Abstract 58: Age-specific Exercise Capacity Threshold for All-cause Mortality Risk in Men

Introduction: Exercise capacity is inversely associated with mortality risk. However, there is no age-specific standardized exercise capacity threshold to guide clinical assessment of mortality risk. Hypothesis: We assessed the hypothesis that an age-specific standardized threshold can be defined based on maximal exercise capacity (METs) to assess mortality risk across age groups. Methods: Peak exercise capacity was assessed in 18,102 men (mean age: 58±11) at DC and Palo Alto CA VA Medical Centers. We stratified the cohort into four age-groups (<50; 50-59; 60-69; and ≥70 yrs of age). We applied Cox proportional hazards models with spline function of MET to define the MET level associated with no increase in mortality risk (hazard ratio (HR)=1.0). We formed five additional age-specific fitness categories based on METs achieved above and below this threshold (T1; n=3,705): T2=T1-2 METs (n=4,884); T3; T1->2 METs (n=1,692); T4=T1+2 METs (n=4,646); T5=T1+2-4 METs (n=1,874) and T6=T1+>4 METs (n=1,301). Results: The MET thresholds for the aforementioned age groups were identified as 8; 7; 6; and 5 METs, respectively. There were 5,103 deaths (median follow-up=10.8 yrs; 208,108 person-yrs). Cox proportional hazards analysis adjusted for age, cardiac risk factors, medications and muscle-wasting disease revealed 19% (HR=1.19; CI: 1.10-1.28) and 46% (HR=1.46; CI:1.33-1.60) higher all-cause mortality risk for those with exercise capacity 2 and >4 METs below the threshold, respectively. For those with an exercise capacity 2; 4 and >4 METs above the threshold, mortality risk was lower by 27% (HR= 0.73; CI:0.66-0.79), 35% (HR= 0.65; CI: 0.58-0.74), and 48% (HR=0.52; CI:0.45-0.62), respectively (p<0.001 for all comparisons). The trends for mortality risk were similar for each age category (Table). Conclusions: We identified an age-specific MET threshold for fitness-related clinical assessment of mortality risk in men.

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Eosinophil count and mortality risk in incident hemodialysis patients

Nephrology Dialysis Transplantation ◽

10.1093/ndt/gfz296 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 35 (6) ◽

pp. 1032-1042

Author(s):

Duk-Hee Kang ◽

Yuji Lee ◽

Carola Ellen Kleine ◽

Yong Kyu Lee ◽

Christina Park ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Mortality Risk ◽

Eosinophil Count ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Time Varying ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Lower Baseline ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Relationship Of ◽

The Relationship

Abstract Background Eosinophils are traditionally known as moderators of allergic reactions; however, they have now emerged as one of the principal immune-regulating cells as well as predictors of vascular disease and mortality in the general population. Although eosinophilia has been demonstrated in hemodialysis (HD) patients, associations of eosinophil count (EOC) and its changes with mortality in HD patients are still unknown. Methods In 107 506 incident HD patients treated by a large dialysis organization during 2007–11, we examined the relationships of baseline and time-varying EOC and its changes (ΔEOC) over the first 3 months with all-cause mortality using Cox proportional hazards models with three levels of hierarchical adjustment. Results Baseline median EOC was 231 (interquartile range 155–339) cells/μL and eosinophilia (>350 cells/μL) was observed in 23.4% of patients. There was a gradual increase in EOC over time after HD initiation with a median ΔEOC of 5.1 (IQR −53–199) cells/μL, which did not parallel the changes in white blood cell count. In fully adjusted models, mortality risk was highest in subjects with lower baseline and time-varying EOC (<100 cells/μL) and was also slightly higher in patients with higher levels (≥550 cells/μL), resulting in a reverse J-shaped relationship. The relationship of ΔEOC with all-cause mortality risk was also a reverse J-shape where both an increase and decrease exhibited a higher mortality risk. Conclusions Both lower and higher EOCs and changes in EOC over the first 3 months after HD initiation were associated with higher all-cause mortality in incident HD patients.

