scholarly journals Early elevation of FIB-4 liver fibrosis score is associated with adverse outcomes among patients with COVID-19

Author(s):  
Fangfei Xiang ◽  
Jing Sun ◽  
Po-Hung Chen ◽  
Peijin Han ◽  
Haipeng Zheng ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Limited prior data suggest that pre-existing liver disease was associated with adverse outcomes among patients with COVID-19. FIB-4 is a noninvasive index of readily available laboratory measurements that represents hepatic fibrosis. We sought to evaluate the association between FIB-4 at an early stage of infection and COVID-19 outcomes. Methods FIB-4 was evaluated at admission in a cohort of 267 patients admitted with early-stage COVID-19 confirmed through RT-PCR. Hazard of ventilator use and of high-flow oxygen was estimated using Cox regression models controlled for covariates. Risk of progress to severe cases and of death/prolonged hospitalization (>30 days) were estimated using logistic regression models controlled for same covariates. Results Forty-one (15%) patients progressed to severe cases, 36 (14%) required high-flow oxygen support, 10 (4%) required mechanical ventilator support, and 1 died. Patients with high FIB-4 score (>3.25) were more likely to be older with pre-existing conditions. FIB-4 between 1.45-3.25 was associated with over 5-fold (95% CI: 1.2-28) increased hazard of high-flow oxygen use, over 4-fold (95% CI: 1.5-14.6) increased odds of progress to severe stage, and over 3-fold (95% CI: 1.4-7.7) increased odds of death or prolonged hospitalization. FIB-4>3.25 was associated with over 12-fold (95% CI: 2.3-68. 7) increased hazard of high-flow oxygen use and over 11-fold (95% CI: 3.1-45) increased risk of progress to severe disease. All associations were independent of sex, number of comorbidities, and inflammatory markers (D-dimer, C-reactive protein). Conclusions FIB-4 at early-stage of COVID-19 had an independent and dose-dependent association with adverse outcomes during hospitalization. FIB-4 provided significant prognostic value to adverse outcomes among COVID-19 patients.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fangfei Xiang ◽  
Jing Sun ◽  
Po-Hung Chen ◽  
Peijin Han ◽  
Haipeng Zheng ◽  
...  

Background Limited prior data suggest that pre-existing liver disease was associated with adverse outcomes among patients with COVID-19. FIB-4 is a noninvasive index of readily available laboratory measurements that represents hepatic fibrosis. The association of FIB-4 with COVID-19 outcomes has not been previously evaluated. Methods FIB-4 was evaluated at admission in a cohort of 267 patients admitted with early-stage COVID-19 confirmed through RT-PCR. Hazard of ventilator use and of high-flow oxygen was estimated using Cox regression models controlled for covariates. Risk of progress to severe cases and of death/prolonged hospitalization (>30 days) were estimated using logistic regression models controlled for same covariates. Results Forty-one (15%) patients progressed to severe cases, 36 (14%) required high-flow oxygen support, 10 (4%) required mechanical ventilator support, and 1 died. Patients with high FIB-4 score (>3.25) were more likely to be older with pre-existing conditions. FIB-4 between 1.45-3.25 was associated with over 5-fold (95% CI: 1.2-28) increased hazard of high-flow oxygen use, over 4-fold (95% CI: 1.5-14.6) increased odds of progress to severe stage, and over 3-fold (95% CI: 1.4-7.7) increased odds of death or prolonged hospitalization. FIB-4>3.25 was associated with over 12-fold (95% CI: 2.3-68. 7) increased hazard of high-flow oxygen use and over 11-fold (95% CI: 3.1-45) increased risk of progress to severe disease. All associations were independent of sex, number of comorbidities, and inflammatory markers (D-dimer, C-reactive protein). Conclusions FIB-4 at early-stage of COVID-19 disease had an independent and dose-dependent association with adverse outcomes during hospitalization. FIB-4 provided significant prognostic value to adverse outcomes among COVID-19 patients.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. A346-A346
Author(s):  
Lisette Patricia Rodriguez ◽  
Vida Farhangi ◽  
Julaine Braham ◽  
Robert A Smith ◽  
Wilhelmine Wiese-Rometsch

