scholarly journals Predictors of adverse prognosis in patients with infective endocarditis in a surgical referral center

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
V Scheggi ◽  
I Olivotto ◽  
N Ceschia ◽  
I Merilli ◽  
V Andrei ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Despite optimal medical and surgical treatment, mortality in infective endocarditis (IE) remains high. Aim of this study was to identify predictors of long term mortality for any cause, adverse event rate, relapse rate and valvular dysfunction at follow-up, in a high-volume surgical center. Methods We retrospectively analyzed 358 consecutive patients (127 women) admitted to our department with definite diagnosis of IE not device-related. IE occurred on native valves in 224 patients (63%); the infection involved the aortic valve in 192 (54%), mitral valve in 139 (39%) and tricuspid valve in 26 (7%). Overall 285 (80%) patients underwent surgery and 73 (20%) were treated conservatively, 38 due to absence of surgical indication and 35 due to refusal or prohibitive surgical risk. Long-term follow-up was obtained by structured telephone interviews. Primary endpoints were all-cause mortality, freedom from recurrent endocarditis, postoperative incidence of major adverse events (hospitalization for any cause, pace-maker implantation, new onset of atrial fibrillation, sternal dehiscence), worsening of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and valvular dysfunction. Results Mean age was 65 years (SD 15.2). Mean vegetation length was 8.9 mm (SD 7.6). Endocarditis was left-sided in 332 (93%). Average follow-up was 6 months. At univariable analysis, mortality was associated with female gender (p=0.031), age (p<0.001), higher EuroSCORE 2 (p<0.001), chronic renal failure (p<0.001), diabetes (p=0.002), brain embolism on presentation (p=0.05), double valve infection (p=0.008), low ejection fraction (p<0.001), paravalvular extension (p=0.031), prosthetic infection (p=0.018), exclusion from surgery if indicated (p<0.001), high procalcitonin levels (p=0.035); factors associated with a significantly lower mortality were streptococcal infection (p=0.04; OR 0.34) and early surgery (p=0.009, OR 0.55). At multivariable analysis independent predictors of all-cause mortality were lower EF, EuroSCORE2, procalcitonin levels and diabetes. Non-fatal adverse events were associated with renal failure (p 0.035, OR 2.8). Relapse rate was associated with S aureus infection (p=0.005, OR 3.8), right-sided endocarditis (p<0.001, OR 6.7) and drug abuse (p<0.001, OR 9.4). Conclusions The present study shows that low EF, EuroSCORE2, procalcitonin levels and diabetes are independent predictors of death in patients with IE. Non-fatal adverse events are more frequent in patients with renal failure. Relapse rate is higher in drug abusers. These informations may help personalize follow-up strategies after acute admission for IE. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 3432
Author(s):  
Zsuzsanna Balogh ◽  
Takuya Mizukami ◽  
Jozef Bartunek ◽  
Carlos Collet ◽  
Monika Beles ◽  
...  

Our objective was to describe the long-term effects of endoscopic mitral valve (MV) repair on outcome in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and atrial functional mitral regurgitation (AFMR). In patients with HFpEF, even mild AFMR has been associated with poor outcome. The study population consisted of consecutive patients with HFpEF (left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≥ 50%, H2FPEF score ≥ 5) and AFMR, who underwent isolated, minimally invasive endoscopic MV repair (MVRepair group) (n = 131) or remained on standard of care (StanCare group) (n = 139). Patients with coronary artery disease or organic mitral regurgitation (MR) were excluded. Patients were matched using inverse probability of treatment weighting. Endpoints were all-cause mortality and a composite of all-cause mortality and HFpEF readmissions. The median follow-up was 5.03 years (interquartile range (IQR) 2.6–7.9 years). In the MVRepair group, the perioperative, 30-day, 1-year, and 5-year mortality were 0, 1%, 1%, and 12%, respectively. Additionally, 13 (10%) patients were readmitted for worsening HFpEF, while 2 (1%) individuals underwent redo MV surgery for recurrent MR. MVRepair compared with StanCare showed 21–29% (Standard Error (SE) 6–8%) and 19–26% (SE 6–8%) absolute risk reduction of all-cause mortality and HFpEF readmissions, respectively (all p < 0.05). MVRepair emerged as the strongest independent predictor of all-cause mortality (Hazard Ratio (HR) 0.16, 95% (Confidence Interval (CI) 0.07–0.34, p < 0.001) and HFpEF readmissions (HR 0.21, 95% CI 0.09–0.51, p < 0.001). At 5-year follow-up, in the MVRepair group, a total of 88% were alive and 80% were alive without readmission for HFpEF. We can conclude that endoscopic MV repair is associated with low perioperative mortality as well as high long-term efficacy, and appears to improve clinical outcome in patients with AFMR and HFpEF.


