scholarly journals Association of frailty with mortality in older inpatients with Covid-19: a cohort study

2020 ◽  
Vol 49 (6) ◽  
pp. 915-922 ◽  
Author(s):  
Darren Aw ◽  
Lauren Woodrow ◽  
Giulia Ogliari ◽  
Rowan Harwood

Abstract Background COVID-19 has disproportionately affected older people. Objective The objective of this paper to investigate whether frailty is associated with all-cause mortality in older hospital inpatients, with COVID-19. Design Cohort study. Setting Secondary care acute hospital. Participants Participants included are 677 consecutive inpatients aged 65 years and over. Methods Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the association of frailty with mortality. Frailty was assessed at baseline, according to the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), where higher categories indicate worse frailty. Analyses were adjusted for age, sex, deprivation, ethnicity, previous admissions and acute illness severity. Results Six hundred and sixty-four patients were classified according to CFS. Two hundred and seventy-one died, during a mean follow-up of 34.3 days. Worse frailty at baseline was associated with increased mortality risk, even after full adjustment (P = 0.004). Patients with CFS 4 and CFS 5 had non-significant increased mortality risks, compared to those with CFS 1–3. Patients with CFS 6 had a 2.13-fold (95% CI 1.34–3.38) and those with CFS 7–9 had a 1.79-fold (95% CI 1.12–2.88) increased mortality risk, compared to those with CFS 1–3 (P = 0.001 and 0.016, respectively). Older age, male sex and acute illness severity were also associated with increased mortality risk. Conclusions Frailty is associated with all-cause mortality risk in older inpatients with COVID-19.

2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (6) ◽  
pp. 1032-1042
Author(s):  
Duk-Hee Kang ◽  
Yuji Lee ◽  
Carola Ellen Kleine ◽  
Yong Kyu Lee ◽  
Christina Park ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Eosinophils are traditionally known as moderators of allergic reactions; however, they have now emerged as one of the principal immune-regulating cells as well as predictors of vascular disease and mortality in the general population. Although eosinophilia has been demonstrated in hemodialysis (HD) patients, associations of eosinophil count (EOC) and its changes with mortality in HD patients are still unknown. Methods In 107 506 incident HD patients treated by a large dialysis organization during 2007–11, we examined the relationships of baseline and time-varying EOC and its changes (ΔEOC) over the first 3 months with all-cause mortality using Cox proportional hazards models with three levels of hierarchical adjustment. Results Baseline median EOC was 231 (interquartile range 155–339) cells/μL and eosinophilia (>350 cells/μL) was observed in 23.4% of patients. There was a gradual increase in EOC over time after HD initiation with a median ΔEOC of 5.1 (IQR −53–199) cells/μL, which did not parallel the changes in white blood cell count. In fully adjusted models, mortality risk was highest in subjects with lower baseline and time-varying EOC (<100 cells/μL) and was also slightly higher in patients with higher levels (≥550 cells/μL), resulting in a reverse J-shaped relationship. The relationship of ΔEOC with all-cause mortality risk was also a reverse J-shape where both an increase and decrease exhibited a higher mortality risk. Conclusions Both lower and higher EOCs and changes in EOC over the first 3 months after HD initiation were associated with higher all-cause mortality in incident HD patients.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jia Wangping ◽  
Han Ke ◽  
Wang Shengshu ◽  
Song Yang ◽  
Yang Shanshan ◽  
...  

Objective: To evaluate the combined effects of anemia and cognitive function on the risk of all-cause mortality in oldest-old individuals.Design: Prospective population-based cohort study.Setting and Participants: We included 1,212 oldest-old individuals (men, 416; mean age, 93.3 years).Methods: Blood tests, physical examinations, and health questionnaire surveys were conducted in 2012 were used for baseline data. Mortality was assessed in the subsequent 2014 and 2018 survey waves. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate anemia, cognitive impairment, and mortality risk. We used restricted cubic splines to analyze and visualize the association between hemoglobin (Hb) levels and mortality risk.Results: A total of 801 (66.1%) deaths were identified during the 6-year follow-up. We noted a significant association between anemia and mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.32, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.14–1.54) after adjusting for confounding variables. We also observed a dose-response relationship between the severity of anemia and mortality (P < 0.001). In the restricted cubic spline models, Hb levels had a reverse J-shaped association with mortality risk (HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.84–0.93 per 10 g/L-increase in Hb levels below 130 g/L). The reverse J-shaped association persisted in individuals without cognitive impairment (HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.79–0.98 per 10 g/L-increase in Hb levels below 110 g/L). For people with cognitive impairment, Hb levels were inversely associated with mortality risk (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.78–0.89 per 10 g/L-increase in Hb levels below 150 g/L). People with anemia and cognitive impairment had the highest risk of mortality (HR 2.60, 95% CI 2.06–3.27).Conclusion: Our results indicate that anemia is associated with an increased risk of mortality in oldest-old people. Cognitive impairment modifies the association between Hb levels and mortality.


