Post-thyroidectomy bleeding: analysis of risk factors from a national registry

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
H E Doran ◽  
S M Wiseman ◽  
F F Palazzo ◽  
D Chadwick ◽  
S Aspinall
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Total Thyroidectomy ◽  
Thyroid Surgery ◽  
Multivariable Analysis ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Redo Surgery ◽  
Day Case ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Male Sex

Abstract Background Post-thyroidectomy haemorrhage occurs in 1–2 per cent of patients, one-quarter requiring bedside clot evacuation. Owing to the risk of life-threatening haemorrhage, previous British Association of Endocrine and Thyroid Surgeons (BAETS) guidance has been that day-case thyroidectomy could not be endorsed. This study aimed to review the best currently available UK data to evaluate a recent change in this recommendation. Methods The UK Registry of Endocrine and Thyroid Surgery was analysed to determine the incidence of and risk factors for post-thyroidectomy haemorrhage from 2004 to 2018. Results Reoperation for bleeding occurred in 1.2 per cent (449 of 39 014) of all thyroidectomies. In multivariable analysis male sex, increasing age, redo surgery, retrosternal goitre and total thyroidectomy were significantly correlated with an increased risk of reoperation for bleeding, and surgeon monthly thyroidectomy rate correlated with a decreased risk. Estimation of variation in bleeding risk from these predictors gave low pseudo-R2 values, suggesting that bleeding is unpredictable. Reoperation for bleeding occurred in 0.9 per cent (217 of 24 700) of hemithyroidectomies, with male sex, increasing age, decreasing surgeon volume and redo surgery being risk factors. The mortality rate following thyroidectomy was 0.1 per cent (23 of 38 740). In a multivariable model including reoperation for bleeding node dissection and age were significant risk factors for mortality. Conclusion The highest risk for bleeding occurred following total thyroidectomy in men, but overall bleeding was unpredictable. In hemithyroidectomy increasing surgeon thyroidectomy volume reduces bleeding risk. This analysis supports the revised BAETS recommendation to restrict day-case thyroid surgery to hemithyroidectomy performed by high-volume surgeons, with caution in the elderly, men, patients with retrosternal goitres, and those undergoing redo surgery.

scholarly journals Risk factors for post-thyroidectomy haemorrhage: a meta-analysis

2017 ◽  
Vol 176 (5) ◽  
pp. 591-602 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinhao Liu ◽  
Wei Sun ◽  
Wenwu Dong ◽  
Zhihong Wang ◽  
Ping Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Neck Dissection ◽  
Thyroid Surgery ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Older Age ◽  
Graves Disease ◽  
Malignant Tumours ◽  
Antithrombotic Agents ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Male Sex

BackgroundPost-thyroidectomy haemorrhage is a rare but potentially life-threatening and unpredictable complication of thyroid surgery. In this study, we analysed the potential risk factors for the occurrence of post-thyroidectomy haemorrhage.MethodsThe PubMed and SCIE databases were comprehensively searched for studies published before June 30, 2016. Studies on patients who underwent an open thyroidectomy with or without neck dissection were included, and RevMan 5.3 software was used to analyse the data.ResultsTwenty-five studies and 424 563 patients were included in this meta-analysis, and post-thyroidectomy haemorrhage occurred in 6277 patients (incidence rate = 1.48%). The following variables were associated with an increased risk of post-thyroidectomy haemorrhage: older age (MD = 4.30, 95% CI = 3.09–5.52,P < 0.00001), male sex (OR = 1.73, 95% CI = 1.54–1.94,P < 0.00001), Graves’ disease (OR = 1.76, 95% CI = 1.44–2.15,P < 0.00001), antithrombotic agents use (OR = 1.96, 95% CI 1.55–2.49,P < 0.00001), bilateral operation (OR = 1.71, 95% CI = 1.50–1.96,P < 0.00001), neck dissection (OR = 1.53, 95% CI = 1.11–2.11,P = 0.01) and previous thyroid surgery (OR = 1.62, 95% CI = 1.12–2.34,P = 0.01). Malignant tumours (OR = 1.07, 95% CI = 0.89–1.28,P = 0.46) and drainage device use (OR = 1.27, 95% CI = 0.74–2.18,P = 0.4) were not associated with post-thyroidectomy haemorrhage.ConclusionOur systematic review identified a number of risk factors for post-thyroidectomy haemorrhage, including older age, male sex, Graves’ disease, antithrombotic agents use, bilateral operation, neck dissection and previous thyroid surgery. Early control of modifiable risk factors could improve patient outcomes and satisfaction.

