scholarly journals Physiological consequences of rising water salinity for a declining freshwater turtle

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mickey Agha ◽  
Yuzo R Yanagitsuru ◽  
Nann A Fangue ◽  
A Justin Nowakowski ◽  
Laura V Kojima ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Plasma Osmolality ◽  
Water Diversion ◽  
Freshwater Turtle ◽  
Freshwater Species ◽  
Freshwater Turtles ◽  
Elevated Salinity ◽  
Western Pond Turtle

Abstract Sea-level rise, drought and water diversion can all lead to rapid salinization of freshwater habitats, especially in coastal areas. Increased water salinities can in turn alter the geographic distribution and ecology of freshwater species including turtles. The physiological consequences of salinization for freshwater turtles, however, are poorly known. Here, we compared the osmoregulatory response of two geographically separate populations of the freshwater Western Pond Turtle (Actinemys marmorata)—a species declining across its range in western North America—to three constant salinities: 0.4 ppt, 10 ppt and 15 ppt over 2 weeks. We found that turtles from a coastal estuarine marsh population regulated their plasma osmolality at lower levels than their conspecifics from an inland freshwater creek population 45 km away. Plasma osmolalities were consistently lower in estuarine marsh turtles than the freshwater creek turtles over the entire 2-week exposure to 10 ppt and 15 ppt water. Furthermore, estuarine marsh turtles maintained plasma osmolalities within 1 SD of their mean field osmolalities over the 2-week exposure, whereas freshwater creek turtles exceeded their field values within the first few days after exposure to elevated salinities. However, individuals from both populations exhibited body mass loss in 15 ppt water, with significantly greater loss in estuarine turtles. We speculate that the greater ability to osmoregulate by the estuarine marsh turtles may be explained by their reduced feeding and drinking in elevated salinities that was not exhibited by the freshwater creek population. However, due to mass loss in both populations, physiological and behavioural responses exhibited by estuarine marsh turtles may only be effective adaptations for short-term exposures to elevated salinities, such as those from tides and when traversing saline habitats, and are unlikely to be effective for long-term exposure to elevated salinity as is expected under sea-level rise.

Salinity tolerances and use of saline environments by freshwater turtles: implications of sea level rise

2018 ◽  
Vol 93 (3) ◽  
pp. 1634-1648 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mickey Agha ◽  
Joshua R. Ennen ◽  
Deborah S. Bower ◽  
A. Justin Nowakowski ◽  
Sarah C. Sweat ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Freshwater Turtles ◽  
Saline Environments

scholarly journals Decadal-scale onset and termination of Antarctic ice-mass loss during the last deglaciation

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael E. Weber ◽  
Nicholas R. Golledge ◽  
Chris J. Fogwill ◽  
Chris S. M. Turney ◽  
Zoë A. Thomas
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ross Sea ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Rate Of Change ◽  
Last Deglaciation ◽  
Decadal Scale ◽  
Ice Sheet Modeling ◽  
Global Sea Level

AbstractEmerging ice-sheet modeling suggests once initiated, retreat of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) can continue for centuries. Unfortunately, the short observational record cannot resolve the tipping points, rate of change, and timescale of responses. Iceberg-rafted debris data from Iceberg Alley identify eight retreat phases after the Last Glacial Maximum that each destabilized the AIS within a decade, contributing to global sea-level rise for centuries to a millennium, which subsequently re-stabilized equally rapidly. This dynamic response of the AIS is supported by (i) a West Antarctic blue ice record of ice-elevation drawdown >600 m during three such retreat events related to globally recognized deglacial meltwater pulses, (ii) step-wise retreat up to 400 km across the Ross Sea shelf, (iii) independent ice sheet modeling, and (iv) tipping point analysis. Our findings are consistent with a growing body of evidence suggesting the recent acceleration of AIS mass loss may mark the beginning of a prolonged period of ice sheet retreat and substantial global sea level rise.

scholarly journals Sea-level change in the Dutch Wadden Sea

2018 ◽  
Vol 97 (3) ◽  
pp. 79-127 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bert L.A. Vermeersen ◽  
Aimée B.A. Slangen ◽  
Theo Gerkema ◽  
Fedor Baart ◽  
Kim M. Cohen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Mass Loss ◽  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
21St Century ◽  
Wadden Sea ◽  
Recent Literature ◽  
Ghg Emissions ◽  
Sea Level Change ◽  
Level Change