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Association of frailty with mortality in older inpatients with Covid-19: a cohort study

Age and Ageing ◽

10.1093/ageing/afaa184 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 49 (6) ◽

pp. 915-922 ◽

Cited By ~ 7

Author(s):

Darren Aw ◽

Lauren Woodrow ◽

Giulia Ogliari ◽

Rowan Harwood

Keyword(s):

Cohort Study ◽

Mortality Risk ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Illness Severity ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Acute Illness ◽

Clinical Frailty Scale ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Older Inpatients

Abstract Background COVID-19 has disproportionately affected older people. Objective The objective of this paper to investigate whether frailty is associated with all-cause mortality in older hospital inpatients, with COVID-19. Design Cohort study. Setting Secondary care acute hospital. Participants Participants included are 677 consecutive inpatients aged 65 years and over. Methods Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the association of frailty with mortality. Frailty was assessed at baseline, according to the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), where higher categories indicate worse frailty. Analyses were adjusted for age, sex, deprivation, ethnicity, previous admissions and acute illness severity. Results Six hundred and sixty-four patients were classified according to CFS. Two hundred and seventy-one died, during a mean follow-up of 34.3 days. Worse frailty at baseline was associated with increased mortality risk, even after full adjustment (P = 0.004). Patients with CFS 4 and CFS 5 had non-significant increased mortality risks, compared to those with CFS 1–3. Patients with CFS 6 had a 2.13-fold (95% CI 1.34–3.38) and those with CFS 7–9 had a 1.79-fold (95% CI 1.12–2.88) increased mortality risk, compared to those with CFS 1–3 (P = 0.001 and 0.016, respectively). Older age, male sex and acute illness severity were also associated with increased mortality risk. Conclusions Frailty is associated with all-cause mortality risk in older inpatients with COVID-19.

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Abstract 57: Increased Fitness Attenuates the Risk for Developing Atrial Fibrillation in African-Americans

Circulation ◽

10.1161/circ.129.suppl_1.57 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 129 (suppl_1) ◽

Author(s):

Charles Faselis ◽

Peter Kokkinos ◽

John Peter Kokkinos ◽

Apostolos Tsimploulis ◽

Fiorina Kyritsi ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Atrial Fibrillation ◽

African Americans ◽

Exercise Capacity ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Normal Sinus Rhythm ◽

Cardiac Risk ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Normal Sinus ◽

Metabolic Equivalents ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models

Introduction: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased mortality risk. Some studies indicate that endurance training may increase the rate of progression to AF. However, others dispute this notion. Furthermore, fitness status and atrial fibrillation in African-Americans has not been investigated. Methods: From 1986 to 2011, a total of 4,401 African-Americans with normal sinus rhythm (mean age 56±11) underwent a routine exercise tolerance testing at Veterans Affairs Medical Centers Washington DC. During a mean follow-up period of 8.0±4.7 years 361 (8.2%) developed AF. To assess the role of fitness status in the development of AF, we formed the following four fitness categories based on peak workload achieved (metabolic equivalents; METs): Least-Fit: ≤ 5METs (≤20%; n=531); Low-Fit: 5.5-7.2 METs (20.1%-50%; n=1,367); Moderate-Fit:7.3-9.0 METs (50.1%-80%; n=1,775); and High-Fit: >9 METs (>80%; n=728). Cox proportional hazards models were applied after adjusting for age, BMI, race, gender, CV disease, CV medications, and cardiac risk factors. P-values <0.05 using two sided tests were considered statistically significant. Results: The association between exercise capacity and the risk for developing AF was inverse and graded. For every 1-MET increase in exercise capacity the AF-risk was 25% lower (HR=0.75; CI: 0.71-0.81; p<0.001). When compared to the Least-Fit category, the risk for developing AF was 36% lower (HR=0.64; CI: 0.48-0.83; p=0.001) in Low-Fit; 66% (HR=0.44; CI: 0.33-0.60; p<0.001) in Moderate-Fit; and 76% (HR=0.24; CI: 0.14-0.40; p<0.001) in High-Fit individuals. Conclusions: Aerobic fitness is inversely and independently associated with lower risk for developing AF.

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High School Quality and 56-Year All-Cause Mortality Risk Across Race and Ethnicity

Innovation in Aging ◽

10.1093/geroni/igaa057.1632 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 4 (Supplement_1) ◽

pp. 505-506

Author(s):

Dominika Seblova ◽

Kelly Peters ◽

Susan Lapham ◽

Laura Zahodne ◽

Tara Gruenewald ◽

...

