scholarly journals Clinical Characteristics and Risk Factors for Mortality in Very Old Patients Hospitalized With COVID-19 in Spain

Author(s):  
Jose-Manuel Ramos-Rincon ◽  
Verónica Buonaiuto ◽  
Michele Ricci ◽  
Jesica Martín-Carmona ◽  
Diana Paredes-Ruíz ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Advanced age is a well-known risk factor for poor prognosis in COVID-19. However, few studies have specifically focused on very old inpatients with COVID-19. This study aims to describe the clinical characteristics of very old inpatients with COVID-19 and identify risk factors for in-hospital mortality at admission. Methods We conducted a nationwide, multicenter, retrospective, observational study in patients ≥ 80 years hospitalized with COVID-19 in 150 Spanish hospitals (SEMI-COVID-19) Registry (March 1–May 29, 2020). The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. A uni- and multivariate logistic regression was performed to assess predictors of mortality at admission. Results A total of 2772 consecutive patients (49.4% men, median age 86.3 years) were analyzed. Rates of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, diabetes mellitus, dementia, and Barthel Index < 60 were 30.8%, 25.6%, 30.5%, and 21.0%, respectively. The overall case-fatality rate was 46.9% (n: 1301) and increased with age (80–84 years: 41.6%; 85–90 years: 47.3%; 90–94 years: 52.7%; ≥95 years: 54.2%). After analysis, male sex and moderate-to-severe dependence were independently associated with in-hospital mortality; comorbidities were not predictive. At admission, independent risk factors for death were: oxygen saturation < 90%; temperature ≥ 37.8°C; quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) score ≥ 2; and unilateral–bilateral infiltrates on chest x-rays. Some analytical findings were independent risk factors for death, including estimated glomerular filtration rate < 45 mL/min/1.73 m2; lactate dehydrogenase ≥ 500 U/L; C-reactive protein ≥ 80 mg/L; neutrophils ≥ 7.5 × 103/μL; lymphocytes < 0.8 × 103/μL; and monocytes < 0.5 × 103/μL. Conclusions This first large, multicenter cohort of very old inpatients with COVID-19 shows that age, male sex, and poor preadmission functional status—not comorbidities—are independently associated with in-hospital mortality. Severe COVID-19 at admission is related to poor prognosis.

Gerontology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 66 (6) ◽  
pp. 532-541
Author(s):  
Marta Zatta ◽  
Stefano Di Bella ◽  
Daniele Roberto Giacobbe ◽  
Filippo Del Puente ◽  
Maria Merelli ◽  
...  

<b><i>Introduction:</i></b> Being elderly is a well-known risk factor for candidemia, but few data are available on the prognostic impact of candidemia in the very old (VO) subjects, as defined as people aged ≥75 years. <b><i>Objective:</i></b> The aim of this study was to assess risk factors for nosocomial candidemia in two groups of candidemia patients, consisting of VO patients (≥75 years) and adult and old (AO) patients (18–74 years). In addition, risk factors for death (30-day mortality) were analysed separately in the two groups. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> We included all consecutive candidemia episodes from January 2011 to December 2013 occurring in six referral hospitals in north-eastern Italy. <b><i>Results:</i></b> A total of 683 nosocomial candidemia episodes occurred. Of those, 293 (42.9%) episodes were in VO and 390 (57.1%) in AO patients. Hospitalization in medical wards, chronic renal failure, urinary catheter, and peripheral parenteral nutrition (PPN) were more common in VO than in AO patients. In the former patient group, adequate antifungal therapy (73.2%) and central venous catheter (CVC) removal (67.6%) occurred less frequently than in AO patients (82.5 and 80%, <i>p</i> &#x3c; 0.002 and <i>p</i> &#x3c; 0.004, respectively). Thirty-day mortality was higher in VO compared to AO patients (47.8 vs. 23.6%, <i>p</i> &#x3c; 0.0001). In AO patients, independent risk factors for death were age (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.00–1.09, <i>p</i> = 0.038), recent history of chemotherapy (OR 22.01, 95% CI 3.12–155.20, <i>p</i> = 0.002), and severity of sepsis (OR 40.68, 95% CI 7.42–223.10, <i>p</i> &#x3c; 0.001); CVC removal was associated with higher probability of survival (OR 0.10, 95% CI 0.03–0.33, <i>p</i> &#x3c; 0.001). In VO patients, independent risk factors for death were PPN (OR 3.5, 95% CI 1.17–10.47, <i>p</i> = 0.025) and hospitalization in medical wards (OR 2.58, 95% CI 1.02–6.53, <i>p</i> = 0.046), while CVC removal was associated with improved survival (OR 0.40, 95% CI 0.16–1.00, <i>p</i> = 0.050). <b><i>Conclusion:</i></b> Thirty-day mortality was high among VO patients and was associated with inadequate management of candidemia, especially in medical wards.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (7) ◽  
pp. 961 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cillóniz ◽  
Dominedò ◽  
Ielpo ◽  
Ferrer ◽  
Gabarrús ◽  
...  