scholarly journals Influence of Tumor Thrombus on Occurrence of Distant Venous Thromboembolism and Survival in Patients With Renal Cell Carcinoma After Surgery

2019 ◽  
Vol 25 ◽  
pp. 107602961882328 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hyunkyung Park ◽  
Chang Wook Jeong ◽  
Hyeongdong Yuk ◽  
Ja Hyeon Ku ◽  
Hyeon Hoe Kim ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Renal Cell Carcinoma ◽  
Venous Thromboembolism ◽  
Cell Carcinoma ◽  
Renal Cell ◽  
Tumor Thrombus ◽  
Multivariable Analysis ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
The Impact

Tumor thrombus is a unique characteristic of renal cell carcinoma (RCC). However, only a few studies have reported its clinical influence on the occurrence of venous thromboembolism (VTE). This study aimed to clarify the influence of tumor thrombus and other risk factors for VTE and to elucidate the impact of tumor thrombus on survival outcomes. We retrospectively reviewed data from patients with RCC who underwent radical or partial nephrectomy from September 1999 to August 2015 at Seoul National University Hospital. A total of 2762 patients were enrolled. The 1- and 5-year cumulative incidences of VTE were 0.5% ± 0.1% and 1.5% ± 0.3%, respectively. During a median follow-up of 39.0 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 37.1-41.0 months), deep vein thrombosis occurred in 13 patients and pulmonary embolism in 15 patients. Patients with tumor thrombus (diagnosed by surgical pathology findings) had a significantly higher incidence of VTE than those without thrombus (odds radio 8.160, 95% CI, 1.480-45.004). Older age (≥60 years) and higher preoperative C-reactive protein (>0.5 mg/dL) were also significant risk factors for VTE. Additionally, tumor thrombus was independently associated with worse progression-free survival (PFS) but not with overall survival (OS) in multivariable analysis (hazard ratio [HR] 1.916, 95% CI, 1.295-2.834 for PFS; HR 1.164, 95% CI, 0.755-1.793 for OS). In conclusion, the incidence of VTE was relatively low in patients who underwent surgery for RCC. Nevertheless, patients with tumor thrombus had an increased risk of VTE and should be closely monitored for VTE.

scholarly journals The Association between ADHD and the Severity of COVID-19 Infection

2021 ◽  
pp. 108705472110036
Author(s):  
Eugene Merzon ◽  
Margaret D. Weiss ◽  
Samuele Cortese ◽  
Ann Rotem ◽  
Tzipporah Schneider ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Health Services ◽  
Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Dependent Variables ◽  
Male Sex ◽  
Analysis Models

Objective: Patients with ADHD are at increased risk of acquiring COVID-19. The present study assessed the possibility that ADHD also increases the risk of severe COVID-19 infection. Method: We assessed 1,870 COVID-19 positive patients, aged 5 to 60 years, registered in the database of Leumit Health Services (LHS, Israel), February to -June 2020, of whom 231 with ADHD. Logistic regression analysis models evaluated the association between ADHD and the dependent variables of being symptomatic/referral to hospitalization, controlling for demographic and medical variables. Results: Age, male sex, and BMI were confirmed to be significant risk factors for increased COVID-19 severity. ADHD was found to be associated with increased severity of COVID-19 symptoms ( OR = 1.81, 95% CI [1.29, 2.52], p < .05) and referral to hospitalization ( OR =1.93, 95% CI [1.06, 3.51], p = .03). Conclusion: ADHD is associated with poorer outcomes in COVID-19 infection.

