Traffic noise, air pollutants and incidence of diabetes mellitus: a population cohort study in Milan

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (Supplement_5) ◽  
Author(s):  
P Magnoni ◽  
R Murtas ◽  
A G Russo

Abstract Background Recent evidence suggests a link between long-term exposure to traffic-related pollution and incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus, a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in adults. The present study aims at exploring this association in a highly urbanized setting such as the city of Milan. Methods This is a population-based retrospective dynamic cohort study in the municipality of Milan. All residents aged >35 years with no prior diagnosis of diabetes were included (N = 1096654), with follow-up ranging from January 2011 to June 2019. The residential address of each subject was geocoded and assigned mean values of traffic noise at the day-evening-night level (Lden, dB) and NO2 concentration (µg/m3) using a noise predictive model and a NO2 land-use regression model with 30x30 m grid resolution. Associations with a new diagnosis of diabetes were assessed with Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, sex, nationality and a socio-economic deprivation index. A dichotomous classification of addresses as city center/suburban based on the External Ring Road as a delimiter was also used for a stratified analysis. Results New diagnoses of diabetes occurred in 26134 subjects (2.4%). Models using NO2, either continuous or ranked into quintiles, yielded no significant results. When using noise to categorize traffic intensity (<65/65-69/70-74/≥75 dB), a positive yet non-significant trend was shown. At stratified analysis, increases in risk were found for the two highest levels of exposure in the city center (70-74 dB: HR 1.141, 95% C.I. 1.013-1.284; ≥75 dB: HR 1.185, 95% C.I. 1.058-1.328). Conclusions Residential proximity to high-traffic roads categorized according to traffic noise was found to be associated with an increased risk of being diagnosed with diabetes. The effect is evident in the city center, whereas in the suburban area it might be masked by individual and lifestyle factors that ought to be investigated in future studies. Key messages Living close to high-traffic roads in a highly urbanized environment increases the risk of diabetes. Policies aimed at reducing traffic intensity in large cities may lower the incidence of this highly prevalent chronic condition.

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (Supplement_5) ◽  
Author(s):  
P Magnoni ◽  
R Murtas ◽  
A G Russo

Abstract Background Traffic-borne noise and air pollution have both been associated with cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, albeit with inconsistent findings and issues of collinearity/mutual confounding. The present study aims at evaluating the role of long-term exposure to traffic-borne pollution as a risk factor for acute vascular events in a highly urbanized setting. Methods This is a population-based retrospective dynamic cohort study including all residents aged >35 years in the municipality of Milan over the years 2011-2018 (N = 1087110). A noise predictive model and a NO2 land-use regression model were used to assign mean values of traffic noise at the day-evening-night level (Lden, dB) and NO2 concentration (µg/m3) to the residential address of each subject. Cox proportional hazards models were performed to assess the incidence of acute vascular events, with adjustment for potential confounders (age, sex, nationality, a socio-economic deprivation index) and sub-analyses for different outcomes (acute myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke). Results A total of 27282 subjects (2.5%) had an acute vascular event. Models using NO2 yielded inconsistent results. When using Lden as a proxy of traffic intensity, there was a positive trend in risk with increasing levels of exposure, with an optimal cut-off for dichotomization set at 70 dB (HR 1.025, 95% C.I. 1.000-1.050). The association was observed specifically for ischemic stroke (HR 1.043, 95% C.I. 1.003-1.085) and hemorrhagic stroke (HR 1.036, 95% C.I. 0.969-1.107). When stratifying by age group and sex, a remarkable effect was found for hemorrhagic stroke in men aged <60 (HR 1.439, 95% C.I. 1.156-1.792). Conclusions Living close to high-traffic roads was found to exert a small but tangible effect on the risk of stroke. The varying effects observed for specific outcomes and in different age and sex groups are likely due to different pathogenetic mechanisms at play, which warrant further investigation. Key messages Residential proximity to roads with high traffic intensity (mean traffic noise level over 70 dB) is a risk factor for stroke, especially for hemorrhagic stroke in middle-aged men. Further interventions aimed at reducing traffic intensity in highly urbanized cities may be justified in order to reduce morbidity and mortality from stroke.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jia Wangping ◽  
Han Ke ◽  
Wang Shengshu ◽  
Song Yang ◽  
Yang Shanshan ◽  
...  

