Can we use the CHA2DS2VASc score in Atrial Flutter?

EP Europace ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
J Brito ◽  
T Rodigues ◽  
A Nunes-Ferreira ◽  
P Silverio Antonio ◽  
S Couto Pereira ◽  
...  

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Introduction CHA2DS2VASc score is a well stablished prognostic score in atrial fibrillation population. However, considering patients with isolated atrial flutter no prognostic score are defined, regarding the embolic risk of this population. Purpose To evaluate the capacity of CHA2DS2VASc score to predict cardiovascular death and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in flutter patients (pts). Methods Single-center retrospective study of pts submitted to CTA between 2015 and 2019, comprising two groups: I – pts with lone AFL; II – patients with AFL and prior AF. Clinical records were analyzed to determine the occurrence of MACE during the long-term follow up, defined as death (of cardiovascular or unknown cause), stroke, clinically relevant bleed or hospitalization due to heart failure or arrhythmic events. CHA2DS2VASc score was categorized into 3 groups: 0-1; 2-3; >4. Kaplan Meier survival curves were used to estimate the risk of events and the groups were compared using uni- and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Results A total of 476 pts (66 ± 12 years, 80% males) underwent CTA: group I – 284 pts (60%), II – 192 pts (40%). Baseline characteristics were similar between groups, except for age with group I pts being older (68 ± 12, 64 ± 11, p < 0.01). The mean baseline CHA2DS2VASc was 2.3 ± 1.5 and the median post-CTA follow-up was 2.8 year. Considering global population, CHA2DS2VASc score was an independent predictor of cardiovascular death (OR: 1.49 95%CI 1.09-1.79, p = 0.08) and was a predictor of MACE even after adjustment for the diagnose of prior AF (OR 1.88, 95% IC 1.094-3.249, p = 0.022). Considering only the pts in group I CHA2DS2VASc score was a predictor of MACE (OR 3.03, 95% CI 1.112-8.278, p = 0.03) after adjustment for sex and age. Regarding the different MACE components, the score was a predictor of stroke (OR 4.45, IC 1.66-13.39, p = 0.04). In flutter pts CHA2DS2VASc score did not predict cardiovascular death. Conclusions  In our population CHA2DS2VASc score was able to predict MACE events and stroke in patients with isolated atrial flutter. This suggests that in the future CHA2DS2VASc score could be applied to establish embolic risk in atrial flutter. Abstract Figure.

EP Europace ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
TE Graca Rodrigues ◽  
J Brito ◽  
P Silverio-Antonio ◽  
P Couto Pereira ◽  
B Valente Silva ◽  
...  

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Introduction Cavotricuspid isthmus ablation (CTA) is the 1st line therapy to accomplish rhythm control in typical atrial flutter (AFL). Several studies have shown that AFL is frequently associated with AF, which may be silent, posing the patient at risk of systemic embolism. Nowadays, there are no formal recommendations for OAC after CTA in patients with isolated AFL. Aim To determine the risk of MACE after CTA and compare: 1) the presence of concomitant AF, 2) concomitantly performing PVI and 3) persistence on OAC. Methods Single-center retrospective study of  pts submitted to CTA between 2015 and 2019, comprising 3 groups: I – pts with lone AFL; II – patients with AFL and prior AF submitted to CTA only; and III – patients with AFL and prior AF submitted to PVI and CTA. Clinical records were analyzed to determine the occurrence of MACE - death (of CV or unknown cause), stroke, clinically relevant bleed or hospitalization due to HF or arrhythmic events. Long-term OAC was defined as its persistence over 18 months after CTA. Kaplan Meier survival curves were used to estimate the risk of events and the groups were compared using uni- and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Results A total of 476 pts (66 ± 12 years, 80% males) underwent CTA: group I – 284 pts (60%), II – 109 pts (23%) and III – 83 pts (17%). Baseline characteristics were similar between groups, except for age with group I pts being older (68 ± 12, 67 ± 11, 61 ± 11, p < 0.03). The mean baseline CHA2DS2VASc was 2.3 ± 1.5 and the median post-CTA follow-up was 2.8 year. The 1-, 3- and 5-years MACE risk was 7%, 21% and 32%, respectively and did not differ significantly between groups. OAC was suspended on the long-term in 105 pts (23%), at a mean of 241 days post-CTA. Suspension of OAC was significantly associated with lower MACE risk (HR: 0.26, 95%CI 0.12-0.56, p = 0.001). This effect was independent of the age and CHA2DS2VASc. The prognostic benefit of OAC suspension was driven by the group I and was not verified in patients with concomitant AF. In group I, withdraw of OAC (56 pts - 27%) was associated with a 70% relative risk reduction in the 5-year MACE risk (16% vs 43%, HR: 0.30, 95%CI 0.13-0.69, p = 0.005). In group I, OAC was suspended in patient who were younger (65 ± 11 vs. 69 ± 12, p = 0.002), had lower CHA2DS2VASc (1.9 ± 1.6 vs. 2.7 ± 1.4, p < 0.001) and less often had cerebral vascular disease (1% vs. 8%, p = 0.036), HF (14% vs. 38%, p = 0.001), ischemic cardiomyopathy (9% vs. 19%, p = 0.04) and HTN(61% vs. 75%, p = 0.019). Conclusions In pts with AFL submitted to CTA, the long-term risk of MACE is frighteningly high, even in the ones without prior documentation of concomitant AF. Pts with prior AF presenting at the electrophysiological procedure in typical AFL and submitted just to CTA were not significantly harmed, from a prognostic perspective. In pts with lone AFL submitted to successful CTA, it may be reasonable to suspend OAC within 18 months provided that the concomitant AF is carefully excluded. Abstract Figure.