Prevention of Recurrent Thrombotic Events in Children with Central Venous Catheter-Associated Venous Thrombosis

Blood ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Helen Havens Clark ◽  
Lance Ballester ◽  
Hilary B Whitworth ◽  
Leslie Raffini ◽  
Char Witmer
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Venous Catheter ◽  
Significant Risk Factor ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Secondary Prophylaxis ◽  
Central Venous ◽  
Full Dose ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Recurrent Vte

Central venous catheters (CVC) are the most significant risk factor for pediatric venous thromboembolism (VTE). After an index CVC-associated VTE (CVC-VTE), the role of secondary prophylaxis for subsequent CVC placement is uncertain. Aims of this single center retrospective study were to evaluate the efficacy of secondary prophylaxis for patients with a prior CVC-VTE and identify risk factors associated with recurrent VTE in patients less than 19 years with an index CVC-VTE between 2003 and 2013. Data collection included clinical and demographic factors, subsequent CVC placement, secondary prophylaxis strategy, recurrent VTE, and bleeding. Risk factors for recurrence and effectiveness of secondary prophylaxis were evaluated using survival and binomial models. Among 373 patients with an index CVC-VTE, 239 (64.1%) had subsequent CVC placement. 17.4% (65/373) of patients had recurrent VTE, 90.8% (59/65) were CVC-associated. On multivariable survival analysis, each additional CVC (HR 12.00; 95% CI 2.78 - 51.91), congenital heart disease (HR 3.70; 95% CI 1.97 - 6.95), and total parenteral nutrition dependence (HR 4.02; 95% CI 2.23 - 7.28) were associated with an increased hazard of recurrence. Full dose anticoagulation for secondary prophylaxis was associated with decreased odds of recurrent CVC-VTE (OR 0.35; 95% CI 0.19 - 0.65) but not prophylactic dosing (OR 0.61; 95% CI 0.28 - 1.30). Only 1.3% of CVCs experienced major bleeding with prophylactic or full dose anticoagulation. In summary, children with CVC-VTE are at increased risk for recurrent VTE. Secondary prophylaxis with full dose anticoagulation was associated with a 65% reduction in odds of thrombotic events.

scholarly journals Risk factors for surgical site infections and assessment of vancomycin powder as a preventive measure in patients undergoing first-time cranioplasty

2018 ◽  
Vol 128 (4) ◽  
pp. 1241-1249 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kingsley O. Abode-Iyamah ◽  
Hsiu-Yin Chiang ◽  
Nolan Winslow ◽  
Brian Park ◽  
Mario Zanaty ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Multivariable Analysis ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Preventive Measure ◽  
Surgical Site Infections ◽  
Smoking History ◽  
Prosthetic Implants ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Vancomycin Powder ◽  
First Time

OBJECTIVECraniectomy is often performed to decrease intracranial pressure following trauma and vascular injuries. The subsequent cranioplasty procedures may be complicated by surgical site infections (SSIs) due to prior trauma, foreign implants, and multiple surgeries through a common incision. Several studies have found that intrawound vancomycin powder (VP) is associated with decreased risk of SSIs after spine operations. However, no previously published study has evaluated the effectiveness of VP in cranioplasty procedures. The purpose of this study was to determine whether intrawound VP is associated with decreased risk of SSIs, to evaluate VP’s safety, and to identify risk factors for SSIs after cranioplasty among patients undergoing first-time cranioplasty.METHODSThe authors conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult patients undergoing first-time cranioplasty for indications other than infections from January 1, 2008, to July 31, 2014, at an academic health center. Data on demographics, possible risk factors for SSIs, and treatment with VP were collected from the patients’ electronic health records.RESULTSDuring the study period, 258 patients underwent first-time cranioplasties, and 15 (5.8%) of these patients acquired SSIs. Ninety-two patients (35.7%) received intrawound VP (VP group) and 166 (64.3%) did not (no-VP group). Patients in the VP group and the no-VP group were similar with respect to age, sex, smoking history, body mass index, and SSI rates (VP group 6.5%, no-VP group 5.4%, p = 0.72). Patients in the VP group were less likely than those in the no-VP group to have undergone craniectomy for tumors and were more likely to have an American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status score > 2. Intrawound VP was not associated with other postoperative complications. Risk factors for SSI from the bivariable analyses were diabetes (odds ratio [OR] 3.65, 95% CI 1.07–12.44), multiple craniotomy procedures before the cranioplasty (OR 4.39, 95% CI 1.47–13.18), prior same-side craniotomy (OR 4.73, 95% CI 1.57–14.24), and prosthetic implants (OR 4.51, 95% CI 1.40–14.59). The multivariable analysis identified prior same-side craniotomy (OR 3.37, 95% CI 1.06–10.79) and prosthetic implants (OR 3.93, 95% CI 1.15–13.40) as significant risk factors for SSIs. After adjusting for potential confounders, patients with SSIs were more likely than those without SSIs to be readmitted (OR 7.28, 95% CI 2.07–25.60).CONCLUSIONSIn this study, intrawound VP was not associated with a decreased risk of SSIs or with an increased risk of complications. Prior same-side craniotomy and prosthetic implants were risk factors for SSI after first-time cranioplasty.

