Analysis of predictive performance in the Eromanga Basin

2012 ◽  
Vol 52 (2) ◽  
pp. 678
Author(s):  
Steven McIntyre

Strategic and operational management in the exploration and production business is characterised by prediction and decision making in a data-rich, high-uncertainty environment. Analysis of predictive performance since the 1970s by multiple researchers indicates that predictions are subject to over-confidence and optimism negatively impacting performance. The situation is the same for other areas of human endeavour also operating within data-rich, high-uncertainty environments. Research in the fields of psychology and neuroscience indicates the way in which the human brain perceives, integrates and allocates significance to data is the cause. Significant effort has been dedicated to improving the quality of predictions. Many individual companies review their predictive performance during long periods, but few share their data or analysis with the industry at large. Data that is shared is generally presented at a high level, reducing transparency and making it difficult to link the analysis to the geology and data from which predictions are derived. This extended abstract presents an analysis of predictive performance from the Eromanga Basin where pre-drill predictions and detailed production data during a period of decades is available in the public domain, providing an opportunity to test the veracity of past observations and conclusions. Analysis of the dataset indicates that predictions made using both deterministic and probabilistic methodologies have been characterised by over-confidence and optimism. The reasons for this performance are discussed and suggestions for improving predictive capability provided.

Author(s):  
Anna Lewandowska ◽  
Grzegorz Rudzki ◽  
Tomasz Lewandowski ◽  
Sławomir Rudzki

(1) Background: As the literature analysis shows, cancer patients experience a variety of different needs. Each patient reacts differently to the hardships of the illness. Assessment of needs allows providing more effective support, relevant to every person’s individual experience, and is necessary for setting priorities for resource allocation, for planning and conducting holistic care, i.e., care designed to improve a patient’s quality of life in a significant way. (2) Patients and Methods: A population survey was conducted between 2018 and 2020. Cancer patients, as well as their caregivers, received an invitation to take part in the research, so their problems and needs could be assessed. (3) Results: The study involved 800 patients, 78% women and 22% men. 66% of the subjects were village residents, while 34%—city residents. The mean age of patients was 62 years, SD = 11.8. The patients received proper treatment within the public healthcare. The surveyed group of caregivers was 88% women and 12% men, 36% village residents and 64% city residents. Subjects were averagely 57 years old, SD 7.8. At the time of diagnosis, the subjects most often felt anxiety, despair, depression, feelings of helplessness (46%, 95% CI: 40–48). During illness and treatment, the subjects most often felt fatigued (79%, 95% CI: 70–80). Analysis of needs showed that 93% (95% CI: 89–97) of patients experienced a certain level of need for help in one or more aspects. (4) Conclusions: Patients diagnosed with cancer have a high level of unmet needs, especially in terms of psychological support and medical information. Their caregivers also experience needs and concerns regarding the disease. Caregivers should be made aware of the health consequences of cancer and consider appropriate supportive care for their loved ones.


2013 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 66
Author(s):  
Rohana Thahier

The high level of public complaints against bureaucracy shows that on the one hand the quality of bureaucratic service has, in public opinion, been found wanting. At the same time, public awareness has continued to grow, with consumers demanding they have rights to receive high quality service (Dwiyanto, 2002). The quality of public service is lacking. Often bribes are required, services are not guaranteed, and procedures are over-complicated. The perceptions of the public human resource sector are various: Professionalism is lacking, corruption, collusion and nepotism run rampant, wages are insufficient, service to the public is over-complicated, relationships are based on a patrion-client system, there is lack of creativity and innovation, not to mention other potential negative perceptions which essentially show that this system is still weak in Indonesia.  All this motivates us to reform the public human resources sector of Mamuju Regency, West Sulawesi (Reformation of Bureaucracy).