Keyword(s):

High School ◽

Mortality Risk ◽

Race And Ethnicity ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

School Quality ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

School Level ◽

Lower Mortality ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Race Ethnicity

Abstract Having more years of education is independently associated with lower mortality, but it is unclear whether other attributes of schooling matter. We examined the association of high school quality and all-cause mortality across race/ethnicity. In 1960, about 5% of US high schools participated in Project Talent (PT), which collected information about students and their schools. Over 21,000 PT respondents were followed for mortality into their eighth decade of life using the National Death Index. A school quality factor, capturing term length, class size, and teacher qualifications, was used as the main predictor. First, we estimated overall and sex-stratified Cox proportional hazards models with standard errors clustered at the school level, adjusting for age, sex, composite measure of parental socioeconomic status, and 1960 cognitive ability. Second, we added an interaction between school quality and race/ethnicity. Among this diverse cohort (60% non-Hispanic Whites, 23% non-Hispanic Blacks, 7% Hispanics, 10% classified as another race/s) there were 3,476 deaths (16.5%). School quality was highest for Hispanic respondents and lowest for non-Hispanic Blacks. Non-Hispanic Blacks also had the highest mortality risk. In the whole sample, school quality was not associated with mortality risk. However, higher school quality was associated with lower mortality among those classified as another race/s (HR 0.75, 95% CI: 0.56-0.99). For non-Hispanic Blacks and Whites, the HR point estimates were unreliable, but suggest that higher school quality is associated with increased mortality. Future work will disentangle these differences in association of school quality across race/ethnicity and examine cause-specific mortality.

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Dietary Omega-3 Fatty Acid Intake and Mortality in CKD Population: A 1999–2014 NHANES Analysis

American Journal of Nephrology ◽

10.1159/000520027 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. 1-10

Author(s):

Wei-Lan Li ◽

Nan-Hui Zhang ◽

Shu-Wang Ge ◽

Gang Xu

Keyword(s):

Cardiovascular Disease ◽

Fatty Acid ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Early Death ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Omega 3 ◽

Pufa Intake ◽

Dietary Recall ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

All Cause Mortality

Introduction: High risk of early death, especially contributed to cardiovascular disease, exists in patients who have chronic kidney disease (CKD). And the burden of cardiovascular disease is able to be lightened by an increase in omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acid (omega-3 PUFA). A diet high in omega-3 PUFA in the general population is protective, although it is inconclusive about its beneficial role in the CKD population. Methods: From the 1999 to 2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES), we can collect 2,990 participants who suffered from CKD, who were classified into 4 groups: <0.86, 0.87–1.30, 1.31–1.92, and 1.93–9.65 g/day based on NHANES 24-h dietary recall questionnaire dietary omega-3 PUFA. Moreover, their mortality details were available to be obtained by linking NHANES to the National Death Index. The associations between dietary omega-3 PUFA and mortality were evaluated by constructing multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. Results: Over 8 years of a median follow-up, 864 deaths were recorded. The adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for all-cause mortality of the diseased people with CKD in the 2nd (0.87–1.30 g/day), 3rd (0.87–1.30 g/day), and 4th (1.93–9.65 g/day) quartiles of dietary omega-3 PUFA were 0.94 (0.72, 1.23), 0.74 (0.54, 1.02), and 0.67 (0.48, 0.93), respectively, versus those with the lowest quartile of dietary omega-3 PUFA intake (<0.86 g/day) (p for trend = 0.011). Conclusion: There may be a inverse relation of dietary omega-3 PUFA intake and all-cause mortality in patients with CKD. Therefore, an increase of dietary omega-3 PUFA may be encouraged to be used clinically in patients with CKD.

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Abstract T MP48: Androgen Suppression in Patients with Prostate Cancer Increases Incidence of Combined Cardiovascular Outcomes

Stroke ◽

10.1161/str.46.suppl_1.tmp48 ◽

2015 ◽

Vol 46 (suppl_1) ◽

Author(s):

Zuber S Ali ◽

Danielle M Greere ◽

Robyn L Shearer ◽

Syed Ali Gardezi ◽

Arshad Jahangir

Keyword(s):

Prostate Cancer ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Age Groups ◽

The Elderly ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cardiovascular Outcomes ◽

Elevated Risk ◽

Disease Stage ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Androgen Suppression