scholarly journals Older age and diclofenac are associated with increased risk of upper gastrointestinal bleeding in gout patients

PeerJ ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. e11468
Author(s):  
Wan Syamimee Wan Ghazali ◽  
Wan Mohd Khairul Bin Wan Zainudin ◽  
Nurul Khaiza Yahya ◽  
Asmahan Mohamed Ismail ◽  
Kah Keng Wong
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Uric Acid ◽  
Gastrointestinal Bleeding ◽  
Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding ◽  
Gouty Arthritis ◽  
Multivariable Analysis ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Older Age ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Upper Gastrointestinal

Background Gouty arthritis is a disease of global burden in which defective metabolism of uric acid causes arthritis. Gouty arthritis or medications used for its treatment may lead to uric acid-associated complications such as upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) and renal impairment. Methods In this cross-sectional study with retrospective record review, 403 established gouty arthritis patients were recruited to determine the incidence of UGIB and associated factors among gout patients who were on regular nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs). Results The mean age of the 403 gouty arthritis patients was 55.7 years old and the majority (n = 359/403; 89.1%) were male. The incidence of UGIB among gouty arthritis patients who were on NSAIDs was 7.2% (n = 29/403). Older age (p < 0.001), diclofenac medication (p = 0.003), pantoprazole medication (p = 0.003), end-stage renal failure (ESRF) (p = 0.007), smoking (p = 0.035), hypertension (p = 0.042) and creatinine (p = 0.045) were significant risk factors for UGIB among the gouty arthritis patients in univariable analysis. Older age (p = 0.001) and diclofenac medication (p < 0.001) remained significant risk factors for UGIB among the gouty arthritis patients in multivariable analysis. Conclusions Age and diclofenac were significantly associated with UGIB among patients with gouty arthritis on regular NSAIDs, indicating that these factors increased the risks of developing UGIB in gout patients. Hence, these high-risk groups of gouty arthritis patients should be routinely monitored to avoid the potential onset of UGIB. Our data also suggest that diclofenac should be prescribed for the shortest duration possible to minimize the risk of developing UGIB in gout patients.

scholarly journals Risk factors for hospital readmission following complicated urinary tract infection

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tanya Babich ◽  
Noa Eliakim-Raz ◽  
Adi Turjeman ◽  
Miquel Pujol ◽  
Jordi Carratalà ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Urinary Tract Infection ◽  
Urinary Tract ◽  
Tract Infection ◽  
Medical Condition ◽  
Hospital Readmissions ◽  
Multivariable Analysis ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Complicated Urinary Tract Infection ◽  
Negative Influence