Abstract Introduction: Evidence establishes that COVID-19 patients with DM2 are at increased risk for severe disease and worse outcomes. Peer reviewed data is sparse comparing glycemic control and clinical outcomes among COVID-19 patients with vs. without DM2, and thus we sought to address this gap. Methods: We selected patients at least 18 years old who expired or were discharged between March 16, 2020 through September 15, 2020. Principal analysis compared glycemic patterns among patients with DM2 vs. non-DM2. Median, coefficient of variation (CV), maximum and minimum glucose parameters were computed to characterize longitudinal glycemic patterns. Logistic regression modeling identified significant (p<.05) associations between composite outcome vs. glycemic parameters and putative risks for progression to severe COVID-19. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve identified cut points for glycemic parameters. Cox regression models were employed to control for significant confounders. Continuous data summarized as median was compared using Kruskal-Wallis test. Discrete data were compared with Pearson’s chi-square test. Two-tailed p<.05 was significant. Results: Among 494 patients, 157 (32%) had DM2 with no intergroup differences in age (68 [56–79]), sex (52% male, 48% female), or race (68% Caucasian, 19% Other, 13% African American). Insulin was administered to DM2 (93%) and non-DM2 (54%) patients (p<.0001). Comorbidities were more prevalent in DM2, including cardiovascular (68% vs. 54%, p=.003), renal (72% vs. 52%, p<.0001) and obesity (51% vs. 38%, p<.0001). Markers including D-dimer (0.98 [0.61–1.95] mg/L), lactate dehydrogenase (308 [230–392] U/L), ferritin (436 [174–856] ng/mL), and triglycerides (172 [109–239] mg/dL), were not different in DM2 vs. non-DM2 (p>.05). CRP was greater in patients with (8.6 [3.6–14.6]) vs. without (6.1 [2.0–12.6]) DM2 (p=.005). Baseline glucose in DM2 (163 [121–253] mg/dL) vs. non-DM2 (107 [96–124] mg/dL) was significantly greater, with former an independent predictor of composite outcome (p=.0005). Cox modeling of other glucose parameters in DM2 vs. non-DM2 demonstrated various impact regarding risk for composite outcome including median (155 [128–209], p=.46) vs. (103 [94–118], p=.09); coefficient of variation (28 [19–38], p=.08) vs. (15 [9–20], p=.002); maximum (252 [187–362], p=.0005) vs. (129 [110–156], p=.002); and minimum (99 [79–128], p=.95) vs. (89 [81–98], p=.02). The unified baseline glucose cut point for composite outcome risk controlled for significant covariates was 138 gm/dL (p<.0001), which included respectively 20% and 10% of patients with and without DM2. Conclusion: Glycemic dysregulation in COVID-19 patients is independently associated with ICU admission and/or hospital mortality. Presence of DM2 amplifies glycemic dysregulation, but risk stratification appears warranted in all COVID-19 patients.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria C. Magnus ◽  
Laura Oakley ◽  
Håkon K. Gjessing ◽  
Olof Stephansson ◽  
Hilde M. Engjom ◽  
...  

AbstractBackgroundStudies report that pregnant women with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are at increased risk of severe disease, intensive-care and death. Whether pregnant women in general are more susceptible of contracting severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is unclear.MethodsLinked registry-data on all women ages 15 to 45 living in Norway on March 1st, 2020 (N=1,033,699) were used in Cox regression models to estimate hazard ratios (HR) comparing pregnant to non-pregnant women, of having a positive test for SARS-CoV-2, a diagnosis of COVID-19 in specialist healthcare, or hospitalization with COVID-19, adjusting for age, marital status, education, income, country of birth and underlying medical conditions.ResultsCompared to non-pregnant women, pregnant women had a similar risk of a positive SARS-CoV-2 test (adjusted HR, 0.99; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.92 to 1.07), a higher risk of a COVID-19 diagnosis in specialist care (HR, 3.46; 95% CI, 2.89 to 4.14), and to be hospitalized (HR, 4.70; 95% CI, 3.51 to 6.30). Pregnant women were in general not more likely to be tested for SARS-CoV-2. Pregnant women born outside Scandinavia were less likely to be tested, but at higher risk of a positive test (HR, 2.37; 95% CI, 2.51 to 8.87) and of hospitalization with COVID-19 (HR, 4.72; 95% CI, 2.51 to 8.87) than pregnant Scandinavian born women.ConclusionPregnant women were not more likely to be infected with SARS-CoV-2. However, pregnant women with COVID-19, especially those born outside of Scandinavia, were more likely to receive specialist care and to be hospitalized.


Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Inder S Anand ◽  
Scott D Solomon ◽  
Brian Claggett ◽  
Sanjiv J Shah ◽  
Eileen O’Meara ◽  
...  

Background: Plasma natriuretic peptides (NP) are helpful in the diagnosis of heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and predict adverse outcomes. Levels of NP beyond a certain cut-off level are often used as inclusion criteria in clinical trials to ensure that the patients have HF, and to select patients at higher risk. Whether treatments have a differential effect on outcomes across the spectrum of NP levels is unclear. In the I-Preserve trial a benefit of irbesartan on all outcomes was only seen in HFpEF patients with low but not high NP levels. We hypothesized that in the Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist (TOPCAT) trial, spironolactone might have a greater benefit in patients with lower NP levels. Methods and Results: BNP (n=468) or NT-proBNP (n=400) levels were available at baseline in 868 patients with HFpEF enrolled in the natriuretic peptide stratum (BNP ≥100 pg/mL or an NT- proBNP ≥360 pg/mL) of the TOPCAT trial. In a multi-variable Cox regression model, that included age, gender, region (Americas vs. Russia/Georgia), atrial fibrillation, diabetes, eGFR, BMI and heart rate, higher BNP or NT-proBNP as a continuous, standardized log-transformed variable or grouped by terciles (see Figure for BNP & NT-proBNP tercile values) was independently associated with an increased risk of the primary endpoint of cardiovascular mortality, aborted cardiac arrest, or hospitalization for heart failure (Figure-1). There was a significant interaction between the effect of spironolactone and baseline BNP or NT-proBNP terciles for the primary outcome (P=0.02, Figure-2), with greater benefit of the drug in the lower compared to higher NP terciles. Conclusions: The benefit of spironolactone in lower risk HFpEF patients may indicate effects of the drug on early, but not late higher-risk stage of the disease. These findings question the strategy of using elevated NP as a patient selection criterion in HFpEF trials.


2021 ◽  
pp. oemed-2021-107764
Author(s):  
Kimmo Herttua ◽  
Linda Juel Ahrenfeldt ◽  
Tapio Paljarvi

ObjectiveTo investigate the risk of hospitalisation for major chronic diseases across representative transport, rescue and security industries.MethodsWe performed a register-based study of 624 571 workers from six industries in Denmark between 2000 and 2005, followed up hospitalisation for chronic diseases up to 17 years, and compared with a 20% random sample of the economically active population.ResultsHR from the Cox regression models showed that seafarers had higher risk of lung cancer (men: 1.54, 95% CI 1.31 to 1.81; women: 1.63, 95% CI 1.13 to 2.36), and male seafarers had higher risk of diabetes (1.32, 95% CI 1.21 to 1.43) and oral cancer (1.51, 95% CI 1.21 to 1.88). Men and women in land transport had increased risk of diabetes (men: 1.68, 95% CI 1.63 to 1.73; women 1.55, 95% CI 1.40 to 1.71) and chronic respiratory disease (men: 1.21, 95% CI 1.16 to 1.25; women 1.42, 95% CI 1.32 to 1.53). Among women, a higher risk of gastrointestinal cancer was observed in aviation (1.53, 95% CI 1.23 to 1.89) and police force (1.29, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.65), oral cancer in defence forces (1.83, 95% CI 1.20 to 2.79), and chronic respiratory disease in rescue service (1.47, 95% CI 1.21 to 1.77), while men in defence forces, police force and rescue service had mainly lower risk of these chronic diseases.ConclusionsWe observed considerable health disparities from chronic diseases across transport, rescue and security industries, with workers in seafaring and land transport generally bearing the greatest relative burden.