Background: Little is known about risk and prognostic factors in very old patients developing sepsis secondary to community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational study of data prospectively collected at the Hospital Clinic of Barcelona over a 13-year period. Consecutive patients hospitalized with CAP were included if they were very old (≥80 years) and divided into those with and without sepsis for comparison. Sepsis was diagnosed based on the Sepsis-3 criteria. The main clinical outcome was 30-day mortality. Results: Among the 4219 patients hospitalized with CAP during the study period, 1238 (29%) were very old. The prevalence of sepsis in this age group was 71%. Male sex, chronic renal disease, and diabetes mellitus were independent risk factors for sepsis, while antibiotic therapy before admission was independently associated with a lower risk of sepsis. Thirty-day and intensive care unit (ICU) mortality did not differ between patients with and without sepsis. In CAP-sepsis group, chronic renal disease and neurological disease were independent risk factors for 30-day mortality. Conclusion: In very old patients hospitalized with CAP, in-hospital and 1-year mortality rates were increased if they developed sepsis. Antibiotic therapy before hospital admission was associated with a lower risk of sepsis.


Author(s):  
Catia Cilloniz ◽  
Cristina Dominedò ◽  
Antonella Ielpo ◽  
Miquel Ferrer ◽  
Albert Gabarrus ◽  
...  

Background: Little is known about risk and prognostic factors in very old patients developing sepsis secondary to community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational study of data prospectively collected at the Hospital Clinic of Barcelona over a 13-year period. Consecutive patients hospitalized with CAP were included if they were very old (&ge;80 years) and divided into those with and without sepsis for comparison. Sepsis was diagnosed based on the Sepsis-3 criteria. The main clinical outcome was 30-day mortality. Results: Among the 4,219 patients hospitalized with CAP during the study period, 1,238 (29%) were very old. The prevalence of sepsis in this aged group was 71%. Male sex, chronic renal disease, and diabetes mellitus were independent risk factors for sepsis, while antibiotic therapy before admission was independently associated with a lower risk of sepsis. Thirty-day and intensive care unit (ICU) mortality did not differ between patients with and without sepsis. In CAP-sepsis group, chronic renal disease and neurological disease were independent risk factors for 30-day mortality. Conclusion: In very old patients hospitalized with CAP, in-hospital and 1-year mortality rates were increased if they developed sepsis. Antibiotic therapy before hospital admission was associated with a lower risk of sepsis.


2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (02) ◽  
pp. 132-135 ◽  
Author(s):  
Priyam Batra ◽  
Purva Mathur ◽  
Mahesh C. Misra

Abstract INTRODUCTION: Stenotrophomonas maltophilia earlier had limited pathogenic potential, but now with growing degree of immunosuppression in general population, it is being recognized as an important nosocomial pathogen. METHODOLOGY: A retrospective 7 years study was carried out to determine the clinical characteristics of all patients with Stenotrophomonas infections, antibiotic resistance pattern, and risk factors associated with hospital mortality. All patients with Stenotrophomonas culture positivity were identified and their medical records were reviewed. Risk factor associated with hospital mortality was analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 123 samples obtained from 88 patients were culture positive. Most patients presented with bacteremia (45, 51%) followed by pneumonia (37, 42%) and skin and soft tissue infections (6, 7%). About 23 of 88 Stenotrophomonas infected patients had co-infection. Percentage resistance to cotrimoxazole; 8 (5.4%) was lower than that for levofloxacin; 18 (12%). Twenty-eight patients died during hospital stay. Intensive Care Unit admission (P = 0.0002), mechanical ventilation (P = 0.0004), central venous catheterization (P = 0.0227), urethral catheterization (P = 0.0484), and previous antibiotic intake (P = 0.0026) were independent risk factors associated with mortality. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that Stenotrophomonas can cause various infections irrespective of patient’s immune status and irrespective of potential source. Thus, Stenotrophomonas should be thought of as potential pathogen and its isolation should be looked with clinical suspicion.


