P3782Frailty to predict unplanned hospitalizations, stroke, bleeding and death in atrial fibrillation

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
P Meyre ◽  
R Gugganig ◽  
S Aeschbacher ◽  
D P Leong ◽  
S Blum ◽  
...  

Abstract Aim We investigated the prevalence of frailty, and the relationships between frailty and the risk of adverse clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods Patients with known AF were enrolled in a nation-wide observational cohort study in Switzerland. Information on medical history, medication, lifestyle factors and clinical measurements were obtained. The primary outcome was unplanned hospitalizations, secondary outcomes were all-cause mortality, bleeding and stroke. The frailty index (FI) was measured using a cumulative deficit approach according to previously published criteria. Participants were divided into three groups (non-frail, pre-frail and frail) according to their FI at study entry. The association between frailty and clinical outcomes was assessed using multivariable adjusted Cox proportional hazard models. Results We included 2369 patients with a mean age of 73±8 years (27.3% female). The prevalence of frailty and pre-frailty was 10.6% and 60.7%, respectively. Frailty was associated with unplanned hospitalization (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 3.59; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 2.78–4.63; p<0.001), all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 16.72; 95% CI 7.75–36.05; p<0.001), bleeding (adjusted HR 2.46; 95% CI 1.61–3.77; p<0.001), and stroke (adjusted HR 3.29; 95% CI 1.29–8.39; p=0.01) (Figure). Similarly, pre-frailty was significantly associated with unplanned hospitalization (adjusted HR 1.82; 95% CI 1.49–2.22; p<0.001), all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 5.07; 95% CI 2.43–10.59; p<0.001) and bleeding (adjusted HR 1.53; 95% CI 1.11–2.13; p=0.01), but not with stroke. Cumulative incidence of adverse events Conclusion In our cohort, more than two thirds of AF patients were either pre-frail or frail. These patients have a high risk of unplanned hospitalizations and other adverse outcomes, indicating that frailty is a powerful tool to predict adverse clinical outcomes in AF patients. Acknowledgement/Funding Swiss National Science Foundation; Foundation for Cardiovascular Research Basel; University of Basel