2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_G) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marrco Vitolo ◽  
Vincenzo Livio Malavasi ◽  
Marco Proietti ◽  
Igor Diemberger ◽  
Laurent Fauchier ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims Cardiac troponins (cTn) have been reported to be predictors for adverse outcomes in atrial fibrillation (AF), patients, but their actual use is still unclear. To assess the factors associated with cTn testing in routine clinical practice and to evaluate the association of elevated levels of cTn with adverse outcomes in a large contemporary cohort of European AF patients. Methods and results Patients enrolled in the ESC-EHRA EORP-AF General Long-Term Registry were stratified into three groups according to cTn levels as (i) cTn not tested, (ii) cTn in range (≤99th percentile), and (iii) cTn elevated (>99th percentile). The composite outcome of any thromboembolism/any acute coronary syndrome (ACS)/cardiovascular (CV) death, defined as major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and all-cause death were the main endpoints. 10 445 (94.1%) AF patients were included in this analysis [median age 71 years, interquartile range (IQR): 63–77; males 59.7%]. cTn were tested in 2834 (27.1%). Overall, cTn was elevated in 904 (8.7%) and in-range in 1930 (18.5%) patients. Patients in whom cTn was tested tended to be younger (P < 0.001) and more frequently presenting with first detected AF and atypical AF-related symptoms (i.e. chest pain, dyspnoea, or syncope) (P < 0.001). On multivariable logistic regression analysis, female sex, in-hospital enrollment, first-detected AF, CV risk factors, history of coronary artery disease (CAD), and atypical AF symptoms were independently associated with cTn testing. After a median follow-up of 730 days (IQR: 692–749), 957 (9.7%) composite endpoints occurred while all-cause death was 9.5%. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed a higher cumulative risk for both outcomes in patients with elevated cTn levels (Figure) (Log Rank tests, P < 0.001). On adjusted Cox regression analysis, elevated levels of cTn were independently associated with a higher risk for MACE [hazard ratio (HR): 1.74, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.40–2.16] and all-cause death (HR 1.45, 95% CI: 1.21–1.74). Elevated levels of cTn were independently associated with a higher occurrence of MACE, all-cause death, any ACS, CV death and hospital readmission even after the exclusion of patients with history of CAD, diagnosis of ACS at discharge, those who underwent coronary revascularization during the admission and/or who were treated with oral anticoagulants plus antiplatelet therapy. Conclusions Elevated cTn levels were independently associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality and adverse CV events, even after exclusion of CAD patients. Clinical factors that might enhance the need to rule out CAD were associated with cTn testing.


2020 ◽  
pp. postgradmedj-2019-137357
Author(s):  
Jiayi Huang ◽  
Lin Liu ◽  
Yu-Qing Huang ◽  
Kenneth Lo ◽  
Yu-Ling Yu ◽  
...  

BackgroundThe association between pulse pressure (PP) and the risk of first ischaemic stroke (IS) is inconsistent. Therefore, we evaluated the association between PP and the risk of first IS among elderly hypertensive population in China.MethodsThis was a retrospective cohort study. Patients with hypertension and aged ≥60 years were recruited. Multivariate Cox regression was performed to evaluate the association between PP and the risk of IS. We further stratified the regression models into subgroups and test for interaction to assess whether the associations were modified by other covariates.ResultsA total of 3315 patients with hypertension (44.49% male; mean age 71.41±7.20 years) were included, and 206 cases of IS occurred with a median follow-up of 5.5 years. The results showed that per SD mm Hg increment in PP was associated with a 17% (95% CI 1.05 to 1.40, p=0.0172) increased risk of IS. Moreover, the HR of IS for the highest quartile of PP was 1.46 (95% CI 1.18 to 1.73, p=0.0011, p for trend <0.001) comparing with the lowest quartile of PP. Subgroup analysis showed that population aged ≥70 years, male, patients with smoking or drinking habit, diabetes at baseline, being overweight, with uncontrolled blood pressure or did not take antihypertensive drugs have a higher risk for IS.ConclusionsWe found that PP was significantly associated with IS and was an independent risk factor for IS.


Thorax ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 75 (11) ◽  
pp. 928-933
Author(s):  
Daniel B Rasmussen ◽  
Uffe Bodtger ◽  
Morten Lamberts ◽  
Christian Torp-Pedersen ◽  
Gunnar Gislason ◽  
...  