EP Europace ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
P Alves Da Silva ◽  
T Rodrigues ◽  
N Cunha ◽  
J Brito ◽  
S Couto-Pereira ◽  
...  

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Introduction Cavotricuspid isthmus ablation (CTA) is considered the main treatment for rhythm control in patients (pts) with typical atrial flutter (AFL). Although there is an established risk for embolic events in atrial fibrillation (AF), the results are not standardized for typical AFL. Currently, anticoagulation in AFL pts submitted to ablation is not consensual. Purpose To determine the incidence and predictors of major cardiovascular events (MACE) of pts submitted to CTA of typical AFL. Methods Single-center retrospective study of patients (pts) submitted to CTA between 2015 and 2019, comprising three groups: I – pts with lone AFL; II – patients with AFL and prior AF submitted to CTA only; and III – patients with AFL and prior AF submitted to IVP and CTA. Clinical records were analyzed to determine the occurrence of MACE during the long-term follow up, defined as death (of cardiovascular or unknown cause), stroke, clinically relevant bleed or hospitalization due to heart failure or arrhythmic events. Kaplan Meier survival curves were used to estimate the risk of events and the groups were compared using uni- and multivariate Cox regression analyses Results A total of 476 pts (66 ± 12 years, 80% males) underwent CTA: group I – 284 pts (60%), II – 109 pts (23%) and III – 83 pts (17%). Baseline characteristics were similar between groups, except for age with group I pts being older (68 ± 12, 67 ± 11, 61 ± 11, p < 0.03). At presentation, the majority of the pts had palpitations (70.4%) and mild symptoms (70.8%). HTN and dyslipidemia were the most frequent cardiovascular risk factors, 69.5% and 53.9%, respectively, and heart failure was not frequent (27.7%) with only 5.4% of pts with LVEF < 30% and 12.4% with left atrium > 50ml/m2. During a mean follow-up of 2.8 years, the incidence of MACE events was 102 (21,4%). Regarding MACE components: 54 pts (11.5%) died from cardiovascular death, 20 pts had stroke (4.5%), 13 (3.8%) had a clinically relevant bleeding event, and 51 pts (11.4%) were hospitalized due to heart failure or arrhythmic events. On univariate analysis, arterial peripheric disease (p = 0.018), HTN (p = 0.046), chronic kidney disease (p <0.001), chronic pulmonary disease (p = 0.0024), heart failure (p <0.001), cerebrovascular disease (p 0.029), body mass index (p = 0.01), age (p <0.001), CHADsVASc score (p < 0.001) and left atrial diameter (p= 0.01) were associated with the occurrence of MACE. However only age (HR 1.073; 95%CI 1.03-1.06, p < 0.001) and chronic kidney disease (HR 0.37; 95%CI 0.186-0.765, p = 0.007) were independent predictors of major events. Conclusions In our cohort of pts with AFL, stroke and bleeding occurred in a minority of pts. Age and chronic kidney disease predicted MACE events during follow-up. Abstract Figure. CKD as FLA predictor


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Theo Pezel ◽  
Philippe Garot ◽  
Marine Kinnel ◽  
Valentin Landon ◽  
Thomas Hovasse ◽  
...  