Author(s):  
Rebecca Gugganig ◽  
Stefanie Aeschbacher ◽  
Darryl P Leong ◽  
Pascal Meyre ◽  
Steffen Blum ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims Atrial fibrillation (AF) and frailty are common, and the prevalence is expected to rise further. We aimed to investigate the prevalence of frailty and the ability of a frailty index (FI) to predict unplanned hospitalizations, stroke, bleeding, and death in patients with AF. Methods and results Patients with known AF were enrolled in a prospective cohort study in Switzerland. Information on medical history, lifestyle factors, and clinical measurements were obtained. The primary outcome was unplanned hospitalization; secondary outcomes were all-cause mortality, bleeding, and stroke. The FI was measured using a cumulative deficit approach, constructed according to previously published criteria and divided into three groups (non-frail, pre-frail, and frail). The association between frailty and outcomes was assessed using multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models. Of the 2369 included patients, prevalence of pre-frailty and frailty was 60.7% and 10.6%, respectively. Pre-frailty and frailty were associated with a higher risk of unplanned hospitalizations [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.82, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.49–2.22; P &lt; 0.001; and aHR 3.59, 95% CI 2.78–4.63, P &lt; 0.001], all-cause mortality (aHR 5.07, 95% CI 2.43–10.59; P &lt; 0.001; and aHR 16.72, 95% CI 7.75–36.05; P &lt; 0.001), and bleeding (aHR 1.53, 95% CI 1.11–2.13; P = 0.01; and aHR 2.46, 95% CI 1.61–3.77; P &lt; 0.001). Frailty, but not pre-frailty, was associated with a higher risk of stroke (aHR 3.29, 95% CI 1.2–8.39; P = 0.01). Conclusion Over two-thirds of patients with AF are pre-frail or frail. These patients have a high risk for unplanned hospitalizations and other adverse events. These findings emphasize the need to carefully evaluate these patients. However, whether screening for pre-frailty and frailty and targeted prevention strategies improve outcomes needs to be shown in future studies. Clinical trial registration Clinicaltrials.gov identifier number: NCT02105844.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
C Wilkinson ◽  
O Todd ◽  
M Yadegarfar ◽  
A Clegg ◽  
C P Gale ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in older people is increasing, as is frailty. Frailty describes an increased vulnerability to adverse outcomes, whereby the balance of risk and benefit associated with an intervention may be more nuanced. However, there are limited data from a community setting on the prevalence of AF and frailty in older people. It is important to understand the burden of AF and frailty, and the associated impact on mortality and stroke disease in order to inform shared decision making with patients, and also inform guidelines for this increasing group of older people. Purpose To estimate the prevalence of AF and the burden of frailty in patients with AF, in a large primary care dataset. To report stroke and mortality by frailty group. Methods We used electronic health records of 537,051 patients in England aged 65 years or older on 31/12/2015, with follow-up for all-cause mortality and ischaemic or unclassified stroke to 11/04/2017. Patients with a history of AF were identified using Clinical Terms Version 3 (CTV-3) codes. Frailty was identified up to the point of study entry using the electronic frailty index (eFI, the proportion of deficits out of 36 possible deficits), and categorised into robust (0–0.12), mild (>0.12–0.24), moderate (>0.24–0.36) or severe (>0.36) frailty. Median CHA2DS2-VASc and ATRIA scores for patients with frailty were compared with the robust group using Mann-Whitney. The association between frailty status, all-cause mortality and stroke was calculated using Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for age and sex. Results Of the cohort, 61,177 patients (11.4%) had AF. Of those with AF, 27,987 (45.8%) were female, and 54,734 (89.5%) had frailty. 6,443 (10.5%) were classified as robust; 20,352 (33.3%) mildly frail; 20,315 (33.2%) moderately frail; and 14,067 (23.0%) severely frail. The median number of eFI-defined deficits among patients with AF was 9 (interquartile range [IQR] 6–12). Median stroke and bleeding scores were higher in those with frailty compared with the robust group (CHA2DS2-VASc 4 [IQR 3–5] v 2 [2–3], p≤0.001; ATRIA 4 [2–6] v 1 [0–2], p≤0.001). During 73,338 patient-years of follow-up, there were 6,805 (11.1%) deaths and 945 (1.54%) strokes. Compared with the robust group, all-cause mortality and stroke were higher with increasing frailty. Mortality: mild frailty hazard ratio 1.53 (95% confidence interval 1.29–1.80); moderate frailty 2.50 (2.13–2.94); severe frailty 4.26 (3.63–5.01). Stroke: mild frailty 1.36 (0.99–1.85); moderate frailty 1.67 (1.23–2.28); severe 1.99 (1.45–2.73). Kaplan-Meier survival curves by frailty Conclusion The prevalence of AF among those aged over 65 years in primary care in England is high, the majority of whom are frail. Increasing severity of frailty was associated with higher mortality and stroke rates. The extent to which the judicious use of oral anticoagulation may improve clinical outcomes for patients with AF and frailty is currently unknown. Acknowledgement/Funding CPG: Bayer, BMS, AstraZeneca, Novartis Vifor Pharma, Menerini


EP Europace ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
VW Zwartkruis ◽  
B Geelhoed ◽  
N Suthahar ◽  
RT Gansevoort ◽  
SJL Bakker ◽  
...  