IntroductionPatients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are undertreated with beta-blockers following myocardial infarction (MI), possibly due to fear for acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD). Is beta-blocker use associated with increased risk of AECOPD in patients following first-time MI?MethodsDanish nationwide study of patients with COPD following hospitalisation for MI from 2003 to 2015. Multivariable, time-dependent Cox regression accounting for varying beta-blocker use based on claimed prescriptions during up to 13 years of follow-up.ResultsA total of 10 884 patients with COPD were discharged after first-time MI. The 1-year rate of AECOPD was 35%, and 65% used beta-blockers at 1 year. Beta-blocker use was associated with a lower risk of AECOPD (multivariable-adjusted HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.74–0.83). This association was independent of the type of MI (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.59–0.83 in ST-elevation MI (STEMI) and HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.75–0.84 in non-STEMI), presence or absence of heart failure (HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.74–0.90 and HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.72–0.82, respectively), beta-blocker dosage and type, as well as exacerbation severity. Results were similar in 1118 patients with full data on COPD severity and symptom burden (median forced expiratory volume in 1 s as percentage of predicted was 46 and majority had moderate dyspnoea), and in 1358 patients with severe COPD and frequent AECOPD with a high 1-year rate of AECOPD of 70%.DiscussionBeta-blocker use was not associated with increased risk of AECOPD following MI. This finding was independent of COPD severity, symptom burden and exacerbation history, and supports the safety of beta-blockers in patients with COPD, including high-risk patients with severe disease.


Neurology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 94 (9) ◽  
pp. e968-e977 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicolas Raposo ◽  
Andreas Charidimou ◽  
Duangnapa Roongpiboonsopit ◽  
Michelle Onyekaba ◽  
M. Edip Gurol ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTo investigate whether acute convexity subarachnoid hemorrhage (cSAH) associated with acute lobar intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) increases the risk of ICH recurrence in patients with cerebral amyloid angiopathy (CAA).MethodsWe analyzed data from a prospective cohort of consecutive survivors of acute spontaneous lobar ICH fulfilling the Boston criteria for possible or probable CAA (CAA-ICH). We analyzed baseline clinical and MRI data, including cSAH (categorized as adjacent or remote from ICH on a standardized scale), cortical superficial siderosis (cSS), and other CAA MRI markers. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to assess the association between cSAH and recurrent symptomatic ICH during follow-up.ResultsWe included 261 CAA-ICH survivors (mean age 76.2 ± 8.7 years). Of them, 166 (63.6%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 57.7%–69.5%) had cSAH on baseline MRI. During a median follow-up of 28.3 (interquartile range 7.2–57.0) months, 54 (20.7%) patients experienced a recurrent lobar ICH. In Cox regression, any cSAH, adjacent cSAH, and remote cSAH were independent predictors of recurrent ICH after adjustment for other confounders, including cSS. Incidence rate of recurrent ICH in patients with cSAH was 9.9 per 100 person-years (95% CI 7.3–13.0) compared with 1.2 per 100 person-years (95% CI 0.3–3.2) in those without cSAH (adjusted hazard ratio 7.5, 95% CI 2.6–21.1).ConclusionIn patients with CAA-related acute ICH, cSAH (adjacent or remote from lobar ICH) is commonly observed and heralds an increased risk of recurrent ICH. cSAH may help stratify bleeding risk and should be assessed along with cSS for prognosis and clinical management.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nele Friedrich ◽  
Harald J. Schneider ◽  
Ulrich John ◽  
Marcus Dörr ◽  
Sebastian E. Baumeister ◽  
...  

Background. Abdominal obesity is a major risk factor of cardiovascular disease (CVD), type 2 diabetes (T2DM), and premature death. However, it has not been resolved which factors predispose for the development of these adverse obesity-related outcomes in otherwise healthy individuals with abdominal obesity.Methods. We studied 1,506 abdominal obese individuals (waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) ≥ 0.5) free of CVD or T2DM from the population-based Study of Health in Pomerania and assessed the incidence of CVD or T2DM after a five-year followup. Logistic regression models were adjusted for major cardiovascular risk factors and liver, kidney diseases, and sociodemographic status.Results. During follow-up time, we observed 114 and 136 new T2DM and CVD cases, respectively. Regression models identified age, waist circumference, serum glucose, and liver disease as predictors of T2DM. Regarding CVD, only age, unemployment, and a divorced or widowed marital status were significantly associated with incident CVD. In this subgroup of obese individuals blood pressure, serum glucose, or lipids did not influence incidence of T2DM or CVD.Conclusion. We identified various factors associated with an increased risk of incident T2DM and CVD among abdominally obese individuals. These findings may improve the detection of high-risk individuals and help to advance prevention strategies in abdominal obesity.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document