Introduction: Compelling evidence indicates that women with coronary artery disease (CAD) experience worse outcomes than men. Hypothesis: To test the hypothesis that stress CMR can provide robust prognostic value in women to the same extent as in men. Methods: Consecutive patients referred for stress CMR with dipyridamole were followed for the occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE): cardiovascular death or non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI). The secondary endpoint was cardiovascular death. Results: Of 3436 patients referred for stress CMR in a single French center, 3322 completed the CMR protocol (60±12yrs, 57%men), and among those 3033 (91%) completed the follow-up (median follow-up 5.4±0.2 years). Reasons for failure to complete CMR included renal failure (n=29), claustrophobia (n=26), poor gating (n=22), intolerance to stress agent (n=19) and declining participation (n=18). Stress CMR was well tolerated without occurrence of death or severe disabling adverse event. Using Kaplan-Meier analysis, the presence of myocardial ischemia identified the occurrence of MACE for both women (hazard ratio HR 2.36; 95% CI[1.54-3.62]; p <0.001) and men (HR 3.57; 95% CI[2.75-4.64]; p <0.001). Moreover, inducible ischemia was associated with cardiovascular death for both women (HR 1.92; 95% CI[1.12-2.74]; p =0.04) and men (HR 2.71; 95%CI[1.98-4.41]; p <0.001). In a multivariable stepwise Cox regression including clinical characteristics and CMR, inducible ischemia was an independent predictor of a higher incidence of MACE for both women (hazard ratio HR 1.85; 95% CI[1.18-2.92]; p =0.008) and men (HR 3.55; 95% CI[2.73-4.63]; p <0.001). Conclusions: Stress CMR is feasible, safe and has a good discriminative prognostic value to predict the occurrence of MACE and cardiovascular mortality in patients of either sex presenting with inducible ischemia.


Author(s):  
Mustafa Umut Somuncu ◽  
Belma Kalayci ◽  
Ahmet Avci ◽  
Tunahan Akgun ◽  
Huseyin Karakurt ◽  
...  

AbstractBackgroundThe increase in soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (sST2) both in the diagnosis and prognosis of heart failure is well established; however, existing data regarding sST2 values as the prognostic marker after myocardial infarction (MI) are limited and have been conflicting. This study aimed to assess the clinical significance of sST2 in predicting 1-year adverse cardiovascular (CV) events in MI patients.Materials and methodsIn this prospective study, 380 MI patients were included. Participants were grouped into low sST2 (n = 264, mean age: 60.0 ± 12.1 years) and high sST2 groups (n = 116, mean age: 60.5 ± 11.6 years), and all study populations were followed up for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) which are composed of CV mortality, target vessel revascularization (TVR), non-fatal reinfarction, stroke and heart failure.ResultsDuring a 12-month follow-up, 68 (17.8%) patients had MACE. CV mortality and heart failure were significantly higher in the high sST2 group compared to the low sST2 group (15.5% vs. 4.9%, p = 0.001 and 8.6% vs. 3.4% p = 0.032, respectively). Multivariate Cox regression analysis concluded that high serum sST2 independently predicted 1-year CV mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 2.263, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.124–4.557, p = 0.022)]. Besides, older age, Killip class >1, left anterior descending (LAD) as the culprit artery and lower systolic blood pressure were the other independent risk factors for 1-year CV mortality.ConclusionsHigh sST2 levels are an important predictor of MACE, including CV mortality and heart failure in a 1-year follow-up period in MI patients.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (12) ◽  
pp. 3943
Author(s):  
João Caramês ◽  
Ana Catarina Pinto ◽  
Gonçalo Caramês ◽  
Helena Francisco ◽  
Joana Fialho ◽  
...  

This retrospective study evaluated the survival rate of short, sandblasted acid-etched surfaced implants with 6 and 8 mm lengths with at least 120 days of follow-up. Data concerning patient, implant and surgery characteristics were retrieved from clinical records. Sandblasted and acid-etched (SLA)-surfaced tissue-level 6 mm (TL6) or 8 mm (TL8) implants or bone-level tapered 8 mm (BLT8) implants were used. Absolute and relative frequency distributions were calculated for qualitative variables and mean values and standard deviations for quantitative variables. A Cox regression model was performed to verify whether type, length and/or width influence the implant survival. The cumulative implant survival rate was assessed by time-to-event analyses (Kaplan–Meier estimator). In all, 513 patients with a mean age of 58.00 ± 12.44 years received 1008 dental implants with a mean follow-up of 21.57 ± 10.77 months. Most implants (78.17%) presented a 4.1 mm diameter, and the most frequent indication was a partially edentulous arch (44.15%). The most frequent locations were the posterior mandible (53.97%) and the posterior maxilla (31.55%). No significant differences were found in survival rates between groups of type, length and width of implant with the cumulative rate being 97.7% ± 0.5%. Within the limitations of this study, the evaluated short implants are a predictable option with high survival rates during the follow-up without statistical differences between the appraised types, lengths and widths.