AbstractRising sea levels due to climate change can have severe consequences for coastal populations and ecosystems all around the world. Understanding and projecting sea-level rise is especially important for low-lying countries such as the Netherlands. It is of specific interest for vulnerable ecological and morphodynamic regions, such as the Wadden Sea UNESCO World Heritage region.Here we provide an overview of sea-level projections for the 21st century for the Wadden Sea region and a condensed review of the scientific data, understanding and uncertainties underpinning the projections. The sea-level projections are formulated in the framework of the geological history of the Wadden Sea region and are based on the regional sea-level projections published in the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR5). These IPCC AR5 projections are compared against updates derived from more recent literature and evaluated for the Wadden Sea region. The projections are further put into perspective by including interannual variability based on long-term tide-gauge records from observing stations at Den Helder and Delfzijl.We consider three climate scenarios, following the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), as defined in IPCC AR5: the RCP2.6 scenario assumes that greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions decline after 2020; the RCP4.5 scenario assumes that GHG emissions peak at 2040 and decline thereafter; and the RCP8.5 scenario represents a continued rise of GHG emissions throughout the 21st century. For RCP8.5, we also evaluate several scenarios from recent literature where the mass loss in Antarctica accelerates at rates exceeding those presented in IPCC AR5.For the Dutch Wadden Sea, the IPCC AR5-based projected sea-level rise is 0.07±0.06m for the RCP4.5 scenario for the period 2018–30 (uncertainties representing 5–95%), with the RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 scenarios projecting 0.01m less and more, respectively. The projected rates of sea-level change in 2030 range between 2.6mma−1for the 5th percentile of the RCP2.6 scenario to 9.1mma−1for the 95th percentile of the RCP8.5 scenario. For the period 2018–50, the differences between the scenarios increase, with projected changes of 0.16±0.12m for RCP2.6, 0.19±0.11m for RCP4.5 and 0.23±0.12m for RCP8.5. The accompanying rates of change range between 2.3 and 12.4mma−1in 2050. The differences between the scenarios amplify for the 2018–2100 period, with projected total changes of 0.41±0.25m for RCP2.6, 0.52±0.27m for RCP4.5 and 0.76±0.36m for RCP8.5. The projections for the RCP8.5 scenario are larger than the high-end projections presented in the 2008 Delta Commission Report (0.74m for 1990–2100) when the differences in time period are considered. The sea-level change rates range from 2.2 to 18.3mma−1for the year 2100.We also assess the effect of accelerated ice mass loss on the sea-level projections under the RCP8.5 scenario, as recent literature suggests that there may be a larger contribution from Antarctica than presented in IPCC AR5 (potentially exceeding 1m in 2100). Changes in episodic extreme events, such as storm surges, and periodic (tidal) contributions on (sub-)daily timescales, have not been included in these sea-level projections. However, the potential impacts of these processes on sea-level change rates have been assessed in the report.

Ecological and physiological impacts of salinisation on freshwater turtles of the lower Murray River

2012 ◽  
Vol 39 (8) ◽  
pp. 705 ◽  
Author(s):  
Deborah S. Bower ◽  
Clare E. Death ◽  
Arthur Georges
Keyword(s):  
Saline Lake ◽  
South Australia ◽  
Freshwater Turtle ◽  
Plasma Sodium ◽  
Freshwater Species ◽  
Freshwater Turtles ◽  
Brackish Lake ◽  
Ecological Processes ◽  
Murray River ◽  
Chelodina Longicollis

Context The increasing intensity and extent of anthropogenically mediated salinisation in freshwater systems has the potential to affect freshwater species through physiological and ecological processes. Determining responses to salinisation is critical to predicting impacts on fauna. Aims We aimed to quantify the response of wild-caught turtles from freshwater lakes that had become saline in the lower Murray River catchment. Methods Plasma electrolytes of all three species of freshwater turtle from South Australia were compared among two freshwater sites (Horseshoe Lagoon and Swan Reach), a brackish lake (Lake Bonney) and a saline lake (Lake Alexandrina). Key results Chelodina longicollis, C. expansa and Emydura macquarii from a brackish lake had higher concentrations of plasma sodium and chloride than those from freshwater habitats. However, osmolytes known to increase under severe osmotic stress (urea and uric acid) were not elevated in brackish sites. Turtles from the highly saline lake were colonised by an invasive marine worm which encased the carapace and inhibited limb movement. Conclusions Freshwater turtles in brackish backwaters had little response to salinity, whereas the C. longicollis in a saline lake had a significant physiological response caused by salt and further impacts from colonisation of marine worms. Implications Short periods of high salinity are unlikely to adversely affect freshwater turtles. However, secondary ecological processes, such as immobilisation from a marine worm may cause unexpected impacts on freshwater fauna.