Critical Care ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dong Huang ◽  
Dingxiu He ◽  
Linjing Gong ◽  
Wen Wang ◽  
Lei Yang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The present study was performed to investigate the impacts of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) on severe community-acquired pneumonia (SCAP) and to develop a novel prediction model for mortality in SCAP patients with T2DM. Methods This was a retrospective observational study conducted in consecutive adult patients with SCAP admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of West China Hospital, Sichuan University, China, between September 2011 and September 2019. The primary outcome was hospital mortality. A propensity score matching (PSM) analysis model with a 1:2 ratio was used for the comparisons of clinical characteristics and outcomes between T2DM and nondiabetic patients. The independent risk factors were identified via univariate and then multivariable logistic regression analysis and were then used to establish a nomogram. Results In total, 1262 SCAP patients with T2DM and 2524 matched patients without T2DM were included after PSM. Patients with T2DM had longer ICU length of stay (LOS) (13 vs. 12 days, P = 0.016) and higher 14-day mortality (15% vs. 10.8%, P < 0.001), 30-day mortality (25.7% vs. 22.7%, P = 0.046), ICU mortality (30.8% vs. 26.5%, P = 0.005), and hospital mortality (35.2% vs. 31.0%, P = 0.009) than those without T2DM. In SCAP patients with T2DM, the independent risk factors for hospital mortality were increased numbers of comorbidities and diabetes-related complications; elevated C-reactive protein (CRP), neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) and blood lactate; as well as decreased blood pressure on admission. The nomogram had a C index of 0.907 (95% CI: 0.888, 0.927) in the training set and 0.873 (95% CI: 0.836, 0.911) in the testing set, which was superior to the pneumonia severity index (PSI, AUC: 0.809, 95% CI: 0.785, 0.833). The calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) also demonstrated its accuracy and applicability. Conclusions SCAP patients with T2DM had worse clinical outcomes than nondiabetic patients. The nomogram has good predictive performance for hospital mortality and might be generally applied after more external validations.


2017 ◽  
Vol 125 (03) ◽  
pp. 191-195 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yueye Huang ◽  
Jiaqi Chen ◽  
Xingchun Wang ◽  
Yan Li ◽  
Shezhen Yang ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tao Fan ◽  
Bo Hao ◽  
Shuo Yang ◽  
Bo Shen ◽  
Zhixin Huang ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND In late December 2019, a pneumonia caused by SARS-CoV-2 was first reported in Wuhan and spread worldwide rapidly. Currently, no specific medicine is available to treat infection with COVID-19. OBJECTIVE The aims of this study were to summarize the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 175 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection who were hospitalized in Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University from January 1 to January 31, 2020, and to establish a tool to identify potential critical patients with COVID-19 and help clinical physicians prevent progression of this disease. METHODS In this retrospective study, clinical characteristics of 175 confirmed COVID-19 cases were collected and analyzed. Univariate analysis and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression were used to select variables. Multivariate analysis was applied to identify independent risk factors in COVID-19 progression. We established a nomogram to evaluate the probability of progression of the condition of a patient with COVID-19 to severe within three weeks of disease onset. The nomogram was verified using calibration curves and receiver operating characteristic curves. RESULTS A total of 18 variables were considered to be risk factors after the univariate regression analysis of the laboratory parameters (<i>P</i>&lt;.05), and LASSO regression analysis screened out 10 risk factors for further study. The six independent risk factors revealed by multivariate Cox regression were age (OR 1.035, 95% CI 1.017-1.054; <i>P</i>&lt;.001), CK level (OR 1.002, 95% CI 1.0003-1.0039; <i>P</i>=.02), CD4 count (OR 0.995, 95% CI 0.992-0.998; <i>P</i>=.002), CD8 % (OR 1.007, 95% CI 1.004-1.012, <i>P</i>&lt;.001), CD8 count (OR 0.881, 95% CI 0.835-0.931; <i>P</i>&lt;.001), and C3 count (OR 6.93, 95% CI 1.945-24.691; <i>P</i>=.003). The areas under the curve of the prediction model for 0.5-week, 1-week, 2-week and 3-week nonsevere probability were 0.721, 0.742, 0.87, and 0.832, respectively. The calibration curves showed that the model had good prediction ability within three weeks of disease onset. CONCLUSIONS This study presents a predictive nomogram of critical patients with COVID-19 based on LASSO and Cox regression analysis. Clinical use of the nomogram may enable timely detection of potential critical patients with COVID-19 and instruct clinicians to administer early intervention to these patients to prevent the disease from worsening.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ping Yi ◽  
Xiang Yang ◽  
Cheng Ding ◽  
Yanfei Chen ◽  
Kaijin Xu ◽  
...  