2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
D De Campos ◽  
C Saleiro ◽  
R Teixeira ◽  
A Botelho ◽  
J Lopes ◽  
...  

Abstract BACKGROUND Simple and reproducible echocardiographic parameters are still the cornerstone of daily clinical practice. These data provides important information for the evaluation of patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). The identification of prognostic echocardiographic parameters in STEMI would help in risk stratification. PURPOSE To evaluate the discriminatory capacity of echocardiographic parameters after a STEMI. METHODS Single centre retrospective observational study of 303 patients with STEMI who survived hospital stay and had a complete echocardiographic evaluation. The following ecocardiographic parameters were collected at discharge: left ventricular (LV) systolic and diastolic volumes; septal and posterior wall thickness; LV ejection fraction (LVEF); left atrial (LA) diameter; estimated systolic pulmonary artery pressure (SPAP). One year and long-term all cause mortality were analyzed. RESULTS For the patients enrolled (71% males, 64.6 ± 14.1 years old), peak troponin I was 99.1 ± 126.5 ng/mL; mean GRACE score was 153.6 ± 38.8 points and mean LVEF was 46.2 ± 11.2%. One year mortality was 8.3% and during a median 73 months follow-up, 25.1% patients were deceased. After adjustment for echocardiographic variables in a Cox regression model, SPAP (HR 1.07, 95%CI 1.02-1.12, P = 0.007) and septal thickness (HR 1.36, 95%CI 1.08-1.73, P = 0.01) were both independently associated with one year mortality. A Kaplan-Meier survival methodology using stratified SPAP and septal thickness showed a trend of different event rate (log rank P = 0.003 and P = 0.035, respectively), with a gradation of cumulative risk for all-cause mortality, with a sharp increase at &gt;40mmHg and &gt;11mm, respectively. Regarding longterm follow-up, only increased SPAP proved to be an independent predictor of mortality (HR 1.04, 95%CI 1.01-1.08, P = 0.016). The difference in favor of an SPAP &lt;33mmHg (sensitivity 86.67% and specificity 54.1%) was seen early after the STEMI event and maintained at each interim analysis (log rank P = 0.002). Upon the visual analysis of the cubic spline curves, patients with SPAP &lt; ± 30mmHg had a good long-term survival. No association of LV volumes or LVEF was noted for both one year and long-term mortality. CONCLUSION Classic echocardiographic parameters still have a role to estimate prognosis after STEMI. Estimated SPAP had the greatest discriminatory capabilities, surpassing left ventricular ejection fraction! Abstract 571 FIGURE 1


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Valentina Scheggi ◽  
Irene Merilli ◽  
Rossella Marcucci ◽  
Stefano Del Pace ◽  
Iacopo Olivotto ◽  
...  

Abstract Purpose Mortality in infective endocarditis (IE) is still high, and the long term prognosis remains uncertain. This study aimed to identify predictors of long-term mortality for any cause, adverse event rate, relapse rate, valvular and ventricular dysfunction at follow-up, in a real-world surgical centre. Methods We retrospectively analyzed 363 consecutive episodes of IE (123 women, 34%) admitted to our department with a definite diagnosis of non-device-related IE. Median follow-up duration was 2.9 years. Primary endpoints were predictors of mortality, recurrent endocarditis, and major non-fatal adverse events (hospitalization for any cardiovascular cause, pace-maker implantation, new onset of atrial fibrillation, sternal dehiscence), and ventricular and valvular dysfunction at follow-up. Results Multivariate analysis independent predictors of mortality showed age (HR per unit 1.031, p < 0.003), drug abuse (HR 3.5, p < 0.002), EUROSCORE II (HR per unit 1.017, p < 0.0006) and double valve infection (HR 2.3, p < 0.001) to be independent predictors of mortality, while streptococcal infection remained associated with a better prognosis (HR 0.5, p < 0.04). Major non-fatal adverse events were associated with age (HR 1.4, p < 0.022). New episodes of infection were correlated with S aureus infection (HR 4.8, p < 0.001), right-sided endocarditis (HR 7.4, p < 0.001), spondylodiscitis (HR 6.8, p < 0.004) and intravenous drug abuse (HR 10.3, p < 0.001). After multivariate analysis, only drug abuse was an independent predictor of new episodes of endocarditis (HR 8.5, p < 0.001). Echocardiographic follow-up, available in 95 cases, showed a worsening of left ventricular systolic function (p < 0.007); severe valvular dysfunction at follow-up was reported only in 4 patients, all of them had mitral IE (p < 0.03). Conclusions The present study highlights some clinical, readily available factors that can be useful to stratify the prognosis of patients with IE.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
P Huang ◽  
C Liu