Introduction: Androgen suppression therapy for prostate cancer is controversial due to adverse fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular outcomes reported in some studies. However, effects of androgen suppression on stroke have not been fully assessed in the elderly. Methods: Patients diagnosed with prostate cancer during 2007-2013 in a large community-based healthcare system were identified from the Cancer Registry, electronic records, and billing codes. Those who underwent androgen suppression therapy with Gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonist (GnRH) were propensity-matched to patients treated without androgen suppression therapy by age at cancer diagnosis, race/ethnicity, disease stage and outcome, body mass index and use of surgery, radiation, and chemotherapy. Tests of independence and Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine effects of hormone therapy on acute myocardial infarction (AMI), stroke, and mortality outcomes. Models also adjusted for patient comorbidities. Results: A total of 1282 patients and 641 matched-pairs were identified, with mean diagnosis age of 69 yr and follow-up period of 3.05 yr. Effects of androgen suppression therapy on AMI (P=0.051) and stroke (P=0.062) were of marginal to non-significance, but adjusted-odds of death and combined AMI, stroke, and death were 1.61 times (P=0.002; odds ratio [OR] 95% CI: 1.19-2.18) and 1.70 times (P<0.001; OR 95% CI: 1.26-2.28) greater, respectively, for men with than without androgen suppression. An interaction of androgen suppression and age-group (<65 yr, 65-74 yr, >74 yr) was discovered for combined outcomes, suggesting increased probability of AMI, stroke, and/or death with age (8.6-20.0%; P=0.003) for patients without androgen suppression but elevated risk of outcomes across all age groups (18.3-22.4%; P=0.546) for men treated with androgen suppression therapy. Conclusion: Endogenous androgen suppression presents elevated risk of combined cardiovascular and death outcomes, especially for men <65 yr.

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AUTOMATED MEASUREMENT OF MUSCLE DENSITY ON COMPUTED TOMOGRAPHY (CT) PREDICTS ALL-CAUSE MORTALITY IN OLDER ADULTS

Innovation in Aging ◽

10.1093/geroni/igz038.3234 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 3 (Supplement_1) ◽

pp. S883-S883

Author(s):

Leon Lenchik ◽

Ryan Barnard ◽

Robert D Boutin ◽

Stephen B Kritchevsky ◽

Ashley A Weaver ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Proportional Hazards ◽

Learning Algorithm ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Muscle Density ◽

National Lung Screening Trial ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Automated Machine Learning ◽

Lung Screening ◽

Paraspinous Muscle

Abstract The purpose was to examine the association of paraspinous muscle density (CT surrogate of myosteatosis) with all-cause mortality in 6803 men and 4558 women, age 60-69 years (mean age 63.6) in the National Lung Screening Trial. Our fully-automated machine learning algorithm: 1) selected the appropriate CT series, 2) chose a single CT image at the level of T12 vertebra, 3) segmented the left paraspinous muscle, and 4) recorded the muscle density in Hounsfield Units (HU). Association between baseline muscle density and all-cause mortality was determined using Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for age, race, body mass index, pack years of smoking, and presence of diabetes, lung disease, cardiovascular disease, and cancer at enrollment. After a mean 6.44 ± 1.06 years of follow-up, 635 (9.33%) men and 265 (5.81%) women died. In men, lower muscle density on baseline CT examinations was associated with increased all-cause mortality (HR per SD = 0.90; CI = 0.83, 0.99; p=0.03). Each standard deviation (7.8 HU) decrease in muscle density was associated with a 10% increase in mortality. In women, the association did not reach significance.

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Association of pulse pressure with all-cause mortality in young adults

Postgraduate Medical Journal ◽

10.1136/postgradmedj-2019-137070 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 96 (1138) ◽

pp. 461-466

Author(s):

Jie LI ◽

Jia-Yi Huang ◽

Kenneth Lo ◽

Bin Zhang ◽

Yu-Qing Huang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Young Adults ◽

Pulse Pressure ◽

Subgroup Analysis ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Continuous Variable ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Increased Risk ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Cox Analysis

BackgroundPulse blood pressure was significantly associated with all-cause mortality in middle-aged and elderly populations, but less evidence was known in young adults.ObjectiveTo assess the association of pulse pressure (PP) with all-cause mortality in young adults.MethodsThis cohort from the 1999–2006 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey included adults aged 18–40 years. All included participants were followed up until the date of death or 31 December 2015. PP was categorised into three groups: <50, 50~60, ≥60 mm Hg. Cox proportional hazards models and subgroup analysis were performed to estimate the adjusted HRs and 95% CIs for all-cause mortality.ResultsAfter applying the exclusion criteria, 8356 participants (median age 26.63±7.01 years, 4598 women (55.03%)) were included, of which 265 (3.17%) have died during a median follow-up duration of 152.96±30.45 months. When treating PP as a continuous variable, multivariate Cox analysis showed that PP was an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality (HR 1.94, 95% CI 1.02 to 3.69; p=0.0422). When using PP<50 mm Hg as referent, from the 50~60 mm Hg to the ≥60 mm Hg group, the risks of all-cause mortality for participants with PP ranging 50–60 mm Hg or ≥60 mm Hg were 0.93 (95% CI 0.42 to 2.04) and 1.15 (95% CI 0.32 to 4.07) (P for tend was 0.959). Subgroup analysis showed that PP (HR 2.00, 95% CI 1.05 to 3.82; p=0.0360) was associated with all-cause mortality among non-hypertensive participants.ConclusionAmong young adults, higher PP was significantly associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality, particularly among those without hypertension.

