scholarly journals Economic and Social Impacts of COVID 19 on National Economies from the Point of View of Economic Theory

2021 ◽  
Vol 92 ◽  
pp. 01036
Author(s):  
Miloš Nový ◽  
Čestmír Jarý
Keyword(s):  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Social Impacts ◽  
Demand Side ◽  
Aggregate Supply ◽  
National Economies ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Economic And Social Impacts

Research background: The world economy is currently affected by the devastating effects of the global COVID 19 pandemic, reaching the Great Depression of the 1930s. The economic policies of the affected countries are currently focused on short-term measures on the aggregate demand side. To this end, the growth of the public finance deficit is being prepared in the area of fiscal policy, which will ultimately deepen the indebtedness of national economies. If this economic policy is to be sustainable in the long term, measures on the aggregate demand side must be accompanied by measures on the aggregate supply side. Purpose of the article: The purpose of this article is to determine how the current globalization processes affecting the supply and demand sides of selected national economies will be affected in the short and long term as a result of the global COVID 19 pandemic. Methods: A description of the AS - AD model will be performed, covering both short and long periods, and then a description of the impact of globalization processes on aggregate supply and aggregate demand. This will be followed by an analysis of the expected economic and social impacts of COVID 19 on individual globalization processes affecting the supply and demand sides of selected national economies and economic units. Findings & Value added: The article will help to find a systemic approach to the recovery of national economies affected by the effects of the global pandemic COVID 19 through the prism of the AS - AD model.

scholarly journals Regional Aspects of Demand and Supply Shocks: Economy of the Khabarovsk Territory During a Pandemic

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 165-181
Author(s):  
Artyom Isaev ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Negative Impact ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Initial Period ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Retail Trade ◽  
Natural Rate ◽  
Regional Labor Market ◽  
Aggregate Supply ◽  
The Impact

The article provides an overview of the short-term dynamics of macroeconomic indicators for the Khabarovsk Territory during the COVID-19 pandemic after the introduction of temporary restrictive measures in April and May 2020. The impact of these measures extended both to the elements of regional aggregate demand and aggregate supply. From the point of view of the theory of short-run economic fluctuations, aggregate supply and demand shocks, such as those that occurred in the initial period of the pandemic, lead to a reduction in aggregate output followed by an increase in actual and natural rate of unemployment. Expectations have an additional negative impact since the growth of uncertainty gives rise to an increase in savings and an additional reduction in consumer activity. In the case of Khabarovsk Territory it is shown that the most affected industries of the economy were retail trade and services. Both industries experienced a negative shock in April, but while the former began recovery as early as May, the latter returned to the growth trajectory only in June. Residents changed their income usage patterns due to the restrictions on the consumer market, as well as to increased uncertainty about their future income. The share of net savings and cash balances increased with a corresponding decrease in the share of spending on goods and services. A negative supply shock contributed to a sharp rise in unemployment up to 24.5 thousand unemployed in the third quarter of 2020. Starting from the fourth quarter unemployment began to decline rapidly, but it had not reached pre-pandemic level of less than 7 thousand unemployed by the second quarter of 2021. It is shown that the permanent population outmigration, which increased in 2020, is a specific feature of the regional labor market. It has slowed down the return of the regional aggregate supply to its pre-pandemic positions after the restrictions were cancelled

scholarly journals Monetary Stabilization Policy in the Coronacrisis

2021 ◽  
Vol 129 ◽  
pp. 01015
Author(s):  
Tatiana Kotcofana ◽  
Anastasiya Titova ◽  
Armen Altunyan
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Stabilization Policy ◽  
University Of Oxford ◽  
Global Recession ◽  
National Economies ◽  
The University ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

Research background: In 2020, all the world's economies faced a new, special phenomenon – the coronacrisis caused by the pandemic, and with the fall of most economic indicators. In the current conditions, it is extremely important to build a competent monetary policy in order to soften the "blows" caused by the global recession for national economies. Purpose of the article: The main purpose of the presented article is the analysis of measures to stimulate the economy using monetary policy instruments in the conditions of the coronacrisis. Methods: To conduct the study, we used official statistics data, on the basis of which an econometric model was built, which allowed us to determine the forecast values for inflation, taking into account the impact of monetary and non-monetary factors. Findings & Value added: The econometric analysis show the high importance of non-monetary factors of inflation. This makes it difficult to assess the monetary policy, since Central banks are able to influence non-monetary factors only indirectly. The paper notes the influence of the refinancing rate on loans to the real sector of the economy, since the stabilization monetary policy should be primarily aimed at maintaining economic growth. The correlation field of the relationship between the index of rigidity of restrictions developed by the University of Oxford and loans to small and medium-sized businesses is constructed. It is noted that with the reduction of administrative restrictions, the volume of loans granted to small and medium-sized businesses increases.