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Dutch Heart Foundation Background Screening for atrial fibrillation (AF) improves detection of AF. However, it is unknown whether AF detected at screening carries risks similar to clinically detected AF, and if it should be treated similarly. Purpose We aimed to compare clinical outcomes in individuals with screen-detected vs. hospital-detected incident AF. Methods We studied 8265 individuals (mean age 49 ± 13 years, 50% women) without prevalent AF from the population-based PREVEND (Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease) cohort study. By design, 70% of PREVEND participants had urinary albumin concentration ≥10 mg/l. AF was considered screen-detected when first detected on a 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) during one of the PREVEND study visits, and hospital-detected when first detected on a hospital ECG. Using Cox regression models with screen-detected and hospital-detected AF as time-varying covariates, we studied the association of screen-detected vs. hospital-detected AF with mortality, incident heart failure (HF), and incident cardiovascular (CV) events. Results During a mean follow-up of 9.7 years, 265 participants (3.2%) developed incident AF (mean age 62 ± 9 years, 30% women, 65% hypertension, 23% obesity, 9% diabetes, 15% history of myocardial infarction, 3% history of stroke, 2% prevalent HF). Of all incident AF cases, 60 (23%) were screen-detected and 205 (77%) hospital-detected. Baseline characteristics were generally comparable between participants with screen-detected and hospital-detected AF. A larger proportion of incident AF was screen-detected in men (26%) compared to women (15%). In univariabe analysis, both screen-detected and hospital-detected AF were strongly associated with death, incident HF, and incident CV events. After multivariable adjustment, hospital-detected AF was significantly associated with death (HR 2.95, 95% CI 2.18-4.00), incident HF (HR 3.98, 95% CI 2.49-6.34), and incident CV events (HR 1.92, 95% CI 1.21-3.06). Screen-detected AF was significantly associated with death (HR 2.21, 95% CI 1.09-4.47) and incident HF (HR 4.90, 95% CI 2.28-10.57), but not with incident CV events (HR 1.12, 95% CI 0.46-2.71). Conclusions In a population-based cohort enriched for microalbuminuria, almost a quarter of incident AF cases was first detected through ECG screening. Compared to hospital-detected AF, screen-detected AF was similarly associated with adverse outcomes. Although randomised trials are needed, this study highlights that AF screening may help decrease the general burden of CV disease.


Author(s):  
Hisashi Ogawa ◽  
Yoshimori An ◽  
Kenjiro Ishigami ◽  
Syuhei Ikeda ◽  
Kosuke Doi ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims Oral anticoagulants reduce the risk of ischaemic stroke but may increase the risk of major bleeding in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients. Little is known about the clinical outcomes of patients after a major bleeding event. This study assessed the outcomes of AF patients after major bleeding. Methods and results The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. Analyses were performed on 4304 AF patients registered by 81 institutions participating in the Fushimi AF Registry. We investigated the demographics and outcomes of AF patients who experienced major bleeding during follow-up period. During the median follow-up of 1307 days, major bleeding occurred in 297 patients (6.9%). Patients with major bleeding were older than those without (75.6 vs. 73.4 years; P &lt; 0.01). They were more likely to have pre-existing heart failure (33.7% vs. 26.7%; P &lt; 0.01), history of major bleeding (7.7% vs. 4.0%; P &lt; 0.01), and higher mean HAS-BLED score (2.05 vs.1.73; P &lt; 0.01). On landmark analysis, ischaemic stroke or systemic embolism occurred in 17 patients (3.6/100 person-years) after major bleeding and 227 patients (1.7/100 person-years) without major bleeding, with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.93 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.06–3.23; P = 0.03]. All-cause mortality occurred in 97 patients with major bleeding (20.0/100 person-years) and 709 (5.1/100 person-years) patients without major bleeding [HR 2.73 (95% CI, 2.16–3.41; P &lt; 0.01)]. Conclusion In this community-based cohort, major bleeding is associated with increased risk of subsequent all-cause mortality and thromboembolism in the long-term amongst AF patients. Trial registration https://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/index.htm. Unique identifier: UMIN000005834. (last accessed 22 October 2020)