Abstract Background Lower systolic blood pressure (SBP) at admission or discharge was associated with poor outcomes in patients with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). However, the optimal long-term SBP for HFpEF was less clear. Purpose To examine the association of long-term SBP and all-cause mortality among patients with HFpEF. Methods We analyzed participants from the Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist (TOPCAT) study. Participants had at least two SBP measurements of different times during the follow-up were included. Long-term SBP was defined as the average of all SBP measurements during the follow-up. We stratified participants into four groups according to long-term SBP: &lt;120mmHg, ≥120mmHg and &lt;130mmHg, ≥130mmHg and &lt;140mmHg, ≥140mmHg. Multivariable adjusted Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for all-cause mortality associated with SBP level. To assess for nonlinearity, we fitted restricted cubic spline models of long-term SBP. Sensitivity analyses were conducted by confining participants with history of hypertension or those with left ventricular ejection fraction≥50%. Results The 3338 participants had a mean (SD) age of 68.5 (9.6) years; 51.4% were women, and 89.3% were White. The median long-term SBP was 127.3 mmHg (IQR 121–134.2, range 77–180.7). Patients in the SBP of &lt;120mmHg group were older age, less often female, less often current smoker, had higher estimated glomerular filtration rate, less often had history of hypertension, and more often had chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and atrial fibrillation. After multivariable adjustment, long-term SBP of 120–130mmHg and 130–140mmHg was associated with a lower risk of mortality during a mean follow-up of 3.3 years (HR 0.65, 95% CI: 0.49–0.85, P=0.001; HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.50–0.88, P=0.004, respectively); long-term SBP of &lt;120mmHg had similar risk of mortality (HR 1.03, 95% CI: 0.78–1.36, P=0.836), compared with long-term SBP of ≥140mmHg. Findings from restricted cubic spline analysis demonstrate that there was J-shaped association between long-term SBP and all-cause mortality (P=0.02). These association was essentially unchanged in sensitivity analysis. Conclusions Among patients with HFpEF, long-term SBP showed a J-shaped pattern with all-cause mortality and a range of 120–140 mmHg was significantly associated with better outcomes. Future randomized controlled trials need to evaluate optimal long-term SBP goal in patients with HFpEF. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): China Postdoctoral Science Foundation Grant (2019M660229 and 2019TQ0380)


BMJ Open ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (12) ◽  
pp. e018719 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nuria Farré ◽  
Josep Lupon ◽  
Eulàlia Roig ◽  
Jose Gonzalez-Costello ◽  
Joan Vila ◽  
...  

ObjectivesThe aim of this study was to analyse baseline characteristics and outcome of patients with heart failure and mid-range left ventricular ejection fraction (HFmrEF, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) 40%–49%) and the effect of 1-year change in LVEF in this group.SettingMulticentre prospective observational study of ambulatory patients with HF followed up at four university hospitals with dedicated HF units.ParticipantsFourteen per cent (n=504) of the 3580 patients included had HFmrEF.InterventionsBaseline characteristics, 1-year LVEF and outcomes were collected. All-cause death, HF hospitalisation and the composite end-point were the primary outcomes.ResultsMedian follow-up was 3.66 (1.69–6.04) years. All-cause death, HF hospitalisation and the composite end-point were 47%, 35% and 59%, respectively. Outcomes were worse in HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) (LVEF>50%), without differences between HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) (LVEF<40%) and HFmrEF (all-cause mortality 52.6% vs 45.8% and 43.8%, respectively, P=0.001). After multivariable Cox regression analyses, no differences in all-cause death and the composite end-point were seen between the three groups. HF hospitalisation and cardiovascular death were not statistically different between patients with HFmrEF and HFrEF. At 1-year follow-up, 62% of patients with HFmrEF had LVEF measured: 24% had LVEF<40%, 43% maintained LVEF 40%–49% and 33% had LVEF>50%. While change in LVEF as continuous variable was not associated with better outcomes, those patients who evolved from HFmrEF to HFpEF did have a better outcome. Those who remained in the HFmrEF and HFrEF groups had higher all-cause mortality after adjustment for age, sex and baseline LVEF (HR 1.96 (95% CI 1.08 to 3.54, P=0.027) and HR 2.01 (95% CI 1.04 to 3.86, P=0.037), respectively).ConclusionsPatients with HFmrEF have a clinical profile in-between HFpEF and HFrEF, without differences in all-cause mortality and the composite end-point between the three groups. At 1 year, patients with HFmrEF exhibited the greatest variability in LVEF and this change was associated with survival.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (18) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lin Yang ◽  
Quan‐Yu Zhang ◽  
Xiao‐Zeng Wang ◽  
Xin Zhao ◽  
Xuan‐Ze Liu ◽  
...  

