (median 230d, R 30–332), 9 (8.8%) had complications requiring urgent ERCP. Based on death reports, no deaths were related to stent-related complications. 72(70.6%) of patients had stents in-situ for >= 90 days. In this population, median time to removal was 211.5d (R 91-441d). 3 (4.2%) subjects had stent-related complications requiring urgent ERCP, mean time to complication was 218.3d (R 94–441). Stent removal >=90 days was not associated with complications such as occlusion, cholangitis, and migration (p=1.0). Days of stent in-situ was not associated with occlusion, cholangitis, and migration (p=0.57). Sex (p=0.275), cholecystectomy (p=1.0), cholangiocarcinoma (p=1.0), cholangitis (p=0.68) or pancreatitis (p=1.0) six weeks prior to ERCP, benign vs. malignant etiology (p=1.0) were not significantly associated with stent-related complications. Conclusions Plastic biliary stent longevity may have been previously underestimated. The findings of this study agree with CAG framework recommendations [5] that stent removal be prioritized as elective (P3). Limitations include small sample size that could affect Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Despite prolonged indwelling stent time as a result of COVID-19, we did not observe an increased incidence of stent occlusion or other complications. Funding Agencies None


Gerontology ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Ana Fernandez-Suárez ◽  
Oriol Yuguero Torres

<b><i>Background:</i></b> The increase in life expectancy and low mortality have doubled the number of individuals older than 65 in the last 30 years. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> We conducted a retrospective study of 101 patients older than 80 years of age treated by low digestive hemorrhage (LDH) in an emergency department during 2018. Sociodemographic variables were evaluated, as well as comorbidity and survival at 18 months. Survival was assessed by a Kaplan-Meier test. <b><i>Results:</i></b> 52.5% of the subjects were women. The average comorbidity of the sample was 1.97. The survival rate per year was 60%. The finding on colonoscopy shows no association with mortality. However, those patients on anticoagulant/antiplatelet therapy have a higher survival rate. <b><i>Conclusion:</i></b> Survival per year is high, so urgent colonoscopy for an LDH should be performed after evaluating the patient’s stability and functional status in a scheduled and outpatient manner.


Risks ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. 121
Author(s):  
Beata Bieszk-Stolorz ◽  
Krzysztof Dmytrów

The aim of our research was to compare the intensity of decline and then increase in the value of basic stock indices during the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus pandemic in 2020. The survival analysis methods used to assess the risk of decline and chance of rise of the indices were: Kaplan–Meier estimator, logit model, and the Cox proportional hazards model. We observed the highest intensity of decline in the European stock exchanges, followed by the American and Asian plus Australian ones (after the fourth and eighth week since the peak). The highest risk of decline was in America, then in Europe, followed by Asia and Australia. The lowest risk was in Africa. The intensity of increase was the highest in the fourth and eleventh week since the minimal value had been reached. The highest odds of increase were in the American stock exchanges, followed by the European and Asian (including Australia and Oceania), and the lowest in the African ones. The odds and intensity of increase in the stock exchange indices varied from continent to continent. The increase was faster than the initial decline.


Author(s):  
Hiroshi Yokoyama ◽  
Masashi Takata ◽  
Fumi Gomi

Abstract Purpose To compare clinical success rates and reductions in intraocular pressure (IOP) and IOP-lowering medication use following suture trabeculotomy ab interno (S group) or microhook trabeculotomy (μ group). Methods This retrospective review collected data from S (n = 104, 122 eyes) and μ (n = 42, 47 eyes) groups who underwent treatment between June 1, 2016, and October 31, 2019, and had 12-month follow-up data including IOP, glaucoma medications, complications, and additional IOP-lowering procedures. The Kaplan–Meier survival analysis was used to evaluate treatment success rates defined as normal IOP (> 5 to ≤ 18 mm Hg), ≥ 20% reduction of IOP from baseline at two consecutive visits, and no further glaucoma surgery. Results Schlemm’s canal opening was longer in the S group than in the μ group (P < 0.0001). The Kaplan–Meier survival analysis of all eyes showed cumulative clinical success rates in S and µ groups were 71.1% and 61.7% (P = 0.230). The Kaplan–Meier survival analysis of eyes with preoperative IOP ≥ 21 mmHg showed cumulative clinical success rates in S and μ groups were 80.4% and 60.0% (P = 0.0192). There were no significant differences in postoperative IOP at 1, 3, and 6 months (S group, 14.9 ± 5.6, 14.6 ± 4.5, 14.6 ± 3.9 mmHg; μ group, 15.8 ± 5.9, 15.2 ± 4.4, 14.7 ± 3.7 mmHg; P = 0.364, 0.443, 0.823), but postoperative IOP was significantly lower in the S group at 12 months (S group, 14.1 ± 3.1 mmHg; μ group, 15.6 ± 4.1 mmHg; P = 0.0361). There were no significant differences in postoperative numbers of glaucoma medications at 1, 3, 6, and 12 months (S group, 1.8 ± 1.6, 1.8 ± 1.5, 2.0 ± 1.6, 1.8 ± 1.5; μ group, 2.0 ± 1.6, 2.0 ± 1.6, 2.1 ± 1.6, 2.2 ± 1.7; P = 0.699, 0.420, 0.737, 0.198). Conclusion S and µ group eyes achieved IOP reduction, but μ group eyes had lower clinical success rates among patients with high preoperative IOP at 12 months.