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Proietti ◽  
M Vitolo ◽  
S Harrison ◽  
G.A Dan ◽  
A.P Maggioni ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction Frailty is a major health determinant for cardiovascular disease. Thus far, data on frailty in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are limited. Aims To evaluate frailty in a large contemporary cohort of European AF patients, the relationship with oral anticoagulant (OAC) prescription and with risk of all-cause death. Methods We analyzed patients enrolled in the ESC-EHRA EORP-AF General Long-Term Registry. A 38-items frailty index (FI) was derived from baseline characteristics according to the accumulation of deficits model proposed by Rockwood and Mitnitsky. All-cause mortality was the primary study outcome. Results Out of the 11096 AF enrolled patients, data for evaluating frailty were available for 6557 (59.1%) patients who have been included in this analysis (mean [SD] age 68.9 [11.5], 37.7% females). Baseline median [IQR] CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED were 3 [2–4] and 1 [1–2], respectively. At baseline, median [IQR] FI was 0.16 (0.12–0.23), with 1276 (19.5%) patients considered “not-frail” (FI&lt;0.10), 4033 (61.5%) considered “pre-frail” (FI 0.10–0.25) and 1248 (19.0%) considered “frail” (FI≥0.25). Age, female prevalence, CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED progressively increased across the FI classes (all p&lt;0.001). Use of OAC progressively increased among FI classes; after adjustments FI was not associated with OAC prescription (odds ratio [OR]: 1.09, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.98–1.19 for each 0.10 FI increase). Conversely, FI was directly associated with vitamin K antagonist (VKA) use (OR: 1.26, 95% CI: 1.18–1.34 for each 0.10 FI increase) and inversely associated with non-VKA OACs (NOACs) use (OR: 0.82, 95% CI: 0.77–0.88). FI was significantly correlated with CHA2DS2-VASc (Rho= 0.516, p&lt;0.001). Over a median [IQR] follow-up of 731 [704–749] days, there were 569 (8.7%) all-cause death events. Kaplan-Meier curves [Figure] showed an increasing cumulative risk for all-cause death according to FI categories. A Cox multivariable analysis, adjusted for age, sex, type of AF and use of OAC, found that increasing FI as a continuous variable was associated with an increased risk of all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.56, 95% CI: 1.40–1.73 for each 0.10 FI increase). An association with all-cause death risk was found across the FI categories (HR: 1.71, 95% CI: 1.23–2.38 and HR: 2.88, 95% CI: 2.02–4.12, respectively for pre-frail and frail patients compared to non-frail ones). FI was also predictive of all-cause death (c-index: 0.660, 95% CI: 0.637–0.682; p&lt;0.001). Conclusions In a European contemporary cohort of AF patients the burden of frailty is significant, with almost 1 out of 5 patients found to be “frail”. Frailty influenced significantly the choice of OAC therapy and was associated with (and predictive of) all-cause death at follow-up. Kaplan-Meier Curves Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Private company. Main funding source(s): Since the start of EORP programme, several companies have supported it with unrestricted grants.


Open Heart ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. e001726
Author(s):  
Anthony P Carnicelli ◽  
Ruth Owen ◽  
Stuart J Pocock ◽  
David B Brieger ◽  
Satoshi Yasuda ◽  
...  

ObjectiveAtrial fibrillation (AF) and myocardial infarction (MI) are commonly comorbid and associated with adverse outcomes. Little is known about the impact of AF on quality of life and outcomes post-MI. We compared characteristics, quality of life and clinical outcomes in stable patients post-MI with/without AF.Methods/resultsThe prospective, international, observational TIGRIS (long Term rIsk, clinical manaGement and healthcare Resource utilization of stable coronary artery dISease) registry included 8406 patients aged ≥50 years with ≥1 atherothrombotic risk factor who were 1–3 years post-MI. Patient characteristics were summarised by history of AF. Quality of life was assessed at baseline using EQ-5D. Clinical outcomes over 2 years of follow-up were compared. History of AF was present in 702/8277 (8.5%) registry patients and incident AF was diagnosed in 244/7575 (3.2%) over 2 years. Those with AF were older and had more comorbidities than those without AF. After multivariable adjustment, patients with AF had lower self-reported quality-of-life scores (EQ-5D UK-weighted index, visual analogue scale, usual activities and pain/discomfort) than those without AF. CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥2 was present in 686/702 (97.7%) patients with AF, although only 348/702 (49.6%) were on oral anticoagulants at enrolment. Patients with AF had higher rates of all-cause hospitalisation (adjusted rate ratio 1.25 [1.06–1.46], p=0.008) over 2 years than those without AF, but similar rates of mortality.ConclusionsIn stable patients post-MI, those with AF were commonly undertreated with oral anticoagulants, had poorer quality of life and had increased risk of clinical outcomes than those without AF.Trial registration numberClinicalTrials: NCT01866904.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li-Ning Peng ◽  
Fei-Yuan Hsiao ◽  
Wei-Ju Lee ◽  
Shih-Tsung Huang ◽  
Liang-Kung Chen

