scholarly journals Regional Aspects of Demand and Supply Shocks: Economy of the Khabarovsk Territory During a Pandemic

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 165-181
Author(s):  
Artyom Isaev ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Negative Impact ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Initial Period ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Retail Trade ◽  
Natural Rate ◽  
Regional Labor Market ◽  
Aggregate Supply ◽  
The Impact

The article provides an overview of the short-term dynamics of macroeconomic indicators for the Khabarovsk Territory during the COVID-19 pandemic after the introduction of temporary restrictive measures in April and May 2020. The impact of these measures extended both to the elements of regional aggregate demand and aggregate supply. From the point of view of the theory of short-run economic fluctuations, aggregate supply and demand shocks, such as those that occurred in the initial period of the pandemic, lead to a reduction in aggregate output followed by an increase in actual and natural rate of unemployment. Expectations have an additional negative impact since the growth of uncertainty gives rise to an increase in savings and an additional reduction in consumer activity. In the case of Khabarovsk Territory it is shown that the most affected industries of the economy were retail trade and services. Both industries experienced a negative shock in April, but while the former began recovery as early as May, the latter returned to the growth trajectory only in June. Residents changed their income usage patterns due to the restrictions on the consumer market, as well as to increased uncertainty about their future income. The share of net savings and cash balances increased with a corresponding decrease in the share of spending on goods and services. A negative supply shock contributed to a sharp rise in unemployment up to 24.5 thousand unemployed in the third quarter of 2020. Starting from the fourth quarter unemployment began to decline rapidly, but it had not reached pre-pandemic level of less than 7 thousand unemployed by the second quarter of 2021. It is shown that the permanent population outmigration, which increased in 2020, is a specific feature of the regional labor market. It has slowed down the return of the regional aggregate supply to its pre-pandemic positions after the restrictions were cancelled

scholarly journals The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and its influence on the State-Building Process in Azerbaijan

2014 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 66-73
Author(s):  
Savalan Suleymanli
Keyword(s):  
Negative Impact ◽  
Initial Period ◽  
State Building ◽  
The State ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Major Obstacle ◽  
Building Process ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Smooth State

The article deals with the impact of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict on the state-building process of Azerbaijan and its influence on the security of the country and the whole region. It identifies that this conflict was the major obstacle in ensuring smooth functioning of state authorities in the initial period of the independence of Azerbaijan. It is mentioned that, nowadays, the state-building process are successfully carried out in Azerbaijan. However, deadlock in the solution of the conflict are the major source of threat and instability not only for Azerbaijan but also for the whole region. From this point of view, unless the solution of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, it seems that this problem will keep its negative impact on the smooth state-building process in Azerbaijan.

scholarly journals Economic and Social Impacts of COVID 19 on National Economies from the Point of View of Economic Theory

2021 ◽  
Vol 92 ◽  
pp. 01036
Author(s):  
Miloš Nový ◽  
Čestmír Jarý
Keyword(s):  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Social Impacts ◽  
Demand Side ◽  
Aggregate Supply ◽  
National Economies ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Economic And Social Impacts

Research background: The world economy is currently affected by the devastating effects of the global COVID 19 pandemic, reaching the Great Depression of the 1930s. The economic policies of the affected countries are currently focused on short-term measures on the aggregate demand side. To this end, the growth of the public finance deficit is being prepared in the area of fiscal policy, which will ultimately deepen the indebtedness of national economies. If this economic policy is to be sustainable in the long term, measures on the aggregate demand side must be accompanied by measures on the aggregate supply side. Purpose of the article: The purpose of this article is to determine how the current globalization processes affecting the supply and demand sides of selected national economies will be affected in the short and long term as a result of the global COVID 19 pandemic. Methods: A description of the AS - AD model will be performed, covering both short and long periods, and then a description of the impact of globalization processes on aggregate supply and aggregate demand. This will be followed by an analysis of the expected economic and social impacts of COVID 19 on individual globalization processes affecting the supply and demand sides of selected national economies and economic units. Findings & Value added: The article will help to find a systemic approach to the recovery of national economies affected by the effects of the global pandemic COVID 19 through the prism of the AS - AD model.

scholarly journals Transforming the COVID-19 Threat into an Opportunity: The Pandemic as a Stage to the Sustainable Economy

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 2088
Author(s):  
Ionica Oncioiu ◽  
Ioana Duca ◽  
Mirela Anca Postole ◽  
Georgiana Camelia Georgescu (Crețan) ◽  
Rodica Gherghina ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Greenhouse Gas Emissions ◽  
Greenhouse Gas ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Economic Shocks ◽  
Gas Emissions ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Positive Effect

The aim of this research is to assess the impact of the economic shocks of supply and demand generated by the COVID-19 crisis on the climate sphere at the level of the Member States of the European Union. In this respect, a macroeconomic model was used to obtain firstly an estimate of the measure of demand shock and secondly an estimate of the supply of the economy. These milestones were eventually used to estimate the impact of the two economic shocks on the level of greenhouse gas emissions. The obtained results show that both the shock from the aggregate demand area and that from the aggregate supply area had the effect of decreasing the level of greenhouse gases, leading to a positive effect on the environment. From a quantitative point of view, the model estimates show that, as a result of the manifestation of the two cumulative shocks, the level of greenhouse gas emissions could decrease by about 10%.