EP Europace ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
J Correia ◽  
L Goncalves ◽  
I Pires ◽  
J Santos ◽  
V Neto ◽  
...  

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Introduction Individualized estimation of prognosis after cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) remains challenging. Outcomes in this group of patients are influenced by multiple factors and a comprehensive and customized approach to estimate prognosis after CRT is lacking Aims To develop and validate a simple prognostic score for patients implanted with CRT (NISAR-F score), based on readily available clinical and echocardiographic variables to predict the combined endpoints of death or hospitalization in 24 months. Methods A single-centre retrospective study was conducted with inclusion of all consecutive patients who underwent CRT implantation between 2012 and 2019. Follow-up started after CRT implantation and ended upon death, hospitalization or 24 months after study entry. Survival analysis was performed using a multivariate Cox regression model, in order to analyze the effect on survival /hospitalization in 24 months of the following factors: age, gender, NYHA Class III-IV, ischemic heart failure, type 2 diabetes, arterial hypertension, dyslipidemia and ejection fraction &lt; 21%. According to the analysis, points were attributed to each factor. Afterwards, the NISAR-F score was calculated for each patient, summing the points of each variable. The authors finally created ROC curves for the NISAR-F score to predict the occurrence of the combined endpoint in 2 groups of patients: CRT responders (ejection fraction increase of at least 10% after CRT implantation) and CRT non-responders. The statistical analysis was performed in SPSS. Results 102 patients were included in the study (75.4% male, mean age 68 ± 10.46 years). 10(9.8%) of the patients were re-hospitalized and 8 (7.8%) died during the 24-month follow-up.  After calculating NISAR-F score for each patient, area under ROC curves were obtained. The analysis of the ROC curves allows us to confirm the good performance of the score created [responders group (AUC 0.812) vs non-responders (AUC 0.721)]. Conclusion The NISAR-F score is a useful tool to predict the combined endpoint (mortality and hospitalization in 24 months) after CRT implantation, in both responders and non-responders, revealing good performance of this new and simple score based only on clinical and echocardiographic variables.


2018 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 199-207 ◽  
Author(s):  
Esko Salokari ◽  
Jari A Laukkanen ◽  
Terho Lehtimaki ◽  
Sudhir Kurl ◽  
Setor Kunutsor ◽  
...  

Background The Duke treadmill score, a widely used treadmill testing tool, is a weighted index combining exercise time or capacity, maximum ST-segment deviation and exercise-induced angina. No previous studies have investigated whether the Duke treadmill score and its individual components based on bicycle exercise testing predict cardiovascular death. Design Two populations with a standard bicycle testing were used: 3936 patients referred for exercise testing (2371 men, age 56 ± 13 years) from the Finnish Cardiovascular Study (FINCAVAS) and a population-based sample of 2683 men (age 53 ± 5.1 years) from the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease study (KIHD). Methods Cox regression was applied for risk prediction with cardiovascular mortality as the primary endpoint. Results In FINCAVAS, during a median 6.3-year (interquartile range (IQR) 4.5–8.2) follow-up period, 180 patients (4.6%) experienced cardiovascular mortality. In KIHD, 562 patients (21.0%) died from cardiovascular causes during the median follow-up of 24.1 (IQR 18.0–26.2) years. The Duke treadmill score was associated with cardiovascular mortality in both populations (FINCAVAS, adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 3.15 for highest vs. lowest Duke treadmill score tertile, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.83–5.42, P < 0.001; KIHD, adjusted HR 1.71, 95% CI 1.34–2.18, P < 0.001). However, after progressive adjustment for the Duke treadmill score components, the score was not associated with cardiovascular mortality in either study population, as exercise capacity in metabolic equivalents of task was the dominant harbinger of poor prognosis. Conclusions The Duke treadmill score is associated with cardiovascular mortality among patients who have undergone bicycle exercise testing, but metabolic equivalents of task, a component of the Duke treadmill score, proved to be a superior predictor.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gang-Qiong Liu ◽  
Wen-Jing Zhang ◽  
Jia-Hong Shangguan ◽  
Xiao-Dan Zhu ◽  
Wei Wang ◽  
...  