2021 ◽  
pp. 003288552110481
Author(s):  
Thomas Wojciechowski

Past research has indicated that Major Depressive Disorder and exposure to violence are risk factors for offending. However, researchers have yet to examine how this disorder may predict recidivism risk among juvenile offenders and how the disorder moderates the effect of exposure to violence. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to determine the impact of Major Depressive Disorder on time to recidivism. Cox proportional hazard modeling was applied to examine Major Depressive Disorder as a moderator of exposure to violence. Results indicated that participants with Major Depressive Disorder demonstrate greater risk for recidivism post-adjudication. The proposed moderation effect was not supported.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianqing She ◽  
Jiahao Feng ◽  
Yangyang Deng ◽  
Lizhe Sun ◽  
Yue Wu ◽  
...  

Objective. The pathophysiologic mechanism of how thyroid function is related to the development and prognosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) remains under explored, and there has been a lack of clinical investigations. In this study, we investigate the relationship between triiodothyronine (T3) level and cardiac ejection fraction (EF) as well as probrain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) on admission and subsequent prognosis in AMI patients. Methods. We measured admission thyroid function, NT-proBNP, and EF by echocardiography in 345 patients diagnosed with AMI. Simple and multiregression analyses were performed to investigate the correlation between T3 level and EF as well as NT-proBNP. Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including new-onset myocardial infarction, acute heart failure, and cardiac death, were documented during the follow-up. 248 participants were separated into three groups based on T3 and free triiodothyronine (FT3) levels for survival analysis during a 2-year follow-up. Results. 345 patients diagnosed with AMI were included in the initial observational analysis. 248 AMI patients were included in the follow-up survival analysis. The T3 levels were found to be significantly positively correlated with EF (R square=0.042, P<0.001) and negatively correlated with admission NT-proBNP levels (R square=0.059, P<0.001), which is the same with the correlation between FT3 and EF (R square=0.053, P<0.001) and admission NT-proBNP levels (R square=0.108, P<0.001). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed no significant difference with regard to different T3 or FT3 levels at the end of follow-up. Conclusions. T3 and FT3 levels are moderately positively correlated with cardiac function on admission in AMI patients but did not predict a long-time survival rate. Further studies are needed to explain whether longer-term follow-up would further identify the prognosis effect of T3 on MACE and all-cause mortality.


CAUCHY ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 55
Author(s):  
Alfensi Faruk ◽  
Endro Setyo Cahyono ◽  
Ning Eliyati

<p class="Abstract">The first birth interval is one of the indicators of women’s fertility rate. Because in most cases the first birth interval contains censored observations, the only appropriate statistical method to handle such data is survival analysis. The main objective of this study is to analyze several socioeconomic and demographic factors that affect the first birth interval in Indonesia using the univariate and multivariate survival analysis, that is Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression model, respectively. The sample is obtained from 2012 Indonesian Demographic and Health Survey (IDHS) and consists of 28242 ever married women aged 15-49 at the time of interview. The results show that age at the first birth, women's educational level, husband’s educational level, contraceptive knowledge, wealth index, and employment status are the significant factors affecting the first birth interval in Indonesia.</p>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junyu Huo ◽  
Yunjin Zang ◽  
Hongjing Dong ◽  
Xiaoqiang Liu ◽  
Fu He ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: In recent years, the relationship between tumor associated macrophages (TAMs) and solid tumors has become a research hotspot. The study aims at exploring the close relationship of TAMs with metabolic reprogramming genes in hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC), in order to provide a new way of treatment for HCC.Materials and methods: The study selected 343 HCC patients with complete survival information(survival time >= 1month) in the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) as the study objects. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis assisted in figuring out the relationship between macrophage infiltration level and overall survival (OS), and Pearson correlation test to identify metabolic reprogramming genes(MRGs) related to tumor macrophage abundance. Lasso regression algorithm were conducted on prognosis related MRGs screened by Univariate Cox regression analysis and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis to construct the riskscore, another independent cohort (including 228 HCC patients) from the International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) were used for external validation regarding the prognostic signature.Results: A risk score composed of 8 metabolic genes can accurately predict the OS of training cohort(TCGA) and testing cohort(ICGC). It is important that the risk score could widely used for people with different clinical characteristics, and is an independent predictor independent of other clinical factors affecting prognosis. As expected, high-risk group exhibited an obviously higher macrophage abundance relative to low-risk group, and the risk score presented a positive relation to the expression level of three commonly used immune checkpoints(PD1,PDL1,CTLA4).Conclusion: Our study constructed and validated a novel eight‑gene signature for predicting HCC patients’ OS, which possibly contributed to making clinical treatment decisions.


F1000Research ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
pp. 919 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manali Rupji ◽  
Xinyan Zhang ◽  
Jeanne Kowalski

We present CASAS, a shiny R based tool for interactive survival analysis and visualization of results. The tool provides a web-based one stop shop to perform the following types of survival analysis:  quantile, landmark and competing risks, in addition to standard survival analysis.  The interface makes it easy to perform such survival analyses and obtain results using the interactive Kaplan-Meier and cumulative incidence plots.  Univariate analysis can be performed on one or several user specified variable(s) simultaneously, the results of which are displayed in a single table that includes log rank p-values and hazard ratios along with their significance. For several quantile survival analyses from multiple cancer types, a single summary grid is constructed. The CASAS package has been implemented in R and is available via http://shinygispa.winship.emory.edu/CASAS/. The developmental repository is available at https://github.com/manalirupji/CASAS/.


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