The Public Purchase of Grain on Independent Delos

1993 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 300-334 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gary Reger
Keyword(s):  
Local Population ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Third Century ◽  
The Public ◽  
Price Structure ◽  
Grain Trade ◽  
Local Supply ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Grain Prices

Earlier work has tended to view Delos as an entrepôt for the larger Hellenistic grain trade, but during the years of independence (314-167 B.C.) the island relied on the import of grain to satisfy local demand, and this was certainly the more important aspect of the trade in grain, at least from the Delians' point of view. This study explores several issues connected with the local supply of grain. From prices for grain reported in inscriptions and estimates of the local population, the aggregate annual demand for grain is estimated, and the price structure of grain derived; the ratio of wheat and barley prices on Delos is found to differ considerably from that known from Athens and Roman Egypt. The shortage of 282 B.C., assumed by earlier scholars from prices recorded for that year, is shown instead to be a period of atypically low prices. The impact of the sailing season on shipments of grain is explored, and an annual rhythm in grain prices and availability linked to the closure of the sea and the agricultural year is revealed. The Delians tried to reduce the impact of these fluctuations by the public purchase of grain on an irregular basis in the late fourth and third century, as attested through public loans; by the last quarter of the third century they had established a regular sitōnia fund to buy grain for resale at reduced prices. Comparison of funds available, grain prices, and the estimated aggregate demand suggest that the Delian sitōnia was able to cover a significant fraction of local demand; this contrasts with evidence from other cities. Some of the implications of these results for our understanding of the Hellenistic economy are briefly explored.

The nexus between financial development and energy consumption: Estimating the role of foreign direct investment, economic growth and urbanization

2021 ◽  
pp. 0958305X2110453
Author(s):  
Jaleel Ahmed ◽  
Shuja ur Rehman ◽  
Zaid Zuhaira ◽  
Shoaib Nisar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of financial development on energy consumption for a wide array of countries. The estimators used for financial development are foreign direct investment, economic growth and urbanization. The study employed a panel data regression on 136 countries with time frame of years 1990 to 2019. The model in this study deploys system GMM technique to estimate the model. The results show that financial development has a significant negative impact on energy consumption overall. Foreign direct investment and urbanization has significant impact on energy consumption. Also, economic growth positive impact on energy consumption its mean that economic growth promotes energy consumption. When dividing further the sample into different groups of regions such as Asian, European, African, North/Latin American and Caribbean countries then mixed results related to the nexus between financial development and energy consumption with respect to economic growth, urbanization and foreign direct investment. The policymakers in these different groups of countries must balance the relationship between energy supply and demand to achieving the sustainable economic development.

scholarly journals An Overview of the Impact of Special Anti-Robbery Squad (SARS) In Nigeria

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 180
Author(s):  
Ogbette, Afamefuna Samuel ◽  
Idam, Macben Otu ◽  
Kareem, Akeem Olumide
Keyword(s):  
Negative Impact ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Police Force ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
Secondary Source ◽  
Human Relations ◽  
Police Service ◽  
Service Commission ◽  
Hard Drugs ◽  
The Impact

This study examined the impact of Special Anti-Robbery Squad (SARS) in Nigeria. It solely depended on the secondary source for information. SARS is one of the Nigeria Police Force units that is saddled with the responsibility of fighting crime in the society; specifically, robbery and kidnapping. The impact was examined in two ways: Positive and Negative impact. From the positive point of view, SARS has been able to reduce robbery and kidnapping to an extent but unfortunately, people now use them as bodyguards to intimidate, suppress, and harass other people. From our findings, SARS tortures people mercilessly, extort, beat, kill and jail people who are not forthcoming with their demands. It was also discovered that, most of them lacks orientation on human relation which is a big gap the Nigeria Police Force need to cover by re-orienting them. Again, it was discovered that some of the personnel smoke and drink. They are often intoxicated while on duty, wielding sophisticated guns. From the study, the following recommendations were made: control measures should be put in place for SARS to be stopped from torturing people. They should equally be stopped from extorting, beating, killing (except in a battle ground) and framing people up just to be jailed. Investigative jobs as that of SARS should be exclusively for graduates in the Police Service. Again, the Nigeria Police Force and Nigeria Police Service Commission need to often re-orient these officers on human relations. Finally, officers caught drinking or smoking (especially hard drugs) on duty should be properly dealt with to serve as a deterrent to others.

scholarly journals THE IMPORTANCE OF GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS IN INCREASING EMPLOYMENT EFFICIENCY IN GANJA-KAZAKH ECONOMIC REGION

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. A. Hasanova
Keyword(s):  
Labor Market ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Economic Region ◽  
Investment Projects ◽  
Oil Sector ◽  
The Republic ◽  
State Programs ◽  
Production Areas ◽  
The Impact