Objective: To evaluate the combined effects of anemia and cognitive function on the risk of all-cause mortality in oldest-old individuals.Design: Prospective population-based cohort study.Setting and Participants: We included 1,212 oldest-old individuals (men, 416; mean age, 93.3 years).Methods: Blood tests, physical examinations, and health questionnaire surveys were conducted in 2012 were used for baseline data. Mortality was assessed in the subsequent 2014 and 2018 survey waves. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate anemia, cognitive impairment, and mortality risk. We used restricted cubic splines to analyze and visualize the association between hemoglobin (Hb) levels and mortality risk.Results: A total of 801 (66.1%) deaths were identified during the 6-year follow-up. We noted a significant association between anemia and mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.32, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.14–1.54) after adjusting for confounding variables. We also observed a dose-response relationship between the severity of anemia and mortality (P < 0.001). In the restricted cubic spline models, Hb levels had a reverse J-shaped association with mortality risk (HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.84–0.93 per 10 g/L-increase in Hb levels below 130 g/L). The reverse J-shaped association persisted in individuals without cognitive impairment (HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.79–0.98 per 10 g/L-increase in Hb levels below 110 g/L). For people with cognitive impairment, Hb levels were inversely associated with mortality risk (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.78–0.89 per 10 g/L-increase in Hb levels below 150 g/L). People with anemia and cognitive impairment had the highest risk of mortality (HR 2.60, 95% CI 2.06–3.27).Conclusion: Our results indicate that anemia is associated with an increased risk of mortality in oldest-old people. Cognitive impairment modifies the association between Hb levels and mortality.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
jiacheng he

Abstract BackgroundTriglyceride-glucose index (TyG index) is associated with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), but research on this relationship is limited in Obesity population. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the correlation between TyG index and the risk of incident T2DM in Chinese Obesity adult population.Methods80,919 participants with BMI≥ 24 were selected from a prospective cohort study data which was collected between 2010 and 2016 across 32 sites and 11 cities in China.The risk of incident T2DM according to TyG index was estimated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models and a two-piece wise linear regression model was developed to find out the threshold effect.The formula for TyG index was expressed as ln[fasting triglyceride leve (mg/dL)× fasting plasma glucose level(mg/dL)/2].ResultsAfter follow-up, 3008 ( 3.7%) patients developed T2DM. After adjusting for potential confounders, as a continuous variable, TyG index was associated with an increased risk of incident T2DM (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 3.81; 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 3.56-4.09.Further analysis revealed a positive curvilinear association between TyG index and incident T2DM, with a saturation effect predicted at 9.328. When the TyG index was less than 9.328, the risk of incident T2DM increased significantly[HR 4.778 (4.149,5.462), P< 0.001], while the risk became gentle when beyond 9.328[HR 2.61 (2.123,3.209), P< 0.001]. Subgroup analyses showed that the association between TyG index and incident T2DM stably existed in different subgroups.ConclusionsTyG index was a significant predictor of subsequent risk of incident T2DM in Chinese Obesity adult population. An increase in TyG index of one unit increased the risk of developing T2DM by 3.81-fold.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhi-bing Hu ◽  
Ze-xiong Lu ◽  
Feng Zhu