AbstractHospital readmissions following severe infections are a major economic burden on the health care system and have a negative influence on patients' quality of life. Understanding the risk factors for readmission, particularly the extent to which they could be prevented, is of a great importance. In this study we evaluated potentially preventable risk factors for 60-day readmission in patients surviving hospitalization for complicated urinary tract infection (cUTI). This was a multinational, multicentre retrospective cohort study conducted in Europe and the Middle East. Our cohort included survivors of hospitalization due to cUTI during the years 2013–2014. The primary outcome was 60-day readmission following index hospitalization. Patient characteristics that could have influenced readmission: demographics, infection presentation and management, microbiological and clinical data; were collected via computerized medical records from infection onset up to 60 days after hospital discharge. Overall, 742 patients were included. The cohort median age was 68 years (interquartile range, (IQR) 55–80) and 43.3% (321/742) of patients were males. The all-cause 60-day readmission rate was 20.1% (149/742) and more than half were readmitted for infection [57.1%, (80/140)]. Recurrent cUTI was the most frequent cause for readmission [46.4% (65/140)]. Statistically significant risk factors associated with 60-day readmission in multivariable analysis were: older age (odds ratio (OR) 1.02 for an one-year increment, confidence interval (CI) 1.005–1.03), diabetes mellitus (OR 1.63, 95% CI 1.04–2.55), cancer (OR 1.7, 95% CI 1.05–2.77), previous urinary tract infection (UTI) in the last year (OR 1.8, 95% CI: 1.14–2.83), insertion of an indwelling bladder catheter (OR 1.62, 95% CI 1.07–2.45) and insertion of percutaneous nephrostomy (OR 3.68, 95% CI 1.67–8.13). In conclusion, patients surviving hospitalization for cUTI are frequently re-hospitalized, mostly for recurrent urinary infections associated with a medical condition that necessitated urinary interventions. Interventions to avoid re-admissions should target these patients.

scholarly journals Potential relation of cardiovascular risk factors to disease activity in patients with axial spondyloarthritis

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
pp. 1759720X2110337
Author(s):  
Iván Ferraz-Amaro ◽  
Javier Rueda-Gotor ◽  
Fernanda Genre ◽  
Alfonso Corrales ◽  
Ricardo Blanco ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Factor ◽  
Ankylosing Spondylitis ◽  
Disease Activity ◽  
Axial Spondyloarthritis ◽  
Multivariable Analysis ◽  
Activity Score ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Activity Measurements ◽  
Beta Coefficient

Background: Axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) patients are known to have a higher prevalence of several comorbidities, including, among others, an increased risk of atherosclerosis, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and diabetes. The purpose of the present study was to determine whether the sum of traditional cardiovascular (CV) risk factors is related to disease characteristics, such as disease activity, in patients with axSpA. Methods: A cross-sectional study that encompassed 804 patients with axSpA was conducted. Patients were assessed for the presence of five traditional CV risk factors (diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, hypertension, obesity, and smoking status), and disease activity measurements. A multivariable regression analysis was performed to evaluate whether the number of classic CV risk factors was independently associated with specific features of the disease, to include disease activity. Results: A multivariable analysis showed that Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score–C reactive protein (ASDAS-CRP) activity score was significantly higher in patients with 1 [beta coefficient 0.3 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.1–0.5), p = 0.001] and ⩾2 [beta coefficient 0.5 (95% CI 0.3–0.7), p = 0.000] CV risk factors compared with those without CV risk factors. Similarly, patients with 1 [OR 2.00 (95%CI 0.99–4.02), p = 0.053] and ⩾2 [OR 3.39 (95%CI 1.82–6.31), p = 0.000] CV risk factors had a higher odds ratio for the presence of high disease activity compared with the zero CV category. The Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Index (BASDAI) activity score was significantly associated with the number of CV risk factors, being higher in patients with more CV risk factors. These relationships showed a CV risk factor-dependent effect being beta coefficients and ORs higher for the effect of ⩾2 over 1 CV risk factor. Conclusion: Among patients with axSpA, as the number of traditional CV risk factors increased, disease activity similarly increases in an independent manner.