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Absence of Obesity Paradox in All-Cause Mortality Among Chinese Patients With an Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillator: A Multicenter Cohort Study

Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine ◽

10.3389/fcvm.2021.730368 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 8 ◽

Author(s):

Bin Zhou ◽

Xuerong Sun ◽

Na Yu ◽

Shuang Zhao ◽

Keping Chen ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillator ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Obesity Paradox ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Chinese Patients ◽

Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Cardioverter Defibrillator ◽

Kaplan Meier ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

All Cause Mortality

Background: The results of studies on the obesity paradox in all-cause mortality are inconsistent in patients equipped with an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD). There is a lack of relevant studies on Chinese populations with large sample size. This study aimed to investigate whether the obesity paradox in all-cause mortality is present among the Chinese population with an ICD.Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of multicenter data from the Study of Home Monitoring System Safety and Efficacy in Cardiac Implantable Electronic Device–implanted Patients (SUMMIT) registry in China. The outcome was all-cause mortality. The Kaplan–Meier curves, Cox proportional hazards models, and smooth curve fitting were used to investigate the association between body mass index (BMI) and all-cause mortality.Results: After inclusion and exclusion criteria, 970 patients with an ICD were enrolled. After a median follow-up of 5 years (interquartile, 4.1–6.0 years), in 213 (22.0%) patients occurred all-cause mortality. According to the Kaplan–Meier curves and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models, BMI had no significant impact on all-cause mortality, whether as a continuous variable or a categorical variable classified by various BMI categorization criteria. The fully adjusted smoothed curve fit showed a linear relationship between BMI and all-cause mortality (p-value of 0.14 for the non-linearity test), with the curve showing no statistically significant association between BMI and all-cause mortality [per 1 kg/m2 increase in BMI, hazard ratio (HR) 0.97, 95% CI 0.93–1.02, p = 0.2644].Conclusions: The obesity paradox in all-cause mortality was absent in the Chinese patients with an ICD. Prospective studies are needed to further explore this phenomenon.

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Association of Mid- to Late-Life Blood Pressure Patterns With Risk of Subsequent Coronary Heart Disease and Death

Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine ◽

10.3389/fcvm.2021.632514 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 8 ◽

Author(s):

Menghui Liu ◽

Shaozhao Zhang ◽

Xiaohong Chen ◽

Xiangbin Zhong ◽

Zhenyu Xiong ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Blood Pressure ◽

Coronary Heart Disease ◽

Heart Disease ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Late Life ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Significant Difference ◽

All Cause Mortality

Background: The elevated blood pressure (BP) at midlife or late-life is associated with cardiovascular disease and death. However, there is limited research on the association between the BP patterns from middle to old age and incident coronary heart disease (CHD) and death.Methods: A cohort of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study enrolled 9,829 participants who attended five in-person visits from 1987 to 2013. We determined the association of mid- to late-life BP patterns with incident CHD and all-cause mortality using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models.Results: During a median of 16.7 years of follow-up, 3,134 deaths and 1,060 CHD events occurred. Compared with participants with midlife normotension, the adjusted hazard ratio for all-cause mortality and CHD was 1.14 (95% CI, 1.04–1.25) and 1.28 (95% CI, 1.10–1.50) in those with midlife hypertension, respectively. In further analyses, compared with a pattern of sustained normotension from mid- to late-life, there was no significant difference for the risk of incident death (HR, 1.15; 95% CI, 0.96–1.37) and CHD (HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 0.99–1.80) in participants with a pattern of midlife normotension and late-life hypertension with effective BP control. A higher risks of death and CHD were found in those with pattern of mid- to late-life hypertension with effective BP control (all-cause mortality: HR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.08–1.43; CHD: HR, 1.65; 95% CI 1.30–2.09), pattern of midlife normotension and late-life hypertension with poor BP control (all-cause mortality: HR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.12–1.44; CHD: HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.23–1.92), and pattern of mid- to late-life hypertension with poor BP control (all-cause mortality: HR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.30–1.71; CHD: HR, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.48–2.37).Conclusions: The current findings underscore that the management of elderly hypertensive patients should not merely focus on the current BP status, but the middle-aged BP status. To achieve optimal reductions in the risk of CHD and death, it may be necessary to prevent, diagnose, and manage of hypertension throughout middle age.

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