The article analyzes the labor market in Ganja-Gazakh economic region, the main "State Programs for socio-economic development of the regions of the Republic of Azerbaijan" (2004-2008, 2009-2013, 2014-2018, 2019-2023) to address the employment problems of the population. directions were considered. At the same time, the current situation of employment and unemployment in the region, the interregional distribution of productive forces, the region's infrastructure, the geography of natural resources were studied. Traditional production areas for the region, preferential loans provided to entrepreneurs within the framework of financed investment projects and other issues were discussed. The measures taken to eliminate the negative impact of the global crisis on the regions of Azerbaijan since 2016, the volume of output in key sectors of the economy are reflected. The discrepancy between job supply and demand in the region's labor market, as well as the main problems arising in the process of their coordination were analyzed. The urgency of original issues such as increasing production and exports, attracting effective employment, ensuring regional development by attracting domestic and foreign investment to the regions was brought to attention. The impact of investments in the regions on the development of the non-oil sector on the country's GDP was studied. The enterprises and jobs created in Ganja-Gazakh economic region were discussed within the program. In the end, the results of the analysis were reflected and suggestions were made to eliminate the existing problems.

scholarly journals The Impact of Texting on Standard English: The Students’ Perspective

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jamal Kaid Mohammed Ali ◽  
S. Imtiaz Hasnain ◽  
M. Salim Beg
Keyword(s):  
English Language ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Negative Attitude ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Standard English ◽  
Perceptions And Attitudes ◽  
English Second Language ◽  
Esl Learners ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Academic Year

Overindulgence in social networking, in general, and texting, in particular, is much in practice. It is cutting across various population boundaries and has almost assumed an endemic proportion. Its consequential impact on the standard language has acquired greater importance. This paper aims to determine the perceptions and attitudes of English Second Language (ESL) learners at Aligarh Muslim University towards the consequences of texting on Standard English. The data were collected through a five-point scale questionnaire from ninety students who were enrolled at Aligarh Muslim University during the academic year 2010-2011. The respondents completed a 16-item questionnaire. The students from which the data were collected were grouped according to their levels. The results indicate the negative impact of this new usage of the language in breaking the rules of English language and influencing their literacy. Moreover, the questionnaire results from respondents' point of view show that regardless of their heavy use of texting, most respondents have a negative attitude towards texting and they viewed it as a threat to Standard English.

Forecasting the fiber penetration based on copper access regulation

Info ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-31
Author(s):  
François Jeanjean
Keyword(s):  
Negative Impact ◽  
Logistic Function ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Cable Modem ◽  
Broadband Access ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Access Regulation ◽  
Access Charges ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Practical Implications

Purpose – This paper aims to investigate the impact of copper access regulation on broadband household adoption for each technology (xDSL on copper infrastructure, FTTx on fiber infrastructure and cable modem). It provides a forecast of the penetration rate of broadband access for each technology (copper xDSL, fiber, FTTx and cable modem) through 2020. Design/methodology/approach – This paper uses an empirical approach using a dataset covering 15 European countries. The dynamic of the adoption path is modeled by a logistic function. Copper access regulation is measured by two variables: copper access charge and copper wholesale access share, i.e. the ratio of copper wholesale access provided by the incumbent to alternative operators out of the total number of copper accesses. Findings – This paper shows that tough copper access regulation has a negative impact on fiber and cable modem adoption. Low copper prices decrease consumer adoption of other technologies. This reduces their profitability and thus the incentives to invest in alternative platforms. Practical implications – This paper highlights that an increase in copper access charges or a decrease in copper wholesale access shares could help to achieve the objectives of the Digital Agenda for Europe. Originality/value – This paper provides an empirical evidence of the impact of the copper access regulation on the fiber and ultra-fast broadband adoption from a dynamic point of view.

scholarly journals DAMPAK FLUKTUASI NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP OUTPUT DAN HARGA: PERBANDINGAN DUA REZIM NILAI TUKAR

2007 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-22
Author(s):  
Jardine A Husman
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Import Price ◽  
Regime Switch ◽  
Aggregate Supply ◽  
Rate Fluctuation ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

This paper analyzes the impact of exchange rate fluctuation on the output and price in two different regimes. The model employed distinguishes four different sources of impacts on the output and price, namely the anticipated and the un-anticipated exchange rate movement, the aggregate demand and the aggregate supply shock.The result confirms the impact of the exchange rate regime switch on how the exchange rate influences the output. The net impact of Rupiah depreciation will expand the output, indicating the dominance of the aggregate the demand shock through the competitive advantage than the aggregate supply shock through import price effect.The regime switch also alters the effectiveness of the monetary and the fiscal policy on the output. The magnitude of monetary and fiscal policy is much larger than the exchange rate impact on output, both managed and free floating regime.Keywords: exchange rate, anticipated vs. unanticipated depreciation, supply vs. demand channels.JEL Classification: F41, F43, F31

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