BACKGROUND Using big data and the theory of cumulative deficits to develop the multimorbidity frailty index (mFI) has become a widely accepted approach in public health and health care services. However, constructing the mFI using the most critical determinants and stratifying different risk groups with dose-response relationships remain major challenges in clinical practice. OBJECTIVE This study aimed to develop the mFI by using machine learning methods that select variables based on the optimal fitness of the model. In addition, we aimed to further establish 4 entities of risk using a machine learning approach that would achieve the best distinction between groups and demonstrate the dose-response relationship. METHODS In this study, we used Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Database to develop a machine learning multimorbidity frailty index (ML-mFI) using the theory of cumulative diseases/deficits of an individual older person. Compared to the conventional mFI, in which the selection of diseases/deficits is based on expert opinion, we adopted the random forest method to select the most influential diseases/deficits that predict adverse outcomes for older people. To ensure that the survival curves showed a dose-response relationship with overlap during the follow-up, we developed the distance index and coverage index, which can be used at any time point to classify the ML-mFI of all subjects into the categories of fit, mild frailty, moderate frailty, and severe frailty. Survival analysis was conducted to evaluate the ability of the ML-mFI to predict adverse outcomes, such as unplanned hospitalizations, intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, and mortality. RESULTS The final ML-mFI model contained 38 diseases/deficits. Compared with conventional mFI, both indices had similar distribution patterns by age and sex; however, among people aged 65 to 69 years, the mean mFI and ML-mFI were 0.037 (SD 0.048) and 0.0070 (SD 0.0254), respectively. The difference may result from discrepancies in the diseases/deficits selected in the mFI and the ML-mFI. A total of 86,133 subjects aged 65 to 100 years were included in this study and were categorized into 4 groups according to the ML-mFI. Both the Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox models showed that the ML-mFI significantly predicted all outcomes of interest, including all-cause mortality, unplanned hospitalizations, and all-cause ICU admissions at 1, 5, and 8 years of follow-up (<i>P</i>&lt;.01). In particular, a dose-response relationship was revealed between the 4 ML-mFI groups and adverse outcomes. CONCLUSIONS The ML-mFI consists of 38 diseases/deficits that can successfully stratify risk groups associated with all-cause mortality, unplanned hospitalizations, and all-cause ICU admissions in older people, which indicates that precise, patient-centered medical care can be a reality in an aging society.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 819-819
Author(s):  
Maria Rangel ◽  
Rahul Annabathula ◽  
Kathryn Callahan ◽  
Nicholas Pajewski ◽  
Jeff Williamson ◽  
...  