scholarly journals Probabilistic calibration of a Greenland Ice Sheet model using spatially resolved synthetic observations: toward projections of ice mass loss with uncertainties

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (5) ◽  
pp. 1933-1943 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Chang ◽  
P. J. Applegate ◽  
M. Haran ◽  
K. Keller
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Data Model ◽  
Spatial Information ◽  
Full Range ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Parametric Uncertainty ◽  
Model Parameters

Abstract. Computer models of ice sheet behavior are important tools for projecting future sea level rise. The simulated modern ice sheets generated by these models differ markedly as input parameters are varied. To ensure accurate ice sheet mass loss projections, these parameters must be constrained using observational data. Which model parameter combinations make sense, given observations? Our method assigns probabilities to parameter combinations based on how well the model reproduces the Greenland Ice Sheet profile. We improve on the previous state of the art by accounting for spatial information and by carefully sampling the full range of realistic parameter combinations, using statistically rigorous methods. Specifically, we estimate the joint posterior probability density function of model parameters using Gaussian process-based emulation and calibration. This method is an important step toward calibrated probabilistic projections of ice sheet contributions to sea level rise, in that it uses data–model fusion to learn about parameter values. This information can, in turn, be used to make projections while taking into account various sources of uncertainty, including parametric uncertainty, data–model discrepancy, and spatial correlation in the error structure. We demonstrate the utility of our method using a perfect model experiment, which shows that many different parameter combinations can generate similar modern ice sheet profiles. This result suggests that the large divergence of projections from different ice sheet models is partly due to parametric uncertainty. Moreover, our method enables insight into ice sheet processes represented by parameter interactions in the model.

scholarly journals Sea-level rise due to polar ice-sheet mass loss during past warm periods

Science ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 349 (6244) ◽  
pp. aaa4019-aaa4019 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Dutton ◽  
A. E. Carlson ◽  
A. J. Long ◽  
G. A. Milne ◽  
P. U. Clark ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Polar Ice

scholarly journals Multi-year surface velocities and sea-level rise contribution of the Basin-3 and Basin-2 surges, Austfonna, Svalbard

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Schellenberger ◽  
Thorben Dunse ◽  
Andreas Kääb ◽  
Thomas Vikhamar Schuler ◽  
Jon Ove Hagen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Maximum Velocity ◽  
Surface Velocity ◽  
Published Data ◽  
Ice Cap ◽  
Total Mass Loss ◽  
Speed Up ◽  
Frontal Ablation

Abstract. Basin-3, the largest outlet basin of the Austfonna ice cap, started to surge in autumn 2012. A maximum velocity of 18.8 m d-1 was found in December 2012 / January 2013. Here we present a time series of area wide velocity fields from synthetic aperture radar (SAR) offset tracking and Global Positioning System (GPS) data in the aftermath of the velocity maximum, extending the previously published data from May 2013 to July 2016. We find that terminus velocity slowed down by ~ 50 % until spring 2014, whereas the upper parts of the basin continued to speed-up and reached their maximum only in summer 2014. Until the date of writing (July 2016), Basin-3 maintained high velocity with maxima between 8.9–11.4 m d-1. Summer speed-ups were superimposed even on the otherwise fast surge motion. The total frontal ablation Af over the period 19 April 2012 to 26 July 2016 was calculated to 22.2 ± 8.1 Gt (5.2 ± 1.9 Gt yr-1) from the ice mass flux qfg = 33.2 ± 11.5 Gt (7.8 ± 2.7 Gt yr-1) and the terminus mass change qt = 11.0 ± 3.4 Gt (2.6 ± 0.8 Gt yr-1). Additional advance of the terminus led to a total sea-level rise equivalent of 31.3 ± 11.2 Gt (7.3 ± 2.6 Gt yr-1). This rate of frontal ablation roughly equals previous estimates of both the calving flux and total mass loss from the entire archipelago, resulting in a doubling of the current ice-mass loss from Svalbard. In vicinity of Basin-3, we also observe a terminus advance and a speed-up of the northern part of Basin-2 starting in autumn 2014, with surface velocity reaching 8.71 m d-1 in August 2015. The related ice mass loss of Basin-2 between 20 June 2015 and 26 July 2016 amounts to 0.8 Gt (min: 0.3 Gt, max: 1.6 Gt). Accounting also for the replacement of ocean water, we find a total sea-level rise equivalent of 1.1 Gt (min: 0.5 Gt, max: 2.1 Gt).

