scholarly journals Development and Validation of a Practical Two-Step Prediction Model and Clinical Risk Score for Post-Thrombotic Syndrome

2018 ◽  
Vol 118 (07) ◽  
pp. 1242-1249 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elham Amin ◽  
Sander van Kuijk ◽  
Manuela Joore ◽  
Paolo Prandoni ◽  
Hugo ten Cate ◽  
...  

Background Post-thrombotic syndrome (PTS) is a common chronic consequence of deep vein thrombosis that affects the quality of life and is associated with substantial costs. In clinical practice, it is not possible to predict the individual patient risk. We develop and validate a practical two-step prediction tool for PTS in the acute and sub-acute phase of deep vein thrombosis. Methods Multivariable regression modelling with data from two prospective cohorts in which 479 (derivation) and 1,107 (validation) consecutive patients with objectively confirmed deep vein thrombosis of the leg, from thrombosis outpatient clinic of Maastricht University Medical Centre, the Netherlands (derivation) and Padua University hospital in Italy (validation), were included. PTS was defined as a Villalta score of ≥ 5 at least 6 months after acute thrombosis. Results Variables in the baseline model in the acute phase were: age, body mass index, sex, varicose veins, history of venous thrombosis, smoking status, provoked thrombosis and thrombus location. For the secondary model, the additional variable was residual vein obstruction. Optimism-corrected area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) were 0.71 for the baseline model and 0.60 for the secondary model. Calibration plots showed well-calibrated predictions. External validation of the derived clinical risk scores was successful: AUC, 0.66 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.63–0.70) and 0.64 (95% CI, 0.60–0.69). Conclusion Individual risk for PTS in the acute phase of deep vein thrombosis can be predicted based on readily accessible baseline clinical and demographic characteristics. The individual risk in the sub-acute phase can be predicted with limited additional clinical characteristics.

Blood ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 132 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 2530-2530
Author(s):  
Kirill Lobastov ◽  
Victor Barinov ◽  
Iliya Schastlivtsev ◽  
Leonid Laberko ◽  
Grigory Rodoman ◽  
...  

Abstract Aim: To assess oral rivaroxaban's efficacy and safety in the treatment of upper extremity deep vein thrombosis (UEDVT). Methods: This was a prospective observational study involving patients with their first UEDVT episodes confirmed by duplex ultrasound (DUS) without symptoms of pulmonary embolism (PE). All patients initially received low-molecular-weight heparin for 1 to 2 days and were then switched to oral rivaroxaban (15 mg bid) for three weeks and then to 20 mg qid for up to three months. Patients who had already undergone interventional UEDVT treatment were excluded. Patients were followed up with clinical examination and DUS for six months. The endpoints of the study were symptomatic PE, recurrent UEDVT, major, clinically relevant non-major and minor bleeding, recanalization of the affected veins, recognized as a blood flow with DUS, post-thrombotic syndrome (PTS) incidence of the affected limb assessed by modified Villata score by Czihal. Results: A total of 30 patients (13 men and 17 women) aged 28-78 years (mean age 52.4 ± 17.3) were included in the study. Some (16.7%) of them had undergone physical exertion which triggered the UEDVT. In 13.3%, there was a pacemaker previously implanted through the affected limb. Also, patients had from 0 to 5 individual risk factors for venous thromboembolism (mean 1.9±1.6). The subclavian vein, predominantly on the right side (60%), was involved in the thrombotic process in all cases. The mean duration of symptoms before diagnosis was 1.8±1.7 days. All 30 patients were followed for six months. There were no episodes of symptomatic PE and/or recurrent UEDVT during the period of anticoagulation (0-3 months) and after stop of treatment (3-6 months). No episodes of major bleeding were observed. Clinically relevant non-major bleeding occurred in 2 patients (6.7%: 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.9-21.4%) caused by uterine bleeding and large skin hemorrhage. Minor bleeding was observed in two patients (6.7%: 95% CI: 1.9-21.4%) caused by nasal and gingival bleeding. Thus, cumulative bleeding incidence was 13.4% (95% CI: 5.4-29.8%). Recanalization of upper extremity deep veins was observed in all affected limbs at three months and persist up to six months. The signs of upper limbs PTS (≥5 modified Villalta score) were found in four patients (13.4 %; 95% CI: 5.4-29.8%), and the mean score was 2.1±1.9. Conclusion: Treatment of UEDVT with oral rivaroxaban seems to be effective, safe, and associated with the low incidence of upper limb PTS. Disclosures Lobastov: Bayer: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; Servier: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau. Barinov:Bayer: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; Servier: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau. Schastlivtsev:Bayer: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; Servier: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau.