Aims: The present study aimed to investigate the prognostic role of derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (dNLR) in patients with coronary heart disease (CHD) after PCI.Methods: A total of 3,561 post-PCI patients with CHD were retrospectively enrolled in the CORFCHD-ZZ study from January 2013 to December 2017. The patients (3,462) were divided into three groups according to dNLR tertiles: the first tertile (dNLR &lt; 1.36; n = 1,139), second tertile (1.36 ≥ dNLR &lt; 1.96; n = 1,166), and third tertile(dNLR ≥ 1.96; n = 1,157). The mean follow-up time was 37.59 ± 22.24 months. The primary endpoint was defined as mortality (including all-cause death and cardiac death), and the secondary endpoint was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) and major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs).Results: There were 2,644 patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and 838 patients with chronic coronary syndrome (CCS) in the present study. In the total population, the all-cause mortality (ACM) and cardiac mortality (CM) incidence was significantly higher in the third tertile than in the first tertile [hazard risk (HR) = 1.8 (95% CI: 1.2–2.8), p = 0.006 and HR = 2.1 (95% CI: 1.23–3.8), p = 0.009, respectively]. Multivariate Cox regression analyses suggested that compared with the patients in the first tertile than those in the third tertile, the risk of ACM was increased 1.763 times (HR = 1.763, 95% CI: 1.133–2.743, p = 0.012), and the risk of CM was increased 1.763 times (HR = 1.961, 95% CI: 1.083–3.550, p = 0.026) in the higher dNLR group during the long-term follow-up. In both ACS patients and CCS patients, there were significant differences among the three groups in the incidence of ACM in univariate analysis. We also found that the incidence of CM was significantly different among the three groups in CCS patients in both univariate analysis (HR = 3.541, 95% CI: 1.154–10.863, p = 0.027) and multivariate analysis (HR = 3.136, 95% CI: 1.015–9.690, p = 0.047).Conclusion: The present study suggested that dNLR is an independent and novel predictor of mortality in CHD patients who underwent PCI.


2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
V Schillaci ◽  
G Stabile ◽  
G Shopova ◽  
A Arestia ◽  
A Agresta ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Isthmus-dependent right atrial flutter is the most frequently encountered atrial flutter in clinical practice (80–90% of atrial flutters). Purpose The aim of our study was to assess as first experience the feasibility and safety of radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) of cavo-tricuspid isthmus (CTI) guided by KODEX-EPD imaging system in patients presenting with typical atrial flutter (AFL). Methods 16 consecutive patients (mean age 68,46±7,8 years, 80% males) with diagnosis of AFL underwent RFCA guided by KODEX-EPD imaging system. In 15 patients the analysis performed during tachycardia showed a counter-clockwise activation. In 1 patient no tachycardia could be induced and the ablation was performed in sinus rhythm with fixed pacing from the coronary sinus. The KODEX-EPD imaging system was also used to guide ablation and to confirm persistent bidirectional block after ablation. Results Mean procedural time was 37,6±8,2 min, mean radiofrequency ablation time was 7,8±3,4 min, and mean fluoroscopy time was 2,1±1,2 min. All procedures were acutely successful with interruption of AFL during RFCA along the inferior CTI in 15 patients and achievement of the bidirectional conduction block in 16 patients proven by atrial pacing medial and lateral to the ablation line. There were no major procedural and 30-day complications. Over a mean follow-up of 18 months, we observed no recurrence of arrhythmia and no complications. Conclusions Our study shows that RFCA for AFL using the KODEX-EPD imaging system is feasible, safe, and effective. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.


2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Y Cottin ◽  
B.M Ben Messaoud ◽  
H Yao ◽  
G Laurent ◽  
A Bisson ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) often coexist and are closely intertwined, each condition worsening the other. The temporal relationships between these two disorders have not yet been fully explored. We assessed, on a nationwide scale, the prognosis of patients hospitalized with HF and AF, based on the timing of AF and HF development. Methods From the administrative database covering hospital care for the whole French population, we identified 1,349,638 patients diagnosed with both AF and HF between 2010 and 2018: 956,086 of these AF patients developed HF first (prevalent HF) and 393,552 developed HF after AF (incident HF). The outcome analysis (all-cause death, cardiovascular [CV] death, ischemic stroke or hospitalization for HF) was performed with follow-up starting at the time of last event between AF or HF in the whole cohort and in 427,848 propensity-score-matched patients (213,924 with incident HF and 213,924 with prevalent HF). Results During follow-up (mean follow-up 1.6±1.9 year), matched patients with prevalent HF had a higher risk of all-cause death (21.6 vs 19.2%/year), CV death (7.6 vs 6.5%/year) as well as non-cardiovascular death (13.9 vs 12.7%/year) than those with incident HF. The risk for ischemic stroke was lower in the prevalent HF group (1.2 vs 2.4%/year). Conclusion In patients hospitalized with both AF and HF, we identified two distinct clinical entities based on the chronological sequence of the two disorders. Patients in whom HF preceded AF (prevalent HF) had higher mortality and higher risk of rehospitalization for HF. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.


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