scholarly journals Liquidity and the Performance of the Nigerian Manufacturing Firms: an Economic Value-added Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 ◽  
pp. 47-55
Author(s):  
Olusegun Osho ◽  
Alexander Ehimare Omankhanlen ◽  
Mojisola Fasanmi ◽  
Victoria Akinjare
Keyword(s):  
Manufacturing Industry ◽  
Economic Value ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Economic Value Added ◽  
Economic Sectors ◽  
Manufacturing Firm ◽  
Development Indicators ◽  
And Performance ◽  
The Impact

Considering the possibility of finding a gap and a room for improvement, so much have been written about liquidity and performance. Notwithstanding, the emphasis has been on profitability as a yardstick for performance and little has been done on other areas of performance measurement. The emphasis has also been more on various economic sectors with the exception of the manufacturing industry. This paper intends to look at the impact, if any, of liquidity provision and availability on Nigeria’s manufacturing firm’s performance from the perspective of Economic Value Added (EVA). Economic value-adding is beyond just profitability or liquidity. The firm's value to the stakeholders, its sustainability and long-term values are defined. The study would apply liquidity theories, profitability and the economic value-added theories as it applies to a manufacturing firm in a developing economy like Nigeria. On its methodology, the article data is obtained from the World Bank’s World Development Indicators-WDI and then a regression analysis will be run on the data using the SPSS software and then an analysis of the results of the regression. The last section of the article would conclude and make recommendations from the study outcome and the empirical analysis with respect to the theories.

Aggregate Demand, Vertical Specialization and Growth Accounting

2016 ◽  
Vol 07 (03) ◽  
pp. 1650016
Author(s):  
Hubert Escaith
Keyword(s):  
Income Elasticity ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
International Perspective ◽  
Growth Accounting ◽  
Marginal Propensity To Consume ◽  
Marginal Propensity ◽  
Global Economic Governance

Global manufacturing and international supply chains have changed the way trade and economic growth are understood today. Recent statistical advances suggest new ways of looking at growth accounting when global value chains (GVCs) — articulating supply and demand chains from an international perspective — are taken into consideration. The method is applied to the G-20 countries, a group of leading developed and developing economies that took a prominent role in fostering and managing global economic governance. The demand dynamics is first analyzed through a growth-accounting decomposition, then through the long term determinants of income elasticity of imports and the household marginal propensity to consume imported products.

scholarly journals DAMPAK FLUKTUASI NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP OUTPUT DAN HARGA: PERBANDINGAN DUA REZIM NILAI TUKAR

2007 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-22
Author(s):  
Jardine A Husman
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Import Price ◽  
Regime Switch ◽  
Aggregate Supply ◽  
Rate Fluctuation ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

This paper analyzes the impact of exchange rate fluctuation on the output and price in two different regimes. The model employed distinguishes four different sources of impacts on the output and price, namely the anticipated and the un-anticipated exchange rate movement, the aggregate demand and the aggregate supply shock.The result confirms the impact of the exchange rate regime switch on how the exchange rate influences the output. The net impact of Rupiah depreciation will expand the output, indicating the dominance of the aggregate the demand shock through the competitive advantage than the aggregate supply shock through import price effect.The regime switch also alters the effectiveness of the monetary and the fiscal policy on the output. The magnitude of monetary and fiscal policy is much larger than the exchange rate impact on output, both managed and free floating regime.Keywords: exchange rate, anticipated vs. unanticipated depreciation, supply vs. demand channels.JEL Classification: F41, F43, F31

scholarly journals Potential Tax Reforms and Kuwait Economic Growth

2019 ◽  
pp. 42-48
Author(s):  
K. Lawler ◽  
F. Ali Al-Sayegh
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Tax Reforms ◽  
Tax Revenues ◽  
Oil Revenue ◽  
The Impact

The objective of this study is to identify whether tax reforms are viable in Kuwait in order to create more government income from sources other than oil. The study examines the relationship between the changes in tax revenues, changes in oil revenue and changes in GDP in Kuwait using time series data from 1998 to 2015. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) is used to check for the existence of a unit root. The cointegration test is applied to test for long term relationships between variables using the General Least Square (GLS) method of estimation. The results of the tests find that the impact of changes in tax revenues on changes in the GDP of Kuwait is insignificant. Therefore, Kuwait’s government could rationally implement tax reforms to have incremental sources of income other than oil revenue. Moreover, it is argued that the government might consider implementing broad based consumption taxes and value added taxes into the tax structure Kuwait, and to invest the revenues from those taxes in productive policies, to induce long term economic growth.

scholarly journals The Grain Market between the Reigns of Alexey Mikhailovich and Catherine the Great: Was there a ‘Price Revolution’?