2014 ◽  
Vol 134 (2) ◽  
pp. 320-325 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michelangelo Sartori ◽  
Elisabetta Favaretto ◽  
Michela Cini ◽  
Cristina Legnani ◽  
Gualtiero Palareti ◽  
...  

2008 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 400-405 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. M. Roumen-Klappe ◽  
M. den Heijer ◽  
J. van Rossum ◽  
H. Wollersheim ◽  
C. van der Vleuten ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 156 (5) ◽  
pp. 251-252
Author(s):  
Francisco Galeano-Valle ◽  
Jorge del-Toro-Cervera ◽  
Pablo Demelo-Rodríguez

2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marit Engeseth ◽  
Tone Enden ◽  
Per Morten Sandset ◽  
Hilde Skuterud Wik

Abstract Background Post-thrombotic syndrome (PTS) is a frequent chronic complication of proximal deep vein thrombosis (DVT) of the lower limb, but predictors of PTS are not well established. We aimed to examine predictors of PTS in patients with long-term PTS following proximal DVT. Methods During 2006–09, 209 patients with a first time acute upper femoral or iliofemoral DVT were randomized to receive either additional catheter-directed thrombolysis or conventional therapy alone. In 2017, the 170 still-living participants were invited to participate in a cross-sectional follow-up study. In the absence of a gold standard diagnostic test, PTS was defined in line with clinical practice by four mandatory, predefined clinical criteria: 1. An objectively verified DVT; 2. Chronic complaints (> 1 month) in the DVT leg; 3. Complaints appeared after the DVT; and 4. An alternative diagnosis was unlikely. Possible predictors of PTS were identified with multivariate logistic regression. Results Eighty-eight patients (52%) were included 8–10 years following the index DVT, and 44 patients (50%) were diagnosed with PTS by the predefined clinical criteria. Younger age and higher baseline Villalta score were found to be independent predictors of PTS, i.e., OR 0.96 (95% CI, 0.93–0.99), and 1.23 (95% CI, 1.02–1.49), respectively. Lack of iliofemoral patency at six months follow-up was significant in the bivariate analysis, but did not prove to be significant after the multivariate adjustments. Conclusions In long-term follow up after high proximal DVT, younger age and higher Villalta score at DVT diagnosis were independent predictors of PTS.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
K Murata ◽  
Y Yamashita ◽  
T Morimoto ◽  
H Amano ◽  
T Takase ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Venous thromboembolism (VTE), including pulmonary embolism (PE) and deep vein thrombosis (DVT), has significant morbidity and mortality. Acute PE, in particular, is fatal if we miss it, and symptomatic patients of PE sometimes have concomitant DVT. Purpose This study compared the risk of mortality in symptomatic patients of PE with and those without DVT in the long term. Methods The COMMAND VTE Registry is a multicenter registry enrolling consecutive 3027 patients with acute symptomatic VTE objectively confirmed by imaging examination or by autopsy among 29 centers in Japan between January 2010 and August 2014. Patients with both PE and DVT (N=1334) were regarded as PE patients, and the current study population consisted of 1715 PE patients and 1312 DVT patients. Results There were 1203 symptomatic patients of PE, including 381 without and 822 with DVT. In our cohort, the mean age was 67.9±14.9 years, 63% was female, 44% had hypertension, 12% diabetes mellitus, 5% history of VTE. There were 20% of active cancer. Baseline characteristics were well matched except for dyslipidemia (18% vs. 23%, p=0.021) and atrial fibrillation (8% vs. 5%, p=0.045). Patients without DVT had a more severe clinical presentation compared to those with DVT, including hypoxemia, shock and arrest. Moreover, Initial parenteral anticoagulation therapy in the acute phase was administered less frequently in patients without DVT (89% vs. 96%, P=0.0001). Two groups received thrombolysis (20% vs. 26%, P=0.18) and mechanical supports (Ventilator 14% vs. 5%, p<0.001, PCPS 5% vs. 3%, p<0.001, respectively). During follow-up, 93 (8%) patients experienced recurrent VTE events and 98 (8%) major bleeding events, and 323 (27%) patients died. The most frequent cause of death was cancer (11%). There were a significant differences in the cumulative incidences of all-cause death between the groups (32% vs. 24%, P=0.006), whereas there was significant difference in VTE-related death (13% vs. 4%, p<0.001). Estimated freedom rates from death for patients of PE without and those with DVT were as follows: 88% vs 99% at 10-day, 86% vs 95% at 1-month, 75% vs 83% at 1-year, and 64% vs 71% at 5-year, respectively. Landmark analysis Conclusions In symptomatic patients of PE, there was a difference in mortality between groups, but no difference in recurrent VTE. Patients without DVT had a more severe clinical presentation compared to those with DVT, and many VTE-related deaths in the acute phase. The one-month mortality rate differed statistically between groups, but there was no significant difference in long-term survival beyond one month. Most of deaths were due to underlying diseases, mainly cancer, and less commonly due to VTE in the long term. Acknowledgement/Funding Research Institute for Production Development, Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Corporation