Abstract BackgroundSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection swept through Wuhan and spread across China and overseas beginning in December 2019. To identify predictors associated with disease progression, we evaluated clinical risk factors for exacerbation of SARS-CoV-2 infection.MethodsA retrospective analysis was used for PCR-confirmed COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019)-diagnosed hospitalized cases between January 19, 2020, and February 19, 2020, in Zhejiang, China. We systematically analysed the clinical characteristics of the patients and predictors of clinical deterioration.ResultsOne hundred patients with COVID-19, with a median age of 54 years, were included. Among them, 49 patients (49%) had severe and critical disease. Age ([36-58] vs [51-70], P=0.0001); sex (49% vs 77.6%, P=0.0031); Body Mass Index (BMI ) ([21.53-25.51] vs [23.28-27.01], P=0.0339); hypertension (17.6% vs 57.1%, P<0.0001); IL-6 ([6.42-30.46] vs [16.2-81.71], P=0.0001); IL-10 ([2.16-5.82] vs [4.35-9.63], P<0.0001); T lymphocyte count ([305- 1178] vs [167.5-440], P=0.0001); B lymphocyte count ([91-213] vs [54.5-163.5], P=0.0001); white blood cell count ([3.9-7.6] vs [5.5-13.6], P=0.0002); D2 dimer ([172-836] vs [408-953], P=0.005), PCT ([0.03-0.07] vs [0.04-0.15], P=0.0039); CRP ([3.8-27.9] vs [17.3-58.9], P<0.0001); AST ([16, 29] vs [18, 42], P=0.0484); artificial liver therapy (2% vs 16.3%, P=0.0148); and glucocorticoid therapy (64.7% vs 98%, P<0.0001) were associated with the severity of the disease. Age and weight were independent risk factors for disease severity.ConclusionDeterioration among COVID-19-infected patients occurred rapidly after hospital admission. In our cohort, we found that multiple factors were associated with the severity of COVID19. Early detection and monitoring of these indicators may reduce the progression of the disease. Removing these factors may halt the progression of the disease. In addition, Oxygen support, early treatment with low doses of glucocorticoids and liver therapy, when necessary, may help reduce mortality in critically ill patients.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e21566-e21566
Author(s):  
Monika Dudzisz-Śledź ◽  
Pawel Sobczuk ◽  
Katarzyna Kozak ◽  
Tomasz Switaj ◽  
Hanna Kosela-Paterczyk ◽  
...  

e21566 Background: Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC) is a rare, aggressive skin cancer with a high risk of recurrence and poor prognosis. The treatment of locally advanced disease includes surgery (SUR) and radiotherapy (RTH) to achieve high locoregional control rates. The sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) is recommended procedure in cases without clinical nodal involvement. In selected cases, chemotherapy (CHT) may also be considered, but its role is not confirmed. This study aimed to analyze outcomes for locally advanced MCC pts treated in routine clinical practice. Methods: We conducted the retrospective analysis of data from 156 MCC pts treated with curative surgery in four oncological centers, diagnosed between 01/2010 and 12/2019, with data cut-off on 31/12/2020. The data collected included epidemiological and clinical information. Survival analyses were performed using the Kaplan-Meier method, log-rank test and multivariate Cox regression. Results: The median patient age at diagnosis was 72 years (30-94); 50.6% were male. The primary tumor (PT) locations were lower limbs (33.3%), upper limbs (30.1%), and head and neck (28.2%). MCC with no PT was diagnosed in 3.9%. In 62.0% the PT was located in the sun-exposed skin. The median tumor size was 25 mm (4-170). Lymph node (LN) involvement (clinical or positive SLNB or LND) at diagnosis was found in 26.9% (n = 42). The scar excision was done in 50.0% (positive in 16.6%), SLNB in 36.5% (positive in 10.5 %), 51.9% of pts received perioperative treatment, including RTH- 86.4%, CHT- 21%. The relapse rate was 38.3% (35.8% local-regional, 11.1% distant). With the median follow-up of 2.2-years, the median disease-free survival (DFS), local relapse-free survival (LRFS), and distant metastases-free survival (DMFS) were not reached. The 1-year DFS, LRFS and DMFS rates were 65%, 68%, and 90%. The negative independent risk factors for DFS were male gender (HR 1.42, 95%CI 1.06-3.01), metastases in LN at diagnosis (HR 5.41, 95%CI 2.39-12.26), no SLNB in pts with no clinical metastases in LN (HR 5.45, 95%CI 2.41-12.3), and no perioperative RTH (HR 2.19, 95%CI 1.29-3.76). The median overall survival (OS) was 6.9 years (95%CI 4.64-9.15). The negative independent risk factors for OS were male gender (HR 1.95, 95%CI 1.16-3.27), age above 70 (HR 2.0, 95%CI 1.15-3.48), metastases in LN at diagnosis (HR 3.15, 95%CI 1.49-6.68), and no SLNB in pts with no clinical metastases in LN (HR 2.30, 95%CI 1.10-4.82). PT location, UV-exposure, and perioperative CHT or RTH were not independent risk factors for OS. Conclusions: Our results confirm that the MCC treatment should be done in an experienced multidisciplinary team. Male gender, nodal involvement at diagnosis, and no SLNB in pts without clinical metastases in LN are associated with poor prognosis in DFS and OS. The perioperative RTH improves the treatment outcomes and reduces disease progression risk but does not impact OS. Perioperative CHT does not affect pts survival.


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