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Arthur Mustafin
Keyword(s):  
Eighteenth Century ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Grain Market ◽  
The Impact ◽  
First Time ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Regions Of Russia ◽  
Grain Prices

The author of this article attempts to reveal and systematise archival data on grain prices in Russia between the 1650s and 1700s and analyse their dynamics by comparing them with data for the eighteenth century. The study is based on a wide range of archival sources from the funds of the RSAAA (RGADA), CSA of Moscow (TsGA of Moscow), DM NLR (OR RNB), and SFI CANNR (GKU TsANO). The data from these sources make it possible to construct time series describing rye and oat price dynamics in the northern and central non-black earth regions of Russia. The author substantiates the homogeneity and reliability of the data received and determines the real prices. The resulting numbers make the author doubt the “price revolution” in eighteenth-century Russia. Throughout the eighteenth century, the average real prices remained below the level of the 1660s and 1670s. Only in the 1790s did prices briefly exceed this level. Overall, the Russian grain market was characterised by long-term price fluctuations. The author aims to explain this dynamic by analysing supply and demand in the grain market. More particularly, for the first time in the historiography, the author examines the connection between Russian grain prices and yield in the second half of the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries. It is established that in most cases, the relationship between these indicators was direct: as grain yield increased, prices did too. The article explains this seeming paradox. The data published by the author help not only to estimate the impact of various factors on grain prices during the period in question, but also solve practical tasks regarding various price indicators in grain equivalents.

scholarly journals Spatial diversity of effectiveness of forms of professional activisation in Poland in years 2008–2014 by poviats

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 113-130
Author(s):  
Beata Bieszk-Stolorz ◽  
Krzysztof Dmytrów
Keyword(s):  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Spatial Diversity ◽  
Active Labour Market Policy ◽  
North East ◽  
The North ◽  
Active Labour ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Fold Cross Validation

Research background: Because the active labour market policy requires high resources, it is important to analyse the effectiveness of its instruments. For the unemployment, it is essential to identify the groups of persons threatened by the long-term unemployment, to assess the impact of programmes on exit from unemployment and monitoring the disbursement of funds. Purpose of the article: The goal of the article was identification of clusters of poviats in Poland with respect to cost and employment effectiveness of basic forms of professional activisation in the years 2008–2014. Methods: The poviats were clustered by means of the k-means method. Variables were standardised and the number of clusters was determined by means of the v-fold cross-validation. Findings & Value added: The analysis did not allow to unambiguously specify areas in Poland with better use of funds allocated in the activisation programmes. The poviats in the middle-east Poland were generally characterized by worse values of effectiveness. However, the unemployment rate in these areas was relatively small. On the contrary, the poviats in the north-east Poland had high unemployment rate and the funds were used effectively. Assessment of effectiveness of forms of professional activisation is very important because the activities of poviat labour offices influence the counteraction to unemployment.

scholarly journals State of Shocks Synchronization among Members of the GCC

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 15
Author(s):  
Ashraf Nakibullah
Keyword(s):  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Model Specification ◽  
Structural Shocks ◽  
Demand Shocks ◽  
Gcc Countries ◽  
Aggregate Supply ◽  
Supply And Demand Shocks ◽  
Svar Model

This paper examines fluctuations of aggregate supply and demand shocks across the GCC countries. It argues that the world oil price influences aggregate demand and supply of these countries. Thus, in contrast to other studies, a SVAR model is used to identify structural shocks by including the oil price. The aggregate supply and demand shocks are then analyzed. The correlations of supply shocks among the member countries are either negative or low positive. Similarly, the correlations of demand shocks, except few pairs of countries, are also negative and low positive. Thus, shocks are not synchronized. These results are different than the results found in other similar studies probably due to the model specification. The implication of the findings is that the GCC countries would find it difficult to adjust supply and demand shocks if they form their aspired Gulf Monetary Union.

scholarly journals The Impact of R&D Expenditures on Corporate Performance: Evidence from Slovenian and World R&D Companies

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 1943
Author(s):  
Dejan Ravšelj ◽  
Aleksander Aristovnik
Keyword(s):  
Corporate Performance ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Global Competition ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Business Operations ◽  
The Impact ◽  
D Investment ◽  
Practical Implications ◽  
Value Added Products

Research and development (R&D) investment is widely recognised as one of the crucial elements of generating the competitive advantage of contemporary companies. At the same time, it is also considered to represent one of the key determinants of overall sustainable development. Global competition, which is becoming increasingly harsh and forces companies to provide value-added products, processes and services, constitutes a reason why R&D investment is indispensable in contemporary business operations as they facilitate keeping the companies’ position in the market in terms of their competitiveness. The main aim of this paper is therefore to examine the impact of R&D expenditures on corporate performance. Using a multiple regression analysis, two different panel datasets covering Slovenian and world R&D companies are analysed. This gives a unique opportunity to obtain comprehensive and interesting findings, representing the main originality and value of the paper. The empirical results reveal that R&D expenditures are not effective in the short-term period and bring certain benefits in the long-term period. The findings of this paper provide several important theoretical and practical implications.

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