Abstract Transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) is becoming the preferred therapeutic approach for older adults with severe aortic valve disease. Frailty portends increase mortality and adverse outcomes after TAVI. We sought to evaluate an electronic Frailty Index (eFI) as a predictor for increased healthcare utilization, adverse clinical and functional outcomes. We retrospective studied 302 adults older than 65 years that underwent TAVI at our institution between October 2017 and September 2020. The mean age of the cohort was 79 ±6.94 years old; 43% were female. Frail individuals (eFI &gt;0.20), as compared to Fit (eFI &lt;0.10) and Prefrail (0.10&gt;eFI&lt;0.20), were more likely to have a higher society of thoracic surgeons score and a greater burden of comorbidities. Subjects classified as Prefrail/Frail had longer intensive care unit stay post-TAVI than fit individuals (&gt;24 hours: 17% vs 4%, respectively, p 0.02); and trended toward longer hospitalization time and discharge to a setting different than home. The Prefrail/Frail group also had a higher proportion of subjects with persistent New York Heart Association Class III heart failure symptoms 30 days post-TAVI as compared to Fit (14% vs 2%, p 0.04), however both groups demonstrated significant symptomatic improvement post-procedure. No significant differences in 30 day mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events or readmissions were found. TAVI is an effective treatment with a low incidence of early adverse clinical outcomes in older adults regardless of frailty status; eFI could help in identifying and targeting susceptible adults that may require additional resources to recover post-TAVI.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. 1184
Author(s):  
Lin ◽  
Kor ◽  
Hsieh ◽  
Chiu

Background: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a well-known complication of atrial fibrillation (AF) but how the incident CKD affects the clinical outcomes amongst AF patients is not clear. Methods: Our study data were retrieved from National Health Insurance Research Data for the period from 1996 to 2013. Incident AF patients were classified as non-CKD group (n = 7272), prevalent CKD group (n = 2104), and incident CKD group (n = 1507) based on administrative codes. Patients with prevalent CKD were those participants who already had CKD ahead of the index date of AF, whereas patients with incident CKD were those who developed CKD after the index date and the remaining patients were designated as non-CKD. Multivariate-adjusted time-dependent Cox models were conducted to estimate the associations of CKD status with the outcomes of interest, including heart failure (HF), acute myocardial infarction (AMI), stroke or systemic thromboembolism, all-cause mortality, and cardiovascular (CV) mortality, expressed as hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Results: The mean age was 70.8 ± 13.3 years, and 55.4% of the studied population were men. In Cox models, the adjusted rate of HF, AMI, all-cause mortality, and CV mortality was greater in the prevalent and incident CKD groups, ranging from 1.31-fold to 4.28-fold, compared with non-CKD group. Notably, incident CKD was associated with higher rates of HF (HR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.67–1.93), stroke or systemic thromboembolism (HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.22–1.45), AMI (HR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.25–1.71), all-cause mortality (HR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.68–1.85), and CV mortality (HR, 2.13; 95% CI, 1.92–2.36) compared with prevalent CKD. Conclusion: The presence of CKD was associated with higher risks of subsequent adverse clinical outcomes in patients with AF. Our study was even highlighted by the finding that incident CKD was linked to higher risks of outcome events compared with prevalent CKD.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Huaibin Wan ◽  
Juan Wang ◽  
Yanmin Yang ◽  
Xin Fan ◽  
Dongdong Chen ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is a widely accepted indicator of renal function. The aim of this study was to evaluate the relationship between eGFR and 3-year clinical outcomes among Chinese patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods We retrospectively studied 433 consecutive Chinese patients with AF (51.0% males, mean age 65.6 ± 13.2 years) between February 2013 and December 2017. Baseline clinical data were collected according to medical records. eGFR was calculated by MDRD equation for Chinese patients according to baseline age, sex and serum creatinine. The primary clinical outcome of interest was all-cause mortality. Results During a median follow-up period of 3.1 (0.5–4.5) years, 73 deaths (16.9%) were recorded. Multivariate Cox regression analyses indicated that eGFR was independently associated with all-cause death in total population [hazard ratio (HR) 0.984; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.972–0.995, P = 0.006] and patients free of valvular heart diseases (VHDs) (HR 0.975; 95% CI 0.959–0.992, P = 0.003), but not with VHDs. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis revealed that reduced eGFR predicted all-cause mortality with areas under the ROC curve of 0.637 (95% CI 0.539–0.735, P = 0.004) in AF patients free of VHDs. Conclusions eGFR is an independent predictor of 3-year all-cause mortality among Chinese patients with AF, especially among those patients free of VHDs.


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