2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Natalie E Chichetto ◽  
Suman Kundu ◽  
Matt S Freiberg ◽  
Adeel A Butt ◽  
Stephen Crystal ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The prevalence and risk of concurrent unhealthy drinking, cigarette use, and depression on mortality among persons living with HIV (PLWH) is unclear. This study applied a syndemic framework to assess whether these co-occurring conditions increase mortality and whether such risk is differential by HIV status. Methods We evaluated 6721 participants (49.8% PLWH) without baseline cancer from the Veterans Aging Cohort Study, a prospective, observational cohort of PLWH and matched uninfected veterans enrolled in 2002 and followed through 2015. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regressions estimated risk of a syndemic score (number of conditions: that is, unhealthy drinking, cigarette use, and depressive symptoms) on all-cause mortality by HIV status, adjusting for demographic, health status, and HIV-related factors. Results Fewer than 10% of participants had no conditions; 25.6% had 1, 51.0% had 2, and 15.0% had all 3. There were 1747 deaths (61.9% PLWH) during the median follow-up (11.4 years). Overall, age-adjusted mortality rates/1000 person-years increased with a greater number of conditions: (0: 12.0; 1: 21.2; 2: 30.4; 3: 36.3). For 3 conditions, the adjusted hazard ratio of mortality was 36% higher among PLWH compared with uninfected participants with 3 conditions (95% confidence interval, 1.07–1.72; P = .013), after adjusting for health status and HIV disease progression. Among PLWH and uninfected participants, mortality risk persisted after adjustment for time-updated health status. Conclusions Syndemic unhealthy drinking, cigarette use, and depression are common and are associated with higher mortality risk among PLWH, underscoring the need to screen for and treat these conditions.


2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jalal Hejazi ◽  
Matin Ghanavati ◽  
Ehsan Hejazi ◽  
Hossein Poustchi ◽  
Sadaf G. Sepanlou ◽  
...  

Abstract Background and objectives Flavonoids are the most important group of polyphenols with well-known beneficial effects on health. However; the association of intake of total flavonoid or their subclasses with all-cause or cause-specific mortality is not fully understood. The present study aims to evaluate the association between intake of total flavonoid, flavonoid subclasses, and total and cause-specific mortality in a developing country. Methods A total number of 49,173 participants from the Golestan cohort study, who completed a validated food frequency questionnaire at recruitment, were followed from 2004 till 2018. Phenol-Explorer database was applied to estimate dietary intakes of total flavonoid and different flavonoid subclasses. Associations were examined using adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. Results During a mean follow-up of 10.63 years, 5104 deaths were reported. After adjusting for several potential confounders, the hazard ratios (HRs) of all-cause mortality for the highest versus the lowest quintile of dietary flavanones, flavones, isoflavonoids, and dihydrochalcones were 0.81 (95% confidence interval = 0.73–0.89), 0.83(0.76–0.92), 0.88(0.80–0.96) and 0.83(0.77–0.90), respectively. However, there was no association between total flavonoid intake or other flavonoid subclasses with all-cause mortality. In cause-specific mortality analyses, flavanones and flavones intakes were inversely associated with CVD mortality [HRs: 0.86(0.73–1.00) and 0.85(0.72–1.00)] and isoflavonoids and dihydrochalcones were the only flavonoid subclasses that showed a protective association against cancer mortality [HR: 0.82(0.68–0.98)]. Conclusion The results of our study suggest that certain subclasses of flavonoids can reduce all-cause mortality and mortality rate from CVD and cancer.


Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 129 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Kokkinos ◽  
Jonathan Myers ◽  
Charles Faselis ◽  
Xuemei Sui ◽  
Jiajia Zhang ◽  
...  