Background Acute penetrating aortic ulcers (PAUs) are reported to dynamically evolve into different clinical outcomes ranging from regression to aortic rupture, but no practice guidelines are available in China. Methods and Results All 109 patients with acute PAUs were monitored clinically. At 30 days follow‐up, 31 patients (28.44%) suffered from aortic‐related adverse events, a composite of aortic‐related mortality, aortic dissection, or an enlarged ulcer. In addition, 7 (6.42%) patients had clinically related adverse events, including all‐cause mortality, cerebral stroke, nonfatal myocardial infarction, acute heart failure alone or acute exacerbation of chronic heart failure, acute renal failure, arrhythmia, and bleeding events. In the present study, the intervention criteria for the Chinese PAU population included a PAU diameter of 12.5 mm and depth of 9.5 mm. The multivariate analysis showed that an ulcer diameter >12.5 mm (hazard ratio [HR], 3.846; 95% CI, 1.561–9.476; P =0.003) and an ulcer depth >9.5 mm (HR, 3.359; 95% CI, 1.505–7.494; P =0.003) were each independent predictors of aortic‐related events. Conclusions Patients with acute PAUs were at high risk for aortic‐related adverse events and clinically related adverse events within 30 days after onset. Patients with an ulcer diameter >12.5 mm or an ulcer depth >9.5 mm have a higher risk for disease progression, and early intervention may be recommended.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoyu Liu ◽  
Liying Zheng ◽  
Jing Han ◽  
Lu Song ◽  
Hemei Geng ◽  
...  

AbstractPrevious studies on the adverse events of acute pulmonary embolism (APE) were mostly limited to single marker, and short follow-up duration, from hospitalization to up to 30 days. We aimed to predict the long-term prognosis of patients with APE by joint assessment of D-dimer, N-Terminal Pro-Brain Natriuretic Peptide (NT-ProBNP), and troponin I (cTnI). Newly diagnosed patients of APE from January 2011 to December 2015 were recruited from three hospitals. Medical information of the patients was collected retrospectively by reviewing medical records. Adverse events (APE recurrence and all-cause mortality) of all enrolled patients were followed up via telephone. D-dimer > 0.50 mg/L, NT-ProBNP > 500 pg/mL, and cTnI > 0.40 ng/mL were defined as the abnormal. Kaplan–Meier curve was used to compare the cumulative survival rate between patients with different numbers of abnormal markers. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to further test the association between numbers of abnormal markers and long-term prognosis of patients with APE after adjusting for potential confounding. During follow-up, APE recurrence and all-cause mortality happened in 78 (30.1%) patients. The proportion of APE recurrence and death in one abnormal marker, two abnormal markers, and three abnormal markers groups were 7.69%, 28.21%, and 64.10% respectively. Patients with three abnormal markers had the lowest survival rate than those with one or two abnormal markers (Log-rank test, P < 0.001). After adjustment, patients with two or three abnormal markers had a significantly higher risk of the total adverse event compared to those with one abnormal marker. The hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) were 6.27 (3.24, 12.12) and 10.7 (4.1, 28.0), respectively. Separate analyses for APE recurrence and all-cause death found similar results. A joint test of abnormal D-dimer, NT-ProBNP, and cTnI in APE patients could better predict the long-term risk of APE recurrence and all-cause mortality.