Abstract Background The relationship between women’s reproductive characteristics and stroke events is unclear. We aimed to investigate age at menarche, age at menopause and number of reproductive years in relation to fatal stroke occurrence in the Guangzhou Biobank Cohort Study. Methods In total, 16,504 postmenopausal women without stroke, heart disease or a cancer history at baseline were included and followed up for a median of 12.0 years. After review of available records, 222 stroke deaths were recorded. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess the associations between the risk of fatal stroke occurrence and age at menarche, age at menopause and number of reproductive years. Results In the whole cohort, compared with those aged 15 years at menarche, an increased risk of fatal stroke among women at menarche showed respectively in those aged 12 years (aHR (adjusted hazard ratio) = 1.86, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.96–3.60), aged 13 years (aHR = 1.69, 95% CI 0.98–2.92), aged 17 years (aHR = 1.83, 95% CI 1.10–3.05) and aged ≥ 18 years (aHR = 1.66, 95% CI 1.03–2.70), wherein the associations revealed an atypically U-shaped; similar U-shaped association to the cohort of postmenopausal women born before 1940 released a range of incremental risks of fatal stroke in women at menarche aged ≤ 12 years (aHR = 3.68, 95% CI 1.68–8.05), aged 13 years (aHR = 2.11, 95% CI 1.02–4.34), aged 14 years (aHR = 2.07, 95% CI 1.04), aged 17 years (aHR = 2.30, 95% CI 1.20–4.39) and aged 18 years (aHR = 2.50, 95% CI 1.37–4.57), respectively. Compared with menopausal women aged 51–52 years, those aged < 43 years at menopause had an increased risk for fatal stroke among postmenopausal women born in and after 1940 (aHR = 1.64, 95% CI 0.97–2.78) and postmenopausal women born before 1940 (aHR = 1.97, 95% CI 1.05–3.69). Additionally, compared with those with 32–34 reproductive years, women with ≤ 28 reproductive years had an increased risk for fatal stroke in the whole cohort (aHR = 1.91, 95% CI 1.28–2.86) and the cohort of postmenopausal women born before 1940 (aHR = 1.79, 95% CI 1.15–2.80). Conclusions Younger and older age at menarche, younger age at menopause and fewer reproductive ages were related to an increased risk of fatal stroke in postmenopausal women.


Dose-Response ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 155932581984338 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wen-Ling Lin ◽  
Chin-Shin Muo ◽  
Wen-Chuan Lin ◽  
Yow-Wen Hsieh ◽  
Chia-Hung Kao

Background: This study explored the possible association between the use of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) and the increased incidence of pneumonia in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Methods: We selected 4940 patients with T2DM of whom 988 and 3952 were enrolled in PPI and propensity score-matched control cohorts, respectively. All patients were followed from the index date until admission with pneumonia, withdrawal from the National Health Insurance program or the end of 2013. The PPIs associated with risk of incident pneumonia were examined. Furthermore, we assessed the risk of pneumonia according to annual defined daily doses in the PPI cohort. Results: After a 14-year follow-up, the cumulative incidence of pneumonia in the PPI users was 11.4% higher than that in the controls (30.3% vs 18.9%). Compared to the controls, the PPI users had a 1.70-fold higher risk of pneumonia in the Cox proportional hazards model after adjustment for matched pairs. The risk of pneumonia increased with the annual PPI defined daily dose. Conclusion: The results of this population-based retrospective cohort study suggest that PPI use increased the risk of pneumonia in patients with T2DM. The effects were more prominent in patients administered higher doses of PPIs.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. e000390
Author(s):  
Marc P Morissette ◽  
Heather J Prior ◽  
Robert B Tate ◽  
John Wade ◽  
Jeff R S Leiter