2011 ◽  
Vol 51 (2) ◽  
pp. 690
Author(s):  
Andrew Price

Increased international and domestic demand for onshore Australian resources is creating a range of issues around the competing demands for access to land for the purposes of agriculture, residential use, and resources development. Furthermore, global demand for gas has significantly increased during the past decade. This has resulted in the development of Australia’s role as a soon-to-be major international supplier of LNG. On the other side of the energy equation, our growing population will begin to demand more stationary energy than our present capacity—now based predominantly on coal-fired generation—will be able to provide. In this way, a significant increase in gas-fired electricity generation is imminent for most states. These factors—together with vast improvements in exploration and production technologies, such as fraccing—have resulted, and will continue to result in increased investment in the development of onshore coal seam gas (CSG). CSG was once considered nothing more than a waste product of coal mining. To date, the development of onshore CSG has encountered numerous obstacles related to land access. It has been subject to complex indigenous and native title claims, the landscape of which has changed and is continuing to evolve. More frequently, however, it has been met with significant resistance from the public, by way of media campaigns, lobbying, and litigation—particularly from farmers (and other interest holders in farm land) concerned by the significant impacts development may have on the quality of their agricultural areas. This is partly due to the deficiencies of regulatory regimes in accounting for the complexities associated with the relatively new concept of CSG development, as well in providing appropriate mechanisms to balance the interests of landholders and proponents. In this regard, new land access laws have been effected in Queensland that account for these issues. Industry needs to understand the present regulatory landscape, as well as which techniques are working with landholders and which are not. This understanding needs to be gained with the view of formulating strategies to efficiently and equitably deal with landholders, and to avoid unnecessary, unhelpful disputes.


2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
pp. 219-237
Author(s):  
Barbara Stachowiak

This article discusses the analysis, made by the analytical and comparative method, of the programming offer of public broadcasters in the implementation of missions in the era of cross-platform broadcasting of radio and television programs. The article contains an analysis of the genre structure of the programs of Telewizja Polska SA, Polish Radio SA and the regional radio stations of the public radio. Identifies the principles of construction of public media programs available on the Polish media market. Describes the components for evaluating the quality of public media through their programming offers. It points to the need to develop a high level of technical and technological content of public media offerings in new content distribution platforms - the Internet, mobile devices.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 133
Author(s):  
Indrawati . ◽  
Angdini Nurillaily ◽  
Husni Amani ◽  
S. K. B. Pillai

Government and private players started focusing on developing cities in to smart cities due to increased level of urbanization in most of the countries around the world, including in Indonesia, by focusing on developing new smart buildings and upgrading old ones. Present paper tried to find out the Smart Building Readiness Index (SBRI) of Bandung City for knowing the level of awareness among the general public based on an exploratory research, the result of which enables the authorities to take strategic initiatives for improving the smart buildings and then to smart city status. Required data was collected by conducting in-depth interviews with 30 respondents and the result of the qualitative data revealed that Bandung’s SBRI comes to only 64.39, which is not a good indicator but within the limits of fairness and needs lot of improvement in future. The result also can be considered as an indicator that annual energy consumption in Bandung city is still at a high level and needs to focus on improving the quality of buildings in and around Bandung city for the purpose of overall reduction in energy consumption and improvement in quality of environment as well as quality of life. Respondents are also not fully aware of the smart building concept. Much needs to be done for making the public aware of the concept of smart building and its usefulness along with strategically developing smart buildings so that in future Bandung city transforms into a smart city with smart buildings. Keywords— Smart City; Smart Building Readiness Index; Bandung.