Post-Bariatric Abdominoplasty: Analysis of 406 Cases With Focus on Risk Factors and Complications

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (1) ◽  
pp. 59-71 ◽  
Author(s):  
Torsten Schlosshauer ◽  
Marcus Kiehlmann ◽  
Diana Jung ◽  
Robert Sader ◽  
Ulrich M Rieger
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Wound Healing ◽  
Surgical Technique ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Level Of Evidence ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Potential Risk Factors ◽  
Wound Healing Problems ◽  
Bariatric Patients

Abstract Background Post-bariatric patients present a surgical challenge within abdominoplasty because of residual obesity and major comorbidities. In this study, we analyzed complications following abdominoplasty in post-bariatric patients and evaluated potential risk factors associated with these complications. Objectives The authors sought to determine the complications and risk factors following abdominoplasty in post-bariatric patients. Methods A retrospective study of patients who underwent abdominoplasty was performed from January 2009 to December 2018 at our institution. Variables analyzed were sex, age, body mass index (BMI), smoking, surgical technique, operative time, resection weight, drain output, and complications. Results A total of 406 patients were included in this study (320 female and 86 male) with a mean age of 44.4 years and a BMI of 30.6 kg/m2. Abdominoplasty techniques consisted of traditional (64.3%), fleur-de-lis technique (27.3%), and panniculectomy without umbilical displacement (8.4%). Overall complications recorded were 41.9%, the majority of these being wound-healing problems (32%). Minor and major complications were found in 29.1% and 12.8% of patients, respectively. A BMI value of ≥30 kg/m2 was associated with an increased risk for wound-healing problems (P = 0.001). The frequency of total complications was significantly related to age (P = 0.007), BMI (P = 0.004), and resection weight (P = 0.001). Abdominoplasty technique tended to influence total complications. Conclusions This study demonstrates in a fairly large sample of post-bariatric patients (n = 406) that abdominoplasty alone can be performed safely, with an acceptable complication rate. Age, BMI, and resection weight are shown to be significant risk factors for total complications. The role of surgical technique needs to be evaluated further. Level of Evidence: 4

scholarly journals COVID-19 mortality in the UK Biobank cohort: revisiting and evaluating risk factors

2021 ◽  
Vol 36 (3) ◽  
pp. 299-309 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joshua Elliott ◽  
Barbara Bodinier ◽  
Matthew Whitaker ◽  
Cyrille Delpierre ◽  
Roel Vermeulen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Body Mass Index ◽  
Vitamin D ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Oral Steroid ◽  
Uk Biobank ◽  
Steroid Use ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Male Sex

AbstractMost studies of severe/fatal COVID-19 risk have used routine/hospitalisation data without detailed pre-morbid characterisation. Using the community-based UK Biobank cohort, we investigate risk factors for COVID-19 mortality in comparison with non-COVID-19 mortality. We investigated demographic, social (education, income, housing, employment), lifestyle (smoking, drinking, body mass index), biological (lipids, cystatin C, vitamin D), medical (comorbidities, medications) and environmental (air pollution) data from UK Biobank (N = 473,550) in relation to 459 COVID-19 and 2626 non-COVID-19 deaths to 21 September 2020. We used univariate, multivariable and penalised regression models. Age (OR = 2.76 [2.18–3.49] per S.D. [8.1 years], p = 2.6 × 10–17), male sex (OR = 1.47 [1.26–1.73], p = 1.3 × 10–6) and Black versus White ethnicity (OR = 1.21 [1.12–1.29], p = 3.0 × 10–7) were independently associated with and jointly explanatory of (area under receiver operating characteristic curve, AUC = 0.79) increased risk of COVID-19 mortality. In multivariable regression, alongside demographic covariates, being a healthcare worker, current smoker, having cardiovascular disease, hypertension, diabetes, autoimmune disease, and oral steroid use at enrolment were independently associated with COVID-19 mortality. Penalised regression models selected income, cardiovascular disease, hypertension, diabetes, cystatin C, and oral steroid use as jointly contributing to COVID-19 mortality risk; Black ethnicity, hypertension and oral steroid use contributed to COVID-19 but not non-COVID-19 mortality. Age, male sex and Black ethnicity, as well as comorbidities and oral steroid use at enrolment were associated with increased risk of COVID-19 death. Our results suggest that previously reported associations of COVID-19 mortality with body mass index, low vitamin D, air pollutants, renin–angiotensin–aldosterone system inhibitors may be explained by the aforementioned factors.

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