ObjectiveTo investigate associations between concussion and the risk of follow-up diagnoses of attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), mood and anxiety disorders (MADs), dementia and Parkinson’s disease.DesignA retrospective population-based cohort study.SettingAdministrative health data for the Province of Manitoba between 1990–1991 and 2014–2015.ParticipantsA total of 47 483 individuals were diagnosed with a concussion using International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes (ICD-9-CM: 850; ICD-10-CA: S06.0). All concussed subjects were matched with healthy controls at a 3:1 ratio based on age, sex and geographical location. Associations between concussion and conditions of interest diagnosed later in life were assessed using a stratified Cox proportional hazards regression model, with adjustments for socioeconomic status and pre-existing medical conditions.Results28 021 men (mean age ±SD, 25±18 years) and 19 462 women (30±21 years) were included in the concussion group, while 81 871 men (25±18 years) and 57 159 women (30±21 years) were included in the matched control group. Concussion was associated with adjusted hazard ratios of 1.39 (95% CI 1.32 to 1.46, p<0.001) for ADHD, 1.72 (95% CI 1.69 to 1.76; p<0.001) for MADs, 1.72 (95% CI 1.61 to 1.84; p<0.001) for dementia and 1.57 (95% CI 1.41 to 1.75; p<0.001) for Parkinson’s disease.ConclusionConcussion was associated with an increased risk of diagnosis for all four conditions of interest later in life.


Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 129 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michikazu Nakai ◽  
Makoto Watanabe ◽  
Kunihiro Nishimura ◽  
Misa Takegami ◽  
Yoshihiro Kokubo ◽  
...  

Objective: The positive relation between body mass index (BMI) and risk of incident hypertension (HT) has been reported mainly in the Western subjects with high BMI. However, there are a few reports in the Asian with relatively lower BMI. This study investigated the relation of BMI with risk of incident HT in the population-based prospective cohort study of Japan, the Suita study. Methods: Participants who had no HT at baseline (1,591 men and 1,973 women) aged 30-84 years were included in this study. BMI categories were defined as following: underweight (BMI<18.5), normal (18.5≤BMI<25.0), and overweight (BMI ≥ 25.0). The Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) of BMI categories for incident HT by sex. HRs were adjusted for age, cigarette smoking and alcohol drinking. The HRs according to quartiles of BMI were also estimated, using the lowest quartile of BMI as a reference. Results: During median follow-up of 7.2 years, 1,325 participants (640 men and 685 women) developed HT. The HR (95% CI) of 1kg/m2 increment of BMI for HT in men and women was 1.08 (1.05-1.11) and 1.10 (1.07-1.12), respectively. When we set a normal BMI as a reference, HR of overweight BMI in men and women was 1.37 (1.13-1.67) and 1.45 (1.18-1.77), whereas HR of underweight BMI in men and women was 0.63 (0.45-0.90) and 0.60 (0.45-0.80), respectively. In addition, compared to the lowest quartile, HR of the highest quartile of BMI in men and women was 1.67 (1.33-2.10, trend p<0.001) and 2.10 (1.67-2.64, trend p<0.001), respectively. Conclusion: In this study, we showed that higher BMI was associated with increased risk of hypertension in both Japanese men and women.


RMD Open ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. e000670 ◽  
Author(s):  
Isabelle A Vallerand ◽  
Ryan T Lewinson ◽  
Alexandra D Frolkis ◽  
Mark W Lowerison ◽  
Gilaad G Kaplan ◽  
...  

ObjectivesMajor depressive disorder (MDD) is associated with increased levels of systemic proinflammatory cytokines, including tumour necrosis factor alpha. As these cytokines are pathogenic in autoimmune diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis (RA), our aim was to explore on a population-level whether MDD increases the risk of developing RA.MethodsA retrospective cohort study was conducted using The Health Improvement Network (THIN) database (from 1986 to 2012). Observation time was recorded for both the MDD and referent cohorts until patients developed RA or were censored. Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine the risk of developing RA among patients with MDD, accounting for age, sex, medical comorbidities, smoking, body mass index and antidepressant use.ResultsA cohort of 403 932 patients with MDD and a referent cohort of 5 339 399 patients without MDD were identified in THIN. Cox proportional hazards models revealed a 31% increased risk of developing RA among those with MDD in an unadjusted model (HR=1.31, 95% CI 1.25 to 1.36, p<0.0001). When adjusting for all covariates, the risk remained significantly increased among those with MDD (HR=1.38, 95% CI 1.31 to 1.46, p<0.0001). Antidepressant use demonstrated a confounding effect that was protective on the association between MDD and RA.ConclusionMDD increased the risk of developing RA by 38%, and antidepressants may decrease this risk in these patients. Future research is necessary to confirm the underlying mechanism of MDD on the pathogenesis of RA.