2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_G) ◽  
Author(s):  
Guglielmo Gallone ◽  
Francesc Bruno ◽  
Ovidio De Filippo ◽  
Enrico Cerrato ◽  
Saverio Muscoli ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims Longitudinal systolic function may integrate information on aortic stenosis (AS) natural history and cardiac comorbidities with potential prognostic implications. We explored the impact of tissue Doppler imaging (TDI)-derived longitudinal systolic function defined by the peak systolic average of lateral and septal mitral annular velocities (average S’) among symptomatic patients with severe AS undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). Methods and results 297 unselected patients with severe AS undergoing TAVI from January 2017 to December 2018 at three European centres, with available average S′ at preprocedural echocardiography were retrospectively included. The primary endpoint was the Kaplan Meier estimate of all-cause mortality. After a median 18 months (IQR 12–18) follow-up, 36 (12.1%) patients died. Average S′ was associated with all-cause mortality (per 1 cm/s decrease: HR: 1.29, 95% CI: 1.03–1.60, P = 0.025), with a best cut-off of 6.5 cm/s. Patients with average S′ &lt;6.5 cm/s (55.2% of the study population) presented characteristics of more advanced left ventricular remodelling and functional impairment along with higher burden of cardiac comorbidities, and experienced higher all-cause mortality (17.6% vs. 7.5%, P = 0.007) also when adjusted for in-study outcome predictors (adj-HR: 3.33, 95% CI: 1.25–8.90, P = 0.016). Results were consistent among patients with preserved ejection fraction, normal-flow AS, high-gradient AS and in those without left ventricular hypertrophy. Conclusions Longitudinal systolic function assessed by average S’ is independently associated with long-term all-cause mortality among unselected patients with symptomatic severe AS undergoing TAVI. In this population, an average S′ below 6.5 cm/s best defines clinically meaningful reduced longitudinal systolic function and may aid clinical risk stratification.


2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
B Peiro Aventin ◽  
E Gambo Ruberte ◽  
T Simon Paracuellos ◽  
D Gomez Martin ◽  
A Perez Guerrero ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) has proven benefits in patients with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). A significant proportion of them shows recovery of systolic function Objective To analyse the main baseline, electrocardiographic and echocardiographic characteristics that may predict LVEF recovery after TAVR. Methods A cohort study was conducted. Consecutive patients undergoing TAVR in our center from January 2012 to December 2020 were included. Baseline clinical profile, electrocardiographic (EKG), echocardiographic (ECH) parameters were recorded, as well as MACE during follow-up (major adverse cardiovascular events including: all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, cerebrovascular accident and heart failure hospitalization). Reduced systolic function was defined as LVEF &lt;50%. We considered recovery of systolic function as LVEF ≥50% at follow-up. Results A total of 292 patients were included. 48% were women and the median age was 81.07 years (77.63–86.22). 22.6% (66 patients) had reduced LVEF at baseline. Half of them showed recovered systolic function during follow-up. Patients who did not recovered LVEF had a higher prevalence of dyslipidemia and peripheral artery disease. History of cardiac surgery was more frequently found in this group, and they showed a higher surgical risk estimated by EuroScore II. They had lower LVEF and aortic valve mean gradient, and more frequently presented non-synus rhythm (NSR), left bundle branch block and right ventricular dysfunction (RVD). These characteristics are shown in figure 1. In univariate analysis lower Euroscore II, presence of synus rhythm, absence of LBBB and RVD, as well as higher aortic valve mean gradient were predictors of LVEF recovery. In multivariate analysis RVD and mean aortic gradient were independent predictors. Among all patients included in our study, those presenting with RV dysfunction were significantly associated with lower LVEF mean values (46,0% vs 57,2%; p&lt;0,01) After a median follow-up of 21.3 (8.52–38.94) months, MACE were lower in recovered LVEF group (HR 0.25 95% CI: 0.05–1.21). There were no statistically significant differences in all-cause mortality, nevertheless there was a trend towards a higher non-cardiovascular mortality in this group, essentially at the expense of deaths from malignant neoplasms and SARS-COV-2 infections. Survival curves for MACE are represented in figure 2. Conclusion In our study, half of the patients with impaired ventricular function undergoing TAVR showed recovery of ejection fraction. Right ventricular function and aortic valve mean gradient at baseline were independent predictors of recovery. Identifying predictors of LVEF recovery is fundamental in the evaluation of potential candidates for TAVR, and can help clinicians assess risks and benefits, as well as long-term prognosis of these patients. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None. Characteristics and analysis Survival curves for MACE


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