Proceedings ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (22) ◽  
pp. 1369
Author(s):  
Somruay Apichatibutarapong

Human activities are recognized as an increasingly significant effect on the Earth’s environment. Environmental protection is any activity to maintain the quality of environmental media on individual, organizational or governmental levels, for the benefit of both the natural environment and humans. Environmental protection is the primary concern of the future of humanity. Public awareness of the environment is the ability to understand the surrounding world, including understandings to all the changes occurring in the environment, understanding of cause-and-effect relationships between the quality of the environment and human behavior, and a sense of responsibility of preserving them to next generations. The future will be powered by concerning public awareness discipline, giving students and graduates insights into most aspects of the human world to environment and the social sciences. The knowledge of Environmental public awareness acquired during school education and then systematically improved in adulthood, is an essential factor in quickening the environmental awareness of an individual. This study is to determine the factors that affecting the public awareness on university environment of 100 undergraduate students. The overall opinions showed that the students’ public awareness was high level. Furthermore, the key factors that influences on public awareness concerning university environment are knowledge and daily behavior.This investigation will shed light on the public awareness on university environment. Moreover, the students’ feedback showed the highly positive attitude in concerning environment.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 484-491 ◽  
Author(s):  
David J Mela ◽  
John McLaughlin ◽  
Peter J Rogers

ABSTRACT Widely differing views exist among experts, policy makers, and the general public with regard to the potential risks and benefits of reduced- or low-energy sweeteners (LES) in the diet. These views are informed and influenced by different types of research in LES, with differing hypotheses, designs, interpretation, and communication. Given the high level of interest in LES, and the public health relevance of the research evidence base, it is important that all aspects of the research process are framed and reported in an appropriate and balanced manner. In this Perspective, we identify and give examples of a number of issues relating to research and reviews on LES, which may contribute toward apparent inconsistencies in the content and understanding of the totality of evidence. We conclude with a set of recommendations for authors, reviewers and journal editors, as general guidance to improve and better standardize the quality of LES research design, interpretation, and reporting. These focus on clarity of underlying hypotheses, characterization of exposures, and the placement and weighting of new research within the wider context of related prior work.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (7) ◽  
pp. 27-40
Author(s):  
Sergiy KORABLIN ◽  

The most successful fight against COVID-19 is demonstrated by countries with effective state institutions, which have become absolutely critical when confronting SARS-CoV-2: from quarantine restrictions, equipping hospitals and providing financial assistance packages to national economies to developing COVID vaccines, deployment of their production and mass vaccination of the population until the formation of collective immunity. These countries are not only centers of highly adaptable business, but also of first-class research centers and leading pharmaceutical companies that have offered the world effective COVID developments and their mass production. However, the rapid application of this creative potential would be impossible without effective government regulation. After all, the price of a purely market response to SARS-CoV-2 is prohibitively high due to the inevitable loss of time and human lives in the formation of private funds sufficient to begin the development of COVID vaccines, their production, mass vaccination and the emergence of collective immunity. Thus, government regulation has become a key factor in transforming COVID vaccines into the public good. However, due to the different quality of such regulation in different countries, this benefit has signs of “nationality”: the first to receive it are wealthy countries, developers of COVID vaccines and their closest partners, which have a high level of governance. Countries deprived of such institutional advantages have found themselves trapped by COVID-19 in the already narrow corridor of their financial capabilities. Moreover, the way out of this trap is often associated with political demands, the nature of which quite often does not apply to SARS-CoV-2 or national conditions for overcoming it.


Author(s):  
Polina ANANCHENKOVA ◽  
◽  
Natalya KAMYNINA ◽  

The article deals with current issues of financing Russian health care, the implementation of which will ensure the effective functioning of the system of public health protection. In the structure of a modern state, the security of any country is based on effectively functioning defense and health systems that ensure stability and a high level of quality of life for citizens. Therefore, the system for ensuring public health should not receive funding on a residual basis, and the mechanism for providing medical care and preventing morbidity should be based on market principles.


Author(s):  
Eko Setiyo Utomo

<p><em>The government is an agent which provides public services should improve the quality of the services. It should be recognized that delivering public service is not yet on the good level. The people need the services at the high level. Public service improvement must go to improving public service itself. That is hoped that the meaning and involving of the public service would come to development Indonesian people totally. Finance Public Management Reform is one of the efforts of the government to answer public requirement.</em></p>


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