BMJ Open ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. e034245
Author(s):  
Nan-Chun Wu ◽  
Zhih-Cherng Chen ◽  
I-Jung Feng ◽  
Chung-Han Ho ◽  
Chun-Yen Chiang ◽  
...  

ObjectiveVaricose veins (VVs) are common and although considered benign may cause morbidity. However, the association between VV severity and cardiovascular and mortality risks remains unknown. The aim of this study was to investigate the factors associated with overall mortality in patients with VV.MethodsA total of 4644 patients with newly diagnosed VV between 1999 and 2013 were identified from Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Database. VV severity was classified from grade 1 to 3 according to the presentation of ulcers or inflammation. Moreover, 9497, 2541 and 5722 age-matched, sex-matched and chronic cardiovascular risk factor-matched controls, as assessed based on propensity score, were separately selected for three grading VV groups. Enrolled patients were analysed using conditional Cox proportional hazards regression analysis to estimate risk of mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in the VV and control groups.ResultsMost patients with VV were free from systemic disease. However, compared with matched controls, patients with VV showed a 1.37 times increased risk of mortality (95% CI 1.19 to 1.57; p<0.0001). Compared with matched controls, older (age ≧65 years) (adjusted HR: 1.38; 95% CI 1.17 to 1.62; p=0.0001) and male patients with VV (adjusted HR 1.41; 95% CI 1.18 to 1.68; p=0.0001) showed increased risk of mortality. Furthermore, compared with controls, patients with VV showed 2.05 times greater risk of MACE. Compared with matched controls, population at grade 3 increased 1.83 times risk of mortality and 2.04 to 38.42 times risk of heart failure, acute coronary syndrome, ischaemic stroke and venous thromboembolism.ConclusionsThis nationwide cohort study demonstrated that patients with VV are at a risk of cardiovascular events and mortality. Our findings suggest that presence of VV warrants close attention in terms of prognosis and treatment.


2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 45-51 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanne Stensheim ◽  
Bjørn Møller ◽  
Tini van Dijk ◽  
Sophie D. Fosså

Purpose To assess if cancers diagnosed during pregnancy or lactation are associated with increased risk of cause-specific death. Patients and Methods In this population-based cohort study using data from the Cancer Registry and the Medical Birth Registry of Norway, 42,511 women, age 16 to 49 years and diagnosed with cancer from 1967 to 2002, were eligible. They were grouped as not pregnant (reference), pregnant, or lactating at diagnosis. Cause-specific survival for all sites combined, and for the most frequent malignancies, was investigated using a Cox proportional hazards model. An additional analysis with time-dependent covariates was performed for comparison of women with and without a postcancer pregnancy. The multivariate analyses were adjusted for age at diagnosis, extent of disease, and diagnostic periods. Results For all sites combined, no intergroup differences in cause-specific death were seen, with hazard ratio (HR) of 1.03 (95% CI, 0.86 to 1.22) and HR 1.02 (95% CI, 0.86 to 1.22) for the pregnant and lactating groups, respectively. Patients with breast (HR, 1.95; 95% CI, 1.36 to 2.78) and ovarian cancer (HR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.05 to 4.73) diagnosed during lactation had an increased risk of cause-specific death. Diagnosis of malignant melanoma during pregnancy slightly increased this risk. For all sites combined, the risk of cause-specific death was significantly decreased for women who had postcancer pregnancies. Conclusion In general, the diagnosis of most cancer types during pregnancy or lactation does not increase the risk of cause-specific death. Breast and ovarian cancer diagnosed during lactation represents an exception. We confirmed the “healthy mother effect” for women with a postcancer pregnancy.


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