scholarly journals Use of Risk Analysis for Water Security Assessment

2019 ◽  
Vol 295 ◽  
pp. 02008
Author(s):  
Samah Jabari ◽  
Isam Shahrour ◽  
Jamal khatabi

This paper presents analysis of water security using risk analysis. It contributes to an enhanced understanding of the water security issue through creating indicators and their use in the determination of the water security level. The paper presents first the methodology followed in this research, which includes three steps: identification of water risk drivers, the determination of their severity and likelihood and finally the calculation of the water security score. The paper presents the first step of the application of this methodology to Palestinian territory through the identification of the drivers of the water risk and the levels of both the severity and likelihood to be used in future water security assessment.

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 607 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhaofang Zhang ◽  
Weijun He ◽  
Min An ◽  
Dagmawi Degefu ◽  
Liang Yuan ◽  
...  

The sustainable development of socioeconomic and environmental systems are highly dependent on water capital and water utilization efficiency. Nowadays, a significant portion of the world is facing water security issues due to a combination of various factors. As a result, socioeconomic and environmental systems are threatened. China is also currently experiencing problems. Water security assessment helps to identify key determining factors for optimal water utilization, so the authors present the Driving Forces-Pressures-Carrying Capacity-State-Impacts-Responses (DPSCIR) water security assessment framework. Unlike previous methods, the proposed framework incorporates the carrying capacity of the environment, and as a result, yields assessment results that are more realistic. As a case study, the proposed framework coupled with the entropy method is applied to assess the water security status of the One Belt and One Road (B&R) region in China. In addition, the water security level of the provinces and municipalities in this region are simulated for the time period from 2017 to 2022 using the Grey Prediction Model. The results show that Responses, State, Pressures, and Carrying Capacity Subsystems greatly influence water security of the region. According to the assessment, water security of the area improved from 2011 to 2016. The results portray the following trend among the three subregions of the study area, the water security of the 21st Maritime Silk Road (One Road) area is better than Silk Road Economic Belt (One Belt) and the Strategy Support and Pivotal Gateway (SSPG) of B&R areas. Generally, from the evaluation results it can be concluded that only focusing on the subsystem of Responses cannot entirely address the water security problems within the B&R area. Therefore, to ensure sustainable water security in the region and in the country, the government needs to design water resource management mechanisms that take all the subsystems into account.


Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 2060
Author(s):  
Samah Jabari ◽  
Isam Shahrour ◽  
Jamal El Khattabi

This paper presents an assessment of the urban water security in a severe water stress area using a semi-quantitative risk-based approach. Water security indicators are selected according to the recommendations of international institutions, the literature review and the opinion of a panel of water experts. Selected indicators cover three fields: water resources, water services and water governance. The field of water resources is described by indicators related to the water resources availability, annual precipitation and the ratio of treated water, while the water services field is described by indicators related to the water service coverage, water losses and the continuity of water supply. Water governance includes three indicators: role and responsibility, access to water information and stakeholder engagement. Water security assessment is conducted in three stages: (i) data collection for five Palestinian cities in the West Bank of Jordan, (ii) determination of the risk score for each indicator using collected data and an expert’s opinion, (iii) determination of the global water security score and water security index using the matrix risk assessment and the wise weight assessment ratio analysis (SWARA) methods. Results show that water risk is ranked as extreme for all cities. Risk related to water resources is a major contributor to global risk, followed by water governance.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 6503
Author(s):  
Yu Peng ◽  
Hubert Hirwa ◽  
Qiuying Zhang ◽  
Guoqin Wang ◽  
Fadong Li

Given the impact of COVID-19 and the desert locust plague, the Ethiopian food security issue has once again received widespread attention. Its food crisis requires comprehensive and systematic research to achieve the United Nations Sustainable Development Goal of zero hunger. This review discusses the current situation and the causes of food security in Ethiopia. We focus on the challenges in the food security assessment field. The article lists seven typical causes of food insecurity and three roots of food security in Ethiopia. Long-term food security assessment and a comprehensive understanding and manageability for food security causes are considered as the main existing research challenges. Climate-resilient management, water management, and long-term ecosystem network monitoring and data mining are suggested as potential roadmap for future research.


2013 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 047-052
Author(s):  
Mieczysław Połoński

The methodology of development of building project schedules, proposed in the article, is based on an attempt to combine two independent approaches in order to increase the probability of fulfillment of time limits planned in the CPM schedules during the performance of construction works. The analysis of the risk associated with the planned building project will allow for the determination of those tasks which are most threatened by the exceeding of the planned duration time. The application of time buffers, their proper location in the schedule and the determination of their duration, taking into account the expected risk of delays, allow to develop the schedules that contain the appropriate time reserves to compensating for the possible delays. Such a schedule may serve not only as a reliable basis for the determination of the expected deadline for completion of construction works, but also for the management of these works during performance. Selected components of MOCRA and MP-KP methods were proposed in the article.


2020 ◽  
Vol 32 (3) ◽  
pp. 37-49
Author(s):  
Ziwei Ye ◽  
Yuanbo Guo ◽  
Ankang Ju ◽  
Fushan Wei ◽  
Ruijie Zhang ◽  
...  

Social engineering attacks are becoming serious threats to cloud service. Social engineering attackers could get Cloud service custom privacy information or attack virtual machine images directly. Existing security analysis instruments are difficult to quantify the social engineering attack risk, resulting in invalid defense guidance for social engineering attacks. In this article, a risk analysis framework for social engineering attack is proposed based on user profiling. The framework provides a pathway to quantitatively calculate the possibility of being compromised by social engineering attack and potential loss, so as to effectively complement current security assessment instruments. The frequency of related operations is used to profile and group users for respective risk calculation, and other features such as security awareness and capability of protection mechanism are also considered. Finally, examples are given to illustrate how to use the framework in actual scenario and apply it to security assessment.


Author(s):  
Кондратов ◽  
S. Kondratov ◽  
Новиков ◽  
A. Novikov

The article deals with the methodological aspects of risk analysis for the carriage of dangerous goods by road, in the system «man - machine - environment - the goods». A functional model of risk in the transport of dangerous goods. Analyzed the main methods of risk assessment in the system «M-M-E-G». The possibility of experimental determination of dominant parameters.


2004 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 50-53 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael B Spencer ◽  
Tim Carter ◽  
Anthony N Nicholson

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