Introduction: Exercise capacity is inversely associated with mortality risk. However, there is no age-specific standardized exercise capacity threshold to guide clinical assessment of mortality risk. Hypothesis: We assessed the hypothesis that an age-specific standardized threshold can be defined based on maximal exercise capacity (METs) to assess mortality risk across age groups. Methods: Peak exercise capacity was assessed in 18,102 men (mean age: 58±11) at DC and Palo Alto CA VA Medical Centers. We stratified the cohort into four age-groups (<50; 50-59; 60-69; and ≥70 yrs of age). We applied Cox proportional hazards models with spline function of MET to define the MET level associated with no increase in mortality risk (hazard ratio (HR)=1.0). We formed five additional age-specific fitness categories based on METs achieved above and below this threshold (T1; n=3,705): T2=T1-2 METs (n=4,884); T3; T1->2 METs (n=1,692); T4=T1+2 METs (n=4,646); T5=T1+2-4 METs (n=1,874) and T6=T1+>4 METs (n=1,301). Results: The MET thresholds for the aforementioned age groups were identified as 8; 7; 6; and 5 METs, respectively. There were 5,103 deaths (median follow-up=10.8 yrs; 208,108 person-yrs). Cox proportional hazards analysis adjusted for age, cardiac risk factors, medications and muscle-wasting disease revealed 19% (HR=1.19; CI: 1.10-1.28) and 46% (HR=1.46; CI:1.33-1.60) higher all-cause mortality risk for those with exercise capacity 2 and >4 METs below the threshold, respectively. For those with an exercise capacity 2; 4 and >4 METs above the threshold, mortality risk was lower by 27% (HR= 0.73; CI:0.66-0.79), 35% (HR= 0.65; CI: 0.58-0.74), and 48% (HR=0.52; CI:0.45-0.62), respectively (p<0.001 for all comparisons). The trends for mortality risk were similar for each age category (Table). Conclusions: We identified an age-specific MET threshold for fitness-related clinical assessment of mortality risk in men.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 505-506
Author(s):  
Dominika Seblova ◽  
Kelly Peters ◽  
Susan Lapham ◽  
Laura Zahodne ◽  
Tara Gruenewald ◽  
...  

Abstract Having more years of education is independently associated with lower mortality, but it is unclear whether other attributes of schooling matter. We examined the association of high school quality and all-cause mortality across race/ethnicity. In 1960, about 5% of US high schools participated in Project Talent (PT), which collected information about students and their schools. Over 21,000 PT respondents were followed for mortality into their eighth decade of life using the National Death Index. A school quality factor, capturing term length, class size, and teacher qualifications, was used as the main predictor. First, we estimated overall and sex-stratified Cox proportional hazards models with standard errors clustered at the school level, adjusting for age, sex, composite measure of parental socioeconomic status, and 1960 cognitive ability. Second, we added an interaction between school quality and race/ethnicity. Among this diverse cohort (60% non-Hispanic Whites, 23% non-Hispanic Blacks, 7% Hispanics, 10% classified as another race/s) there were 3,476 deaths (16.5%). School quality was highest for Hispanic respondents and lowest for non-Hispanic Blacks. Non-Hispanic Blacks also had the highest mortality risk. In the whole sample, school quality was not associated with mortality risk. However, higher school quality was associated with lower mortality among those classified as another race/s (HR 0.75, 95% CI: 0.56-0.99). For non-Hispanic Blacks and Whites, the HR point estimates were unreliable, but suggest that higher school quality is associated with increased mortality. Future work will disentangle these differences in association of school quality across race/ethnicity and examine cause-specific mortality.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pei-Pei Zheng ◽  
Si-Min Yao ◽  
Di Guo ◽  
Ling-ling Cui ◽  
Guo-Bin Miao ◽  
...  

Background: The prevalence and prognostic value of heart failure (HF) stages among elderly hospitalized patients is unclear.Methods: We conducted a prospective, observational, multi-center, cohort study, including hospitalized patients with the sample size of 1,068; patients were age 65 years or more, able to cooperate with the assessment and to complete the echocardiogram. Two cardiologists classified all participants in various HF stages according to 2013 ACC/AHA HF staging guidelines. The outcome was rate of 1-year major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). The Kaplan–Meier method and Cox proportional hazards models were used for survival analyses. Survival classification and regression tree analysis were used to determine the optimal cutoff of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) to predict MACE.Results: Participants' mean age was 75.3 ± 6.88 years. Of them, 4.7% were healthy and without HF risk factors, 21.0% were stage A, 58.7% were stage B, and 15.6% were stage C/D. HF stages were associated with worsening 1-year survival without MACE (log-rank χ2 = 69.62, P &lt; 0.001). Deterioration from stage B to C/D was related to significant increases in HR (3.636, 95% CI, 2.174–6.098, P &lt; 0.001). Patients with NT-proBNP levels over 280.45 pg/mL in stage B (HR 2; 95% CI 1.112–3.597; P = 0.021) and 11,111.5 pg/ml in stage C/D (HR 2.603, 95% CI 1.014–6.682; P = 0.047) experienced a high incidence of MACE adjusted for age, sex, and glomerular filtration rate.Conclusions : HF stage B, rather than stage A, was most common in elderly inpatients. NT-proBNP may help predict MACE in stage B.Trial Registration: ChiCTR1800017204; 07/18/2018.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Wei-Lan Li ◽  
Nan-Hui Zhang ◽  
Shu-Wang Ge ◽  
Gang Xu