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guillermo A. Escobar ◽  
Peter K. Henke ◽  
Thomas W. Wakefield

Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE) comprise venous thromboembolism (VTE). Together, they comprise a serious health problem as there are over 275,000 new VTE cases per year in the United States, resulting in a prevalence of one to two per 1,000 individuals, with some studies suggesting that the incidence may even be double that. This review covers assessment of a VTE event, initial evaluation of a patient suspected of having VTE, medical history, clinical presentation of VTE, physical examination, laboratory evaluation, imaging, prophylaxis against perioperative VTE, indications for immediate intervention (threat to life or limb), indications for urgent intervention, and management of nonemergent VTE. Figures show a modified Caprini score questionnaire used at the University of Michigan to determine individual risk of VTE and the indicated prophylaxis regimen; Wells criteria for DVT and PE; phlegmasia cerulea dolens secondary to acute left iliofemoral DVT after thigh trauma; compression duplex ultrasonography of lower extremity veins; computed tomographic angiogram of the chest demonstrating a thrombus in the pulmonary artery, with extension into the right main pulmonary; management of PE according to Wells criteria findings; management of PE with right heart strain in cases of massive or submassive PE; treatment of DVT according to clinical scenario; a lower extremity venogram of a patient with May-Thurner syndrome and its subsequent endovascular treatment; and various examples of retrievable vena cava filters (not drawn to scale). Tables list initial clinical assessment for VTE, clinical scenarios possibly benefiting from prolonged anticoagulation after VTE, indications for laboratory investigation of secondary thrombophilia, venous thromboembolic risk accorded to hypercoagulable states, and Pulmonary Embolism Rule-out Criteria Score to avoid the need for D-dimer in patients suspected of having PE.   This review contains 11 highly rendered figures, 5 tables, and 167 references. Key words: anticoagulation; deep vein thrombosis; postthrombotic syndrome; pulmonary embolism; recurrent venous thromboembolism; thrombophilia; venous thromboembolism; PE; VTE; DVT 


2013 ◽  
Vol 160 (6) ◽  
pp. 817-824 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lara N. Roberts ◽  
Raj K. Patel ◽  
Paradzai B. Chitongo ◽  
Lynda Bonner ◽  
Roopen Arya

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document