scholarly journals Glacier dynamics over the last quarter of a century at Jakobshavn Isbræ

2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 4865-4892
Author(s):  
I. S. Muresan ◽  
S. A. Khan ◽  
A. Aschwanden ◽  
C. Khroulev ◽  
T. Van Dam ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
21St Century ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Outlet Glacier ◽  
The Past ◽  
Glacier Dynamics ◽  
The Future ◽  
Oceanic Forcing

Abstract. Observations over the past two decades show substantial ice loss associated with the speedup of marine terminating glaciers in Greenland. Here we use a regional 3-D outlet glacier model to simulate the behaviour of Jakobshavn Isbræ (JI) located in west Greenland. Using atmospheric and oceanic forcing we tune our model to reproduce the observed frontal changes of JI during 1990–2014. We identify two major accelerations. The first occurs in 1998, and is triggered by moderate thinning prior to 1998. The second acceleration, which starts in 2003 and peaks in summer 2004, is triggered by the final breakup of the floating tongue, which generates a reduction in buttressing at the JI terminus. This results in further thinning, and as the slope steepens inland, sustained high velocities have been observed at JI over the last decade. As opposed to other regions on the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS), where dynamically induced mass loss has slowed down over recent years, both modelled and observed results for JI suggest a continuation of the acceleration in mass loss. Further, we find that our model is not able to capture the 2012 peak in the observed velocities. Our analysis suggests that the 2012 acceleration of JI is likely the result of an exceptionally long melt season dominated by extreme melt events. Considering that such extreme surface melt events are expected to intensify in the future, our findings suggest that the 21st century projections of the GrIS mass loss and the future sea level rise may be larger than predicted by existing modelling results.

scholarly journals The GRISLI-LSCE contribution to the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (ISMIP6) – Part 1: Projections of the Greenland ice sheet evolution by the end of the 21st century

2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 1015-1030 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aurélien Quiquet ◽  
Christophe Dumas
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Model Intercomparison ◽  
The Future ◽  
Intercomparison Project ◽  
Global Sea Level

Abstract. Polar amplification will result in amplified temperature changes in the Arctic with respect to the rest of the globe, making the Greenland ice sheet particularly vulnerable to global warming. While the ice sheet has been showing an increased mass loss in the past decades, its contribution to global sea level rise in the future is of primary importance since it is at present the largest single-source contribution after the thermosteric contribution. The question of the fate of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets for the next century has recently gathered various ice sheet models in a common framework within the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project – phase 6 (ISMIP6). While in a companion paper we present the GRISLI-LSCE (Grenoble Ice Sheet and Land Ice model of the Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement) contribution to ISMIP6-Antarctica, we present here the GRISLI-LSCE contribution to ISMIP6-Greenland. We show an important spread in the simulated Greenland ice loss in the future depending on the climate forcing used. The contribution of the ice sheet to global sea level rise in 2100 can thus be from as low as 20 mm sea level equivalent (SLE) to as high as 160 mm SLE. Amongst the models tested in ISMIP6, the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project – phase 6 (CMIP6) models produce larger ice sheet retreat than their CMIP5 counterparts. Low-emission scenarios in the future drastically reduce the ice mass loss. The oceanic forcing contributes to about 10 mm SLE in 2100 in our simulations. In addition, the dynamical contribution to ice thickness change is small compared to the impact of surface mass balance. This suggests that mass loss is mostly driven by atmospheric warming and associated ablation at the ice sheet margin. With additional sensitivity experiments we also show that the spread in mass loss is only weakly affected by the choice of the ice sheet model mechanical parameters.

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