<b><i>Introduction:</i></b> High risk of early death, especially contributed to cardiovascular disease, exists in patients who have chronic kidney disease (CKD). And the burden of cardiovascular disease is able to be lightened by an increase in omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acid (omega-3 PUFA). A diet high in omega-3 PUFA in the general population is protective, although it is inconclusive about its beneficial role in the CKD population. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> From the 1999 to 2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES), we can collect 2,990 participants who suffered from CKD, who were classified into 4 groups: &#x3c;0.86, 0.87–1.30, 1.31–1.92, and 1.93–9.65 g/day based on NHANES 24-h dietary recall questionnaire dietary omega-3 PUFA. Moreover, their mortality details were available to be obtained by linking NHANES to the National Death Index. The associations between dietary omega-3 PUFA and mortality were evaluated by constructing multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. <b><i>Results:</i></b> Over 8 years of a median follow-up, 864 deaths were recorded. The adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for all-cause mortality of the diseased people with CKD in the 2nd (0.87–1.30 g/day), 3rd (0.87–1.30 g/day), and 4th (1.93–9.65 g/day) quartiles of dietary omega-3 PUFA were 0.94 (0.72, 1.23), 0.74 (0.54, 1.02), and 0.67 (0.48, 0.93), respectively, versus those with the lowest quartile of dietary omega-3 PUFA intake (&#x3c;0.86 g/day) (<i>p</i> for trend = 0.011). <b><i>Conclusion:</i></b> There may be a inverse relation of dietary omega-3 PUFA intake and all-cause mortality in patients with CKD. Therefore, an increase of dietary omega-3 PUFA may be encouraged to be used clinically in patients with CKD.


2020 ◽  
pp. annrheumdis-2020-217176 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhi-Hao Li ◽  
Xiang Gao ◽  
Vincent CH Chung ◽  
Wen-Fang Zhong ◽  
Qi Fu ◽  
...  

ObjectivesTo evaluate the associations of regular glucosamine use with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in a large prospective cohort.MethodsThis population-based prospective cohort study included 495 077 women and men (mean (SD) age, 56.6 (8.1) years) from the UK Biobank study. Participants were recruited from 2006 to 2010 and were followed up through 2018. We evaluated all-cause mortality and mortality due to cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, respiratory and digestive disease. HRs and 95% CIs for all-cause and cause-specific mortality were calculated using Cox proportional hazards models with adjustment for potential confounding variables.ResultsAt baseline, 19.1% of the participants reported regular use of glucosamine supplements. During a median follow-up of 8.9 years (IQR 8.3–9.7 years), 19 882 all-cause deaths were recorded, including 3802 CVD deaths, 8090 cancer deaths, 3380 respiratory disease deaths and 1061 digestive disease deaths. In multivariable adjusted analyses, the HRs associated with glucosamine use were 0.85 (95% CI 0.82 to 0.89) for all-cause mortality, 0.82 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.90) for CVD mortality, 0.94 (95% CI 0.88 to 0.99) for cancer mortality, 0.73 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.81) for respiratory mortality and 0.74 (95% CI 0.62 to 0.90) for digestive mortality. The inverse associations of glucosamine use with all-cause mortality seemed to be somewhat stronger among current than non-current smokers (p for interaction=0.00080).ConclusionsRegular glucosamine supplementation was associated with lower mortality due to all causes, cancer, CVD, respiratory and digestive diseases.


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S883-S883
Author(s):  
Leon Lenchik ◽  
Ryan Barnard ◽  
Robert D Boutin ◽  
Stephen B Kritchevsky ◽  
Ashley A Weaver ◽  
...  

Abstract The purpose was to examine the association of paraspinous muscle density (CT surrogate of myosteatosis) with all-cause mortality in 6803 men and 4558 women, age 60-69 years (mean age 63.6) in the National Lung Screening Trial. Our fully-automated machine learning algorithm: 1) selected the appropriate CT series, 2) chose a single CT image at the level of T12 vertebra, 3) segmented the left paraspinous muscle, and 4) recorded the muscle density in Hounsfield Units (HU). Association between baseline muscle density and all-cause mortality was determined using Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for age, race, body mass index, pack years of smoking, and presence of diabetes, lung disease, cardiovascular disease, and cancer at enrollment. After a mean 6.44 ± 1.06 years of follow-up, 635 (9.33%) men and 265 (5.81%) women died. In men, lower muscle density on baseline CT examinations was associated with increased all-cause mortality (HR per SD = 0.90; CI = 0.83, 0.99; p=0.03). Each standard deviation (7.8 HU) decrease in muscle density was associated with a 10% increase in mortality. In women, the association did not reach significance.


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